Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2015
Small Craft Advisory 48, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Jun 22, 2015, 4:26 AM EDT. It took effect at Jun 23, 2015, 2:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 20 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 22, 2015, 4:26 AM EDT (08:26 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jun 23, 2015, 2:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Jun 23, 2015, 10:25 PM EDT
- In force
- 20 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
348 WHUS71 KBUF 220826 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 426 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 LEZ040-041-221630- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.150623T0600Z-150623T2100Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 426 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-221630- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.150623T0800Z-150623T2100Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 426 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-221630- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.150623T0800Z-150624T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 426 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-221630- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.150623T1200Z-150624T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 426 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-221630- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.150623T1000Z-150624T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 426 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ SLZ022-024-221630- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.150623T1400Z-150624T0000Z/ SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 426 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ HITCHCOCK
7 follow-up statements
615 WHUS71 KBUF 221438 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1038 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 LEZ040-041-222245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.150623T0600Z-150623T2100Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 1038 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-222245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.150623T0800Z-150623T2100Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 1038 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-222245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.150623T0800Z-150624T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 1038 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-222245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.150623T1200Z-150624T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 1038 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-222245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.150623T1000Z-150624T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 1038 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ SLZ022-024-222245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.150623T1400Z-150624T0000Z/ SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 1038 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ CHURCH
207 WHUS71 KBUF 221958 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 358 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 LEZ040-041-230400- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.150623T0600Z-150623T2100Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 358 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-230400- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.150623T0800Z-150623T2100Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 358 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY... * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-230400- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.150623T0800Z-150624T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 358 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY... * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-230400- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.150623T1200Z-150624T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 358 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY... * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-230400- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.150623T1000Z-150624T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 358 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ SLZ022-024-230400- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.150623T1400Z-150624T0000Z/ SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 358 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
793 WHUS71 KBUF 230842 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 442 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 LEZ040-041-231645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-150623T2100Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 442 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-231645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-150623T2100Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 442 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-231645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-150624T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 442 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-231645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.150623T1200Z-150624T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 442 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-231645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.150623T1000Z-150624T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 442 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ SLZ022-024-231645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.150623T1400Z-150624T0000Z/ SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 442 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ SMITH
602 WHUS71 KBUF 231453 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1053 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 LEZ040-041-232100- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-150623T2100Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 1053 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-232100- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-150623T2100Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 1053 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-232300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-150624T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 1053 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-232300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-150624T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 1053 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-232300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-150624T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 1053 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ SLZ022-024-232300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-150624T0000Z/ SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 1053 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ CHURCH
632 WHUS71 KBUF 231918 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 318 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 LEZ040-041-240000- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-150624T0000Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 318 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-240000- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-150624T0000Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 318 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-240300- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-150624T0300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 318 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-240300- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-150624T0300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 318 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-240000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-150624T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 318 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ SLZ022-024-240000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-150624T0000Z/ SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 318 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ CHURCH
663 WHUS71 KBUF 232339 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 739 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042-SLZ022-024-240045- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-150624T0000Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 739 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS AND WAVES HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA. $$ LOZ043-044-240300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-150624T0300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 739 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-240300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-150624T0300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 739 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
060 WHUS71 KBUF 240225 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1025 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 LOZ043>045-240330- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-150624T0300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 1025 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jun 22, 4:11 AM EDT, 15 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 22, 4:11 AM EDT, 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
411 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING A RETURN TO SUNSHINE AND WARM TEMPERATURES
TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY
MORNING WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BE
STRONG TO SEVERE. DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT
LATER TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE GREAT LAKES.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A SMALL AREA OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT ESE ACROSS WESTERN NY
THROUGH 12Z BEFORE WEAKENING AND MOVING SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA.
OTHERWISE ANY EARLY MORNING CLOUDS ACROSS WESTERN NY WILL GIVE WAY
TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES TODAY AS A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
INTO THE LOWER LAKES. MOISTURE PROFILES AND NAM CU-RULE SUPPORT SCT
DIURNAL CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT TODAY ESPECIALLY ALONG THE LAKE BREEZE
BOUNDARIES...BUT THESE SHOULD THIN DURING THE AFTERNOON AND NOT
DETRACT FROM AN OTHERWISE SUNNY DAY. 850MB TEMPS RANGE FROM AROUND
+14C ACROSS THE WEST AND +11C NORTH COUNTRY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS
SHOULD SUPPORT HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S AT LOWER ELEVATIONS ACROSS
WESTERN NY...WITH MID TO UPPER 70S ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. THE
SYNOPTIC SCALE FLOW WILL BE LIGHT ENOUGH TO ALLOW LAKE BREEZES TO
FORM THIS AFTERNOON WITH STRONG DIFFERENTIAL HEATING...AND THIS WILL
KEEP THE LAKESHORES A LITTLE COOLER.
TONIGHT AN UNSEASONABLY DEEP AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM
NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR THIS EVENING TO FAR WESTERN QUEBEC BY 12Z
TUESDAY. A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH WESTERN NY BY LATE
TONIGHT. SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING WILL BE QUITE STRONG AHEAD OF THIS
SYSTEM BY SUMMER STANDARDS...WITH A WING OF WARM ADVECTION
INCREASING ACROSS WESTERN NY LATER THIS EVENING THEN SPREADING
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT. DPVA WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF A
SHARP MID LEVEL TROUGH...AND A STRONG 50+ KNOT LOW LEVEL JET WILL
CROSS THE LOWER LAKES OVERNIGHT AND ENHANCE LOW LEVEL ISENTROPIC
UPGLIDE AND CONVERGENCE.
EXPECT CLOUDS TO INCREASE BY EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS WESTERN NY
WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS DEVELOPING WITHIN THE ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE
REGIME BY MID TO LATE EVENING. INSTABILITY IS INITIALLY VERY
LIMITED...SO DONT EXPECT MUCH THUNDER WITH THE FIRST BATCH OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS.
OVERNIGHT THINGS BECOME MUCH MORE INTRIGUING AS STRONGER FORCING AND
INSTABILITY ARRIVE. MODEL GUIDANCE HINTS THAT ONE OR MORE
CONVECTIVELY AUGMENTED VORTICITY MAXIMA...OR MCV...WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE LOWER LAKES LATE TONIGHT. THIS WILL PROVIDE A MESOSCALE SOURCE
OF ENHANCED ASCENT IN ADDITION TO THE GENERAL FORCING FROM THE
APPROACHING MID LEVEL TROUGH. A STOUT ELEVATED MIXED LAYER /EML/
PLUME WILL BE CAPTURED BY THE ADVANCING SYSTEM AND PUSHED RAPIDLY
EAST ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST AND INTO THE LOWER LAKES LATE
TONIGHT...PROVIDING STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES. A RESERVOIR OF
MODERATE INSTABILITY DEVELOPING BENEATH THE CAPPED EML PLUME OVER
THE OHIO VALLEY WILL ADVECT INTO WESTERN NY LATE TONIGHT WITH MUCAPE
RISING TO AROUND 1500J/KG BY 09Z-12Z. THE STRONG 50+ KNOT LOW LEVEL
JET AND ENHANCED MID LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF THE TROUGH WILL PROVIDE
AMPLE DEEP LAYER AND LOW LEVEL SHEAR TO ORGANIZE CONVECTION.
THE TIME OF DAY BEING IN THE PRE-DAWN HOURS WOULD NORMALLY NOT BE
FAVORABLE...HOWEVER THE UNSEASONABLY STRONG DYNAMICS AND ADVECTION
OF QUALITY LOW LEVEL AIR INTO THE REGION FROM UPSTREAM WOULD SUGGEST
THAT SEVERE POTENTIAL MAY VERY WELL LAST DEEP INTO THE NIGHT AND
EARLY MORNING. THE STRONG WIND PROFILES ARE LARGELY UNI-
DIRECTIONAL...SO THE GREATEST SEVERE RISK WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS
WITH ANY BOWING STRUCTURES. THE PRESENCE OF STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES MAY ALSO SUPPORT ISOLATED LARGE HAIL IF ENOUGH INSTABILITY CAN
BE REALIZED. THE GREATEST SEVERE RISK WOULD MATERIALIZE IF ONE OF
THE UPSTREAM MCV CAN MAINTAIN A STRONG COLD POOL/MCS STRUCTURE
OVERNIGHT AS IT CROSSES WESTERN NY WITH ASSOCIATED ORGANIZED
CONVECTIVE WIND POTENTIAL.
WITH THE ABOVE IN MIND...EXPECT SHOWERS AND STORMS TO BECOME LIKELY
AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS WESTERN NY AND SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE REST OF
THE AREA THROUGH THE PRE-DAWN HOURS OF TUESDAY. SOME OF THESE STORMS
MAY ALSO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AS PWAT RISES TO AROUND 2 INCHES.
TEMPERATURES WILL STAY VERY MILD OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
WESTERN NY WHERE DEVELOPING SSW DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL KEEP LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 70S ON THE LAKE PLAINS. IT WILL BECOME BREEZY LATER
TONIGHT EVEN OUTSIDE OF ANY STORMS...WITH GUSTS IN THE 30-35 MPH
RANGE LATE ACROSS WESTERN NY.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BE CROSSING WESTERN INTO CENTRAL NEW YORK
TUESDAY MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL BE DRIVING ONE OR MORE CONVECTIVE
LINES/SEGMENTS WITHIN A FAVORABLE SEVERE STORMS ENVIRONMENT OF 1000-
1500 J/KG MUCAPE AND 40-50 KNOTS OF BULK WIND SHEAR. DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH STRONG UNIDIRECTIONAL WINDS ALONG THE
FRONT DRIVING THE THUNDERSTORMS QUICKLY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.
ALSO CANNOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO WITH THE STRONG VEERING
WIND PROFILES IN ANY STORMS OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
THE FRONT SHOULD BE CLEAR OF THE FORECAST AREA BY LUNCHTIME WITH DRY
BUT WINDY CONDITIONS AND CLEARING SKIES GOING INTO THE AFTERNOON.
COLD AIR ADVECTION LEADING TO STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL ALLOW
30-40 KT 850MB WINDS TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE BEHIND THE FRONT
WITH SURFACE GUSTS PUSHING 30-40 MPH. TEMPERATURES PEAKING IN THE
UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL SLIP BACK TOWARD THE
60S BY LATE IN THE DAY THEN 50S TUESDAY NIGHT UNDER CLEAR SKIES AND
LIGHT WINDS.
SURFACE RIDGING BUILDING EAST FROM THE MIDWEST STATES WILL SHIFT
OVER THE FORECAST AREA FOR WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING A MAINLY DRY
AND COMFORTABLE DAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL RUN
NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL. THE ONLY EXCEPTION TO THE DRY
FORECAST WOULD BE TOWARD THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY WHERE
MODELS SHOW A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH DROPPING SOUTH FROM ONTARIO/QUEBEC
WOULD COULD TOUCH OFF SOME SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A THUNDERSTORM
ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY WILL BE LOW. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BACK INTO
THE 50S AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH A LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN TIER AS MODELS SHOW A WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH ACROSS
THE OHIO VALLEY.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW PATTERN FOR LATE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND IS
SHOWN BY 00Z MODELS AS A TRANSITION FROM FAST ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE
NORTHERN TIER OF THE CONUS INTO AN AMPLIFIED FULL-LATITUDE WEST
COAST RIDGE/EAST COAST TROUGH PATTERN BY SUNDAY. THE DEVELOPING EAST
COAST TROUGH PATTERN WILL LEAD TO COOLER TEMPERATURES AVERAGING A
LITTLE BELOW NORMAL FOR LATE JUNE.
IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION...MODELS SHOW THE SURFACE LOW DRIVING
THURSDAYS OHIO VALLEY WARM FRONT WILL SLIDE EAST ALONG THE NY/PA
BORDER THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT LEADING TO BROADBRUSH CHANCES OF SHOWERS
SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO FOR THE END OF THE WEEK. GOING INTO THE
WEEKEND...THE AMPLIFYING EAST COAST TROUGH WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR
SOME MAINLY DIURNALLY DRIVEN INSTABILITY SHOWERS OVER THE WEEKEND.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SKIES HAVE CLEARED ACROSS THE BULK OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING
AND THIS IS ALLOWING SOME PATCHY LIGHT FOG/BR TO DEVELOP WITH LOCAL
MVFR/IFR VSBY. A FEW WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CROSS WESTERN NY
BEFORE DAYBREAK...BUT CIGS/VSBY SHOULD REMAIN MAINLY VFR WITH THIS
AS THE SHOWERS CONTINUE TO WEAKEN.
OTHERWISE EXPECT VFR TO PREVAIL TODAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVER THE LOWER LAKES. THIS WILL BRING MAINLY CLEAR SKIES
OUTSIDE OF SOME HIGH/THIN CIRRUS AND SCT DIURNAL CUMULUS.
TONIGHT LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS CENTRAL ONTARIO. A WARM
FRONT WILL ARRIVE LATE THIS EVENING ACROSS WESTERN NY WITH
INCREASING CHANCES OF SHOWERS...FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT AND UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING WHICH WILL MAINTAIN A
LIKELIHOOD OF SHOWERS. EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME LIKELY
BETWEEN 06Z AND 12Z TUESDAY WITH ASSOCIATED BRIEF MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS.
OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY WITH LOCAL
MVFR EARLY...IMPROVING TO VFR.
WEDNESDAY...VFR.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
&&
.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS AND WAVE ACTION TO
THE LOWER LAKES TODAY. A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE BY SUMMER
STANDARDS WILL MOVE JUST NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES LATER TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT CROSSING THE LOWER LAKES TUESDAY
MORNING. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 20-25 KNOT
RANGE LATE TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...THEN CONTINUE ON
TUESDAY ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT. THIS WILL BRING SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CONDITIONS TO BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. WINDS AND WAVES
WILL DIMINISH LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
BACK INTO THE GREAT LAKES.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR LEZ040-
041.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
LEZ020.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY
FOR LOZ043-044.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
LOZ042.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
LOZ045.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY
FOR SLZ022-024.
&&
SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK
SHORT TERM...SMITH
LONG TERM...JJR/SMITH
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK
MARINE...HITCHCOCKHazardous weather outlook, Jun 21, 3:59 PM EDT, 12 hours 27 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 359 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015 NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-222000- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA- CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- 359 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. A RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS A COLD FRONT CROSSES WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK. ONE OR MORE LINES OF THUNDERSTORMS MAY ACCOMPANY THE FRONT WITH A RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-222000- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LOWER NIAGARA RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 359 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. A RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS A COLD FRONT CROSSES WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK. ONE OR MORE LINES OF THUNDERSTORMS MAY ACCOMPANY THE FRONT WITH A RISK OF GUSTY WINDS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 8:48 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | BUF | 42 min |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2015Every small craft advisory in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.