Small Craft Advisory 151, NWS Buffalo, NY

918 
WHUS71 KBUF 141440
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
940 AM EST MON DEC 14 2015

LOZ030-142245-
/O.EXA.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.151214T2100Z-151215T1800Z/
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
940 AM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 PM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM
EST TUESDAY.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-142245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.151215T0300Z-151215T1200Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0007.151215T1200Z-151215T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
940 AM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-142245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.151214T2100Z-151216T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
940 AM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-142245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.151214T2100Z-151216T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
940 AM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-142245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.151214T2100Z-151215T1800Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
940 AM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-142245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.151215T0300Z-151215T2100Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
940 AM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-142245-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0007.151215T1200Z-151215T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
940 AM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

172 
WHUS71 KBUF 141803
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
103 PM EST MON DEC 14 2015

LOZ043>045-150215-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.151215T0300Z-151215T1200Z/
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0007.151215T1200Z-151215T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0024.151215T1200Z-151215T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
103 PM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY. THE
GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-150215-
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0007.151215T1200Z-151215T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0024.151215T1200Z-151215T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
103 PM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY. THE
GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-150215-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.151214T2100Z-151216T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
103 PM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-150215-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.151214T2100Z-151216T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
103 PM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-150215-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.151214T2100Z-151215T1800Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
103 PM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-150215-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.151215T0300Z-151215T2100Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
103 PM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

957 
WHUS71 KBUF 142018
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
318 PM EST MON DEC 14 2015

LOZ043>045-150430-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.151215T0300Z-151215T1200Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0024.151215T1200Z-151215T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
318 PM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-150430-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0024.151215T1200Z-151215T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
318 PM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-150430-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.151214T2100Z-151216T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
318 PM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-150430-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.151214T2100Z-151216T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
318 PM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-150430-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.151214T2100Z-151215T1800Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
318 PM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-150430-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.151215T0300Z-151215T2100Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
318 PM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

949 
WHUS71 KBUF 150237
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
937 PM EST MON DEC 14 2015

LOZ043>045-151045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.151215T0300Z-151215T1200Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0024.151215T1200Z-151215T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
937 PM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT. WEST TO 35 KNOTS
  TUESDAY.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET TONIGHT AND 9 TO 12 FEET TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-151045-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0024.151215T1200Z-151215T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
937 PM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-151045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151216T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
937 PM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-151045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151216T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
937 PM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-151045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151215T1800Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
937 PM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-151045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.151215T0300Z-151215T2100Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
937 PM EST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

202 
WHUS71 KBUF 150847
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
347 AM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

LOZ043>045-151700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151215T1200Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0024.151215T1200Z-151215T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
347 AM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS AFTER 7 AM.

* WAVES...10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-151700-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0024.151215T1200Z-151215T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
347 AM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST TO 40 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-151700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151216T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
347 AM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-151700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151216T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
347 AM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-151700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151215T1800Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
347 AM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-151700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151215T2100Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
347 AM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SMITH

958 
WHUS71 KBUF 151438
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
938 AM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

LOZ043>045-063>065-152100-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-151215T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
938 AM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST TO 40 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-152245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151216T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
938 AM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-152245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151216T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
938 AM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-151800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151215T1800Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
938 AM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-152100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151215T2100Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
938 AM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

985 
WHUS71 KBUF 151717
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1217 PM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

LOZ030-151830-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151215T1800Z/
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
1217 PM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

$$

LOZ043>045-063>065-152100-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-151215T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1217 PM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-160000-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151216T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
1217 PM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-160000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151216T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
1217 PM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-160000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151216T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1217 PM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-152100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151215T2100Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1217 PM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

090 
WHUS71 KBUF 152033
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
333 PM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

LOZ043>045-160445-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-151215T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0152.151215T2033Z-151216T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
333 PM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-152145-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-151215T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
333 PM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING.

$$

SLZ022-024-152145-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151215T2100Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
333 PM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

$$

LOZ042-160300-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151216T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
333 PM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-160000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151216T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
333 PM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-160000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151216T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
333 PM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

THOMAS

024 
WHUS71 KBUF 152239
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
539 PM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

LEZ020-152345-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151216T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
539 PM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING.

$$

LEZ040-041-160300-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151216T0300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
539 PM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-160600-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0152.000000T0000Z-151216T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
539 PM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-160300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151216T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
539 PM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

802 
WHUS71 KBUF 160230
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
930 PM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

LEZ040-041-LOZ042-160330-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-151216T0300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
930 PM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

WINDS AND WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT.

$$

LOZ043>045-160600-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0152.000000T0000Z-151216T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
930 PM EST TUE DEC 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
104 AM EST MON DEC 14 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY LIFT ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL
NEW YORK OVERNIGHT WITH A WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS. A STRONG STORM
SYSTEM CROSSING THE GREAT LAKES WILL THEN BRING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
WITH GUSTY WINDS TO THE REGION LATER TODAY INTO TONIGHT. COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND GENERALLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH
MIDWEEK THEN A RISK FOR RAIN FOLLOWED BY THE POTENTIAL FOR LAKE
EFFECT SNOW LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...

...RECORD SHATTERING WARMTH EXPECTED MONDAY...

NOT ONLY WILL MONDAY BE A DAY OF RECORD SHATTERING WARMTH BUT IT
LIKELY BE ONE OF THE WARMEST DAYS TO EVER OCCUR DURING THE
METEOROLOGICAL WINTER (DECEMBER-FEBRUARY) SEASON FOR BUFFALO AND
ROCHESTER.

RECORD HIGHS AT BUFFALO 63F/1901 ... ROCHESTER 62F/1901 ... AND
WATERTOWN 60F/1975 WILL EASILY BE BROKEN AND LIKELY BY 5 DEGREES OR
MORE.

TO PUT MONDAY FORECASTED HIGH TEMPERATURES OF 70F AT BUFFALO AND
ROCHESTER IN PERSPECTIVE. THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES EVER TO OCCUR
DURING METEOROLOGICAL WINTER FOR BUFFALO IS 74F (12/3/1982) AND
ROCHESTER IS ALSO 74F (1/25/1950).

SINCE 1871...ONLY 7 TIMES DURING THE WINTER SEASON HAS A 70 DEGREE
OR WARMER TEMPERATURE BEEN RECORDED AT BUFFALO AND ONLY 8 TIMES AT
ROCHESTER.

BUFFALO...(74 / 12/3/1982 ... 72 / 1/25/1950 ... 71 / 2/26/2000 ...
70 / 12/4/1941 ... 70 / 1/22/1906 ... 70 / 1/26/1950 ... 70 /
2/21/1997)

ROCHESTER...(74 / 1/25/1950 ... 73 / 2/21/1997 ... 72 / 12/3/1982
... 71 / 1/21/1906 ... 70 / 12/4/2012 ... 70 / 12/31/1875 ... 70 /
2/11/1932 ... 70 / 2/24/1906)

LEADING UP TO THIS WARMTH EARLY THIS MORNING...SURFACE WARM FRONT
CONTINUES TO LIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD AND LIES JUST SOUTH OF THE NYS
THRUWAY. SHARP TEMPERATURE GRADIENT CURRENTLY IN THE PLACE WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 50S TO LOW 60S SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY AND
MID 40S TO THE NORTH. TEMPERATURES FORECAST TONIGHT WILL BE TRICKY
WITH TEMPERATURES LIKELY NOT FALLING ONCE THE FRONT OOZES
THROUGH...BUT NEARLY ALL NUMERICAL GUIDANCE IS NOT NEARLY WARM
ENOUGH SOUTH OF THE FRONT.

THE FIRST HALF OF MONDAY WILL LIKELY FEATURE AT LEAST PARTIAL
CLEARING AS DRIER AIR WORKS INTO THE WARM SECTOR. THIS WILL GIVE
WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK THE OPPORTUNITY FOR THE RECORD
WARMTH.

OCCLUDED FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE AREA FROM THE
WEST AND SOUTH BY MONDAY AFTERNOON AS STACKED LOW CONTINUES TO
SHIFT NORTHEAST INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST. MAJORITY OF MODELS
CONTINUE TO TREND SLOWER WITH ARRIVAL OF SHOWERS AS GREATEST
FORCING BEGINS TO MOVE INTO WESTERN NEW YORK BY THE END OF THE DAY
MONDAY. HAVE CONTINUED TO FOCUS HIGHEST CONVECTIVE PROBABILITIES
AFTER 20Z.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
DURING MONDAY NIGHT...A STRONG COLD FRONT INITIALLY DRAPED ACROSS
THE GENESEE VALLEY AT THE START OF THE EVENING WILL CONTINUE TO
RAPIDLY PROGRESS EASTWARD...AND WILL LIKELY CLEAR THE NORTH COUNTRY
BY AROUND MIDNIGHT. A NARROW BUT STRONG SWATH OF SYNOPTIC-SCALE
FORCING ALONG THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE A BAND OF SHOWERS
AS THE BOUNDARY WORKS EAST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION...FOR
WHICH CATEGORICAL POPS FROM CONTINUITY REMAIN IN PLAY. WHILE SOME
ISOLATED EMBEDDED THUNDER ALSO CANNOT BE TOTALLY RULED OUT RIGHT
ALONG THE FRONT GIVEN THE QUALITY OF THE LARGE-SCALE ASCENT...AT
THIS POINT AVAILABLE INSTABILITY STILL APPEARS TO BE FAR TOO MEAGER
FOR THE INCLUSION OF ANY THUNDER IN THE FORECAST.

REGARDLESS OF THE GREATLY LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR THUNDER...THE
COMBINATION OF THE STRONG FORCING AND THE PRESENCE OF A 50-55 KNOT
LOW LEVEL JET ALONG THE FRONT COULD STILL LEAD TO A ROUND OF STRONG
TO POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AS THE FRONT TRAVERSES OUR AREA
FROM WEST TO EAST...ESPECIALLY IF SOME SEMBLANCE OF A SQUALL LINE
MANAGES TO FORM. AS WAS PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED...THIS LINE SHOULD
REPRESENT THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR ANY STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS
MONDAY NIGHT AS THE STRONGEST CORRIDOR OF 925-850 MB WINDS WILL BE
FOCUSED RIGHT ALONG THE FRONT...WITH THESE RUNNING NOTABLY WEAKER
ON EITHER SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY.

IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...A NARROW SWATH OF DRYING AND LARGE-SCALE
SUBSIDENCE SHOULD LEAD TO SHOWERS BRIEFLY DIMINISHING IMMEDIATELY
BEHIND THE BOUNDARY MONDAY NIGHT. THIS TREND WILL BE SHORT-LIVED
HOWEVER THOUGH...AS THE PARENT UPPER LEVEL LOW LIFTS ACROSS SOUTHERN
ONTARIO AND BRINGS A CORRESPONDING INCREASE IN DCVA AND WRAPAROUND
MOISTURE. THIS SHOULD GENERATE A SECOND ROUND OF AT LEAST SCATTERED
RAIN SHOWERS AREAWIDE OVERNIGHT...WITH UPSLOPING LEADING TO SOMEWHAT
MORE NUMEROUS ACTIVITY EAST OF BOTH LAKES. ALL OF THIS SHOULD THEN
DIMINISH TO SOME SPOTTY LEFTOVER DRIZZLE EAST OF BOTH LAKES LATER
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AS THE UPPER LOW AND ITS ATTENDANT DEEPER
SYNOPTIC-SCALE MOISTURE PULLS EAST OF OUR REGION...THOUGH ENOUGH LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD REMAIN IN PLACE TO KEEP SKIES CLOUDY RIGHT
THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY.

ALSO DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY...THE PAST COUPLE GUIDANCE CYCLES
HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT IN BRIEFLY RE-TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS OUR REGION...WITH WESTERLY 925-850 MB WINDS CORRESPONDINGLY
INCREASING TO 45-50 KNOTS AGAIN FROM ROUGHLY THE GENESEE VALLEY
EASTWARD. IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE RETURN OF DAYTIME INFLUENCES...
THIS WILL PROBABLY LEAD TO A ROUND OF STRONGER GRADIENT WINDS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE FINGER LAKES AND NORTH COUNTRY...WHERE SOME LOWER-
END ADVISORY-CRITERIA GUSTS WILL NOT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION. WILL
THUS ADD A MENTION OF THIS TO THE HWO.

AFTER ALL THAT...FAIR AND DRY WEATHER ALONG WITH MUCH LIGHTER WINDS
WILL THEN RETURN TO THE ENTIRE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS
STRONG RIDGING AT ALL LEVELS BUILDS EAST ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES AND NEW ENGLAND. WHILE LOW CLOUDS WILL STILL LIKELY LINGER
INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...BY WEDNESDAY THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH DRYING TO
ALLOW FOR THE RETURN OF SOME PARTIAL SUNSHINE.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES...COLD ADVECTION IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT
WILL EASILY BRING AN END TO THE RECORD SHATTERING WARMTH OF MONDAY
DURING THIS PERIOD...THOUGH THE INCOMING AIRMASS WILL STILL BE RATHER
MILD FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. LOWS MONDAY NIGHT WILL ONLY FALL OFF TO
BETWEEN 45 AND 50 DEGREES...WITH HIGHS BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
STILL EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S. WHEN
COMPARED TO NORMAL MID-DECEMBER HIGHS IN THE MID 30S...SUCH READINGS
WILL STILL BE SOME 15 DEGREES OR SO ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE RIDGING RESPONSIBLE FOR THE MIDWEEK BREAK IN THE WEATHER WILL
THEN QUICKLY SLIDE OFF TO OUR EAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...ALLOWING YET
ANOTHER CUTTER-TYPE LOW TO LIFT NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE NORTHERN
PLAINS TO CENTRAL ONTARIO BY THE END OF THE DAY ON THURSDAY. WHILE
SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES STILL PERSIST IN THE MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE...
IN GENERAL THIS SYSTEM SHOULD SWING ITS TRAILING COLD FRONT TOWARD
OUR REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THEN ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEW YORK DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY. THIS SHOULD BRING ANOTHER ROUND
OF SHOWERS AND BREEZY CONDITIONS FOR OUR REGION...THOUGH WINDS WILL
LIKELY NOT BE AS STRONG AS EXPERIENCED WITH THE SYSTEM EARLIER IN
THE WEEK.

BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING WILL DIG ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST FROM THURSDAY NIGHT RIGHT ON THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. ACCOMPANYING THE TROUGH WILL BE A SHOT OF MUCH
COLDER AIR...AND IN FACT THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON TO DATE AS
850 MB TEMPS FALL TO BETWEEN -8C AND -10C ON FRIDAY...AND TO AROUND
-12C ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN OUR TEMPERATURES RETURNING
TO MUCH MORE TYPICAL LEVELS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...WITH DAYTIME
HIGHS FALLING BACK INTO THE 30S...AND NIGHTTIME LOWS DIPPING INTO
THE 20S.

WITH WIDE OPEN LAKES AND LAKE SURFACE TEMPERATURES STILL AVERAGING
BETWEEN 45 AND 50 DEGREES...THIS KIND OF AIRMASS SHOULD SET THE
STAGE FOR A LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT LATE IN THE WEEK AND NEXT
WEEKEND...MAINLY FROM FRIDAY NIGHT ONWARD WHEN THE LARGE-SCALE
FLOW LOOKS TO TURN MORE CYCLONIC IN CONJUNCTION WITH A CORRESPONDING
UPTICK IN SYNOPTIC-SCALE MOISTURE...RESULTING IN A MORE FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT THAN WHAT WILL SHOULD INITIALLY BE IN PLACE LATER
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. WHILE IT IS RATHER EARLY...AT
THIS POINT THE LARGE-SCALE FLOW APPEARS TO PRIMARILY BE WESTERLY...
SUGGESTING THAT THE MOST SIGNIFICANT SNOWS WOULD BE FOUND ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN TIER AND TUG HILL REGIONS.

AS WE MOVE INTO THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...
THE MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH REMAINING PROGRESSIVE AND SLIDING EAST OF OUR REGION ON
SUNDAY...WHILE GIVING WAY TO BROAD LOW-AMPLITUDE RIDGING. ALL OF
THIS SHOULD RESULT IN ANY LEFTOVER LAKE SNOWS COMING TO AN END DURING
SUNDAY...WITH MILDER TEMPERATURES THEN MAKING A RETURN TO OUR REGION
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A WARM FRONT EXTENDS WEST TO EAST FROM KBUF TO JUST SOUTH OF KROC
AND JUST SOUTH OF KSYR EARLY THIS MORNING. VFR AT ALL SITES AS OF
06Z AND HAVE ADDED LLWS THROUGH MID MORNING AS A 30KT LOW LEVEL
JET SHIFTS OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK.

EXPECT CONDITIONS TO LOWER TO MVFR FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL NY AFTER
18Z AS AN OCCLUDED FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA FROM THE WEST...EVEN
TO IFR ACROSS WESTERN NY AFTER 00Z. THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION
WILL REMAIN VFR UNTIL AFTER 00Z TUESDAY...THEN FALL TO MVFR AS WELL.

OUTLOOK...

TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
WEDNESDAY...VFR.
THURSDAY...MVFR/VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
FRIDAY...MVFR/VFR WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
AN EAST FLOW WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH THIS EVENING NORTH OF A
SLOWLY LIFTING WARM FRONT. INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ON
SOUTHERLY FLOW MAY RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF FOG ON THE LAKES
OVERNIGHT.

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN AFTER SUNRISE AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND RESULTANT OFFSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP
HIGHEST WAVES IN CANADIAN WATERS. THE FRONT WILL CROSS THE
FORECAST AREA FROM LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...POTENTIALLY
ACCOMPANIED BY A SQUALL LINE WITH WINDS RAPIDLY VEERING
SOUTHWESTERLY BEHIND THE FRONT AND WAVES RAPIDLY BUILDING UPWARDS
OF 7 TO 9 FEET. WESTERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT MAY APPROACH GALE
FORCE ON LAKE ONTARIO TUESDAY.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TMA
NEAR TERM...TMA/WCH
SHORT TERM...JJR
LONG TERM...JJR
AVIATION...TMA/WCH/SMITH
MARINE...TMA/WCH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1015 PM EST SUN DEC 13 2015

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-150315-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1015 PM EST SUN DEC 13 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES
REGION MONDAY. THERE IS A THREAT FOR A NARROW LINE OF SHOWERS
ALONG ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WHICH COULD BRING STRONG TO
POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS FROM LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ003>008-013-014-150315-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-LIVINGSTON-
ONTARIO-
1015 PM EST SUN DEC 13 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK
AND WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES
REGION MONDAY. THERE IS A THREAT FOR A NARROW LINE OF SHOWERS
ALONG ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WHICH COULD BRING STRONG TO
POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS FROM LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING.

BEHIND THE FRONT...ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY...WHEN GUSTS TO 50 MPH MAY BE EXPERIENCED
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-150315-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1015 PM EST SUN DEC 13 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES
REGION MONDAY. THERE IS A THREAT FOR A NARROW LINE OF SHOWERS
ALONG ITS COLD FRONT WHICH COULD BRING STRONG WIND GUSTS LATE
MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF