Alert archive / New York / Gale Watches in 2015

Gale Watch 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

January 8, 2015

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this gale watch at Jan 8, 2015, 3:55 AM EST. It took effect at Jan 9, 2015, 1:00 AM EST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 8, 2015, 3:55 AM EST (08:55 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 9, 2015, 1:00 AM EST
Expired
Jan 8, 2015, 12:03 PM EST
In force
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

739 
WHUS71 KBUF 080855
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
355 AM EST THU JAN 8 2015

LEZ040-041-081700-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150109T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150108T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0002.150109T0300Z-150109T1500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
355 AM EST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 40 KNOTS.

* WAVES...11 TO 15 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY...MAY ACCUMULATE AT A RATE OF AN INCH PER HOUR 
  OR MORE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-081700-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150109T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150108T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0002.150109T0600Z-150109T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
355 AM EST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY...MAY ACCUMULATE AT A RATE OF AN INCH PER HOUR 
  OR MORE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-081700-
/O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150108T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0002.150109T0600Z-150109T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
355 AM EST THU JAN 8 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY...MAY ACCUMULATE AT A RATE OF AN INCH PER HOUR 
  OR MORE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-081700-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150110T2300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
355 AM EST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SATURDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
2 follow-up statements
156 
WHUS71 KBUF 081225
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
725 AM EST THU JAN 8 2015

LEZ040-041-082030-
/O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150108T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150109T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0002.150109T0300Z-150109T1500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
725 AM EST THU JAN 8 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS THROUGH THIS EVENING...THEN
  BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO 40 KNOT GALES OVERNIGHT.

* WAVES...11 TO 15 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY...MAY ACCUMULATE AT A RATE OF AN INCH PER HOUR 
  OR MORE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-082030-
/O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150108T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150109T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0002.150109T0600Z-150109T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
725 AM EST THU JAN 8 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS THROUGH THIS EVENING...THEN SOUTHWEST
  TO 35 KNOTS OVERNIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY...MAY ACCUMULATE AT A RATE OF AN INCH PER HOUR 
  OR MORE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-082030-
/O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150108T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0002.150109T0600Z-150109T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
725 AM EST THU JAN 8 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS THROUGH THIS EVENING...THEN SOUTHWEST
  TO 35 KNOTS OVERNIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY...MAY ACCUMULATE AT A RATE OF AN INCH PER HOUR 
  OR MORE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-082030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150110T2300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
725 AM EST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

THOMAS
386 
WHUS71 KBUF 081703
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1203 PM EST THU JAN 8 2015

LOZ042>045-090115-
/O.EXT.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150110T0900Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150109T0500Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.GL.W.0002.150109T0500Z-150109T2300Z/
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0002.150109T0600Z-150109T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1203 PM EST THU JAN 8 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...11 TO 15 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY...MAY ACCUMULATE AT A RATE OF AN INCH PER HOUR 
  OR MORE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

&&

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-090115-
/O.EXT.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150110T0900Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.GL.W.0002.150109T0500Z-150109T2300Z/
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0002.150109T0600Z-150109T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1203 PM EST THU JAN 8 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 40 KNOTS.

* WAVES...11 TO 15 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY...MAY ACCUMULATE AT A RATE OF AN INCH PER HOUR 
  OR MORE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

&&

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-090115-
/O.EXT.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150110T0900Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150109T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0002.150109T0300Z-150109T1500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1203 PM EST THU JAN 8 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 40 KNOTS.

* WAVES...11 TO 15 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY...MAY ACCUMULATE AT A RATE OF AN INCH PER HOUR 
  OR MORE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-090115-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150110T2300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
1203 PM EST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale watch went out at Jan 7, 11:59 PM EST, 3 hours 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 7, 11:59 PM EST, 3 hours 56 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1159 PM EST WED JAN 7 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A BLAST OF ARCTIC AIR WILL SEND AIR TEMPERATURES DOWN TO ZERO BY
TONIGHT...AND DOWN INTO THE NEGATIVE TEENS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.
BRISK WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILLS THROUGH TONIGHT.
THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL FAVOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO AREAS SOUTH OF
LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH TONIGHT...BEFORE WESTERLY WINDS CARRY THE LAKE
SNOWS TO AREAS EAST OF THE LAKES DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. A CLIPPER
SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE GENERAL LIGHT SNOWFALL THURSDAY NIGHT...THEN
ANOTHER ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND
ONTARIO FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST
CONUS. AN ARCTIC AIRMASS IS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH 850 MB TEMPERATURES DOWN TO NEARLY -30C. WINDS OF
20 TO 30 MPH IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW ARE COMBINING WITH THE SINGLE
DIGIT TEMPERATURES TO PRODUCE WIND CHILL VALUES TO AROUND 20 BELOW
ZERO. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN PLACE FOR MUCH OF WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NEW YORK. TEMPERATURES IN THE NORTH COUNTRY WILL FALL INTO
THE TEENS BELOW ZERO OVERNIGHT WHERE THE BETTER SNOW PACK AND COLD
TEMPERATURES LINE UP. WIND CHILLS IN THE NORTH COUNTRY WILL FALL TO
35 BELOW ZERO OVERNIGHT...AND THUS A WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN
PLACE THERE.

NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE AREA IS PRODUCING SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AND NARROW SQUALLS SOUTHEAST OF
THE LAKES. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS IN PLACE SOUTHEAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO FROM ROCHESTER ACROSS TO CAYUGA COUNTY THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...AND FOR OSWEGO COUNTRY THROUGH NOON THURSDAY.
MULTIBANDED TYPE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST WITH THE COLD
TEMPERATURES AND NORTHWESTERLY FLOW PRODUCING SEVERAL INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS. FROM THIS POINT FORWARD
EXPECT THE GREATEST AMOUNTS TO FOCUS FROM THE MONROE COUNTY
LAKESHORE AND EASTERN SUBURBS OF ROCHESTER EASTWARD TO OSWEGO
COUNTY. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE BEING MODERATED BY THE FACT THAT THE
COLUMN IS COLDER THAN THE DENDRITIC GROWTH TEMPERATURES...THUS
PRODUCING TINY SNOWFLAKES AND HAMPERING SNOW RATIOS. THE BETTER
SNOWFALL OFF OF LAKE ERIE IS OCCURRING ACROSS NORTHWEST PA THIS
EVENING...WHERE AN UPSTREAM CONNECTION TO LAKE HURON IS HELPING TO
ENHANCE THE SNOW BAND. ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER...SNOW BANDS
ARE MUCH LIGHTER.

OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO LATER TONIGHT...THE FLOW WILL TURN MORE
WESTERLY...WHICH WILL HELP TO DEVELOP A SINGLE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND
OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO. INITIALLY THIS BAND WILL SET UP ACROSS WAYNE
AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTY THEN SHIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY
BY THURSDAY MORNING. THIS BAND WILL THEN PUSH NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
DAY ON THURSDAY TOWARDS WATERTOWN. SNOWFALL RATES WILL INCREASE BY
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING WITH THIS BAND AS LOW-LEVEL TEMPERATURES WARM
ENOUGH TO ACTIVATE THE DENDRITIC GROWTH PROCESS AND THE BAND
CONSOLIDATES AND BECOMES STRONGER. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY
REMAINS IN PLACE FOR OSWEGO COUNTY THROUGH NOON THURSDAY...AFTER
WHICH THE BAND WILL BE LOCATED NORTH INTO LEWIS AND JEFFERSON
COUNTIES. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORIES FOR JEFFERSON AND LEWIS
ARE IN PLACE THROUGH 6PM THURSDAY. WHILE SNOW RATES WITH THE BAND
COULD PUSH TWO INCHES AN HOUR...AT THIS POINT IT APPEARS THE BAND
WILL LIFT NORTH JUST FAST ENOUGH TO PREVENT WARNING CRITERIA SNOW AT
ANY ONE SPOT...ALTHOUGH IT WILL BE CLOSE. IF THE BAND INTENSIFIES
ENOUGH AN UPGRADE TO A WARNING EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO MAY BECOME
NECESSARY.

OFF OF LAKE ERIE TONIGHT...MULTIBANDED SNOWFALL SHOULD INCREASE
ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER OVERNIGHT AS TEMPERATURES INCREASE
ALLOWING FOR BETTER DENDRITIC GROWTH. A FEW INCHES OF ACCUMULATION
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...BUT SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY
CRITERIA. THE BAND WILL BECOME MORE SINGULAR AND BRIEFLY ORGANIZED
IN NATURE AS IT LIFTS ACROSS SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY AND NORTHWARD
TOWARD THE BUFFALO METRO AREA BY MID-DAY. HOWEVER...THE BAND WILL BE
QUICKLY LIMITED IN THE AFTERNOON BY VERY DRY AIR JUST ABOVE THE
BOUNDARY LAYER AND A LOWERING CAPPING INVERSION. THUS DONT EXPECT
THIS BAND WILL PACK MUCH OF A PUNCH AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE BUFFALO
AREA...THEN FALLS APART LATE AFTERNOON AS SHEAR INCREASES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
...SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT SETTING UP THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY...

OVERALL PATTERN...DEEP LONGWAVE TROUGH ENCOMPASSING MUCH OF NORTH
AMERICA DURING THIS PERIOD...EXCEPT FOR SOME RIDGING FROM THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA...WITH A CROSS POLAR FLOW DUMPING
ARCTIC AIR INTO THE MUCH OF THE CONUS. AN ELONGATED 150 KNOT JET
STREAM STRETCHES ALONG THE TROUGH FROM THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES ALL THE
WAY OUT ACROSS THE NORTH ATLANTIC TO 20 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE. A
1055 MB ARCTIC HIGH CENTERED ALONG THE ALBERTA/SASKATCHEWAN
BORDER...RIDGING SOUTHEAST THE THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE
NORTH AMERICAN LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL BE REINFORCED BY CURRENT COLD
AIR ADVECTION INTO THE BASE OF THE TROUGH...AND A COUPLE OF SHORT
WAVE TROUGHS EMERGING FROM THE POLE REGION. ONE OF THESE SHORT WAVE
WILL SWING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY...FOLLOWED BY A WEAK SECONDARY PIECE OF ENERGY LATER
FRIDAY/FRIDAY NIGHT. A GENERAL 1-3/2-4 INCH SYNOPTIC SNOWFALL EVENT
WILL DEVELOP WITH THE PASSING SHORT WAVE THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH
LAKE EFFECT SNOWS SETTING UP WITH ITS PASSAGE.

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW AMOUNTS WILL EVENTUALLY BECOME SIGNIFICANT BY
THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE 60-72 HOUR CIPS ANALOGS SUGGESTING THE
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL FEET OF SNOW OFF BOTH LAKES...WITH THE MOST
SIGNIFICANT TOTALS SOUTH OF BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN. THIS EVENT HAS
THE POTENTIAL TO VERY DISRUPTIVE TO TRAVEL WITH POSSIBLE CLOSURES OF
MAJOR HIGHWAYS...INCLUDING THE NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY AND INTERSTATE
81.

AS FOR THE LAKE EFFECT SPECIFICS...

OFF LAKE ERIE...LOW LEVEL FLOW BACKING TO SOUTH SOUTHWEST WILL FOCUS
LAKE ENHANCED SNOWFALL INITIALLY NORTH OF THE BUFFALO AREA. VEERING
FLOW BEHIND THE SHORTWAVE WILL FOCUS A SIGNIFICANT LAKE BAND ON A
SOUTHWEST FLOW INTO THE BUFFALO METRO AREA BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY
MORNING...AS OVER-LAKE INSTABILITY SHARPLY INCREASING WITH
EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS NEARING 10K FEET. COMBINATION OF SNOWFALL RATES
IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES PER HOUR AND WIND GUSTS OVER 30 MPH WILL MAKE
FOR EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS DURING THE FRIDAY MORNING
COMMUTE. THE BAND WILL LIKELY SWING THROUGH FAIRLY QUICKLY AS THE
FLOW CONTINUES TO VEER TO A MORE WEST SOUTHWEST ORIENTATION BY MID
DAY WITH A SIGNIFICANT LAKE BAND SETTING UP ACROSS THE DISTANT
BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
TIER...REMAINING THERE WELL INTO SATURDAY. ONCE THE LAKE BAND SETS
UP...THE OVER-LAKE INSTABILITY BECOMES EXTREME WITH LAKE INDUCED
CAPES OVER 500 J/KG AND EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS NEAR 12K FEET. THESE
INSTABILITY FIELDS WOULD SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR INTENSE SNOWFALL
RATES IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES PER HOUR. WINDS GUSTING TO NEAR 30 MPH
WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH NEAR
WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED
ACCORDINGLY FOR AREAS EAST OF LAKE ERIE...INCLUDING THE METRO
BUFFALO ALTHOUGH IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE MOST SIGNIFICANT SNOWS
AREA LIKELY ACROSS THE DISTANT BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS INTO THE WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...LOW LEVEL FLOW BACKING TO SOUTH SOUTHWEST WILL
FOCUS LAKE ENHANCED SNOWFALL WELL NORTH OF WATERTOWN ACROSS THE
SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY. VEERING FLOW BEHIND THE SHORTWAVE WILL FOCUS
A SIGNIFICANT LAKE BAND ON A SOUTHWEST FLOW INTO THE WATERTOWN AREA
BY MIDDAY FRIDAY...AS OVER-LAKE INSTABILITY SHARPLY INCREASING WITH
EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS NEARING 12K FEET. THE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO VEER
TO A MORE WESTERLY ORIENTATION BY LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT WITH
A SIGNIFICANT LAKE BAND SETTING UP ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION
...REMAINING THERE WELL INTO SATURDAY. ONCE THE LAKE BAND SETS
UP...THE OVER-LAKE INSTABILITY BECOME EXTREME WITH LAKE INDUCED
CAPES OVER 1000 J/KG AND EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS NEAR 14K FEET. THESE
INSTABILITY FIELDS WOULD SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR INTENSE SNOWFALL
RATES OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OR MORE PER HOUR. WINDS GUSTING TO NEAR 30
MPH WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH NEAR
WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED
ACCORDINGLY FOR AREAS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...INCLUDING THE WATERTOWN
AREA ALTHOUGH IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE MOST SIGNIFICANT SNOWS
WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE FLOW PATTERN BECOMES MORE ZONAL ALOFT SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH 850 MB TEMPERATURES MODERATING. THIS WILL ALLOW OUR
TEMPERATURES TO APPROACHING VALUES THAT WILL BE CLOSER TO NORMAL.
INSTABILITY OVER THE LAKES WILL END EFFECTIVELY TAKING LAKE EFFECT
SNOW TAKEN OUT OF PLAY. THERE COULD BE SOME LINGERING SCATTERED SOW
SHOWERS SUNDAY AND MONDAY...BUT SNOWFALL SHOULD BE QUITE MINOR. HIGH
PRESSURE AND DRY AIR LOOK TO SETTLE ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY WITH DRY WEATHER FORECAST DURING THIS TIMEFRAME.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A WIDE AREA OF NARROW
MULTIPLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES. THE VERY
COLD AIR IS PROMOTING LOW VISIBILITIES EVEN IN LIGHT SNOW...WITH
WIDESPREAD IFR TONIGHT SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES INCLUDING KJHW AND
KROC. LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS WILL BACK
TO THE WEST AND EVENTUALLY SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL ALLOW LAKE EFFECT TO
CONSOLIDATE INTO SMALLER AREAS EAST OF THE LAKES. THE LAKE ERIE BAND
WILL BE WEAKENING ON ITS WAY NORTH...BUT STILL MAY PRODUCE A FEW
HOURS OF IFR VSBY AT KBUF FROM MID TO LATE MORNING THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON. EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO THE BAND SHOULD REMAIN STRONGER...
WITH SNOW MOVING INTO KART BY MID MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON WITH IFR CONDITIONS.

WIDESPREAD MVFR CIGS TONIGHT SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES WITH LOCAL IFR
CIGS ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN AND IN HEAVIER SNOW BANDS. THE LOWER CIGS
WILL THEN CONTRACT INTO THE SMALLER SINGLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW
THURSDAY MORNING WITH AREAS OUTSIDE OF THESE BANDS IMPROVING TO VFR.

THURSDAY EVENING A GENERAL LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD
THE REGION QUICKLY FROM WEST TO EAST AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES BY JUST
NORTH OF THE LAKES AND AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE ENTERS THE REGION.
EXPECT WIDESPREAD IFR VSBY TO DEVELOP AROUND 02Z IN THE
WEST...SPREADING INTO CENTRAL NY AND THE NORTH COUNTRY BY AROUND 05Z.

OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY...IFR WITH HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF THE LAKES AND SOME
LIGHTER SNOW LIKELY ELSEWHERE.
SATURDAY...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF THE LAKES WITH IFR...VFR
ELSEWHERE.
SUNDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO AND LOCAL MVFR.
MONDAY...MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH END ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS LAKES
ERIE AND ONTARIO THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY...AND THUS A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT. WINDS WILL BE NEAR-GALE AT TIMES /UP TO
30 KTS/ HOWEVER ARE EXPECTED TO STAY JUST BELOW THE GALE THRESHOLD.
BITTER COLD TEMPERATURES WILL COMBINE WITH THESE WINDS TO PRODUCE A
SIGNIFICANT ICING THREAT ON BOTH LAKES THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...THUS A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR NYZ012-019-020-085.
     WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NYZ001>006-
     010>014-019>021-085.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY FOR NYZ007-
     008.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
     SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR NYZ007.
     WIND CHILL WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NYZ007-008.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST THURSDAY FOR NYZ006.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR NYZ006-008.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR
     NYZ003>005.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
     EVENING FOR NYZ010-011.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR
         LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST SATURDAY FOR LEZ040-
         041.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY
         FOR LOZ042>045-062>065.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
         LOZ042>045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CHURCH
NEAR TERM...CHURCH/HITCHCOCK
SHORT TERM...TMA
LONG TERM...TMA
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK
MARINE...CHURCH
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 7, 9:32 PM EST, 6 hours 23 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
932 PM EST WED JAN 7 2015

NYZ007-090245-
JEFFERSON-
932 PM EST WED JAN 7 2015

...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 6 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND CHILL WARNING.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND CHILL WARNING.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006-090245-
OSWEGO-
932 PM EST WED JAN 7 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST THURSDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.
   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.
   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ003>005-090245-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
932 PM EST WED JAN 7 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.
   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001-002-013-014-021-090245-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
932 PM EST WED JAN 7 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ008-090245-
LEWIS-
932 PM EST WED JAN 7 2015

...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 6 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND CHILL WARNING.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND CHILL WARNING.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-019-020-085-090245-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
932 PM EST WED JAN 7 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ010-011-090245-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
932 PM EST WED JAN 7 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-024-090245-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
932 PM EST WED JAN 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-090245-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
932 PM EST WED JAN 7 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE
ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 8, 3:55 AM ESTGale WarningBUF42 hr
Jan 8, 4:02 AM ESTLake Effect Snow WarningBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Jefferson, Lewis and 4 more72 hr
Jan 8, 4:02 AM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryBUFErie, Genesee12 hr
Jan 8, 8:41 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie, Genesee, Wyoming79 min
Jan 8, 10:15 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie60 min
Jan 8, 11:22 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFNiagara53 min
Jan 8, 4:04 PM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryBUFNiagara, Orleans9 hr

Nearby

Gale Watches in New York, 2015Every gale watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.