Flash Flood Warning 59, NWS Brownsville, TX

797 
WGUS74 KBRO 301743
FFSBRO

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1243 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

TXC061-301830-
/O.CON.KBRO.FF.W.0059.000000T0000Z-151030T1830Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CAMERON TX-
1243 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 PM CDT FOR
EAST CENTRAL CAMERON COUNTY...

AT 1241 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR AND AUTOMATED RAIN GAUGES INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN OVER THE WARNED AREA.
UP TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN. 

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
WARNED AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 2595 9715 2596 9717 2595 9719 2596 9721
      2596 9729 2611 9730 2608 9725 2609 9721
      2608 9721 2608 9720 2605 9720 2606 9716
      2607 9717 2610 9717 2610 9716 2607 9716
      2606 9715 2605 9716 2603 9715

$$

19/REYNOLDS

669 
WGUS74 KBRO 301825
FFSBRO

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
125 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

TXC061-301834-
/O.EXP.KBRO.FF.W.0059.000000T0000Z-151030T1830Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CAMERON TX-
125 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL CAMERON COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 130 PM CDT...

THE HEAVY RAIN OVER THE AREA IS RAPIDLY DIMINISHING...AND FLOODING
IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE A THREAT.

LAT...LON 2595 9715 2596 9717 2595 9719 2596 9721
      2596 9729 2611 9730 2608 9725 2609 9721
      2608 9721 2608 9720 2605 9720 2606 9716
      2607 9717 2610 9717 2610 9716 2607 9716
      2606 9715 2605 9716 2603 9715

$$

19/REYNOLDS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
358 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

.SHORT TERM  /TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...SATELLITE AND RADAR
IMAGES CONTINUE TO INDICATE CONVECTION DEVELOPING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS INTO PORTIONS
OF THE HILL COUNTRY EARLY THIS MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTH TX THIS MORNING AND SPREAD EASTWARD THIS AFTERNOON AS LOW
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHWEST TX AHEAD OF THE
500MB TROUGH ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES AND NORTHWEST
MEXICO. LOW TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE HIGH ACROSS THE CWA
TODAY INTO TONIGHT BEFORE THE SURFACE LOW ACROSS NORTHWEST TX
MOVES EASTWARD SATURDAY BRINGING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA SAT
AFTERNOON. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE HIGH TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE
DRIER AIR FILTERS INTO THE CWA IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT SATURDAY.
THE MAIN IMPACT CONTINUES TO BE THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING BUT THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL WITH STRONGER STORMS. WITH THE RECENT
FLOOD ISSUES ACROSS PORTIONS OF HIDALGO AND WILLACY COUNTIES FROM
THE HEAVY RAINFALL THAT FELL LAST WEEKEND...HAVE DECIDED TO ISSUE
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR HIDALGO...WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES
TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT AS THE GROUND IN PORTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES
REMAIN SATURATED OR NEAR SATURATED. ANY HEAVY RAINFALL THAT FALLS
ACROSS SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF HIDALGO COUNTY AND EASTERN PORTIONS
OF WILLACY COUNTY WILL PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING.

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
EXITS THE AREA INTO SUNDAY WITH ABUNDANT DRY AIR FILTERING IN WITH
NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND IT. MOISTURE CONTENT WILL LOWER ACROSS THE
CWA WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES LOWERING TO LESS THAN AN INCH.
AS THE DRY AIR MASS MOVES INTO THE AREA THE CHANCES OF RAIN WILL
BECOME LIMITED THROUGH NEXT WEEK. EXPECT A PLEASANT EVENING SATURDAY
NIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 80S FOR HALLOWEEN FESTIVITIES
WITH LOW HUMIDITY AND SKIES GRADUALLY CLEARING. OVERNIGHT TEMPS WILL
COOL DOWN INTO THE 60S SUNDAY MORNING WITH CLEAR SKIES AND THE 50S
TO LOW 60S BY MONDAY MORNING. ABUNDANT SUNSHINE WILL KEEP HIGH
TEMPERATURES WARM THROUGH THE PERIOD. LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY
ANOTHER TROUGH DIGS S ALONG THE PAC COAST ENTERING THE US. THIS
WILL RESULT IN SHIFTING WINDS SE ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS MOVING A
WARM FRONT NORTH INTO TUESDAY. THE GULF MOISTURE WILL INCREASE THE
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS INTO TUE. A FEW RIPPLES WITHIN THE
UPPER LEVEL FLOW IN ADDITION TO THE INSTABILITY IN THE AREA WILL
ENHANCE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL ACROSS THE AREA WITH AN
INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER WITH THE CONVECTION EXPECTED. PRESSURE
GRADIENT STRENGTHENS INCREASING SE WINDS ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.MARINE...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY...SEAS WERE NEAR 5 FEET WITH SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST WINDS NEAR 19 KNOTS AT BUOY020 EARLY THIS MORNING. STRONG
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS TODAY AS LOW
PRESSURE ACROSS NORTHWEST TEXAS INCREASES THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS COAST. WILL ISSUE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR
THE LAGUNA MADRE TODAY AND TONIGHT AND CONTINUE SCA FOR THE OFFSHORE
WATERS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT AS WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN HIGH AS
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS STRONG ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS.
STRONG SOUTH WINDS TONIGHT WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND DIMINISH
SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS SAT
AFTERNOON. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED FOR THE
OFFSHORE WATERS SATURDAY BEFORE WINDS AND SEAS DIMINISH IN THE WAKE
OF THE FRONT.

SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...A FEW SHOWERS WILL STILL LINGER
ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS EARLY SAT NIGHT AS THE TROUGH GRADUALLY
SHIFTS EAST. DRY AIR MASS BEHIND THIS TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE
REGION LIMITING THE POTENTIAL FOR ANY ADDITIONAL RAIN. THE SE
WINDS WILL DIMINISH AND SHIFT NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT AND
REMAIN LESS THAN 15 KNOTS. THIS WILL LOWER SEAS BACK TO LESS THAN
4 FEET WITH SCA CONDITIONS NOT CONTINUING. SEAS SUBSIDE MONDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY AS WINDS LOWER. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE DIGS SOUTH
ALONG THE W COAST RETURNING SE FLOW ACROSS THE GULF WATERS AND
RETURNING WARM FRONT ACROSS THE REGION LATE MON NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. SEAS WILL BEGIN TO BUILD WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SCEC OVER
THE OFFSHORE WATERS INTO WEDNESDAY WITH A ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL  85  79  90  68 /  60  60  60  10
BROWNSVILLE          85  78  91  67 /  60  60  60  10
HARLINGEN            86  78  93  65 /  60  50  60  10
MCALLEN              87  78  91  66 /  60  50  20  10
RIO GRANDE CITY      88  73  90  63 /  60  50  20  10
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND   83  79  86  70 /  60  60  60  10

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR TXZ253>257.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 7 AM CDT SATURDAY FOR
     GMZ130-132-135.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT SATURDAY FOR GMZ150-155-170-
     175.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV

61/67

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
541 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

TXZ248>257-311045-
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
541 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 9 AM
WITH TORRENTIAL RAINS AND LOCAL NUISANCE FLOODING AS WELL AS
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND POSSIBLE WIND GUSTS TO 50
MPH. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WILL PRODUCE BRIEF DOWNPOURS REDUCING VISIBILITIES BELOW
1 MILE...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS
TO 50 MPH. IN ADDITION...MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGES AREAS
IS LIKELY.

FLOODING: WITH THE GROUND SATURATED OR NEAR SATURATED ACROSS
SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF HIDALGO COUNTY...EASTERN PORTIONS OF WILLACY
COUNTY AND NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF CAMERON COUNTY...ANY HEAVY
RAINFALL TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING. A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR CAMERON...WILLACY AND HIDALGO
COUNTIES TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.

RIP CURRENTS: THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE LOWER
TEXAS COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SATURDAY: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTINUE ACROSS
THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING AND PERHAPS SOME HEAVY RAINFALL. AN ELEVATED RISK
OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COAST.

TUESDAY: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG A WARM FRONT.
OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AND NUISANCE FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY NEED TO BE ACTIVATED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-311045-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
541 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WINDS AND SEAS: SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS MAY GUST TO 30 KNOTS
EXCEPT UP TO GALE FORCE IN STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS THAT MOVE
ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. SEAS WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS BUILDING UP TO 5 TO 8 FEET
TODAY AND 7 TO 10 FEET TONIGHT. HOWEVER...DANGEROUS WAVES AND
CHOP ARE LIKELY IN THE CORE OF STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE LAGUNA MADRE AND THE OFFSHORE
WATERS OF THE LOWER TEXAS COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LIGHTNING: FREQUENT CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE LIKELY
WITH THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

RAIN: TORRENTIAL WIND DRIVEN RAIN WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO
BELOW 1 NAUTICAL MILE AND PERHAPS NEAR ZERO WITH THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

TONIGHT...ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP OVER THE GULF
WATERS...WITH OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT CLOUD TO WATER
LIGHTNING...POTENTIAL WIND GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS...AND DOWNPOURS
REDUCING VISIBILITY TO 1 TO 3 NAUTICAL MILES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

TUESDAY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A NORTHWARD MOVING WARM
FRONT MAY PRODUCE OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING AND A
BRIEF DOWNPOURS REDUCING VISIBILITY TO 1 TO 3 NAUTICAL MILES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY NEED TO BE ACTIVATED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

BSG/MC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
909 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     TSTM WND DMG     WILLAMAR                26.45N  97.62W
10/30/2015                   WILLACY            TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            *** 1 INJ *** WILLACY COUNTY EM REPORTED WIND DAMAGE AT
            THE INTERSECTION OF FM 490 AND FM 1420. WINDOWS WERE
            BLOWN OUT OF SEVERAL CARS AND THE ROOF WAS TORN OFF OF A
            MOBILE HOME. 1 INURY FROM FLYING DEBRIS REPORTED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER BRO1500163

EB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
959 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     TSTM WND DMG     WILLAMAR                26.46N  97.62W
10/30/2015                   WILLACY            TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WILLACY COUNTY EM REPORTED 7 TO 8 STRUCTURES WITH ROOFS
            BLOWN OFF AND WINDOWS BROKEN...AS WELL AS SEVERAL CARS
            DAMAGED FROM THE INTERSECTION OF FM 490 AND 1420
            SOUTWEST TO FM 1018.

&&

EVENT NUMBER BRO1500164

EB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1000 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0959 AM     FLASH FLOOD      RAYMONDVILLE            26.48N  97.78W
10/30/2015                   WILLACY            TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WILLACY COUNTY EM REPORTED THAT ALL ROADS EAST OF US
            HIGHWAY 77 IN WILLACY COUNTY HAD AT LEAST 3 TO 6 INCHES
            OF WATER COVERING THEM.

&&

EVENT NUMBER BRO1500165

EB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1129 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1127 AM     FLASH FLOOD      RAYMONDVILLE            26.48N  97.78W
10/30/2015                   WILLACY            TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WILLACY COUNTY EM REPORTED THAT WATER REMAINS ON ROADS
            EAST OF US HIGHWAY 77 AND THAT THE WATER HAS RISEN AT
            LEAST ANOTHER 6 INCHES.

&&

EVENT NUMBER BRO1500166

EB