Small Craft Advisory 280, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

735 
WHUS71 KBOX 020807
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
307 AM EST WED DEC 2 2015

ANZ235-237-021615-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0280.000000T0000Z-151202T2200Z/
/O.UPG.KBOX.GL.A.0026.151203T1800Z-151204T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0076.151203T1800Z-151204T0700Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
307 AM EST WED DEC 2 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST
FRIDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-021615-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0280.000000T0000Z-151203T1600Z/
/O.UPG.KBOX.GL.A.0026.151203T1600Z-151204T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0076.151203T1600Z-151204T0700Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
307 AM EST WED DEC 2 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST
FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST
FRIDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 
  KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ254>256-021615-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0280.000000T0000Z-151203T1600Z/
/O.UPG.KBOX.GL.A.0026.151203T1600Z-151204T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0076.151203T1600Z-151204T0700Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
307 AM EST WED DEC 2 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST
FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST
FRIDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  40 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ231-232-021615-
/O.UPG.KBOX.GL.A.0026.151203T1800Z-151204T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0076.151203T1800Z-151204T0700Z/
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-
307 AM EST WED DEC 2 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST
FRIDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ233-021615-
/O.UPG.KBOX.GL.A.0026.151203T1800Z-151204T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0076.151203T1800Z-151204T0700Z/
VINEYARD SOUND-
307 AM EST WED DEC 2 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST
FRIDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ251-021615-
/O.UPG.KBOX.GL.A.0026.151203T1800Z-151204T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0076.151203T1800Z-151204T0700Z/
MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
307 AM EST WED DEC 2 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST
FRIDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ234-021615-
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0076.151203T1800Z-151204T0700Z/
BUZZARDS BAY-
307 AM EST WED DEC 2 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST
FRIDAY.

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 
  KT. SEAS AROUND 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ236-021615-
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0076.151203T1800Z-151204T0400Z/
NARRAGANSETT BAY-
307 AM EST WED DEC 2 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 11 PM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 11 PM EST THURSDAY.

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 
  KT. SEAS AROUND 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ230-021615-
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0076.151203T2100Z-151204T0400Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-
307 AM EST WED DEC 2 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TO 11 PM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TO 11 PM EST THURSDAY.

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 
  KT. SEAS AROUND 2 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
953 PM EST TUE DEC 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...

STEADY RAIN WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT...BUT SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG
WITH DRIZZLE AND FOG WILL PERSIST.  ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE TRACKS OVER
OUR REGION WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...YIELDING A SECOND ROUND
OF RAIN WHICH MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. AS THE LOW INTENSIFIES AS IT
PUSHES TO THE MARITIMES ON THURSDAY...DRIER BUT COOLER AND BLUSTERY
CONDITIONS MOVE IN. HIGH PRESSURE THEN TAKES OVER...WITH DRY AND
SEASONABLE WEATHER FROM FRIDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...

950 PM UPDATE...

WIDESPREAD LIGHT RAIN COVERED MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AS WEAK
LOW PRESSURE WAS LIFTING NORTHEAST TOWARDS NANTUCKET THIS EVENING.
SHOULD SEE THE STEADY RAIN EXIT THE REGION FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST THROUGH 1 OR 2 AM AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES AWAY. STILL AN
ABUNDANCE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE THOUGH FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS ALONG WITH WEAK WARM ADVECTION ALOFT.
THEREFORE...EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS/DRIZZLE AND AREAS OF FOG TO
PERSIST. ITS POSSIBLE A FEW LOCALES SEE LOCALLY DENSE FOG
DEVELOP...BUT AT THIS TIME DO NOT NOT THINK IT WILL BE WIDESPREAD
ENOUGH TO WARRANT AN ADVISORY.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES...EXPECT THEM TO REMAIN PRETTY MUCH STEADY
THROUGH DAYBREAK WED.  MAINLY IN THE 30S ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND
BETWEEN 40 AND 45 ON THE COASTAL PLAIN.  A FEW LOCATIONS ACROSS THE
INTERIOR HAD TEMPS AROUND 33 THIS EVENING.  HOWEVER...GIVEN
SATURATED AIRMASS AND LITTLE TEMPERATURE DIFFERENCE ACROSS NEW
HAMPSHIRE AND VERMONT NOT EXPECTING ANY ICING PROBLEMS TO DEVELOP
OVERNIGHT.

THE NEXT BATCH OF STEADY RAIN SHOULD ARRIVE TOWARD DAYBREAK IN
WESTERN MA AND NORTHERN CT AHEAD OF ANOTHER WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY
EVENING AND NIGHT. THE BIG DIFFERENCE IS THIS ONE WILL BE MORE OF
A DIRECT HIT. AFTER A BRIEF LULL DURING THE MORNING
HOURS...ANOTHER ROUND OF WIDESPREAD RAINFALL SHOULD ARRIVE DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

AS MENTIONED BY PREVIOUS FORECASTERS...GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO
ADVERTISE A VERY MOIST AIRMASS...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
OF 2-3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE CLIMATOLOGY. AS SUCH...CANNOT
RULE OUT PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL. NO FLOODING
CONCERNS WITH THIS EVENT...OTHER THAN TYPICAL NUISANCE
STREET/HIGHWAY FLOODING. HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BEGIN TO WANE FROM
WEST TO EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT THURSDAY...BEHIND A COLD FRONT
CROSSING OUR REGION.

SINCE THIS LOW PRESSURE WILL BE FARTHER NORTH...EXPECTING
TEMPERATURES TO BE WELL ABOVE FREEZING INTO THURSDAY MORNING FOR
MOST OF THE REGION. TEMPERATURES DURING MOST OF THIS PERIOD SHOULD
NOT FOLLOW TYPICAL DIURNAL PATTERNS. TEMPERATURES WILL MOST
LIKELY NOT DROP MUCH UNTIL WELL BEHIND A COLD FRONT CROSSING OUR
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGHLIGHTS...

* DRYING TREND MOVES IN DURING THU...AND LOOKS TO CONTINUE INTO
  MONDAY AS LARGE HIGH PRESSURE TAKES OVER
* SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES INTO THE WEEKEND WITH SLIGHTLY MILDER
  READINGS LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
* LOW CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT RAINFALL MOVING IN DURING NEXT TUESDAY

OVERVIEW AND MODEL PREFERENCES...
MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SIGNAL HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER
LEVEL PATTERN ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER STATES INTO CANADA AS SPLIT
STEERING FLOW REMAINS DOMINANT THROUGH THIS TIMEFRAME. NOTING
GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THIS WEEKEND...THEN APPEARS THAT
THE MODELS TRY TO DEAMPLIFY THE UPPER RIDGE ACROSS EASTERN CANADA
EARLY NEXT WEEK. TIMING OF THIS PATTERN CHANGE AND ITS EFFECTS ON
SURFACE FEATURES CAUSING INCREASED MODEL SOLUTION VARIANCE BEYOND
SUNDAY.

LOW PRES AND ASSOCIATED FRONT PUSH INTO THE MARITIMES DURING THU.
LARGE SURFACE HIGH PRES DEVELOPS LATE THIS WEEK...WHICH WILL SIT
ACROSS THE REGION INTO AT LEAST MONDAY AS BLOCKING HIGH PRES
REMAINS OVER THE MID ATLANTIC. SOME QUESTION NOTED WITH A SMALL H5
COLD POOL MEANDERING SOMEWHERE FROM THE MID ATLC STATES TO
POSSIBLY AS CLOSE AS SW CT/SE NY UNDERNEATH THE SURFACE RIDGE.
THIS MAY CAUSE PROBLEMS WITH DIURNAL CLOUDINESS ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE WEST...BUT FOR NOW HAVE GONE WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. SOME QUESTION WITH MOVEMENT OF MOISTURE STARVED H5
SHORT WAVE IN THE NORTHERN STREAM...BUT APPEARS THIS SHOULD REMAIN
N OF THE REGION THAN A WIND SHIFT WITH WEAK SURFACE FRONT.

BEYOND MONDAY...MODELS HANDLING THE DEPARTURE OF THE HIGH
DIFFERENTLY...WITH THE ECMWF PUSHING IT OFFSHORE TO OUR EAST WHILE
THE GFS PUSHES IT E FASTER WHILE DEVELOPING LOW PRES WITH THE
REMNANT UPPER LOW OFF THE MID ATLC COAST THEN TRIES TO PUSH IT N.
NEEDLESS TO SAY...WITH THIS BEING SO FAR OUT...DID NOT PLAY TOO
MUCH INTO THE SENSIBLE WEATHER BUT DID MENTION SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
MAINLY TUE NIGHT.

USED A BLEND OF AVAILABLE GUIDANCE FOR THIS FORECAST THROUGH
SUNDAY...THEN TRANSITIONED OVER TO ENSEMBLE BLEND FOR EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH THE TIMING DIFFERENCES.

DETAILS...

THURSDAY...HIGH CONFIDENCE.
AS LOW PRES PUSHES INTO THE MARITIMES DURING THU...IT WILL
INTENSIFY. THIS WILL CAUSE W-NW WINDS TO BECOME GUSTY AS GOOD LOW
LEVEL MIXING /UP TO 900 HPA/ MOVES ACROSS BEGINNING AROUND MIDDAY
INTO THU NIGHT. NOTING 850 HPA JET UP TO 40-45 KT AND 1000 HPA JET
AT 35-40 KT. SHOULD SEE GUSTS UP TO 25-30 KT...HIGHEST ACROSS THE
INLAND TERRAIN...AND MAY REACH AROUND 35 KT ON THE OUTER CAPE AND
NANTUCKET INTO THU EVENING. PRES GRADIENT RELAXES AS HIGH PRES
MOVES E OUT OF THE OHIO VALLEY SO WINDS WILL DIMINISH DURING THE
EVENING. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER-MID 40S ACROSS THE HIGHER
INLAND TERRAIN TO THE LOWER-MID 50S ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN.

FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...HIGH CONFIDENCE.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXPAND ACROSS THE NORTHEAST BUILD FRIDAY AND
REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. DRY CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL. DO NOTE A WEAK SHORT WAVE MOVING ALONG IN THE NORTHERN
STREAM FLOW...BUT WITH THE HIGH AMPLIFICATION LOOKS LIKE MOST OF
THE ENERGY AND MOISTURE WILL REMAIN N OF THE REGION DURING THE
LATE SUNDAY OR SUNDAY NIGHT TIMEFRAME. LIKELY JUST A WIND SHIFT
WITH THIS FEATURE. AFTER NEAR NORMAL TEMPS THROUGH SATURDAY...
READINGS WILL RISE TO AROUND 5-8 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY.

TUESDAY...LOW TO MODERATE CONFIDENCE.
A LOT OF QUESTIONS DURING THIS TIMEFRAME WITH BREAKING DOWN THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING ACROSS EASTERN CANADA INTO THE NORTHEAST.
MODELS HANDLE THIS QUITE DIFFERENTLY...WITH THE GFS TAKING THE
REMNANT CUTOFF H5 LOW SITTING ACROSS THE MID ATLC AND DEVELOPING
LOW PRES THAT BEGINS TO MOVE N. HOWEVER...THE ECMWF MOVES THE HIGH
PRES INTO THE GULF OF MAINE...WITH A DEVELOPING S-SE WIND THAT MAY
CAUSE LIGHT PRECIP TO DEVELOP. IRONICALLY...WHILE DIFFERENT
MECHANISMS IN PLACE...MAY SEE SOME PRECIP DEVELOP LATE TUE/TUE
NIGHT. WITH SUCH A DIFFERENCE IN MODEL SOLUTIONS...ONLY MENTIONED
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS AT THIS POINT.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...

OVERNIGHT...MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE. WIDESPREAD LOW END MVFR TO
IFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST.  THE STEADY RAIN SHOULD EXIT MOST OF
THE REGION BY 6Z OR SO...BUT WE MAY SEE MORE IN THE WAY OF FOG/LOWER
CLOUDS AND DRIZZLE DEVELOP.

WEDNESDAY...HIGH CONFIDENCE. LOW PRESSURE TRACKS OVER SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND FOG REDUCING VSBY.
EXPECTING MAINLY MVFR WITH LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT...COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION...RESULTING IN
ONLY MODEST IMPROVEMENTS FROM WEST TO EAST VERY LATE. AREAS CLOSER
TO THE SOUTH COAST SHOULD SEE THE BIGGEST IMPROVEMENT...AS
LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE COULD STILL MEAN IFR CONDITIONS IN
FOG AND STRATUS FARTHER NORTH.

KBOS TERMINAL...MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAF.

KBDL TERMINAL...MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAF.

OUTLOOK /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...HIGH CONFIDENCE.

THURSDAY...MAINLY VFR. MAY SEE LEFTOVER MVFR CIGS EARLY. W-NW
WINDS GUSTING TO 25-35 KT. LOW CHANCE OF 40 KT GUSTS ON THE OUTER
CAPE AND NANTUCKET.

FRIDAY-SATURDAY...VFR. MAY SEE PATCHY LATE NIGHT FOG WITH BRIEF
LOCAL MVFR-IFR VSBYS LATE FRI NIGHT.

SUNDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE.

OVERNIGHT...EASTERLY SCA WIND GUSTS FROM NANTUCKET SOUND POINTS EAST
WILL DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS BEHIND DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE.
OTHERWISE...DESPITE DIMINISHING WIND SMALL CRAFT HEADLINES WILL
PERSIST FOR 3 TO 6 FOOT SEAS ACROSS THE OUTER-WATERS AND WESTERN
SOUNDS. AREAS OF FOG...WHICH MAY BE LOCALLY DENSE WILL BE A CONCERN
FOR MARINERS.

WEDNESDAY...ANOTHER LOW PRES TRACKS OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND FOG REDUCING VSBY.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE WATERS VERY LATE. SOUTH
WINDS SHIFT TO WEST. ROUGH SEAS LINGER ACROSS THE OUTER COASTAL
WATERS.

OUTLOOK /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...

THURSDAY...MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE. LOW PRES TRACKS INTO THE
MARITIMES AND INTENSIFIES INTO A GALE CENTER. EXPECT W-NW WINDS
GUSTING TO 35 KT...WITH LOW RISK OF A FEW GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS
BUILD UP TO 10 FT ON THE OUTER WATERS THU AFTERNOON. HAVE ISSUED
GALE WATCHES FROM MIDDAY THU INTO THU NIGHT FOR MOST OF THE OPEN
WATERS. WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT THU NIGHT.

FRIDAY...HIGH CONFIDENCE. LEFTOVER NW WINDS GUSTING TO 25 KT FRI
MORNING...THEN DIMINISHING. SEAS WILL ALSO SUBSIDE.

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...HIGH CONFIDENCE. WINDS AND SEAS BELOW SMALL
CRAFT LEVELS. MAY START TO SEE W WINDS GUSTING CLOSE TO 25 KT SUN
NIGHT ON THE OUTER WATERS E AND S OF CAPE COD.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
     FOR ANZ231-232-235-237.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ232.
     GALE WATCH FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING
     FOR ANZ233-251.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ235-237.
     GALE WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
     FOR ANZ250-254>256.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ250-
     254>256.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BELK/EVT
NEAR TERM...FRANK
SHORT TERM...BELK
LONG TERM...EVT
AVIATION...FRANK/BELK/EVT
MARINE...FRANK/BELK/EVT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1154 AM EST TUE DEC 1 2015

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-RIZ001>008-021700-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-
WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
1154 AM EST TUE DEC 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...ALL OF
MASSACHUSETTS EXCEPT BERKSHIRE COUNTY...AND RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256-021700-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO
20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
1154 AM EST TUE DEC 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE
ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A PROBABILITY OF WESTERLY GALES BEGINNING LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT LASTING INTO THURSDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1112 PM EST TUE DEC 1 2015

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-RIZ001>008-021200-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...
SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...
CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...
PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET...AYER...FOSTER...
SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND
1112 PM EST TUE DEC 1 2015

...AREAS OF FOG MAY BE LOCALLY DENSE AT TIMES INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

AREAS OF FOG WILL AFFECT MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING. SOME OF THE FOG MAY BECOME LOCALLY DENSE...REDUCING
VISIBILITIES TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. MOTORISTS
TRAVELING OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR
RAPIDLY CHANGING VISIBILITY OVER SHORT DISTANCES AND DRIVE WITH
EXTRA CAUTION.

FRANK