Alert archive / Colorado / Blizzard Watches in 2015

Blizzard Watch 2, NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

November 15, 201512 counties in Colorado

NWS Denver/Boulder, CO issued this blizzard watch at Nov 15, 2015, 3:36 PM MST for 12 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Nov 16, 2015, 8:00 PM MST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 15, 2015, 3:36 PM MST (22:36 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 16, 2015, 8:00 PM MST
Expired
Nov 16, 2015, 5:57 AM MST
In force
Issued by
NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

Counties Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Broomfield County, CO, Denver County, CO, Douglas County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO

The radar

The Denver radar (KFTG), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 52 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2015-11-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2015-11-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -31 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2970 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
14 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

204 
WWUS45 KBOU 152236
WSWBOU

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
336 PM MST SUN NOV 15 2015

...STRONG WINTER STORM MOVING OVER COLORADO MONDAY NIGHT...

.A POTENT WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS COLORADO MONDAY
NIGHT WHICH WILL PRODUCE HEAVY SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS AND THEN SNOW
AND GUSTY WINDS ON THE PLAINS BY TUESDAY MORNING. THE HEAVY SNOW
FALLING IN THE MOUNTAINS WILL MAKE TRAVEL CONDITIONS DIFFICULT DUE
TO SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. ON THE
PLAINS...AS THE SNOW BEGINS FALLING AND NORTHERLY WINDS
INCREASE...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT DUE TO POOR VISIBILITIES AND SNOW
COVERED ROADS.

COZ041-044>046-049-160645-
/O.NEW.KBOU.BZ.A.0002.151117T0300Z-151117T2100Z/
ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET-
MORGAN COUNTY-CENTRAL AND EAST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES-
NORTH AND NORTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-WASHINGTON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CASTLE ROCK...ELBERT...FONDIS...KIOWA...
LARKSPUR...BRUSH...FORT MORGAN...GOODRICH...WIGGINS...BENNETT...
BYERS...DEER TRAIL...LEADER...AGATE...HUGO...LIMON...MATHESON...
AKRON...COPE...LAST CHANCE...OTIS
336 PM MST SUN NOV 15 2015

...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. 

* TIMING...RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER NORTHEAST COLORADO
  MONDAY AFTERNOON. RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW DURING THE EVENING AND
  CHANGE TO ALL SNOW BY MIDNIGHT. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE
  DURING THE EVENING HOURS AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...POSSIBLY
  CREATING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. THE STORM WILL BE MOVING OUT
  OF NORTHEAST COLORADO BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW BY MIDDAY TUESDAY
  WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW AMOUNTS OVER THE PALMER DIVIDE. 

* WIND/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH
  WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. VISIBILITIES
  MAY DROP TO A HALF MILE OR LESS IN BLOWING SNOW.

* IMPACTS...POOR VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW MAY
  MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT ACROSS PARTS OF THE EAST-CENTRAL COLORADO
  PLAINS EARLY TUESDAY  MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES.
THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY
DANGEROUS.

&&

$$

COZ031-033-034-160645-
/O.NEW.KBOU.WS.A.0011.151116T1500Z-151117T1500Z/
WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/
NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST GRAND/WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST BOULDER/
GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/SUMMIT/NORTH AND WEST PARK COUNTIES ABOVE
9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
EAST SLOPES PARK AND NORTHERN GORE RANGES...GORE PASS...
RABBIT EARS PASS...CAMERON PASS...
LARAMIE AND MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS...RABBIT EARS RANGE...
ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK...WILLOW CREEK PASS...
BERTHOUD PASS...BRECKENRIDGE...EAST SLOPES MOSQUITO RANGE...
EAST SLOPES SOUTHERN GORE RANGE...EISENHOWER TUNNEL...
INDIAN PEAKS...KENOSHA MOUNTAINS...MOUNT EVANS...
WILLIAMS FORK MOUNTAINS...WINTER PARK
336 PM MST SUN NOV 15 2015

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING. 

* TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN FALLING IN THE NORTH CENTRAL
  COLORADO MOUNTAINS LATE MONDAY MORNING AND THEN BECOME HEAVY AT
  TIMES MONDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL BEGIN DIMINISHING BY MIDDAY
  TUESDAY. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 16 INCHES OF NEW SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE
  BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL ALSO BE
  POSSIBLE. 

* WIND/VISIBILITY...NORTHWEST WINDS AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
  TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...CAUSING SOME BLOWING SNOW AND
  VISIBILITIES RESTRICTED TO A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.  

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT AT TIMES DUE TO HEAVY
  SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ON ROADWAYS AND POOR VISIBILITIES IN
  BLOWING SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

COZ036-160645-
/O.NEW.KBOU.WS.A.0011.151117T0000Z-151117T1500Z/
JEFFERSON AND WEST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET/GILPIN/CLEAR
CREEK/NORTHEAST PARK COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAILEY...CENTRAL CITY...EVERGREEN...
GEORGETOWN...IDAHO SPRINGS...WESTCREEK
336 PM MST SUN NOV 15 2015

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING. 

* TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MONDAY EVENING AND BECOME
  HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. SNOW WILL BE DIMINISHING BY MID-
  MORNING TUESDAY. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 12 INCHES OF NEW SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE
  BY TUESDAY MORNING. 

* WIND/VISIBILITY...NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 20 MPH WITH
  SOME GUST TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. VISIBILITIES COULD DROP TO A HALF
  MILE OR LESS IN HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS BEFORE SUNRISE TUESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...ROADWAYS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SNOW COVERED...
  POSSIBLY MAKING TRAVEL DIFFICULT DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS
  TUESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$
2 follow-up statements
900 
WWUS45 KBOU 160432
WSWBOU

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
932 PM MST SUN NOV 15 2015

...POWERFUL WINTER STORM MOVING INTO COLORADO MONDAY AND MONDAY
NIGHT...

.A POTENT WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS COLORADO MONDAY
NIGHT WHICH WILL PRODUCE HEAVY SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS AND THEN
SNOW...STRONG GUSTY WINDS...AND A POSSIBLE BLIZZARD ON THE PLAINS
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. THE HEAVY SNOW FALLING IN THE
MOUNTAINS WILL MAKE TRAVEL CONDITIONS DIFFICULT DUE TO SNOW
COVERED ROADWAYS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. ON THE
PLAINS...AS THE SNOW BEGINS FALLING AND NORTHERLY WINDS
BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP MAKING
TRAVEL DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE. THE WORST CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE DENVER METRO
AREA EAST AND NORTHEAST ACROSS THE PLAINS OF COLORADO.

COZ040-048-050-051-161245-
/O.EXA.KBOU.BZ.A.0002.151117T0300Z-151117T2100Z/
NORTH DOUGLAS COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND
ARAPAHOE COUNTIES/EAST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-LOGAN COUNTY-
SEDGWICK COUNTY-PHILLIPS COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AURORA...BRIGHTON...CITY OF DENVER...
DENVER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...HIGHLANDS RANCH...LITTLETON...
PARKER...CROOK...MERINO...STERLING...PEETZ...JULESBURG...OVID...
SEDGWICK...AMHERST...HAXTUN...HOLYOKE
932 PM MST SUN NOV 15 2015

...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

* TIMING...RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW AND MAY
  BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES MONDAY EVENING. THE HEAVY SNOW MAY LAST
  INTO TUESDAY MORNING IN PORTIONS OF THE DENVER METRO
  AREA...WHILE ON THE EASTERN PLAINS OF COLORADO THE SNOW MAY LAST
  UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 10 INCHES
  ARE POSSIBLE. 

* WIND/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH
  WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH BY AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT.
  VISIBILITIES MAY DROP TO NEAR ZERO IN OPEN AREAS.

* IMPACTS...POOR VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW MAY
  MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE ESPECIALLY FROM THE
  EASTERN SECTIONS OF DENVER OUT ONTO THE PLAINS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES.
THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY
DANGEROUS.

&&

$$

COZ041-044>046-049-161245-
/O.CON.KBOU.BZ.A.0002.151117T0300Z-151117T2100Z/
ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET-
MORGAN COUNTY-CENTRAL AND EAST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES-
NORTH AND NORTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-WASHINGTON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CASTLE ROCK...ELBERT...FONDIS...KIOWA...
LARKSPUR...BRUSH...FORT MORGAN...GOODRICH...WIGGINS...BENNETT...
BYERS...DEER TRAIL...LEADER...AGATE...HUGO...LIMON...MATHESON...
AKRON...COPE...LAST CHANCE...OTIS
932 PM MST SUN NOV 15 2015

...BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

* TIMING...RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER NORTHEAST COLORADO
  MONDAY AFTERNOON. RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW DURING THE EVENING AND
  CHANGE TO ALL SNOW BY MIDNIGHT. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES
  THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE DECREASING. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW BY MIDDAY TUESDAY
  WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS UP TO 14 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE
  PALMER DIVIDE.

* WIND/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH
  WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT.
  VISIBILITIES MAY DROP TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES DURING THE HEAVIER
  SNOW AND STRONGER WINDS MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...POOR VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW MAY
  MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE
  EAST- CENTRAL COLORADO PLAINS EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES.
THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY
DANGEROUS.

&&

$$

COZ031-033-034-161245-
/O.CON.KBOU.WS.A.0011.151116T1500Z-151117T1500Z/
WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/
NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST GRAND/WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST BOULDER/
GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/SUMMIT/NORTH AND WEST PARK COUNTIES ABOVE
9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
EAST SLOPES PARK AND NORTHERN GORE RANGES...GORE PASS...
RABBIT EARS PASS...CAMERON PASS...
LARAMIE AND MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS...RABBIT EARS RANGE...
ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK...WILLOW CREEK PASS...
BERTHOUD PASS...BRECKENRIDGE...EAST SLOPES MOSQUITO RANGE...
EAST SLOPES SOUTHERN GORE RANGE...EISENHOWER TUNNEL...
INDIAN PEAKS...KENOSHA MOUNTAINS...MOUNT EVANS...
WILLIAMS FORK MOUNTAINS...WINTER PARK
932 PM MST SUN NOV 15 2015

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM MST MONDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

* TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN FALLING IN THE NORTH CENTRAL
  COLORADO MOUNTAINS MONDAY MORNING AND THEN BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES
  MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. SNOW WILL BEGIN DIMINISHING BY
  MIDDAY TUESDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 14 INCHES OF NEW SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE
  BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* WIND/VISIBILITY...NORTHWEST WINDS AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...CAUSING SOME BLOWING SNOW AND 
  VISIBILITIES RESTRICTED TO A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT AT TIMES DUE TO HEAVY 
  SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ON ROADWAYS AND POOR VISIBILITIES IN 
  BLOWING SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

COZ036-161245-
/O.CON.KBOU.WS.A.0011.151117T0000Z-151117T1500Z/
JEFFERSON AND WEST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET/GILPIN/CLEAR
CREEK/NORTHEAST PARK COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAILEY...CENTRAL CITY...EVERGREEN...
GEORGETOWN...IDAHO SPRINGS...WESTCREEK
932 PM MST SUN NOV 15 2015

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

* TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
  EVENING AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. SNOW WILL BE
  DIMINISHING BY MID- MORNING TUESDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 12 INCHES OF NEW SNOW WILL BE 
  POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY MORNING. 

* WIND/VISIBILITY...NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 20 MPH WITH
  SOME GUST TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. VISIBILITIES COULD DROP TO A
  QUARTER MILE OR LESS IN HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS BEFORE SUNRISE
  TUESDAY.

* IMPACTS...ROADWAYS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SNOW COVERED... 
  POSSIBLY MAKING TRAVEL DIFFICULT DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS 
  TUESDAY MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$
960 
WWUS45 KBOU 161257
WSWBOU

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
557 AM MST MON NOV 16 2015

...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTHEAST COLORADO
PLAINS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH AREAS OF HEAVY SNOW IN THE
MOUNTAINS...

.A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL MOVE ACROSS COLORADO TONIGHT AND INTO
WESTERN KANSAS BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE STORM WILL PRODUCE HEAVY
SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS AND THEN SNOW...AND VERY STRONG WINDS ON THE
PLAINS. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP IN AREAS ROUGHLY ALONG
AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 76 LATE TONIGHT...WITH CONDITIONS
IMPROVING FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE DAY TUESDAY. WINTER TRAVEL
CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS BY THIS AFTERNOON. 

THE WORST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE DENVER METRO AREA EAST TOWARDS LIMON AND
AKRON. IN THESE AREAS ROAD CLOSURES ARE LIKELY DUE TO WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS AND DRIFTING OF HEAVY SNOW. SOME PLACES MAY RECEIVE
OVER A FOOT OF SNOW ALONG WITH WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH. IN AREAS
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 76 THE SNOW WILL BE LIGHTER...BUT THE STRONG
WINDS WILL STILL CAUSE EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND
HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

COZ040-041-044>046-048>051-162100-
/O.UPG.KBOU.BZ.A.0002.151117T0300Z-151117T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KBOU.BZ.W.0002.151117T0300Z-151117T2100Z/
NORTH DOUGLAS COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND
ARAPAHOE COUNTIES/EAST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-
ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET-
MORGAN COUNTY-CENTRAL AND EAST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES-
NORTH AND NORTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-LOGAN COUNTY-WASHINGTON COUNTY-SEDGWICK COUNTY-
PHILLIPS COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AURORA...BRIGHTON...CITY OF DENVER...
DENVER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...HIGHLANDS RANCH...LITTLETON...
PARKER...CASTLE ROCK...ELBERT...FONDIS...KIOWA...LARKSPUR...
BRUSH...FORT MORGAN...GOODRICH...WIGGINS...BENNETT...BYERS...
DEER TRAIL...LEADER...AGATE...HUGO...LIMON...MATHESON...CROOK...
MERINO...STERLING...PEETZ...AKRON...COPE...LAST CHANCE...OTIS...
JULESBURG...OVID...SEDGWICK...AMHERST...HAXTUN...HOLYOKE
557 AM MST MON NOV 16 2015

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM MST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM MST
TUESDAY. THE BLIZZARD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND WILL BE HEAVY AT
  TIMES. THE HEAVY SNOW MAY LAST INTO TUESDAY MORNING IN THE
  DENVER AREA...WHILE ON THE EASTERN PLAINS OF COLORADO THE SNOW
  MAY LAST UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 10
  INCHES...WITH UP TO 14 INCHES IN A BAND FROM DOUGLAS COUNTY TO
  BETWEEN LIMON AND AKRON. 

* WIND/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 40 MPH
  BY LATE TONIGHT. GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN AREAS
  EAST OF DENVER. VISIBILITIES WILL DROP TO NEAR ZERO IN OPEN
  AREAS.

* IMPACTS...POOR VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW MAY
  MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE IN OPEN AREAS. HEAVY SNOW
  AND DRIFTING WILL LIKELY BLOCK SOME ROADS. TRAVEL MAY BECOME
  DIFFICULT IN URBAN AREAS LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF
YOU MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET
STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

&&

$$

COZ043-162100-
/O.NEW.KBOU.BZ.W.0002.151117T0300Z-151117T2100Z/
CENTRAL AND SOUTH WELD COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EATON...FORT LUPTON...GREELEY...ROGGEN
557 AM MST MON NOV 16 2015

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM MST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM MST
TUESDAY. 

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND WILL BE HEAVY AT
  TIMES. THE SNOW WILL DIMINISH TUESDAY MORNING BUT STRONG WINDS
  AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE MUCH OF THE DAY. 


* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 10 INCHES...HEAVIEST IN FAR SOUTHERN
  WELD COUNTY.

* WIND/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 40 MPH
  BY LATE TONIGHT. GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. VISIBILITIES
  WILL DROP TO NEAR ZERO IN OPEN AREAS.

* IMPACTS...POOR VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW MAY
  MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE IN OPEN AREAS. HEAVY SNOW
  AND DRIFTING WILL LIKELY BLOCK SOME ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF
YOU MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET
STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

&&

$$

COZ033-034-162100-
/O.UPG.KBOU.WS.A.0011.151116T1500Z-151117T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KBOU.WS.W.0014.151116T1800Z-151117T1500Z/
SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/
NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST GRAND/WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST BOULDER/
GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/SUMMIT/NORTH AND WEST PARK COUNTIES ABOVE
9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMERON PASS...
LARAMIE AND MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS...RABBIT EARS RANGE...
ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK...WILLOW CREEK PASS...
BERTHOUD PASS...BRECKENRIDGE...EAST SLOPES MOSQUITO RANGE...
EAST SLOPES SOUTHERN GORE RANGE...EISENHOWER TUNNEL...
INDIAN PEAKS...KENOSHA MOUNTAINS...MOUNT EVANS...
WILLIAMS FORK MOUNTAINS...WINTER PARK
557 AM MST MON NOV 16 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM
MST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS
MORNING TO 8 AM MST TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP BY EARLY AFTERNOON AND THEN BECOME
  HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. SNOW WILL BEGIN DIMINISHING BY MIDDAY
  TUESDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...10 TO 20 INCHES OF NEW SNOW WILL BE
  POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* WIND/VISIBILITY...NORTHWEST WINDS AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
  TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...CAUSING SOME BLOWING SNOW AND
  VISIBILITIES RESTRICTED TO A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT AT TIMES DUE TO HEAVY 
  SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ON ROADWAYS AND POOR VISIBILITIES IN 
  BLOWING SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

COZ036-162100-
/O.UPG.KBOU.WS.A.0011.151117T0000Z-151117T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KBOU.WS.W.0014.151116T1800Z-151117T1500Z/
JEFFERSON AND WEST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET/GILPIN/CLEAR
CREEK/NORTHEAST PARK COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAILEY...CENTRAL CITY...EVERGREEN...
GEORGETOWN...IDAHO SPRINGS...WESTCREEK
557 AM MST MON NOV 16 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM
MST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS
MORNING TO 8 AM MST TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP BY EARLY AFTERNOON AND BE HEAVY AT
  TIMES OVERNIGHT. SNOW WILL BE DIMINISHING BY MID MORNING
  TUESDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 16 INCHES BY TUESDAY MORNING.

* WIND/VISIBILITY...NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 20 MPH WITH
  GUSTS TO 35 MPH. VISIBILITIES COULD DROP TO A QUARTER MILE OR
  LESS IN HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS BEFORE SUNRISE TUESDAY.

* IMPACTS...ROADWAYS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SNOW COVERED...
  POSSIBLY MAKING TRAVEL DIFFICULT LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY
  MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

COZ031-162100-
/O.UPG.KBOU.WS.A.0011.151116T1500Z-151117T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KBOU.WW.Y.0025.151116T1800Z-151117T1500Z/
WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
EAST SLOPES PARK AND NORTHERN GORE RANGES...GORE PASS...
RABBIT EARS PASS
557 AM MST MON NOV 16 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 AM MST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM MST TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP BY EARLY AFTERNOON AND THEN BECOME
  HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. SNOW WILL BEGIN DIMINISHING BY MIDDAY
  TUESDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 14 INCHES OF NEW SNOW WILL BE
  POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* WIND/VISIBILITY...NORTHWEST WINDS AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...CAUSING SOME BLOWING SNOW AND 
  VISIBILITIES RESTRICTED TO A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT AT TIMES DUE TO HEAVY 
  SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ON ROADWAYS AND POOR VISIBILITIES IN 
  BLOWING SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

COZ035-162100-
/O.NEW.KBOU.WW.Y.0025.151116T1800Z-151117T1500Z/
LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ESTES PARK...GLENDEVEY...NEDERLAND...
RED FEATHER LAKES
557 AM MST MON NOV 16 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 AM MST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM MST TUESDAY.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP BY EARLY AFTERNOON AND BE HEAVY AT
  TIMES OVERNIGHT. SNOW WILL BE DIMINISHING BY MID MORNING
  TUESDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 10 INCHES BY MIDDAY TUESDAY.

* WIND/VISIBILITY...NORTHWEST WINDS AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...CAUSING SOME BLOWING SNOW AND 
  VISIBILITIES RESTRICTED TO A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT AT TIMES DUE TO HEAVY 
  SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ON ROADWAYS AND POOR VISIBILITIES IN 
  BLOWING SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

COZ038-039-042-162100-
/O.NEW.KBOU.WW.Y.0025.151117T0300Z-151117T1500Z/
LARIMER COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-
BOULDER AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET/WEST BROOMFIELD
COUNTY-NORTHEAST WELD COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT COLLINS...HEREFORD...LOVELAND...
NUNN...ARVADA...BOULDER...GOLDEN...LAKEWOOD...LONGMONT...
BRIGGSDALE...GROVER...PAWNEE BUTTES...RAYMER...STONEHAM
557 AM MST MON NOV 16 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
8 AM MST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM MST TUESDAY.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND WILL BE HEAVY AT
  TIMES. THE SNOW WILL DIMINISH TUESDAY MORNING BUT STRONG WINDS
  AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE MUCH OF THE DAY. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES...HEAVIEST IN THE WESTERN
  SUBURBS OF DENVER.

* WIND/VISIBILITY...NORTH WINDS AT 15 TO 25 MPH NEAR THE
  FOOTHILLS. NORTH WINDS 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH IN
  NORTHERN PARTS OF WELD AND LARIMER COUNTIES. 

* IMPACTS...THERE WILL BE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW NEAR
  THE FOOTHILLS...WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FURTHER EAST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

COZ047-162100-
/O.NEW.KBOU.WW.Y.0025.151117T0300Z-151117T2100Z/
SOUTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/SOUTH LINCOLN COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORDER...KARVAL...KUTCH...PUNKIN CENTER
557 AM MST MON NOV 16 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
2 PM MST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM MST TUESDAY.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP BY LATE EVENING AND WILL BE HEAVY AT
  TIMES THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* WIND/VISIBILITY...NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 40 MPH BY
  LATE TONIGHT WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. NEAR ZERO VISIBILITIES ARE
  POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITH EXTENSIVE
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW PRODUCING LOW VISIBILITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

GIMMESTAD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this blizzard watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Denver/Boulder, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this blizzard watch went out at Nov 15, 3:10 PM MST, 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 15, 3:10 PM MST, 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
310 PM MST SUN NOV 15 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 310 PM MST SUN NOV 15 2015

UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT WILL AFFECT THE AREA THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
IS MOVING ONTO THE CALIFORNIA COAST. THIS LOW WILL MOVE EASTWARD
AND STRENGTHEN TONIGHT AND MONDAY. BY 00Z TUESDAY...THE LOW IS
EXPECTED TO BE CENTERED JUST EAST OF THE FOUR CORNER. GFS
CONTINUES TO BE AN OUTLIER. THIS TIME THE GFS SHOWS THE LOW
LIFTING NORTHEAST QUICKER THAN THE OTHER MODELS. FOR THE FORECAST
WILL FOLLOW THE ECMWF AND GEM.

LIFT AHEAD OF THE TROUGH WILL PUSH SNOW INTO THE MOUNTAINS LATE
TONIGHT/EARLY MONDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL PERSIST MUCH OF THE DAY IN
THE MOUNTAINS. WILL ISSUE A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE MOUNTAINS. A
COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE FRONT RANGE AND EASTERN
PLAINS DURING THE AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE SOME WEAK UPSLOPE
BEHIND THE FRONT...BUT THE MAIN FORCING WILL BE ALOFT FROM THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW. EXPECT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO INCREASE DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS ALONG THE FRONT RANGE AND ACROSS THE EASTERN
PLAINS. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AS RAIN ACROSS THE
LOWER ELEVATION BUT RAPIDLY TURN TO SNOW AS THE AIRMASS COOLS.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE REACHED LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON.
ONCE THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 310 PM MST SUN NOV 15 2015

US AND SURROUNDING NWS OFFICES AGREE THE GFS STORM TRACK IS TOO
FAR NORTH. OTHER MODELS SUCH AS ECMWF...NAM AND CANADIAN MODELS
INDICATE AN EASTERLY TRACK ACRS SOUTHEAST COLORADO MON NIGHT.
TROUGH REMAINS ESSENTIALLY UPRIGHT DURING ITS PASSAGE AND
THEREFORE THE MEAN LAYER FLOW OVER NORTHEAST COLORADO STAYS NORTH-
NORTHEASTERLY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF
UPSLOPE FLOW TO FOCUS PRECIPITATION UP AGAINST THE FRONT RANGE.
AS A CONSEQUENCE MODELS INDICATE A SNOW AND QPF MINIMA OVER
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE I-25 CORRIDOR AND JUST SOUTH OF THE
WYOMING BORDER. MAY SEE A REPEAT OF THE LAST STORM WHEN PLACES
LIKE FORT COLLINS...BOULDER AND LONGMONT ESCAPED WITH ONLY A FEW
INCHES OF SNOW. WHEREAS THIS NORTHERLY FLOW PROFILE BEST FAVORS
BIG SNOW ACCUMS OVER AND ALONG THE PALMER DIVIDE AS FAR EAST OF
NORTHERN LINCOLN AND SOUTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES. IN ADDITION...
STRONG NORTHERN FLOW ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE TROUGH WILL CERTAINLY
TRANSLATE INTO STRONG NORTHERLY SFC WINDS ESPECIALLY ON THE
PLAINS EAST OF THE I-25 URBAN CORRIDOR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MOST
OF TUE. FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE I-25 CORRIDOR NEAR THE
WYOMING LINE MAY ALSO EXPERIENCE STRONG NLY WINDS.

THEREFORE...HERE ARE THE FOLLOWING WINTER WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS THAT
WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY...A BLIZZARD WATCH STARTING AT 03Z/TUE FOR
THE PALMER DIVIDE ZONES 41 AND 46...AND ADJACENT ZONES 44..45 AND
49. WATCH WILL RUN UNTIL 21Z/TUE. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY
SNOWFALL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH REDUCING IN NEAR ZERO
VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW BASIS FOR THE WATCH.
NEXT...A WINTER STORM WATCH WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHERN FRONT
RANGE FOOTHILL ZONE 36 STARTING AT 00Z/TUE. THIS WATCH WILL RUN
UNTIL 15Z/TUE WITH SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO DROP OFF QUICKLY WITH
DEVELOPMENT OF GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY/DOWNSLOPE FLOW. LASTLY...THE
WINTER STORM WATCH ALREADY IN EFFECT AS OF 00Z/TUE FOR THE MTN
ZONES WILL ALSO EXPIRE AT 15Z/TUE. SHOULD SEE STEADY WEST-TO-EAST
IMPROVEMENT DURING THE DAY TUESDAY WITH THE UPPER LOW PICKING UP
SPEED AS IT TRACKS ACROSS KANSAS. HOWEVER IT MAY TAKE ALL DAY
BEFORE THE STRONG AND GUSTY NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS TAPER OFF ON THE
PLAINS.

LOOKING AHEAD TO THE REST OF THE WEEK...MODELS SHOW A LONG
NORTHWESTERLY FETCH OF MOISTURE FLOWING INTO THE NORTHERN MTNS
THROUGH THE PERIOD...POTENTIALLY RESULTING IN PERIODS OF LIGHT
SNOWFALL FOR THE HIGH COUNTRY. OTHERWISE EAST OF THE MTNS SHOULD
REMAIN GENERALLY DRY BUT WITH LITTLE DAY-TO-DAY MODERATION IN
TEMPERATURE.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 310 PM MST SUN NOV 15 2015

VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE THROUGH 18Z MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
PUSH THROUGH THE DENVER AREA AROUND 18Z. BEHIND THE FRONT...CLOUDS
WILL LOWER WITH CEILINGS 3000 TO 6000 FEET BETWEEN 18Z AND 00Z
TUESDAY. RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER 21Z...RAIN WILL
CHANGE TO SNOW AFTER 00Z. THIS UPCOMING STORM IS LOOKING SIMILAR
TO THE LAST ONE WITH 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED AT THE DENVER
AIRPORTS. HEAVIER SNOW IS EXPECTED TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE
DENVER AREA.

&&

.BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BLIZZARD WATCH FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR
COZ041-044>046-049.

WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING
FOR COZ031-033-034.

WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING
FOR COZ036.

&&

SHORT TERM...MEIER
LONG TERM...BAKER
AVIATION...MEIER
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 15, 11:04 AM MST, 4 hours 32 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
1104 AM MST SUN NOV 15 2015

COZ030>051-161815-
JACKSON COUNTY BELOW 9000 FEET-
WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
GRAND AND SUMMIT COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-
SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/
NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST GRAND/WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST BOULDER/
GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/SUMMIT/NORTH AND WEST PARK COUNTIES ABOVE
9000 FEET-LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET-
JEFFERSON AND WEST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET/GILPIN/CLEAR
CREEK/NORTHEAST PARK COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PARK COUNTY-
LARIMER COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-
BOULDER AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET/WEST BROOMFIELD
COUNTY-
NORTH DOUGLAS COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND
ARAPAHOE COUNTIES/EAST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-
ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET-
NORTHEAST WELD COUNTY-CENTRAL AND SOUTH WELD COUNTY-MORGAN COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EAST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES-
NORTH AND NORTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-
SOUTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/SOUTH LINCOLN COUNTY-
LOGAN COUNTY-WASHINGTON COUNTY-SEDGWICK COUNTY-PHILLIPS COUNTY-
1104 AM MST SUN NOV 15 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL
COLORADO.

...HAZARDOUS WINTER TRAVEL CONDITIONS PROBABLE FROM MONDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

RAIN AND SNOW IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGH
VALLEYS OF NORTH CENTRAL COLORADO MONDAY MORNING AND THEN CHANGE
OVER TO ALL SNOW IN MOST AREAS DURING THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED
SHOWERS MAY ALSO MOVE OFF THE FRONT RANGE AND ONTO THE PLAINS
DURING THE AFTERNOON ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD FOR THE MOST
PART BE TOO WARM FOR SNOW. MONDAY NIGHT AS THE STORM SYSTEM
PASSES OVER COLORADO...SNOW WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA...WITH SNOWFALL POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES IN THE
MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS ALONG THE PALMER DIVIDE TO THE SOUTH AND
EAST OF THE DENVER METRO AREA. IN ADDITION...STRONG NORTHERLY
WINDS DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT COULD CREATE NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS OVER THE PALMER DIVIDE AND ALONG THE INTERSTATE 70
CORRIDOR EAST OF DENVER THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THE MOUNTAIN AREAS ROUGHLY WEST OF THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE ON TUESDAY...BUT QUICKLY DIMINISH FROM WEST TO
EAST ON THE PLAINS THROUGH THE DAY.

SNOWFALL TOTALS BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL VARY WIDELY FROM LESS
THAN A COUPLE INCHES NEAR THE BORDER OF SOUTHEAST WYOMING...TO AS
MUCH AS 8-16 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS AND OVER PORTIONS OF THE
PALMER DIVIDE. LOOKING AHEAD...SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
LINGER OFF AND ON IN THE MOUNTAINS THROUGH SATURDAY...WHILE LOWER
ELEVATIONS SHOULD GENERALLY BE DRY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

MEIER/BAKER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Denver/Boulder, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 15, 3:36 PM MSTWinter Storm WatchBOUBoulder, Clear Creek, Douglas, Gilpin, Grand, Jackson and 4 more14 hr

Nearby

Blizzard Watches in Colorado, 2015Every blizzard watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.