Alert archive / Alabama / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 3, NWS Birmingham, AL

January 2, 2015Greene County, Hale County, Marengo County, Alabama

NWS Birmingham, AL issued this river flood warning at Jan 2, 2015, 10:42 AM CST for Greene County, Hale County, Marengo County, Alabama. It took effect at Jan 4, 2015, 8:04 AM CST. It was in force for 8 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 2, 2015, 10:42 AM CST (16:42 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 4, 2015, 8:04 AM CST
Expired
Jan 11, 2015, 11:20 PM CST
In force
8 days
Issued by
NWS Birmingham, AL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Marengo County, AL

The radar

The Birmingham radar (KBMX), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Black Warrior River below Selden Dam (WLDA1).

Action stage
90 ft
Minor stage
90 ft
Moderate stage
102 ft
Major stage
105 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02466030, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

586 
WGUS44 KBMX 021642
FLWBMX


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 
1042 AM CST FRI JAN 2 2015

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM AL HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA... 

  TOMBIGBEE RIVER AT BEVILL LOCK AND DAM AFFECTING GREENE...HALE...
  MARENGO...PICKENS AND SUMTER COUNTIES.
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER AT DEMOPOLIS LOCK AND DAM AFFECTING GREENE...
  HALE...MARENGO AND SUMTER COUNTIES.
  BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN LOCK AND DAM AFFECTING GREENE...HALE 
  AND MARENGO COUNTIES.

.HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER COMING DAYS WILL SEND SEVERAL RIVERS INTO
MINOR FLOOD STAGE THROUGH EARLY AND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. STORM TOTAL 
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE BETWEEN 2 AND 3 INCHES AREAWIDE...IN ADDITION 
TO WHAT HAS ALREADY FALLEN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY FRIDAY EVENING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC063-065-091-107-119-030442-
/O.NEW.KBMX.FL.W.0001.150104T1525Z-000000T0000Z/
/AVLA1.1.ER.150104T1525Z.150105T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1042 AM CST FRI JAN 2 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM AL HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER AT BEVILL LOCK AND DAM.
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 112.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 122.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 125.4 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.


&&

LAT...LON 3321 8827 3307 8816 3287 8813 3285 8822
          3301 8825 3320 8832         

$$

ALC063-065-091-119-030442-
/O.NEW.KBMX.FL.W.0002.150106T0945Z-000000T0000Z/
/DLDA1.1.ER.150106T0945Z.150107T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1042 AM CST FRI JAN 2 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM AL HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER AT DEMOPOLIS LOCK AND DAM.
* FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 55.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 68.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 70.6 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.


&&

LAT...LON 3252 8782 3225 8790 3201 8806 3201 8816
          3241 8809 3253 8790         

$$

ALC063-065-091-030442-
/O.NEW.KBMX.FL.W.0003.150105T0520Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLDA1.1.ER.150105T0520Z.150107T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1042 AM CST FRI JAN 2 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM AL HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN LOCK AND DAM.
* FROM SUNDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 83.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 90.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 93.8 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 94.0 FEET...SOME SECONDARY ROADS IN THE AREA BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD. FLOODING OF FARM AND PASTURE LANDS CONTINUES. 

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
15 follow-up statements
946 
WGUS84 KBMX 030149
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
749 PM CST FRI JAN 2 2015


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN 
LOCK AND DAM...

.HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND. 
AN ADDITIONAL 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER THE AREA AND 
MINOR FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ON AREA RIVERS THROUGH THE EARLY TO 
MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. THIS STATEMENT REVISES THE TIMING OF 
REACHING FLOOD STAGE AT SELDEN LOCK AND DAM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY SATURDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC063-065-091-031349-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0003.150104T0916Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLDA1.1.ER.150104T0916Z.150107T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
749 PM CST FRI JAN 2 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN LOCK AND DAM.
* FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE 
  WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 83.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 90.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 93.7 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 
  ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 94.0 FEET...SOME SECONDARY ROADS IN THE AREA BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD. FLOODING OF FARM AND PASTURE LANDS CONTINUES. 

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
342 
WGUS84 KBMX 031619
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1019 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN 
LOCK AND DAM...

.HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND. 
AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED OVER THE AREA AND 
MINOR FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG AREA RIVERS THROUGH THE EARLY TO 
MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY SATURDAY EVENING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC063-065-091-040419-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0003.150104T2207Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLDA1.1.ER.150104T2207Z.150107T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1019 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN LOCK AND DAM.
* FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:15 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 84.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 90.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON  AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 94.5 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 94.0 FEET...SOME SECONDARY ROADS IN THE AREA BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD. FLOODING OF FARM AND PASTURE LANDS CONTINUES. 

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
953 
WGUS84 KBMX 040141
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
741 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2015


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN 
LOCK AND DAM...

.HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. 
AN ADDITIONAL INCH AND A HALF OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER THE AREA AND 
MINOR FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG AREA RIVERS THROUGH THE EARLY TO 
MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY SUNDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC063-065-091-041341-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0003.150104T2248Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLDA1.1.ER.150104T2248Z.150108T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
741 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN LOCK AND DAM.
* FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:15 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 85.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 90.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 96.4 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 98.0 FEET...SOME CABINS AND TRAILERS ALONG THE RIVER 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
086 
WGUS84 KBMX 041226
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
626 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2015


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN 
LOCK AND DAM...

.EVEN THOUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE RAIN HAS PASSED...RISES WILL CONTINUE ALONG
THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY SUNDAY EVENING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC063-065-091-050026-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0003.150104T1404Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLDA1.1.ER.150104T1404Z.150108T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
626 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN LOCK AND DAM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 89.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 90.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 99.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 98.0 FEET...SOME CABINS AND TRAILERS ALONG THE RIVER 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
883 
WGUS84 KBMX 041705
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1105 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2015


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT HOLT 
LOCK AND DAM...


.HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS HAS SENT THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER 
INTO MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY SUNDAY EVENING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC063-065-091-125-050505-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150106T1510Z/
/TCLA1.1.ER.150104T1727Z.150105T0000Z.150106T0310Z.NO/
1105 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT HOLT LOCK AND DAM.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 138.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 140.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 142.7 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE EVENING .

&&

LAT...LON 3324 8744 3321 8752 3320 8759 3322 8759
          3326 8751 3327 8745         

$$

ALC063-065-091-119-125-050505-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150107T1236Z/
/TODA1.1.ER.150104T1536Z.150105T1800Z.150107T0036Z.NO/
1105 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT OLIVER LOCK AND DAM.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 129.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 129.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 136.9 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON . THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  TUESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 135.0 FEET...NUMEROUS CAMPHOUSES AND SOME PERMANENT 
  RESIDENCES SOUTHWEST OF TUSCALOOSA BECOME CUTOFF.

&&

LAT...LON 3320 8759 3308 8756 3277 8782 3281 8789
          3321 8769 3322 8759         

$$

ALC063-065-091-050505-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLDA1.1.ER.150104T1423Z.150108T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1105 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN LOCK AND DAM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 90.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 90.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 100.0 FEET BY 
  EARLY THURSDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 102.0 FEET...RESIDENTIAL FLOODING BEGINS IN THE AREA. 
  NUMEROUS CABINS AND TRAILERS IN HALE AND GREENE COUNTIES BECOME 
  FLOODED.

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
940 
WGUS84 KBMX 041940
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
140 PM CST SUN JAN 4 2015


...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT
HOLT LOCK AND DAM...
...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT
OLIVER LOCK AND DAM...
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN 
LOCK AND DAM...

.HEAVY RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED SINCE THURSDAY...AND A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS
IN EFFECT FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY MONDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC063-065-091-125-050740-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150106T1035Z/
/TCLA1.1.ER.150104T2122Z.150105T0600Z.150105T2235Z.NO/
140 PM CST SUN JAN 4 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT HOLT LOCK AND DAM.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 138.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 140.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 142.9 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT . THE
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON .


&&

LAT...LON 3324 8744 3321 8752 3320 8759 3322 8759
          3326 8751 3327 8745         

$$

ALC063-065-091-119-125-050740-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150107T2018Z/
/TODA1.1.ER.150104T1536Z.150105T1800Z.150107T0818Z.NO/
140 PM CST SUN JAN 4 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT OLIVER LOCK AND DAM.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 129.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 129.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 136.6 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON . THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 135.0 FEET...NUMEROUS CAMPHOUSES AND SOME PERMANENT 
  RESIDENCES SOUTHWEST OF TUSCALOOSA BECOME CUTOFF.

&&

LAT...LON 3320 8759 3308 8756 3277 8782 3281 8789
          3321 8769 3322 8759         

$$

ALC063-065-091-050740-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLDA1.1.ER.150104T1423Z.150108T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
140 PM CST SUN JAN 4 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN LOCK AND DAM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 91.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 90.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 100.0 FEET BY 
  THURSDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 102.0 FEET...RESIDENTIAL FLOODING BEGINS IN THE AREA. 
  NUMEROUS CABINS AND TRAILERS IN HALE AND GREENE COUNTIES BECOME 
  FLOODED.

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
368 
WGUS84 KBMX 050153
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
753 PM CST SUN JAN 4 2015


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LOCUST FORK AT SAYRE...
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN 
AND OLIVER LOCK AND DAM...

.HEAVY RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED SINCE THURSDAY...AND A FLOOD WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY MONDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC073-125-127-051353-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0011.150105T1138Z-150106T0045Z/
/SAYA1.1.ER.150105T1138Z.150105T1200Z.150105T1245Z.NO/
753 PM CST SUN JAN 4 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LOCUST FORK AT SAYRE.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO MONDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  7:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW  AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 25.1 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING . THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING .
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW LYING WOOD LANDS AND 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS ALONG THE LOCUST FORK OCCURS. 

&&

LAT...LON 3371 8694 3358 8705 3345 8733 3348 8737
          3362 8714 3373 8698         

$$

ALC063-065-091-119-125-051353-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150106T1236Z/
/TODA1.1.ER.150104T1536Z.150105T1200Z.150106T0036Z.NO/
753 PM CST SUN JAN 4 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT OLIVER LOCK AND DAM.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 130.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 129.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 131.5 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING . THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW 
  EVENING .
* IMPACT...AT 132.0 FEET...FLOODING OF RURAL ROADS SOUTHWEST OF 
  TUSCALOOSA OCCURS.

&&

LAT...LON 3320 8759 3308 8756 3277 8782 3281 8789
          3321 8769 3322 8759         

$$

ALC063-065-091-051353-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLDA1.1.ER.150104T1423Z.150107T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
753 PM CST SUN JAN 4 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN LOCK AND DAM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 92.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 90.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 98.4 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 98.0 FEET...SOME CABINS AND TRAILERS ALONG THE RIVER 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
629 
WGUS84 KBMX 051444
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
844 AM CST MON JAN 5 2015


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN 
LOCK AND DAM...

.HEAVY RAINFALL THIS PAST WEEKEND CONTINUES TO PRODUCE RIVER FLOODING 
FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN LOCK AND DAM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY TUESDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC063-065-091-060244-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150109T0900Z/
/WLDA1.1.ER.150104T1423Z.150106T1800Z.150108T2100Z.NO/
844 AM CST MON JAN 5 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN LOCK AND DAM.
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 95.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 90 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 97.0 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 98 FEET...SOME CABINS AND TRAILERS ALONG THE RIVER 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
713 
WGUS84 KBMX 060155
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
755 PM CST MON JAN 5 2015


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN 
LOCK AND DAM...

.RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL HAS CAUSED RISES ON THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER...
AND A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES...AND IS EXTENDED...FOR THE BLACK
WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN LOCK AND DAM.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY TUESDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC063-065-091-061355-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150109T1127Z/
/WLDA1.1.ER.150104T1423Z.150107T0000Z.150108T2327Z.NO/
755 PM CST MON JAN 5 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN LOCK AND DAM.
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 96.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 90.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 97.3 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING . THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 98.0 FEET...SOME CABINS AND TRAILERS ALONG THE RIVER 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
196 
WGUS84 KBMX 061420
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
820 AM CST TUE JAN 6 2015


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN 
LOCK AND DAM...

.HEAVY RAINFALL THIS PAST WEEKEND CONTINUES TO PRODUCE FLOODING
AT SELDEN LOCK AND DAM AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC063-065-091-070220-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150109T1509Z/
/WLDA1.1.ER.150104T1423Z.150106T1315Z.150109T0309Z.NO/
820 AM CST TUE JAN 6 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN LOCK AND DAM.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:15 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 96.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 90.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THURSDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 98.0 FEET...SOME CABINS AND TRAILERS ALONG THE RIVER 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
525 
WGUS84 KBMX 071353
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
753 AM CST WED JAN 7 2015

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN 
LOCK AND DAM...

.THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER HAS BEGUN TO FALL AT THE SELDEN LOCK AND 
DAM...AND THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THURSDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC063-065-091-080153-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150110T0136Z/
/WLDA1.1.ER.150104T1423Z.150107T0400Z.150109T1336Z.NO/
753 AM CST WED JAN 7 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT THE SELDEN LOCK AND DAM.
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 96.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 90 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND IS NOW FALLING...AND WILL
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 98 FEET...SOME CABINS AND TRAILERS ALONG THE RIVER 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD. AT 94 FEET...SOME SECONDARY ROADS IN THE AREA BEGIN 
  TO FLOOD. FLOODING OF FARM AND PASTURE LANDS WILL CONTINUE. 

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
057 
WGUS84 KBMX 080116
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
716 PM CST WED JAN 7 2015


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN 
LOCK AND DAM...

.THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER CONTINUES TO FALL FALL AT THE SELDEN LOCK AND 
DAM...AND THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT FEW DAYS. FLOODING WILL 
CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THURSDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC063-065-091-081316-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150110T0508Z/
/WLDA1.1.ER.150104T1423Z.150107T0400Z.150109T1708Z.NO/
716 PM CST WED JAN 7 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN LOCK AND DAM.
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 96.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 90.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 94.0 FEET...SOME SECONDARY ROADS IN THE AREA BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD. FLOODING OF FARM AND PASTURE LANDS CONTINUES. 

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
727 
WGUS84 KBMX 081451
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
851 AM CST THU JAN 8 2015


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN 
LOCK AND DAM...

.LEVELS ARE NOW FALLING ON THE LOWER BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN
LOCK AND DAM...AND THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY FRIDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC063-065-091-090251-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150110T0750Z/
/WLDA1.1.ER.150104T1423Z.150107T0400Z.150109T1950Z.NO/
851 AM CST THU JAN 8 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN LOCK AND DAM.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 94.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 90 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH CONTINUED FALLING LEVELS AFTER THAT TIME.
* IMPACT...AT 940 FEET...SOME SECONDARY ROADS IN THE AREA FLOOD. 
  FLOODING OF FARM AND PASTURE LANDS WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT COUPLE OF 
  DAYS. 

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
070 
WGUS84 KBMX 090137
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
737 PM CST THU JAN 8 2015


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN 
LOCK AND DAM...

.LEVELS ARE NOW FALLING ON THE LOWER BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN
LOCK AND DAM...AND THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY FRIDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC063-065-091-091337-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150109T2024Z/
/WLDA1.1.ER.150104T1423Z.150107T0400Z.150109T0824Z.NO/
737 PM CST THU JAN 8 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN LOCK AND DAM.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 91.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 90.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 90.0 FEET...PASTURE AND WOOD LANDS BEGIN TO FLOOD. 
  LIVESTOCK SHOULD BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND AT STAGES ABOVE 90 FEET.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$
036 
WGUS84 KBMX 091455
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
855 AM CST FRI JAN 9 2015


...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT 
SELDEN LOCK AND DAM...

.LEVELS HAVE FALLEN BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT SELDEN LOCK AND DAM...AND
THE FLOOD WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

THIS WILL BE THE LAST STATEMENT ISSUED ON THIS EVENT.

&&

ALC063-065-091-091525-
/O.CAN.KBMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150109T2024Z/
/WLDA1.1.ER.150104T1423Z.150107T0400Z.150109T0834Z.NO/
855 AM CST FRI JAN 9 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN LOCK AND DAM.
* AT 8:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 88.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 900 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 2:34 AM FRIDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
* IMPACT...AT 90 FEET...PASTURE AND WOOD LANDS BEGIN TO FLOOD. 
  LIVESTOCK SHOULD BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND AT STAGES ABOVE 90 FEET.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8782 3256 8769 3251 8782 3262 8784
          3273 8790 3281 8789         

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Birmingham, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 2, 10:18 AM CST, 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 2, 10:18 AM CST, 24 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1018 AM CST FRI JAN 2 2015

.UPDATE...
MORNING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE LOW IS LOCATED JUST OFF THE LOUISIANA GULF COAST AS A
CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW PIVOTS ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. A WARM
FRONT STRETCHES FROM WEST TO EAST ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
WITH AN AMPLE SUPPLY OF ISENTROPIC ASCENT ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST.
LOOKING BACK TO THE WEST...SHOWERS ARE A BIT MORE SCATTERED AND
HI-RES MODELS INDICATE LESS COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON AS WELL.
THEREFORE...BACKED OFF SLIGHTLY ON COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON BUT
NUMEROUS SHOWERS ARE STILL EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHERN
2/3 RD'S OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE
ON TRACK WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S UNDER
RAINY AND CLOUDY CONDITIONS.

05/MA

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

BESIDES THE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE NORTHERN TAF
SITES...CONDITIONS ARE NOT THAT BAD...YET. THIS WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE TO CHANGE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS CEILINGS WILL DROP TO
IFR CONDITIONS AFTER 20Z WEST AND 06Z SOUTH AND STAY THAT WAY
THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST...MAYBE EVEN THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
WENT AHEAD AND DROPPED ALL SITES TO MVFR FOR THE MORNING ACROSS
THE NORTH AS THE HEAVIER SHOWERS WILL DROP BIS TO 2 TO ISM.

16

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 419 AM CST FRI JAN 2 2015/

SEVERAL MORE WAVES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT CENTRAL ALABAMA
TODAY...ESPECIALLY THE NORTHERN HALF. TEMPERATURES ARE PROBABLY
NOW AT THEIR LOWEST POINT THEY WILL BE UNTIL SUNDAY NIGHT. MODELS
ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR IN SUGGESTING A BIT OF A LULL IN THE RAIN AT
SOME POINT TONIGHT AND/OR EARLY SATURDAY.

AT THAT TIME...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW NOW OVER THE SOUTHWEST STATES
WILL BE SWINGING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO
VALLEYS...HELPING TO PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH ALABAMA. MODELS
CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S BY THE TIME THE
FRONT ARRIVES...LEADING TO A BIT OF SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY.
THERE IS STILL AN OUTSIDE CHANCE THAT A FEW STRONG STORMS COULD
GET UP INTO OUR CWA...BUT THE BEST SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL
ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE SHOULD REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST.

ONCE THE COLD FRONT GOES THROUGH...THINGS SHOULD CLEAR OUT FAIRLY
QUICKLY AND CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN FREE FROM RAIN THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE 7 DAY FORECAST PERIOD. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE
ADVERTISING A RATHER COLD AIR MASS TO SLIDE DOWN EAST OF THE
ROCKIES AND AFFECT THE EASTERN STATES THE MIDDLE TO THE END OF
NEXT WEEK. MOISTURE IS VERY LIMITED WITH THIS ARCTIC FRONT...SO NO
PRECIPITATION ISSUES ARE ANTICIPATED. BUT WITH A 1055+ MB HIGH
FORECASTED BY BOTH MODELS...CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT WE MAY
BE IN FOR A SIGNIFICANT HARD FREEZE COME NEXT WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. I'VE HEDGED TOWARD THIS POSSIBILITY BY UNDERCUTTING MOS
TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE BY SEVERAL DEGREES. BUT IF THE PATTERN
FORECAST BY THE LONG RANGE MODELS VERIFIES...THEN SEVERAL DEGREES
MAY NOT BE NEARLY ENOUGH. STAY TUNED.

/61/

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 2, 5:50 AM CST, 4 hours 52 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
550 AM CST FRI JAN 2 2015

ALZ011>015-017>050-031200-
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-CHEROKEE-
CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-TALLADEGA-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-
CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-MONTGOMERY-MACON-
BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
550 AM CST FRI JAN 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING WILL LIKELY
DROP INTO THE LOW TO MID TEENS. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR A HARD
FREEZE AREAWIDE.

IN ADDITION TO THE COLD...EXTREMELY DRY AIR WILL RESULT IN LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND AN INCREASE IN CRITICAL FIRE
CONDITIONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Birmingham, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 2, 10:42 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXGreene, Hale, Marengo, Pickens, Sumter9 days
Jan 2, 10:42 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXGreene, Hale, Marengo, Sumter11 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.