Alert archive / North Dakota / Red Flag Warnings in 2015

Red Flag Warning 7, NWS Bismarck, ND

April 12, 201526 counties in North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this red flag warning at Apr 12, 2015, 2:58 AM MDT for 26 counties in North Dakota. It took effect at Apr 12, 2015, 10:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 11 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 12, 2015, 2:58 AM MDT (08:58 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 12, 2015, 10:00 AM MDT
Expired
Apr 12, 2015, 9:00 PM MDT
In force
11 hr
Issued by
NWS Bismarck, ND
All 26 counties

Adams County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, McLean County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Morton County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Wells County, ND

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 32 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 37 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2015-04-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2015-04-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 68 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3533 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
161 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

701 
WWUS83 KBIS 120858
RFWBIS

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
358 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING FOR
MOST OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

.THE RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS SOUTH AND WEST OF
THE MISSOURI RIVER...AS WELL AS THE COUNTIES ALONG AND SOUTH OF
HIGHWAY 200 FROM MCLEAN COUNTY TO CARRINGTON.

THIS AREA SHOULD SEE HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S TO MID 60S WITH
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 TO 25 PERCENT...AS WELL AS
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH. HIGHER GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL CREATE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID
FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE.

WARM...DRY...AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...WITH POTENTIAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS EACH DAY.

NDZ009>011-121000-
/O.CAN.KBIS.FW.A.0006.150412T1600Z-150413T0300Z/
WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
358 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2015

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS CANCELLED THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH.

ALTHOUGH NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...THESE
COUNTIES WILL SEE HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 25 TO 35 PERCENT
WITH CHANCES OF SCATTERED SHOWERS.

$$

NDZ017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-121700-
/O.UPG.KBIS.FW.A.0006.150412T1600Z-150413T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KBIS.FW.W.0007.150412T1600Z-150413T0300Z/
MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-
GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-STUTSMAN-
SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-
MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
358 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2015 /258 AM MDT SUN APR 12 2015/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ THIS
MORNING TO 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR THE SOUTHERN TWO
THIRDS OF COUNTIES IN WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY
FUELS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ THIS MORNING
TO 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS
BEEN UPGRADED TO A WARNING AND THE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 017 MCKENZIE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 018 DUNN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 019 MERCER...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 020 OLIVER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 021 MCLEAN...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 022 SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 023 WELLS...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 025 FOSTER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 031 GOLDEN VALLEY...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 032 BILLINGS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 033 STARK...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 034 MORTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 035 BURLEIGH...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 036 KIDDER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 037 
  STUTSMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 040 SLOPE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 
  HETTINGER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 042 GRANT...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  043 BOWMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 044 ADAMS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  045 SIOUX...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 046 EMMONS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  047 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 048 LA MOURE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  050 MCINTOSH AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 051 DICKEY.

* WINDS...WEST 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TIMING...SUNDAY LATE MORNING THROUGH THE EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...15 TO 25 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

* LIGHTNING...ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING NORTHWEST SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

JV
4 follow-up statements
299 
WWUS83 KBIS 121507
RFWBIS

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1007 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING FOR MOST OF WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

.THE RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS SOUTH AND WEST
OF THE MISSOURI RIVER...AS WELL AS THE COUNTIES ALONG AND SOUTH
OF HIGHWAY 200 FROM MCLEAN COUNTY TO CARRINGTON.

THIS AREA SHOULD SEE HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S TO MID 60S WITH
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 TO 25 PERCENT...AS WELL AS
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH. HIGHER GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL CREATE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID
FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE.

WARM...DRY...AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...WITH POTENTIAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS EACH DAY.

NDZ017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-122315-
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0007.150412T1600Z-150413T0300Z/
MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-
GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-STUTSMAN-
SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-
MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
1007 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2015 /907 AM MDT SUN APR 12 2015/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY
FUELS FOR THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF COUNTIES IN WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 017 MCKENZIE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 018 DUNN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 019 MERCER...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 020 OLIVER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 021 MCLEAN...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 022 SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 023 WELLS...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 025 FOSTER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 031 GOLDEN VALLEY...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 032 BILLINGS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 033 STARK...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 034 MORTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 035 BURLEIGH...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 036 KIDDER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 037 
  STUTSMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 040 SLOPE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 
  HETTINGER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 042 GRANT...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  043 BOWMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 044 ADAMS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  045 SIOUX...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 046 EMMONS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  047 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 048 LA MOURE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  050 MCINTOSH AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 051 DICKEY.

* WINDS...WEST 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TIMING...SUNDAY THROUGH THE EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 18 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

* LIGHTNING...ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING NORTHWEST SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$
WAA
609 
WWUS83 KBIS 121759
RFWBIS

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1259 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING FOR MOST OF WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR ALL OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA MONDAY...

.THE RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS SOUTH AND WEST
OF THE MISSOURI RIVER...AS WELL AS THE COUNTIES ALONG AND SOUTH
OF HIGHWAY 200 FROM MCLEAN COUNTY TO CARRINGTON.

THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

SUNDAY SHOULD SEE HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S TO MID 60S WITH
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 TO 25 PERCENT...AS WELL AS
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH. HIGHER GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL CREATE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID
FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE.

ON MONDAY...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AS LOW AS 15 PERCENT OVER ALL OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND WILL
CREATE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD SHOULD A FIRE
IGNITE.

WARM...DRY...AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY...
WITH POTENTIAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AGAIN.

NDZ019>023-025-034>037-042-045>048-050-051-130200-
/O.NEW.KBIS.FW.A.0007.150413T1700Z-150414T0100Z/
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150413T0300Z/
MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-GRANT-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
1259 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2015 /1159 AM MDT SUN APR 12 2015/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY
FUELS FOR THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF COUNTIES IN WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY
FUELS FOR ALL OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY
FUELS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 019 MERCER...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 020 OLIVER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 021 MCLEAN...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 022 SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 023 WELLS...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 025 FOSTER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 034 MORTON...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 035 BURLEIGH...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 036 KIDDER...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 037 STUTSMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 042 GRANT...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 045 SIOUX...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 046 EMMONS...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 047 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 048 LA MOURE...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 050 MCINTOSH AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 051 DICKEY.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* TIMING...SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE
  EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 16 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE 60S.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$

NDZ017-018-031>033-040-041-043-044-130200-
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150413T0300Z/
MCKENZIE-DUNN-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-SLOPE-HETTINGER-BOWMAN-
ADAMS-
1259 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2015 /1159 AM MDT SUN APR 12 2015/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY
FUELS FOR THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF COUNTIES IN WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 017 MCKENZIE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 018 DUNN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 031 GOLDEN VALLEY...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 032 BILLINGS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 033 STARK...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 040 SLOPE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 HETTINGER...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 043 BOWMAN AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 044 ADAMS.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TIMING...SUNDAY THROUGH THE EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 16 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE 55 TO 65.

* LIGHTNING...ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING NORTHWEST SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

NDZ003>005-011>013-130200-
/O.NEW.KBIS.FW.A.0007.150413T1700Z-150414T0100Z/
RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WARD-MCHENRY-PIERCE-
1259 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2015

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY
FUELS FOR ALL OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY
FUELS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 RENVILLE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 004 BOTTINEAU...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 005 ROLETTE...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 011 WARD...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 012 MCHENRY AND FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 013 PIERCE.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 35 MPH.

* TIMING...MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 17 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$
WAA
822 
WWUS83 KBIS 130017
RFWBIS

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
717 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING FOR MOST OF WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... 

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR ALL OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA MONDAY...

.THE RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS SOUTH AND WEST
OF THE MISSOURI RIVER...AS WELL AS THE COUNTIES ALONG AND SOUTH
OF HIGHWAY 200 FROM MCLEAN TO FOSTER COUNTY AND SOUTH THROUGH 9
PM CDT...8 PM MDT. OVERALL...CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE
THROUGH THE EVENING WITH THE APPROACH OF SUNSET AND RELATIVE
HUMIDITY RECOVERY AND DECREASING WINDS.

THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25
TO 35 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY AS LOW AS 15 PERCENT WILL CREATE
CONDITIONS FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE.

WARM...DRY...AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY...
WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN POSSIBLE. 

NDZ019>023-025-034>037-042-045>048-050-051-130830-
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150413T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.A.0007.150413T1700Z-150414T0100Z/
MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-GRANT-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
717 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2015 /617 PM MDT SUN APR 12 2015/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY
FUELS FOR THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF COUNTIES IN WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AND DRY FUELS FOR ALL OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 019 MERCER...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 020 OLIVER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 021 MCLEAN...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 022 SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 023 WELLS...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 025 FOSTER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 034 MORTON...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 035 BURLEIGH...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 036 KIDDER...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 037 STUTSMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 042 GRANT...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 045 SIOUX...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 046 EMMONS...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 047 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 048 LA MOURE...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 050 MCINTOSH AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 051 DICKEY.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH SUNDAY EVENING. WEST TO NORTHWEST 25
  TO 35 MPH MONDAY.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING AND AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON
  THROUGH THE EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 17 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...50S SUNDAY EVENING...UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S
  MONDAY. 

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$

NDZ017-018-031>033-040-041-043-044-130300-
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150413T0300Z/
MCKENZIE-DUNN-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-SLOPE-HETTINGER-BOWMAN-
ADAMS-
717 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2015 /617 PM MDT SUN APR 12 2015/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY
FUELS FOR THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF COUNTIES IN WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 017 MCKENZIE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 018 DUNN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 031 GOLDEN VALLEY...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 032 BILLINGS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 033 STARK...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 040 SLOPE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 HETTINGER...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 043 BOWMAN AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 044 ADAMS.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 18 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE 50S.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

NDZ003>005-011>013-130830-
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.A.0007.150413T1700Z-150414T0100Z/
RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WARD-MCHENRY-PIERCE-
717 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2015

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AND DRY FUELS FOR ALL OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 RENVILLE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 004 BOTTINEAU...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 005 ROLETTE...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 011 WARD...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 012 MCHENRY AND FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 013 PIERCE.

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 25 TO 35 MPH.

* TIMING...MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 19 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$
734 
WWUS83 KBIS 130249
RFWBIS

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
949 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2015

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR ALL OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA MONDAY...

.WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY AS
LOW AS 15 PERCENT WILL CREATE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND
SPREAD SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA ON MONDAY.
WARM...DRY...AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY...
WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN POSSIBLE.

NDZ019>023-025-034>037-042-045>048-050-051-131100-
/O.EXP.KBIS.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150413T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.A.0007.150413T1700Z-150414T0100Z/
MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-GRANT-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
949 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2015 /849 PM MDT SUN APR 12 2015/

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AND DRY FUELS FOR ALL OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 019 MERCER...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 020 OLIVER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 021 MCLEAN...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 022 SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 023 WELLS...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 025 FOSTER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 034 MORTON...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 035 BURLEIGH...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 036 KIDDER...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 037 STUTSMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 042 GRANT...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 045 SIOUX...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 046 EMMONS...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 047 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 048 LA MOURE...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 050 MCINTOSH AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 051 DICKEY.

* WINDS...WEST 25 TO 35 MPH.

* TIMING...MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 15 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$

NDZ017-018-031>033-040-041-043-044-130400-
/O.EXP.KBIS.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150413T0300Z/
MCKENZIE-DUNN-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-SLOPE-HETTINGER-BOWMAN-
ADAMS-
949 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2015 /849 PM MDT SUN APR 12 2015/

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS
FOR THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF COUNTIES IN WESTERN AND CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...

WARM...DRY...AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TUESDAY...WITH
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN POSSIBLE.

$$

NDZ003>005-011>013-131100-
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.A.0007.150413T1700Z-150414T0100Z/
RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WARD-MCHENRY-PIERCE-
949 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2015

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AND DRY FUELS FOR ALL OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 RENVILLE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 004 BOTTINEAU...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 005 ROLETTE...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 011 WARD...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 012 MCHENRY AND FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 013 PIERCE.

* WINDS...WEST 25 TO 35 MPH.

* TIMING...MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 15 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$

AYD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Apr 12, 2:41 AM MDT, 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 12, 2:41 AM MDT, 17 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
341 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 340 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2015

...ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH TUESDAY...

MAIN CONCERN FOR THE SHORT TERM INCLUDE STRONG WINDS AND THE FIRE
WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR TODAY.

CURRENTLY...A COLD FRONT EXTENDED FROM A LOW OVER NORTHERN
SASKATCHEWAN/MANITOBA SOUTHWARD INTO CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA TO WESTERN
SOUTH DAKOTA. ANOTHER SECONDARY COLD FRONT EXTENDED FROM THE LOW
SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS SASKATCHEWAN. THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT IS
ALIGNED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS. SHORTWAVE ENERGY IMPULSES
UPSTREAM OF THE TROUGH WERE ASSOCIATED WITH ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS
OVER PARTS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA.

LATER TODAY AS THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS
MOVE INTO THE STATE...SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED OVER
NORTHWESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. ANY SHOWERS SHOULD
BECOME MORE ISOLATED DURING THE EVENING IN THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH
CENTRAL.

REGARDING WINDS...H850 WINDS BEHIND THE SURFACE COLD FRONTS ARE
GENERALLY IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE...WITH H700 WINDS IN THE 35 TO
50 MPH RANGE. THE HIGHEST OF THESE WINDS IS ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN
NORTH DAKOTA. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE A DRY ADIABATIC LINK
THROUGH H850 OCCURRING DURING THE MORNING HOURS AND THROUGH H700
THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECTING SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS IN THE SOUTHWEST
OF 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 45 MPH AT TIMES.

TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH THE LOWER 50S WEST TO THE MID 60S IN THE
SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE JAMES VALLEY IN NORTH DAKOTA. SEE THE FIRE
WEATHER SECTION BELOW FOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS TODAY.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 340 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2015

THE MAIN FORECAST ISSUE IN THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL BE FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. PROGRESSIVE FLOW PATTERN CONTINUES.
WESTERN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ONSHORE AND INTO THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES EARLY IN THE PERIOD...THEN SPLITS AS IT MOVES ONTO THE
PLAINS. FLOW REMAINS PROGRESSIVE BUT IS MORE ZONAL TO NORTHWEST LATE
IN THE WORK WEEK AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH PERIODIC WAVES
BRINGING SMALL PRECIPITATION CHANCES.

ON MONDAY WE SEE BUILDING UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS BEHIND THE EXITING
WAVE IN THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. THE WEST WILL SEE A DISTINCT WARM-UP
FROM TODAY...WHILE TEMPERATURES IN THE EAST WILL REMAIN ABOUT THE
SAME. WE STILL SEE A DECENT SURFACE GRADIENT IN THE EAST THAT SLOWLY
RELAXES DURING THE AFTERNOON. GFS/NAM BUFKIT SOUNDINGS INDICATE
SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30-35 MPH. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NEAR THE TURTLE MOUNTAINS
TO THE MID TEENS OVER THE SOUTHERN JAMES RIVER VALLEY. WILL LIKELY
NEED FIRE WEATHER HEADLINES IF CURRENT TRENDS HOLD. HOWEVER...MODELS
HAVE SLOWED SOME...AND COULD SEE HEADLINES NEEDED FARTHER WEST IF
THEY CONTINUE TO SLOW. THUS WITH CURRENT FIRE HEADLINES AND
UNCERTAINTY ON EXACTLY WHERE HEADLINES MAY END UP...WILL HOLD OFF ON
ISSUING HEADLINES AT THIS TIME. COORD WITH SPC AND SURROUNDING WFOS.
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ALSO BE LOW IN THE WEST MONDAY...BUT WILL
BE LIGHTER WITH SURFACE RIDGE BUILDING INTO THE AREA. GFS/NAM
BUFKIT SOUNDINGS FOR WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA INDICATE SUSTAINED WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUST INTO THE LOWER 20S IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON
AND DIMINISHING DURING THE AFTERNOON.

TUESDAY WILL BRING ANOTHER DAY WITH FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AS WE
QUICKLY TRANSITION TO A SOUTHERLY FLOW AS EASTERN PACIFIC TROUGH
MOVES ONSHORE RESULTING IN DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE IN THE LEE OF THE
NORTHERN AND CANADIAN ROCKIES. BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON ALL
DETERMINISTIC MODELS INDICATE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER EASTERN
MONTANA WITH A THERMAL RIDGE PUSHING INTO WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA. TUESDAY LOOKS QUITE WARM WITH DAYTIME HIGHS WELL INTO THE
70S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. KEPT PREVIOUS FORECAST HIGHS...WITH
SOME 80S SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL. TEMPERATURE PROFILES SUPPORT
80S EVEN FARTHER NORTH...BUT A THICKENING LAYER OF UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS MIGHT INHIBIT HEATING A BIT DURING THE AFTERNOON. MINIMUM
HUMIDITIES WILL BE IN THE TEENS MAINLY SOUTH AND WEST OF THE BIG
LAKE AND THE MISSOURI RIVER...WITH 20 TO 30 PERCENT NORTH AND EAST.
WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS AT 15 TO 25 MPH AND HIGHER GUSTS OVER MUCH OF
THE FORECAST AREA...AND EVEN HIGHER OVER THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY...WE
WILL LIKELY SEE ANOTHER DAY WITH FIRE WEATHER HEADLINES. WINDS WILL
REMAIN BREEZY TO WINDY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. AS MENTIONED
EARLIER...MODELS HAVE SLOWED FROM PREVIOUS RUNS AND PRECIPITATION IS
NOT EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA UNTIL TUESDAY
EVENING...POSSIBLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. THUS HAVE REMOVED THE MENTION OF
THUNDER IN THE WEST TUESDAY EVENING.

THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVE THROUGH THE
WEST TUESDAY NIGHT...AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA ON WEDNESDAY. WILL
MAINTAIN SOME SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS...BUT PRECIPITATION
AMOUNTS LOOK MEAGER. IT WILL BE BREEZY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT BUT
MUCH COOLER AIR WILL ALSO FOLLOW WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 50S WEST TO
MID 60S EAST. THUS HUMIDITIES WILL BE HIGHER AND FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS WILL BE LOWER.

WE TRANSITION TO A MORE ZONAL TO SLIGHTLY NORTHWEST UPPER FLOW
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH BRIEF WARM-UPS
FOLLOWED BY BRIEF COOL-DOWNS THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...AND SLIGHT
CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS WITH EACH PASSING WAVE.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1235 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2015

A COLD FRONT HAD MOVED INTO WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA...AND WILL MOVE
EASTWARD ACROSS NORTH DAKOTA EARLY THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO
THE WEST BEHIND THE FRONT AND INCREASE TO BECOME STRONG WITH GUSTS
OF 30-40 KTS LATER TODAY. WINDS EXPECTED TO DECREASE AFT 00Z. VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE 00 UTC TAF CYCLE. ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TODAY...HOWEVER ANY IMPACTS TO THE
TERMINALS SHOULD BE MINIMAL.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISSUED AT 340 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING TODAY FOR THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

LITTLE RELIEF IN STORE REGARDING MOISTURE THIS COMING WEEK. WITH
STILL DORMANT GRASSES...THE GUSTY WINDS AND ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL CREATE ELEVATED TO
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.

REMAIN CONFIDENT ON NORTHWEST WINDS TODAY OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS TO 45 MPH SOUTHWEST. THIS IS FROM A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE WITH EXPECTED HIGHS IN THE 50S TO THE MIDDLE 60S. THERE
SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT DRYING IN THE LOWER LEVELS FOR MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES TO FALL INTO THE THE UPPER TEENS SOUTH AND 25 TO 35
PERCENT NORTH. PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS
ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA.
THIS AFTERNOON THE SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED TO
THE NORTHERN TIER OF COUNTIES...MAINLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM
WILLISTON TO MINOT AND RUGBY. THIS IS ALSO THE AREA WHERE MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD RANGE FROM 25 TO 35 PERCENT.

THEREFORE WILL UPGRADE THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO A RED FLAG WARNING
FOR TODAY. THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR AREAS SOUTH OF
A LINE FROM WILLISTON TO MINOT TO RUGBY. THIS AREA SHOULD SEE
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 TO 25 PERCENT COINCIDING WITH THE
STRONGER WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH.

MONDAY...NORTHWEST WINDS SHOULD BE STRONGEST OVER THE EASTERN HALF
OF THE STATE. LOOK FOR HIGHS IN THE 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES SHOULD RANGE FROM 15 TO 20 PERCENT OVER MOST AREAS...WITH UP
TO 25 PERCENT IN THE TURTLE MOUNTAINS. THE AREA ALONG AND EAST OF A
LINE FROM MINOT TO JAMESTOWN AND OAKES SHOULD SEE NORTHWEST WINDS OF
AROUND 25 MPH. THIS IS THE AREA OF CONCERN FOR ELEVATED TO CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

TUESDAY...ANOTHER DAY WITH FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. VERY WARM WITH
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO
30 MPH IN THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY...AND 15 TO 20 MPH ELSEWHERE WITH
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AGAIN AT 15 TO 25 PERCENT.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ THIS MORNING TO 10
PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR NDZ017>023-025-031>037-
040>048-050-051.

WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR NDZ031>033-040-041-043-044.

&&

SHORT TERM...JV
LONG TERM...TWH
AVIATION...JV
FIRE WEATHER...JV
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 11, 8:39 PM MDT, 6 hours 19 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
939 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015

NDZ001>005-012-013-130245-
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-MCHENRY-PIERCE-
939 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WEST SUNDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

MORE WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
AT WEATHER.GOV/BIS.

NDZ009>011-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-130245-
WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-
SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-
BURLEIGH-KIDDER-STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-
EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
939 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015 /839 PM MDT SAT APR 11 2015/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA ON SUNDAY. SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS FOR
DETAILS.

A WIND ADVISORY IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA ON
SUNDAY WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH EXPECTED.

CONTINUED WINDY AND DRY MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WEST SUNDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

MORE WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
AT WEATHER.GOV/BIS.

AYD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 12, 11:59 AM MDTFire Weather WatchBISBottineau, Burleigh, Dickey, Emmons, Foster, Grant and 17 more15 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in North Dakota, 2015Every red flag warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.