Alert archive / Michigan / Small Craft Advisories in 2015

Small Craft Advisory 75, NWS Gaylord, MI

November 16, 2015

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this small craft advisory at Nov 16, 2015, 4:32 AM EST. It was in force for 35 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 16, 2015, 4:32 AM EST (09:32 UTC)
Expired
Nov 17, 2015, 3:55 PM EST
In force
35 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

982 
WHUS73 KAPX 160932
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
432 AM EST MON NOV 16 2015

LSZ321-161745-
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.151116T0932Z-151118T1200Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
432 AM EST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>347-161745-
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.151116T0932Z-151118T1200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
432 AM EST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-342-161745-
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.151116T0932Z-151118T1200Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
432 AM EST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
5 follow-up statements
164 
WHUS73 KAPX 161559
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1059 AM EST MON NOV 16 2015

LSZ321-170000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151118T1200Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
1059 AM EST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>347-170000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151118T1200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
1059 AM EST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-342-170000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151118T1200Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
1059 AM EST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
884 
WHUS73 KAPX 162053
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
353 PM EST MON NOV 16 2015

LSZ322-170500-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151118T2000Z/
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
353 PM EST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ348-349-170500-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151118T2000Z/
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
353 PM EST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-342-170500-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151118T2000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.A.0007.151118T2000Z-151119T2300Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
353 PM EST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM
EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
  INFORMATION. 

$$

LSZ321-170500-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151118T2000Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
353 PM EST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>347-170500-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151118T2000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
353 PM EST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ344>346-170500-
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.A.0007.151118T2000Z-151119T2300Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
353 PM EST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
301 
WHUS73 KAPX 170929
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
429 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

LSZ321-171730-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151118T2000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0041.151117T0929Z-151119T0000Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
429 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ344>346-171730-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151118T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.A.0007.151118T1200Z-151120T0100Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
429 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE GALE
WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$

LMZ323-171730-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151118T1200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
429 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346>349-171730-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151118T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.GL.A.0007.151118T1200Z-151120T0100Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
429 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-342-171730-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151118T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.A.0007.151118T1200Z-151120T0100Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
429 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$

LSZ322-171730-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151119T1200Z/
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
429 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-171730-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151119T1200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
429 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
290 
WHUS73 KAPX 171455
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
955 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

LSZ321-172300-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-151119T0000Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
955 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346>349-172300-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151118T1200Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0007.151118T1200Z-151120T0100Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
955 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$

LMZ341-342-344>346-172300-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151118T1200Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0007.151118T1200Z-151120T0100Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
955 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$

LSZ322-172300-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151119T1200Z/
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
955 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-172300-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151118T1200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
955 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-172300-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151119T1200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
955 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
506 
WHUS73 KAPX 172055
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
355 PM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

LMZ341-342-344>346-180500-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151118T1200Z/
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0007.151118T1200Z-151120T0100Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.GL.W.0041.151118T1500Z-151120T0000Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
355 PM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346>349-180500-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151118T1200Z/
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0007.151118T1200Z-151120T0100Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.GL.W.0041.151118T1500Z-151119T0400Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
355 PM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM EST WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM EST WEDNESDAY.
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-180500-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151118T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.GL.W.0041.151118T1500Z-151120T0000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
355 PM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-180500-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151119T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.GL.W.0041.151118T1500Z-151119T0400Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
355 PM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM EST WEDNESDAY.
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ322-180500-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-151119T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.GL.W.0041.151118T1500Z-151119T0400Z/
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
355 PM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM EST WEDNESDAY.
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-180500-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-151119T0000Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
355 PM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 16, 4:01 AM EST, 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 16, 4:01 AM EST, 31 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
401 AM EST MON NOV 16 2015

.NEAR TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 359 AM EST MON NOV 16 2015

...MORE CLOUDS TODAY BUT STILL MILD FOR MID NOVEMBER...

HIGH IMPACT WEATHER POTENTIAL: MINIMAL OUTSIDE OF REDUCED
VISIBILITIES IN MORNING FOG.

PATTERN SYNOPSIS: 06Z SURFACE/COMPOSITE CHART SHOWS A PAIR OF HIGH
PRESSURE CENTERS FLANKING THE GREAT LAKES...ONE OVER NORTHERN
ONTARIO AND A SECOND OVER THE CAROLINAS/MID ATLANTIC.  BETWEEN THESE
HIGHS IS A WEAK BOUNDARY THAN WINDS ITS WAY ROUGHLY IN AN EAST-WEST
DIRECTION FROM NORTHERN MINNESOTA...ACROSS THE UPPER PENINSULA AND
INTO SOUTHEAST ONTARIO.  STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND THE BACKSIDE
OF THE CAROLINAS ANTICYCLONE IS DRAWING MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS/MIDWEST WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES APPROACHING AN
INCH INTO KANSAS/MISSOURI.  MUCH DRIER IN A RELATIVE SENSE ACROSS
NORTHERN MICHIGAN WITH DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS OFF THE 00Z APX
SOUNDING AT OR ABOVE 10C THROUGH THE COLUMN.  BUT LIGHT WINDS AND
QUICKLY FALLING TEMPERATURES ARE ALLOWING FOG TO DEVELOP ACROSS
EASTERN UPPER AND THE TIP OF THE MITT COUNTIES.  LAYERED CLOUDS WERE
ADVANCING NORTH THROUGH THE MIDWEST ON THE BACKSIDE OF A SHORT WAVE
RIDGE AXIS RUNNING NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE UPPER LAKES/OHIO
VALLEY...WITH EASTERN EDGE OF THIS CLOUD LAYER PUSHING INTO LAKE
MICHIGAN.

PATTERN FORECAST: SHORT WAVE RIDGE AXIS WILL SLIDE ACROSS MICHIGAN
DURING THE DAY TODAY...WITH INCREASING SOUTHEAST BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW
AS NORTHERN ONTARIO SURFACE HIGH DRIFTS EAST INTO QUEBEC.  DEEP
LAYER SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS ACROSS THE UPPER LAKES TONIGHT.

PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERNS: MORNING FOG AND CLOUD COVER LATER TODAY
INTO TONIGHT...POSSIBILITY OF RAIN TRYING TO PUSH INTO WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT.

TODAY...SOME EARLY FOG ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN UPPER/FAR NORTHERN
LOWER...THOUGH THIN OUT AS WINDS PICK UP THIS MORNING.  CURRENT
EXPECTATIONS AS FAR AS CLOUD COVER GO IS THAT SOME UPSTREAM CLOUDS
WILL SPREAD INTO NORTHERN MICHIGAN THIS MORNING...COULD BE THAT AS
LOW/MID LEVEL WINDS BACK MORE SOUTHERLY LATER TODAY (AS OPPOSED TO
THE CURRENT WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW) WE MAY TAP INTO A "DRIER"
TRAJECTORY AND TEND TO PUSH THICKER CLOUD COVER TO THE NORTH DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND ALLOW FOR A LITTLE MORE SUN LATER TODAY AT LEAST
THE FARTHER SOUTH YOU GO.  WILL CONTINUE OUR MILD RUN OF
TEMPERATURES WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER IN THE 50S
(UPPER 40S-AROUND 50 ACROSS EASTERN UPPER WITH INCREASING SOUTHEAST
WINDS OFF LAKES HURON/MICHIGAN.

TONIGHT...VARIABLE CLOUD COVER EXPECTED TONIGHT...BUT DEEPER
MOISTURE AND THE THREAT FOR PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY HOLD OFF UNTIL
TUESDAY SO WILL KEEP THE GOING FORECAST DRY FOR THE TIME BEING (AND
MATCHES UP WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES).

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 359 AM EST MON NOV 16 2015

(11/17)TUESDAY...MODELS HAVE CONTINUED TO BACK OFF THE PRECIPITATION
IN THE MORNING AS THE 500 MB CUT OFF LOW IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS
PIVOTS OUT OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES BETWEEN 06Z/TUES AND 18Z TUES.
HOWEVER, ONCE THE 500 MB JET STREAK BEGINS TO MOVE OUT ON THE
CENTRAL PLAINS, LIFTING THE LOW AND THE WARM FRONT MOVES INTO S
LOWER, THEN THE RAIN MOVES INTO THE FORECAST AREA, RATHER FAST AND
OVERSPREADING N LOWER AND E UPPER BY 00Z. AS THE LOW CONTINUES TO
MOVE TOWARD THE UPPER GREAT LAKES, THE MOISTURE IN THE 850 MB LEVEL
AND THE 700-500 MB LAYER INCREASE TO NEAR 90%. THERE IS A TIME WHEN
THE RAIN MAY BRIEFLY STOP BETWEEN 00Z AND 06Z, BUT THINK PERIODS OF
RAIN WILL COVER THIS, AS THE RAIN LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BE OVER MOST OF
THE REGION. ALTHOUGH WITH THE WARM FRONT NORTH OF NE LOWER AND THE
COLD FRONT AND 500 MB JET STREAK MOVING INTO LAKE MICHIGAN, THINK
THAT IT COULD STOP RAIN FOR A TIME SOUTH OF M-32 AND EAST OF I-75
BETWEEN 06Z AND 12Z.

(11/18)WEDNESDAY...AS THE CUT OFF LOW OPENS UP AND LIFTS OUT OVER
THE UPPER GREAT LAKES, THE COLD FRONT WITH THE SFC LOW BEGINS TO
PUSH THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA. THIS WILL PUSH THE RAIN BACK INTO NE
LOWER DURING THE DAY. IT LOOKS LIKE A DRY SLOT BEGINS TO MOVE INTO
THE UPPER GREAT LAKES BEHIND THE FRONT IN THE EVENING. THIS COULD
GIVE US DRIZZLE, BUT FOR NOW WILL KEEP IT AS A CHANCE FOR RAIN. ON
THE GFS, THE TEMPERATURES COOL RAPIDLY, ESPECIALLY BETWEEN 06Z AND
12Z, BUT NOT ENOUGH TO PRODUCE ANY FLAKES, AT LEAST IN MY MIND.
ECMWF HOLDS THE COLD AIR BACK, SO THAT IT WON'T PRODUCE ANY FLAKES
UNTIL AFTER 12Z. SO WILL KEEP THE OVERNIGHT WET, WITH THE SNOW
FLAKES TO START IN THE EXTENDED.

&&

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 359 AM EST MON NOV 16 2015

EXTENDED (THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...LOOKING AT THE LONG TERM, THE
MODELS HAVE COME TOGETHER UP THROUGH ABOUT THURSDAY NIGHT. THEN THE
GFS IS STILL SPINNING A SFC LOW UP IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES THAT CUTS
ACROSS THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS AND THEN UP THROUGH CENTRAL
MICHIGAN. THE ECMWF HAS CONSISTENTLY MAINTAINED THAT THE HIGH STAYS
IN CONTROL WITH SYNOPTIC MOISTURE AND 850 MB TEMPERATURE OF -10C.
THE ECMWF WOULD SUGGEST LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND NOT A MIX. THE GFS
WOULD SAY RAIN, RAIN/SNOW MIX AS THE LOW WARMS THE REGION THEN MOVES
THROUGH. ONCE THROUGH, HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN AND DRIES THINGS OUT
BY SATURDAY. THE ECMWF WOULDN'T DRY THINGS OUT UNTIL SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1157 PM EST SUN NOV 15 2015

IFR FOG EXPECTED OVERNIGHT APN/PLN INTO MONDAY MORNING.

WARMER AND MORE MOIST AIR WILL GRADUALLY EXPAND NORTHWARD INTO MI
TONIGHT AND MONDAY...AROUND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SE STATES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN INCREASING CLOUD COVER FROM THE SW...WITH A MID-
CLOUD DECK REACHING NW LOWER MI OVERNIGHT...AND NE LOWER TOWARD
MORNING. THOSE CLOUDS WILL LIMIT FOG POTENTIAL IN THE TVC/MBL
AREA. BUT APN/PLN WILL LIKELY SEE IFR CONDITIONS DEVELOP...AND
LAST INTO LATE MONDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE VFR.

LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT...AN E TO SE SURFACE WIND UP TO 10KT ON MONDAY.
SOME POTENTIAL FOR LLWS TO DEVELOP VERY LATE IN THE TAF PERIOD
TVC/MBL...WILL NOT INCLUDE JUST YET (BETTER CHANCE AFTER 06Z).

&&

.MARINE...
ISSUED AT 359 AM EST MON NOV 16 2015

INCREASING SOUTHEAST GRADIENT WINDS DEVELOP ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES THIS MORNING...AND ARE EXPECTED TO BE GUSTY ACROSS WHITEFISH
BAY AND ON FAR NORTHERN LAKE HURON/STRAITS OF MACKINAC (AIDED BY
EASTERLY WIND FUNNELING THROUGH THE STRAITS).  SO PLAN TO HOIST
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR NEARSHORE ZONES FROM GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT
ON LAKE MICHIGAN AND PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT ON LAKE HURON NORTHWARD
(EXCEPT FOR THE ST. MARY'S RIVER) AND RUN THEM THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT.  WILL LIKELY NEED ADDITIONAL HEADLINES FOR OTHER ZONES GOING
FORWARD...COULD BE SOME GALES ON THE WATERS BY MIDWEEK.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR LHZ345>347.

LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR LMZ341-342.

LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR LSZ321.

&&

NEAR TERM...JPB
SHORT TERM...JSL
LONG TERM...JSL
AVIATION...JZ
MARINE...JPB
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 15, 3:48 PM EST, 12 hours 44 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
348 PM EST SUN NOV 15 2015

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-
042-161100-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
348 PM EST SUN NOV 15 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

DENSE FOG MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA TONIGHT...
PARTICULARLY ACROSS EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 16, 3:53 PM ESTGale WatchAPX24 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Michigan, 2015Every small craft advisory in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.