Small Craft Advisory 67, NWS Gaylord, MI

511 
WHUS73 KAPX 210132
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
932 PM EDT TUE OCT 20 2015

LHZ345>349-210945-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151022T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
932 PM EDT TUE OCT 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-210945-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
932 PM EDT TUE OCT 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-344>346-210945-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.151021T1800Z-151023T0000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
932 PM EDT TUE OCT 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM WEDNESDAY TO
8 PM EDT THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM WEDNESDAY TO
8 PM EDT THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-342-210945-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
932 PM EDT TUE OCT 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

369 
WHUS73 KAPX 210751
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
351 AM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

LHZ345>349-211600-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151022T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
351 AM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-344>346-211600-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.151021T1800Z-151023T0000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
351 AM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-211600-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
351 AM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-342-211600-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
351 AM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

875 
WHUS73 KAPX 211519
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1119 AM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

LMZ323-344>346-212330-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.151021T1800Z-151023T0000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1119 AM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-212330-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151022T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1119 AM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-212330-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1119 AM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-342-212330-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
1119 AM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

120 
WHUS73 KAPX 212019
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
419 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

LSZ321-322-220430-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0036.151021T2019Z-151022T2100Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
419 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THURSDAY. THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>348-220430-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
419 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ349-220430-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
419 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-220430-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
419 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

371 
WHUS73 KAPX 220156
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
956 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

LSZ321-322-221000-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
956 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THURSDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-221000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
956 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>348-221000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
956 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ349-221000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
956 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

230 
WHUS73 KAPX 220347
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1147 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

LHZ345-347-348-LMZ342-221200-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.GL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
1147 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THURSDAY. THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-221200-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1147 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THURSDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-341-344>346-221200-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1147 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346-221200-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
1147 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ349-221200-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1147 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

342 
WHUS73 KAPX 220747
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
347 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015

LHZ345-347-348-LMZ342-LSZ321-322-221600-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
347 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-341-344>346-221600-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
347 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346-221600-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
347 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ349-221200-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
347 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

967 
WHUS73 KAPX 221020
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
620 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015

LHZ345-LMZ342-LSZ321-322-221830-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
620 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-221830-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0400Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
620 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ349-221130-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
620 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LHZ346-LMZ323-341-344>346-221830-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
620 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

102 
WHUS73 KAPX 221441
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1041 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015

LHZ345-346-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-222245-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1041 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-222245-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0400Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1041 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

478 
WHUS73 KAPX 221835
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
235 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015

LMZ323-344>346-221945-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
235 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LHZ345-346-LMZ341-342-LSZ321-322-230000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
235 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-230245-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0400Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
235 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

086 
WHUS73 KAPX 230025
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
825 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015


LHZ345-346-LMZ341-342-LSZ321-322-230130-
/O.EXP.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
825 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...


$$

LHZ347-348-230400-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0400Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
825 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

358 
WHUS73 KAPX 230208
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1008 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015

LHZ347-348-230315-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0400Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1008 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
402 PM EDT TUE OCT 20 2015

.NEAR TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 359 PM EDT TUE OCT 20 2015

HIGH IMPACT WEATHER: NONE

FORECAST CHALLENGE: TIMING OF THE RAIN

OVERVIEW...THE SLOW MOVING FRONT HAVE HAS BEEN PRODUCING SHOWERS
SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA, CONTINUED WITH A THIN BAND BETWEEN M-69
AND M-32 OVER NW LOWER MOST OF THE DAY. ON THE RADAR, THE BAND HAS
BEEN BEGINNING TO MOVE SE WITH NO MORE BACK BUILDING IN WISCONSIN AS
HAS BEEN THE CASE OVER THE AFTERNOON. LUCKILY, THESE SHOWERS HAVE
BEEN LIGHT, AND HAVE BARELY MADE MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION.

TO THE WEST, THERE IS A 500 MB TROUGH THAT IS BUILDING INTO THE
UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM WHICH IS IN THE
CENTRAL PLAINS.

TONIGHT...AS THE SYSTEM IN THE PLAINS BEGINS TO MOVE NORTH TONIGHT,
THE FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MOVE BACK NORTH, WITH 500 MB SHORTWAVE
TROUGH RIDING ALONG IT. THE SURGE OF WARM, MOISTURE AIR AND THE
FORCING ALONG THE WARM FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAIN SHOWERS
THAT WILL MOVE NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT. THE SHOWERS ALONG THE US-10
CORRIDOR ALL DAY, HAVE BEEN REFORMING ALONG THE MAIN TROUGH/BOUNDARY
IN SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. MORE MOISTURE IS SUPPOSED TO MOVE NORTH WITH
THIS SYSTEM PROVIDING MORE MOISTURE TO THIS FEATURE. SO THE
EXPECTATION IS THAT THE SHOWERS NEAR US-10 WILL MOVE TO AROUND M-55
SOME TIME AROUND 03Z, AND THEN M-72 BY BY 06Z. AFTER 06Z, TRIED TO
TIME THE RAIN TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION, ALTHOUGH THE 12Z MODELS,
HAVE ALL SLOWED DOWN THE TIMING, SO THAT THE RAIN JUST GETS UP TO M-
32 BY 12Z. CONSIDERING THE TIMING THAT THE MODELS HAVE BEEN
ADVERTISING, WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF THIS IS STILL A BIT TOO
AGGRESSIVE WITH THE RAIN. IT CERTAINLY LOOKS LIKE THE LIKELY RAIN
WILL FALL ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE M-55 CORRIDOR.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 359 PM EDT TUE OCT 20 2015

...SHOWERS WEDNESDAY WITH ROLLER COASTER TEMPERATURES...

HIGH IMPACT WEATHER POTENTIAL: MINIMAL...OUTSIDE OF A BRIEF WINDOW
FOR GALE FORCE WINDS IN SOME NEARSHORE ZONES WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

PATTERN SYNOPSIS: NORTH AMERICAN PATTERN FEATURES SPLIT FLOW
TROUGHING OVER THE WESTERN MOUNTAINOUS REGIONS...WITH AN ACTIVE
NORTHERN BRANCH ACROSS CANADA WITH A STRONG UPPER LOW OVER FAR
NORTHERN QUEBEC WITH ANOTHER SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN
PRAIRIES.  GREAT LAKES LIES BENEATH REMNANTS OF SOUTHERN BRANCH FLOW
EMANATING FROM A TROUGH OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST.  UPPER RIDGING IS APPROACHING THE WEST COAST OF NORTH
AMERICA.  AT THE SURFACE...MICHIGAN SQUEEZED BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGING SOUTH FROM MANITOBA...AND ANOTHER HIGH OVER THE CAROLINAS
AND SOUTHEASTERN STATES.  A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT LIES BETWEEN
THESE HIGHS ACROSS WISCONSIN/LOWER MICHIGAN.  WEAK PLUME OF MOISTURE
COMING AROUND THE CAROLINAS HIGH ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND INTO THE
LAKES REGION...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE GENERALLY LESS THAN AN INCH
BUT STILL SIGNIFICANT FROM A CLIMO PERSPECTIVE (OVER 175 PERCENT OF
NORMAL AT APX/GRB/MPX).  DRIER AIR TRYING TO SQUEEZE IN FROM THE
NORTH ON THE COLD SIDE OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

PATTERN FORECAST: GREAT LAKES WILL COME INCREASINGLY UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF PROGRESSIVE NORTHERN BRANCH FLOW...WITH PRAIRIES SHORT
WAVE TROUGH STRENGTHENING AND ROLLING ACROSS MICHIGAN IN THE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY TIME FRAME.  THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY
NARROW BUT STOUT SHORT WAVE RIDGE FOR FRIDAY AS WESTERN SPLIT FLOW
BREAKS DOWN AND CONSOLIDATES WITH REMNANT SOUTHERN BRANCH ENERGY
GETTING EJECTED NORTHEAST...SOME OF THIS WILL HAVE IMPLICATIONS FOR
THE WEEKEND FORECAST (BUT I'M GETTING AHEAD OF MYSELF).  FRONT
DRAPED ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN HAS NOWHERE TO GO IN THE IMMEDIATE
TIME FRAME...CAUGHT IN ZONAL UPPER FLOW PATTERN BETWEEN SURFACE
RIDGES.  EVENTUALLY CONSOLIDATING LOW PRESSURE WITH THE UPSTREAM
SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL TRY AND PULL THE FRONT NORTH BEFORE A
COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY
EVENING.  HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
ALONG WITH A PASSING SHORT WAVE RIDGE ALOFT.

PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERNS: IMPACTS WITH NORTHERN BRANCH SHORT WAVE
TROUGH THROUGH THURSDAY...INCLUDING PRECIPITATION EVOLUTION AND
WINDS.

WEDNESDAY...INCREASING DEEP LAYER MOISTURE INTO THE GREAT LAKES
AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND ACROSS WARM FRONTAL
ZONE...WITH RESULTANT ISENTROPIC ASCENT HELPING PRODUCE RAIN SHOWERS
STARTING WEDNESDAY MORNING.  COULD BE A COUPLE PERIODS OF RAIN
WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING...FIRST WITH INITIAL ISENTROPIC
ASCENT MENTIONED EARLIER...THEN A SECOND ALONG/AHEAD OF THE
COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT WITH INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOIST INFLOW/THETA-E
RIDGING BENEATH A PLUME OF STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES (7.0-
7.5C/KM).  THIS SET UP COULD RESULT IN SCATTERED CONVECTIVE
(THUNDERSTORM) DEVELOPMENT ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER...WHICH
WILL END WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE.  EXPECT WINDS TO TURN GUSTY POST-
FRONT WEDNESDAY EVENING WITH A STRONG DOWNWARD PUSH OF MOMENTUM WITH
ONSET OF COLD ADVECTION COMBINED WITH SOME ISALLOBARIC FORCING.
GUSTS OF 25-35MPH POSSIBLE WITH STRONGEST WINDS DOWNWIND OF
WHITEFISH BAY/LAKE MICHIGAN AND TIP OF THE MITT SHORELINE.  925MB
TEMPERATURES SINKING BELOW 4C OVERNIGHT WILL ALLOW FOR SOME SHALLOW
INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP WHICH WILL LIKELY BE MOST PREVALENT ON LAKE
SUPERIOR...WHERE NORTHWEST FLOW CLOUDS AND PERHAPS A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS/SPRINKLES MAY DEVELOP.

THURSDAY...COLD CYCLONIC FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE UPPER
LAKES TO START THURSDAY...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO KEEP CLOUDS/SHOWERS
GOING ACROSS EASTERN UPPER.  DIURNAL STRATOCUMULUS DEVELOPMENT ALSO
LIKELY ACROSS THE TIP OF THE MITT COUNTIES INTO NORTHEAST LOWER...
WOULD EXPECT THIS TREND TO DIMINISH GOING FARTHER SOUTH WHERE LOW
LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER (I.E., ABOVE ZERO 850MB
TEMPERATURES). COOLER AFTERNOON HIGHS THURSDAY WITH MID-UPPER 40S
EASTERN UPPER AND MOSTLY 50S NORTHERN LOWER. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN FOR THURSDAY NIGHT...WHICH WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A POTENTIALLY
CHILLY NIGHT PROVIDED (1) WINDS DECOUPLE WHICH LOOKS REASONABLE
AND (2) DEVELOPING EASTERLY BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW DOESN'T PUSH
SHALLOW LAKE CLOUDS INTO NORTHEAST LOWER WHICH IS ALSO REASONABLE
BUT AT THIS POINT SEEMS TO BE A LOW PROBABILITY EVENT. EXPECTING
LOWS IN THE 20S AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE LAKESHORES.

FRIDAY...LOOKS FINE FOR NOW WITH DEEP LAYER RIDGING TRACKING EAST
TOWARD NEW ENGLAND.  SOME MID/HIGH CLOUDS PROBABLE AS THE DAY WEARS
ON AS HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE EMANATING FROM AREA OF PRECIPITATION
MOVING INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SPREADS INTO THE UPPER LAKES.
AGAIN WILL BE WATCH FOR NUISANCE CLOUDS OVER NORTHEAST LOWER OFF
LAKE HURON...THE ONE POTENTIAL FLY IN THE PROVERBIAL OINTMENT.

&&

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 359 PM EDT TUE OCT 20 2015

OVERVIEW: FOUR WAVE LONG WAVE PATTERN AROUND THE NRN HEMISPHERE
TODAY WITH RIDGING THROUGH THE WESTERN CONUS AND LONG WAVE TROUGHING
DOWN THROUGH EASTERN CANADA INTO NEW ENGLAND. SHORT WAVE CUTOFF LOW
MIGRATING DOWN THROUGH SRN CALIFORNIA INTO ARIZONA...AND SOME
SEMBLANCE OF OMEGA BLOCKING JUST OFF THE WEST COAST. WESTERN GREAT
LAKES REGION FINDS ITSELF ALONG THE SRN FRINGE OF A TIGHT BAROCLINIC
ZONE AND STRONG UPPER JET ACROSS ONTARIO/QUEBEC...AND WEAK-ISH FRONT
DRAPED ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN.

FORECAST: LARGER SCALE PATTERN ACROSS THE CONUS FORECAST TO BECOME A
BIT MORE ZONAL/PROGRESSIVE LATE THIS WEEK AND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK...BEFORE DEEP TROUGHING/COLD AIR ONCE AGAIN INVADES THE REGION
BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK (BEYOND OUR CURRENT 7 DAY FORECAST). MAIN
CHALLENGE IN THE LONG TERM IS THE ULTIMATE DISPOSITION OF THE CUTOFF
LOW OVER THE SW CONUS TODAY...AS IT/S CURRENTLY FORECAST TO EJECT UP
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES ON SATURDAY WHILE GETTING ABSORBED BACK INTO
THE NRN STREAM. OF COURSE...CUTOFF FEATURES ARE ALWAYS
PROBLEMATIC...HOW FAST DO THEY EJECT...THEIR TRACK AND SUCH. BUT
RECENT MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE SOLUTIONS REMAIN IN REASONABLE
AGREEMENT IN TIMING/PLACEMENT OF THE WAVE AND RUNNING A DECENT SFC
LOW/COLD FRONT UP THROUGH THE REGION ON SATURDAY...LEADING TO HIGHER
FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR A PRECIP EVENT DURING THE DAY (ALL RAIN WITH
A NICE THERMAL AXIS OF NEAR +10C NOSING INTO THE REGION AHEAD OF THE
WAVE). NOT A MAJOR RAIN MAKER...BUT MANY LOCATIONS SHOULD SEE SOME
RAINFALL AND WILL MAINTAIN LIKELY POPS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT (WESTERN
CWA) THROUGH SATURDAY.

ALSO LOOKING A BIT GUSTY ONCE AGAIN FOR SATURDAY AHEAD OF...AND
BEHIND THE SFC LOW WITH GUSTS PUSHING THE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE. NOT
QUITE WHAT WE HAD ON MONDAY...BUT DECENT.

AFTER THAT...COOLING BACK DOWN FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND
AND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH TROUGHINESS SAGGING BACK INTO THE
REGION AND H8 TEMPS HEADING JUST SOUTH OF 0C FOR A FEW DAYS. THIS
WILL MORE THAN LIKELY REV UP THE LAKE EFFECT MACHINE ONCE AGAIN LATE
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...ALONG WITH SOME HEATING OF THE DAY TYPE
SHOWERS. NOT QUITE COLD ENOUGH FOR SUBSTANTIAL SNOW OVERALL...BUT
SOME SNOW OR A MIX IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS UPPER MICHIGAN AS
WELL AS THE INLAND HIGHER TERRAIN OF NRN LOWER MICHIGAN. ANOTHER
STRONGER SYSTEM MAY IMPACT THE REGION FOR TUESDAY INTO MIDWEEK...
ALTHOUGH THERE IS MUCH FORECAST UNCERTAINTY SURROUNDING THAT
TIME FRAME.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 140 PM EDT TUE OCT 20 2015

OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS, THE MAIN CONCERN IS THE RAIN SHOWERS
BETWEEN PLN AND TVC, WHICH STRETCH BACK TO APN. THE MODELS SUGGEST
THAT THESE SHOWERS SHOULD CONTINUE AND EVENTUALLY, DIMINISH. SO
WITH THAT IN MIND, HAVE APN, WITH A TEMPO GROUP OF MVFR CIGS UNTIL
IT GETS OUT OF THE AREA, THEN BACK TO VFR CIGS. THE REST OF THE
LINE WILL SAG SOUTH, BUT NOT SURE IF IT WILL GET ALL THE WAY TO
TVC. WILL WATCH ITS PROGRESS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

OTHERWISE, THE FRONT THAT IS CAUSING THE SHOWERS TODAY, WILL MOVE
NORTH AGAIN, FOLLOWED BY MORE RAIN WHICH WILL GO INTO THE DAY ON
WEDNESDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
ISSUED AT 359 PM EDT TUE OCT 20 2015

TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...WINDS TONIGHT BEGIN TO INCREASE ON THE
GREAT LAKES WITH THE AREAS NORTH OF NORWOOD SEEING SMALL CRAFT GUSTS
BY THE LATE EVENING. THIS INCLUDES LAKE HURON AND WHITEFISH BAY AS
THE WINDS TURN SE AND GET A GOOD OVER WATER FETCH. ON WEDNESDAY,
OPTED TO LEAVE THE SMALL CRAFT UP ALL DAY AS THE WINDS DIMINISH N
THE MORNING ONLY FOR THE WINDS TO VEER TO THE SW AND INCREASE ON ALL
OF LAKE MICHIGAN, EVENTUALLY, IT BEGINS GUSTING AGAIN ON LAKE HURON
BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE SMALL CRAFT GUSTS LOOK TO LAST THROUGH THE
DAY ON THURSDAY AS WELL BEFORE DIMINISHING BY THURSDAY EVENING.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT
     WEDNESDAY FOR LHZ345>349.

LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY
     FOR LMZ341-342.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 2 PM WEDNESDAY TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY
     FOR LMZ323-344>346.

LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY
     FOR LSZ321-322.

&&

NEAR TERM...JSL
SHORT TERM...JPB
LONG TERM...ADAM
AVIATION...JSL
MARINE...JSL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
405 PM EDT TUE OCT 20 2015

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-
042-211100-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
405 PM EDT TUE OCT 20 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A FEW NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD.

JPB