Alert archive / Michigan / Small Craft Advisories in 2015

Small Craft Advisory 35, NWS Gaylord, MI

June 21, 2015

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this small craft advisory at Jun 21, 2015, 4:03 PM EDT. It took effect at Jun 22, 2015, 2:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 33 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 21, 2015, 4:03 PM EDT (20:03 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 22, 2015, 2:00 PM EDT
Expired
Jun 23, 2015, 10:37 PM EDT
In force
33 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

160 
WHUS73 KAPX 212003
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
403 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015

LMZ323-344>346-220415-
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0035.150622T1800Z-150623T1200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
403 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM MONDAY TO 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM MONDAY TO 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LMZ341-342-LSZ321-322-220415-
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0035.150622T2100Z-150623T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
403 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM MONDAY TO 5 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM MONDAY TO 5 PM EDT
TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
10 follow-up statements
468 
WHUS73 KAPX 220255
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1055 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015

LMZ323-344>346-221100-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0035.150622T1800Z-150623T1200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1055 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM MONDAY TO
8 AM EDT TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM MONDAY TO 8 AM
EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LMZ341-342-LSZ321-322-221100-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0035.150622T2100Z-150623T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1055 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM MONDAY TO
5 PM EDT TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM MONDAY TO 5 PM
EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
630 
WHUS73 KAPX 220845
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
445 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2015

LMZ323-344>346-221645-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0035.150622T1800Z-150623T1200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
445 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 8 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LMZ341-342-LSZ321-322-221645-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0035.150622T2100Z-150623T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
445 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
030 
WHUS73 KAPX 221434
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1034 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2015

LMZ323-344>346-222245-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0035.150622T1800Z-150623T1200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1034 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 8 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LMZ341-342-LSZ321-322-222245-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0035.150622T2100Z-150623T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1034 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
130 
WHUS73 KAPX 222017
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
417 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2015

LMZ323-344>346-230430-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-150623T1200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
417 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LMZ341-342-LSZ321-322-230430-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0035.150622T2100Z-150623T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
417 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
614 
WHUS73 KAPX 222224
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
624 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2015

LMZ344>346-230630-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-150623T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0032.150622T2224Z-150623T0600Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
624 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT TUESDAY. THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-230630-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-150623T1200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
624 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LMZ341-342-LSZ321-322-230630-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-150623T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
624 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
886 
WHUS73 KAPX 230230
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1030 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2015

LMZ344>346-231030-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-150623T0600Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.SC.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-150623T1200Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1030 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-231030-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-150623T1200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
1030 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LMZ341-342-LSZ321-322-231030-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-150623T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1030 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
294 
WHUS73 KAPX 230800
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
400 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015

LMZ323-344>346-231200-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-150623T1200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
400 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LMZ341-342-LSZ321-322-231600-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-150623T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
400 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
810 
WHUS73 KAPX 231530
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1130 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015

LHZ345>349-LMZ341-342-LSZ321-322-232100-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-150623T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1130 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
594 
WHUS73 KAPX 232002
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
402 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015

LHZ345-346-349-LMZ341-342-LSZ321-322-232115-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-150623T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
402 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LHZ347-348-240400-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-150624T0400Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
402 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
619 
WHUS73 KAPX 240237
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1037 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015

LHZ347-348-240345-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-150624T0400Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1037 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jun 21, 3:33 PM EDT, 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 21, 3:33 PM EDT, 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
333 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015

.NEAR TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 333 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015

HIGH IMPACT WEATHER POTENTIAL...FOG OVERNIGHT.

NORTHERN MI REMAINS UNDER WEAK COLD ADVECTION LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE DEPARTING THE EASTERN LAKES...AND
RIDGING IN THE UPPER MS VALLEY. THIS RIDGE AXIS WILL MOVE OVERHEAD
EARLY TONIGHT...HELPING TO PROVIDE A RELATIVELY QUIET NIGHT. CLOUD
COVER IS CONSIDERABLE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...IN THE FORM OF
SCT/BKN CUMULUS SOUTH OF M-68 (ROUGHLY) AND STRATUS NORTH. THE
SOUTHERN FRINGE OF THE STRATUS DECK HAS PRODUCED A FEW
SPRINKLES/-SHRA OVER FAR NORTHERN LOWER MI...NEAR/E OF PLN.

TONIGHT...SOME CONGESTED CU IS SEEN IN NE LOWER MI SOUTH OF
APN...WHERE A LAKE BREEZE IS SLOWLY FIGHTING INLAND. A FEW HINTS ON
RADAR OF SOME WET CUMULUS OVER THERE AS WELL. THAT REMAINS THE MOST
LIKELY PLACE TO POP A SHRA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...CU FIELD
WILL QUICKLY DISSIPATE THIS EVENING WITH LOSS OF HEATING. A TOUGHER
QUESTION REGARDS THE STUBBORN STRATUS IN THE NORTH...WHICH NEEDS TO
THIN/DISSIPATE QUICKLY OR IT/S GOING TO WANT TO HANG AROUND ALL
NIGHT. THANKFULLY...SAT IMAGERY OVER THE PAST HOUR SHOWS THE
THINNING RATE INCREASING...AND MOST MODELS SHOW THIS CLOUD MASS
FULLY ERODING BETWEEN 21Z AND 00Z.

THAT SAID...HEALTHY BL MOISTURE LEVELS AND (IN SOME AREAS) LIMITED
MIXING WILL MAKE US PRONE TO FOG TONIGHT AS SKIES CLEAR AND WINDS GO
CALM. FOG HAVE BEEN ADDED ACROSS NORTHERN MI...PATCHY IN THE
INTERIOR OF NORTHERN LOWER...AREAS ELSEWHERE. THICKEST FOG IS
LIKELY NEAR LAKE MI (MARINE INFLUENCE) AND IN EASTERN UPPER
(LIMITED MIXING TODAY).

MIN TEMPS 45-50 EASTERN UPPER...50-55 NORTHERN LOWER.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 333 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015

HIGH IMPACT WEATHER POTENTIAL: INCREASING CONCERN FOR A POSSIBLE
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER EVENT ACROSS AT LEAST A PORTION OF
NORTHERN MICHIGAN. DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES APPEAR TO
BE THE MAIN THREATS...AND IT'S NOT IMPOSSIBLE THAT A LONG LIVED
SEVERE WIND EVENT MAY WORK THROUGH SOME AREAS.

PATTERN SYNOPSIS: QUITE AN ENERGETIC PATTERN TO START THE WORK
WEEK...WITH A PAIR OF SHORTWAVES RIDING ALONG THE NORTHERN TIER INTO
MONTANA/SOUTHERN CANADA TODAY RAPIDLY ADVANCING EAST AND DEEPENING
TONIGHT...ON THE HEELS OF A 60 KNOT MID LEVEL JET CORE CROSSING THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES. THAT FEATURE IS PROGGED TO RIDE THE NORTHERN U.S.
BORDER INTO MONDAY...DROPPING INTO THE NORTHERN LAKES MONDAY EVENING
BEFORE RAPIDLY DEPARTING AFTER 06Z TUESDAY. AT THE SURFACE...CLASSIC
LEE TROUGHING INTO THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS WILL GET A BOOST
FROM THAT PASSING FEATURE...WITH A MODEST SURFACE RESPONSE EXPECTED
TO ADVANCE FROM NEAR THE NE/SD/IA/MN BORDER AT 12Z MONDAY INTO OUR
NECK OF THE WOODS BY MONDAY EVENING. THAT GENERAL SETUP WILL RATHER
QUICKLY LIFT A WARM FRONT INTO NORTHERN MICHIGAN MONDAY AFTERNOON...
DRAGGING IN A SIGNIFICANTLY WARMER AND MORE MOIST AIRMASS AND
HELPING SET THE STAGE FOR OUR POTENTIAL CONVECTIVE ISSUES. JUST AS
QUICKLY AS THE WARM FRONT ARRIVES...A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION LATE MONDAY EVENING...ALLOWING FOR BROAD WEAK LOW LEVEL
RIDGING TO ARRIVE IN ITS WAKE WITH QUIET WEATHER INTO MIDWEEK.

WELL...LET'S DIG RIGHT INTO IT. THIS SETUP REALLY DOES HAVE
POTENTIAL AND HONESTLY IS ONE OF THE BETTER POTENTIAL SETUPS WE HAVE
SEEN IN QUITE A FEW YEARS AROUND THESE PARTS. OF COURSE...WITH THAT
SAID...THERE REMAIN SOME BIG QUESTIONS...SPECIFICALLY REGARDING JUST
HOW FAR NORTH THE WARM FRONT WILL RETREAT...WHICH WILL HAVE A MAJOR
IMPACT ON HOW MUCH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WE CAN
REALIZE. EVEN WITH THAT SAID...A METEOROLOGIST'S INTEREST IS ALWAYS
PIQUED WHEN A QUICK GLANCE AT CIPS SEVERE WEATHER ANALOGS SHOW THE
BEST MATCH BEING A FAIRLY HISTORIC EVENT FOR THE GREAT LAKES - THE
MAY 30-31 1998 SOUTHERN/CENTRAL MICHIGAN DERECHO AND SUBSEQUENT
TORNADOES ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE BOW INTO NORTHERN LOWER. FIRST AND
FOREMOST...WE WILL HAVE NO TROUBLE WITH DEEP LAYER AND LOW LEVEL
SHEAR...AS A PRONOUNCED 50-70 KNOT MID LEVEL JET CORE CRUISES
OVERHEAD INTO THE EVENING...OVERTOPPED WITH AN EVEN BETTER 80-90
KNOT UPPER JET STREAKING OVERHEAD. COUPLE THAT WITH LOCALIZED BACKED
FLOW IN THE VICINITY OF THE NORTHWARD ADVANCING WARM FRONT...AND
PROGGED 0-1KM/0-3KM HELICITY VALUES UPWARD OF 300 M2/S2 AND WE
CERTAINLY HAVE THE MAKINGS FOR SOME TROUBLE.

THE BIGGEST QUESTION IS OF COURSE CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION...AND TO WHAT
DEGREE ANY EARLY STORMS MONDAY MORNING WILL MAKE AN IMPACT. AT THE
MOMENT...IT WOULD APPEAR THAT ONE OR MORE MCS FEATURES WILL BE
ONGOING ACROSS SOUTHERN MN INTO IA FIRST THING MONDAY MORNING...
RIDING THE PERIPHERY OF VERY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES/ELEVATED
MIXED LAYER/CAPPING POKING INTO THAT REGION...ALL WHILE A SECOND
BAND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS ARCS ALONG AN ELEVATED WARM FRONT/LOW
LEVEL JET/THETA-E NOSE FROM NORTHERN MN DOWN INTO PERHAPS THE
WESTERN U.P. DON'T FORESEE ANYTHING EXTENDING OVER THIS WAY THROUGH
MUCH OF THE MORNING AS OUR RELATIVE DRY AIR HANGS TOUGH...THOUGH
SUPPOSE A SHOWER OR TWO AREN'T OUT OF THE QUESTION NORTH OF M-68 AND
INTO EASTERN UPPER. NOW...HEADING THROUGH LATE MORNING AND THE
AFTERNOON...SHOULD SEE THE MID MISS VALLEY MCS DECAY AS IT RAPIDLY
PUNCHES INTO INCREASED CAPPING OVER IL...WITH STRONG HEATING GETTING
UNDERWAY IN THE DEVELOPING WARM SECTOR OUT INTO SOUTHERN WI AND
SOUTHEAST MN...WITH BOUNDARY LAYER DEW POINTS SURGING THROUGH THE
LOWER 70S AND SUBSEQUENT MLCAPE VALUES PUSHING 3000+ J/KG. CLOSER TO
HOME...SUSPECT WE ARE LOOKING AT A WARM ADVECTION WING OF SHOWERS
AND STORMS FIRING INTO THE AFTERNOON ALONG THE NORTHWARD LIFTING
WARM FRONT AND PRONOUNCED THETA-E AXIS. COULD WELL SEE SOME
SUPERCELLULAR STRUCTURES ALONG THIS BOUNDARY...AS MLCAPE VALUES
QUICKLY RISE ABOVE 1500 J/KG WITH PLENTIFUL SHEAR AND LOCALIZED
BACKED FLOW ALONG THE SURFACE BOUNDARY ITSELF. DEEP SHEAR VECTORS
ROUGHLY PARALLELING THE FRONT DO MAINLY ARGUE FOR SOME SORT OF A
NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST LINEAR STRUCTURE...BUT THIS WILL BE OUR FIRST
SHOT AT SEVERE...INCLUDING PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TORNADO GIVEN LCL
HEIGHTS BELOW 1KFT AND AGAIN PLENTIFUL SHEAR. HAIL THREAT VERY LOW
WITH FREEZING LEVELS 12KFT AND ABOVE...OUTSIDE OF A VERY ORGANIZED
STORM.

ROUND TWO MAY COME INTO THE EVENING HOURS AS WE WAIT AND SEE JUST
HOW MUCH UPSTREAM ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY COMES TO LIFE. HAVE TO BELIEVE
THAT INCOMING HEIGHT FALLS WORKING ON THAT MUCH INSTABILITY WILL
HAVE NO TROUBLE LIGHTING UP CELLS AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT OVER
WISCONSIN...WITH INITIAL DEEP SHEAR VECTORS AGAINST THE FRONT
SUGGESTING DISCRETE SUPERCELL STRUCTURES ARE LIKELY FOR A TIME.
HOWEVER...JUST ABOUT ALL HI-RES GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO POINT TOWARD
STORM/COLD POOL ORGANIZATION...WITH A LINEAR MCS FEATURE RAPIDLY
CROSSING INTO MICHIGAN. JUST HOW FAR NORTH THAT CONVECTIVE LINE GETS
REMAINS HIGHLY IN QUESTION...BUT BY THIS POINT...MOST IF NOT ALL OF
NORTHERN LOWER SHOULD BE WELL INTO THE WARM SECTOR...AND IT IS
INTERESTING TO NOTE THE SLIGHTLY FARTHER NORTH POSITION OF THE
DRIVING SHORTWAVE AS COMPARED TO THE MAY 30-31 EVENT. BASED ON
HISTORY OVER THE PAST 7 YEARS...IT WOULD SEE LIKELY THIS LINE WOULD
DIVE TOWARD THE BEST LAPSE RATES INTO SOUTHERN LOWER...BUT OF COURSE
STRONGLY ORGANIZED SYSTEMS OFTEN TAKE ON LIVES OF THEIR OWN. SIMPLY
PUT...WILL CONTINUE TO REALLY HIT THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT HARD ON
SOCIAL MEDIA/WEB/ETC. AND WATCH REAL-TIME LATEST TRENDS AS WE GET
INTO MONDAY.

WOW...THAT WAS A LOT. GOOD THING THE REST OF THE PERIOD LOOKS RATHER
QUIET. LOW LEVEL RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO WORK EAST FROM THE PLAINS
INTO THE LOWER LAKES ON TUESDAY...AS THERMAL TROUGHING AND NOTABLY
DRIER AIR RUSH INTO THE NORTHERN LAKES DURING THE SAME PERIOD. THAT
SETUP FAVORS INCREASING AMOUNTS OF SUNSHINE AND A RETURN TO TYPICAL
NORTHERN MICHIGAN SUMMERTIME WEATHER - TEMPS INTO THE UPPER 60S/70S
AND COMFORTABLE HUMIDITY LEVELS. COULD SEE A TOUCH MORE CLOUD COVER
BY TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS A VERY WEAK SHORTWAVE OR TWO
TRAVERSE THE OVERALL NORTHWEST FLOW REGIME INTO OUR AREA...BUT A
SEVERE LACK OF MOISTURE WILL PRECLUDE ANY PRECIP POTENTIAL...DESPITE
PHANTOM GUIDANCE ATTEMPTS TO SQUEEZE OUT A ROGUE SHOWER OR TWO AT
TIMES.

&&

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 333 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015

UPPER LEVEL FLOW REMAINS ZONAL FOR A COUPLE MORE DAYS...UNTIL RIDING
BEGINS TO BUILD OUT WEST SATURDAY AND TROUGHING BEGINS TO TAKE FORM
OVER THE GREAT LAKES. LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH THE REGION LATE IN
THE WEEK WILL BRING THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS. SOME SIGNS REMAIN
FOR LOW CHANCE PERIODIC SHOWERS OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT THE TREND IS
GETTING DRIER. WILL NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES NOW...BUT WILL NOT BE
SURPRISED TO SEE THE WEEKEND CHANCES DIMINISH OVER THE COMING DAYS.
EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 131 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015

MVFR CIGS PLN THIS AFTERNOON. FOG TONIGHT (MAINLY LATE) ALL SITES.

LOW PRESSURE IS MOVING EAST AWAY FROM THE GREAT LAKES
REGION...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE POKES NORTH INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY.
PLENTY OF LINGERING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE...CONTRIBUTING TO CU
DEVELOPMENT AND (ACROSS UPPER MI) STRATUS. THIS STRATUS HAS
LEAKED DOWN TO PLN...WITH MVFR CIGS RESULTING. THESE WILL LIFT
LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WITH LIGHT WINDS AND CLEARING SKIES
TONIGHT...FOG IS LIKELY EVERYWHERE. CONDITIONS WILL VARY FROM MVFR
(APN/TVC) TO IFR (MBL/PLN). FOG WILL LIFT QUICKLY MONDAY MORNING.

LIGHT NW BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SOME LAKE BREEZE COMPONENTS.
LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT...A S TO SE WIND DEVELOPING MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
ISSUED AT 333 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015

SOME AREAS OF FOG WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE WATERS INTO TONIGHT...
PARTICULARLY OVER LAKES MICHIGAN AND SUPERIOR...THOUGH INCREASING
SOUTHERLY WINDS SHOULD GRADUALLY SHOVE MOST OF THE COVERAGE OUT OF
THE NEARSHORE WATERS ON MONDAY. THE BIGGER CONCERN IS A PERIOD OF
STRONGER WINDS LATER MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY NIGHT...AS VERY
STRONG FLOW JUST OFF THE SURFACE CRANKS UP AHEAD OF AN INCOMING COLD
FRONT. WE SHOULD SEE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF
THAT FEATURE...SOME OF WHICH COULD BE SEVERE WITH VERY STRONG WINDS
BY THEMSELVES. OUTSIDE OF THAT...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RAMP UP TO
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS...WITH GUSTY CONDITIONS CONTINUING EVEN
BEHIND THE FRONT FOR MANY AREAS INTO TUESDAY MORNING. CALMER HIGH
PRESSURE LOOKS TO ARRIVE LATER TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH A
RETURN TO MUCH MORE TRANQUIL WINDS MAINLY 15 KNOTS OR LESS AND LOW
WAVES.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 PM MONDAY TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
     LHZ345>349.

LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 PM MONDAY TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
     LMZ341-342.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 2 PM MONDAY TO 8 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR
     LMZ323-344>346.

LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 PM MONDAY TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
     LSZ321-322.

&&

NEAR TERM...JAZ
SHORT TERM...LAWRENCE
LONG TERM...ALM
AVIATION...JAZ
MARINE...LAWRENCE
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 21, 3:21 PM EDT, 42 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
321 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-
042-221200-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
321 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON...AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

AREAS OF DENSE FOG ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WATERS AND
FOR INLAND AREAS AS WELL OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN
MICHIGAN MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE...PARTICULARLY ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. AS
THINGS STAND NOW...ONE ROUND OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE FROM
SOUTH TO NORTH BETWEEN 2 PM AND 6 PM...WITH A SECOND ROUND ARRIVING
FROM THE WEST BETWEEN 6 PM AND MIDNIGHT.

THE MAIN THREAT FROM ANY STORMS ON MONDAY WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...
WITH A FEW TORNADOES ALSO POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...A COUPLE STORMS
MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND LOCALIZED VERY HEAVY
RAINS. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO THE AREA ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED
TO MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

ADDITIONAL SMALL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FOUND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. THESE STORMS WILL NOT BE SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ON MONDAY. HOWEVER...SPOTTERS
ARE ALWAYS ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND RAINFALL
AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. REPORTS MAY BE MADE ONE
OF THREE WAYS:

ONLINE:   WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
FACEBOOK: FACEBOOK.COM/NWSGAYLORD
TWITTER:  TWITTER.COM/NWSGAYLORD

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD.

LAWRENCE

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Michigan, 2015Every small craft advisory in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.