Red Flag Warning 7, NWS Amarillo, TX

359 
WWUS84 KAMA 072040
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
340 PM CDT TUE APR 7 2015

TXZ001-006-007-011>013-016>018-081215-
/O.EXT.KAMA.FW.W.0008.150408T1500Z-150409T0100Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150408T0100Z/
DALLAM-HARTLEY-MOORE-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-
ARMSTRONG-
340 PM CDT TUE APR 7 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE WESTERN AND
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE...
...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE
WESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN TEXAS...DALLAM...HARTLEY...MOORE...OLDHAM...
   POTTER...CARSON...DEAF SMITH...RANDALL AND ARMSTRONG.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...TODAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER
  GUSTS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL EARLY THIS EVENING. ON WEDNESDAY... SOUTHWEST
  WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 5 TO 
  10 PERCENT ARE ANTICIPATED BOTH TODAY AND WEDNESDAY.

* TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BEGIN
  AROUND 11 AM AND END AROUND 8 PM ON WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE FAVORABLE WEATHER FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD. AVOID
ACTIVITIES THAT PROMOTE OPEN FLAMES AND SPARKS.

REMEMBER...IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES INITIAL FIREFIGHTING
EFFORTS...COUNTY JUDGES CAN AUTHORIZE LOCAL OFFICIALS TO ENFORCE
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS OF PERSONAL PROPERTY.

&&

$$

OKZ001>003-TXZ002>005-008>010-014-015-019-020-081215-
/O.EXT.KAMA.FW.W.0008.150408T1500Z-150409T0100Z/
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-GRAY-WHEELER-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
340 PM CDT TUE APR 7 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND THE NORTH CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT WEDNESDAY. 

* AFFECTED AREA...IN OKLAHOMA...CIMARRON...TEXAS AND BEAVER. IN 
  TEXAS...SHERMAN...HANSFORD...OCHILTREE...LIPSCOMB...
  HUTCHINSON... ROBERTS...HEMPHILL...GRAY...WHEELER...DONLEY AND 
  COLLINGSWORTH.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
  HIGHER GUSTS BY MID-MORNING ON WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUE UNTIL THE
  EARLY EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 5 TO 
  10 PERCENT ARE ANTICIPATED.

* TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO 
  BEGIN AROUND 10 AM AND END AROUND 8 PM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE FAVORABLE WEATHER FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD. AVOID
ACTIVITIES THAT PROMOTE OPEN FLAMES AND SPARKS.

REMEMBER...IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES INITIAL FIREFIGHTING
EFFORTS...COUNTY JUDGES CAN AUTHORIZE LOCAL OFFICIALS TO ENFORCE
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS OF PERSONAL PROPERTY.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AMA (ALL LOWER CASE)

COCKRELL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1044 PM CDT MON APR 6 2015

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF CYCLE
A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO NEAR THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE BY 12Z TUESDAY...HOWEVER THIS FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE THREE TAF SITES THROUGH THE TAF
FORECAST PERIOD OF 06Z WEDNESDAY. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ALONG
WITH WEST AND SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS INCREASING TO AROUND 15
TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS AT THE AMARILLO AND DALHART TAF SITES
AFTER 16Z TO 18Z TUESDAY...AND AROUND 10 TO 20 KNOTS AT THE GUYMON
TAF SITE. THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO AROUND 5 TO 15 KNOTS AGAIN AT
ALL THREE TAF SITES AFTER 00Z TO 01Z WEDNESDAY.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 646 PM CDT MON APR 6 2015/

AVIATION...
00Z TAF CYCLE
A SOUTHWEST UPPER FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR MAINLY SOME HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
ACROSS THE PANHANDLES THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE TAF FORECAST PERIOD. A SURFACE LOW OVER EASTERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO WILL KEEP A COLD FRONT JUST NORTH AND EAST OF
THE THREE TAF SITES THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY. THIS COLD FRONT MAY MOVE
SOUTH AND WEST INTO THE EXTREME NORTHEASTERN PANHANDLES BY 00Z
WEDNESDAY WITH GENERALLY SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY WINDS 15 TO 25
KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 15 KNOTS AFTER 01Z
TUESDAY...THEN INCREASING AGAIN AFTER 15Z TO 16Z TUESDAY OF AROUND 15
TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

SCHNEIDER

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 420 PM CDT MON APR 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS TYPICAL OF EARLY APRIL HAVE BEEN IN FULL
SWING TODAY AS SFC LEESIDE TROF OF LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS. EXPECT WINDS
TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING...THEN PICK UP AGAIN TUESDAY ALTHOUGH SPEEDS
SHOULD NOT BE AS STRONG AS THOSE OBSERVED TODAY. DOWNRIGHT WINDY
CONDITIONS ARE FORESEEN AGAIN WEDNESDAY AS SFC LOW PRESSURE
STRENGTHENS IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROF
AND ITS ATTENDANT COLD FRONT. THESE FEATURES ARE FORECAST TO MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA WED NIGHT WITH COOLER TEMPS IN STORE FOR THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY. HOWEVER...NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT.

IT APPEARS MOST MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE SUGGESTING SOME SORT OF SRN
STREAM UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST AND THROUGH WEST TEXAS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. A MODEL
CONSENSUS SOLUTION WARRANTS SLIGHT CHC FOR SHOWERS AND TSTMS OVER ERN
ZONES SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. HAVE INSERTED LOW POPS FOR THAT
AREA DURG THE WEEKEND. CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO MENTION PRECIP THREAT
ANY FURTHER WEST AT THIS TIME...SO HAVE KEPT POPS BELOW MENTIONABLE
IN THE WRN AND CNTRL SECTIONS. THIS STORM SYSTEM IS PROGGED TO BE
EAST OF THE REGION NEXT MONDAY WITH NO POPS ANYWHERE ON THAT DAY.

ANDRADE

FIRE WEATHER...
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS ALL OF THE
OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES THROUGH 8 PM THIS EVENING DUE TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ALONG WITH
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 5 AND 12 PERCENT. CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING ACROSS THE WESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE DUE TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ALONG WITH FORECAST
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 5 TO 10 PERCENT. CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ALSO ANTICIPATED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING ACROSS THE ENTIRE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES DUE TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ALONG WITH FORECAST
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 5 TO 10 PERCENT. ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS MOST OF THE
AREA DUE TO NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH ALONG WITH FORECAST MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 12 TO 20 PERCENT.

ANDRADE

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ARMSTRONG...CARSON...
     COLLINGSWORTH...DALLAM...DEAF SMITH...DONLEY...GRAY...
     HANSFORD...HARTLEY...HEMPHILL...HUTCHINSON...LIPSCOMB...
     MOORE...OCHILTREE...OLDHAM...POTTER...RANDALL...ROBERTS...
     SHERMAN...WHEELER.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ARMSTRONG...CARSON...
     DALLAM...DEAF SMITH...HARTLEY...MOORE...OLDHAM...POTTER...
     RANDALL.

OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BEAVER...CIMARRON...TEXAS.

&&

11/11

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
340 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2015

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-072100-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
340 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS THE WESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE
DUE TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ALONG WITH
FORECAST MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 5 TO 10 PERCENT. A
RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING.
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE REMAINDER OF
THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES AS ALTHOUGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL ALSO FALL TO AROUND TO 5 TO 10 PERCENT...WIND SPEEDS WILL
BE LIGHTER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ALSO ANTICIPATED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE ENTIRE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES DUE
TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ALONG WITH
FORECAST MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 5 TO 10 PERCENT. A RED
FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING.

ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AFTERNOON
ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA DUE TO NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH ALONG WITH
FORECAST MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 10 TO 20 PERCENT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. SOME STORMS
THAT FORM MAY HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME STRONG OR SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

AREA FIRE MANAGERS AND EMERGENCY OFFICIALS ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA AND
TEXAS PANHANDLES SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...AND THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

CLK