Flash Flood Watch 1, NWS Amarillo, TX

Beaver County, OK, Texas County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Carson County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Dallam County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Donley County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hartley County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Moore County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Sherman County, TX, Wheeler County, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
259 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST
NORTHEAST ACROSS WEST TEXAS AND INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA BY TUESDAY
MORNING. SEVERAL BOUNDARIES ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE
SHOULD HELP DEVELOP CONVECTION. SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL MINOR VORT MAXES
WILL ALSO ROTATE NORTHEAST FROM THE UPPER LOW THIS AFTERNOON AND
OVERNIGHT. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE WILL ALSO BE PRESENT OVER THE
PANHANDLES. WITH ALL OF THIS IN MIND...BELIEVE THAT THE PANHANDLES
MAY SEE SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...BUT ALSO HEAVY RAIN WILL BE A
THREAT. HAVE GONE AHEAD AND ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH OVER
ABOUT THE EASTERN HALF OF THE PANHANDLES VALID FROM NOW THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS AREA STANDS THE BEST CHANCE OF HEAVY RAIN-
PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS. THE RAIN WILL SLOWLY DECREASE MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY MORNING AS THE UPPER LOW PULLS AWAY FROM THE
PANHANDLES.

THE PANHANDLES WILL DRY OUT AND WARM UP THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK. A POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER TROUGH WILL TRAVERSE THE PLAINS
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THERE IS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTH ON SATURDAY AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE
TRIES TO IMPINGE ON THE UPPER RIDGE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
RAINFALL MAY EXCEED FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE ESPECIALLY IN THE
EASTERN PANHANDLES...SO WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR THE POSSIBILITY
OF SOME FLOODING ISSUES. WIDESPREAD 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN WITH
LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                47  49  37  61  40 /  90  80  30  10  10
BEAVER OK                  46  49  39  65  41 / 100  90  40   5  10
BOISE CITY OK              42  50  35  62  39 / 100  80  10   5   5
BORGER TX                  47  48  40  64  42 /  90  90  30  10  10
BOYS RANCH TX              47  49  37  63  39 /  90  80  20  10   5
CANYON TX                  48  50  38  61  39 /  80  70  30  20  10
CLARENDON TX               51  54  42  62  44 /  80  80  40  20  10
DALHART TX                 44  46  36  62  39 / 100  80  20   5  10
GUYMON OK                  45  48  38  64  40 / 100  90  20   0  10
HEREFORD TX                47  49  38  61  39 /  80  70  20  10   5
LIPSCOMB TX                48  49  41  64  42 / 100  90  50  10  10
PAMPA TX                   47  48  39  61  42 /  90  90  40  10  10
SHAMROCK TX                52  54  43  63  43 /  90  80  50  20  10
WELLINGTON TX              54  56  45  64  44 /  80  80  50  20  10

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ARMSTRONG...CARSON...COLLINGSWORTH...DONLEY...GRAY...
     HANSFORD...HEMPHILL...HUTCHINSON...LIPSCOMB...OCHILTREE...
     ROBERTS...WHEELER.

OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BEAVER...TEXAS.

&&

06/15

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