Alert archive / Maryland / Coastal Flood Statements in 2015
Coastal Flood Statement 13, NWS Wakefield, VA
NWS Wakefield, VA issued this coastal flood statement at Sep 24, 2015, 5:47 AM EDT for Dorchester County, Somerset County, Wicomico County, Maryland. It took effect at Sep 24, 2015, 9:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 18 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 24, 2015, 5:47 AM EDT (09:47 UTC)
- In effect from
- Sep 24, 2015, 9:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Sep 25, 2015, 3:23 AM EDT
- In force
- 18 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Wakefield, VA
Counties Dorchester County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Wicomico County, MD
The nearest sounding before it
Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 00:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 57 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1301 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 18 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -54 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 22 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
300
WHUS41 KAKQ 240947
CFWAKQ
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
547 AM EDT THU SEP 24 2015
NCZ102-VAZ098-241800-
/O.CON.KAKQ.SU.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-150925T1000Z/
/O.CON.KAKQ.BH.S.0005.000000T0000Z-150925T0000Z/
OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-VIRGINIA BEACH-
547 AM EDT THU SEP 24 2015
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
* HAZARDS...LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND A HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS.
* LOCATION...CURRITUCK COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA BEACH.
* SURF HEIGHT...7 TO 9 FEET.
* IMPACTS...LARGE AND BREAKING WAVES WILL BE DANGEROUS TO ANYONE WHO ENTERS
THE SURF. THERE WILL ALSO BE DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND BEACH EROSION.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY
AREA. LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE.
A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN THREATS SUCH AS RIP CURRENTS...
LONGSHORE CURRENTS...LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND OTHER HAZARDS ARE POSSIBLE.
CAUTION SHOULD BE USED WHEN IN OR NEAR THE WATER.
PLEASE VISIT THE FOLLOWING WEBSITE TO SHARE YOUR THOUGHTS ON THE NEW BEACH
HAZARDS STATEMENT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=CHMBHS
&&
$$
MDZ021>023-241800-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.CF.S.0013.150924T1300Z-150925T1700Z/
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-
547 AM EDT THU SEP 24 2015
...WATER LEVELS WILL APPROACH MINOR FLOODING THRESHOLDS...
* LOCATION...CHESAPEAKE BAY COASTAL AREAS OF THE LOWER MARYLAND
EASTERN SHORE.
* TIMING...A FEW HOURS EITHER SIDE OF HIGH TIDE LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACTS...INUNDATION OF WATER IN AND NEAR LOW-LYING COASTAL AREAS
COULD LEAD TO ROAD CLOSURES AND FLOODING OF PROPERTY.
ALL TIDE HEIGHTS ARE REFERENCED TO MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. TIME OF
HIGH TOTAL TIDE IS APPROXIMATE TO NEAREST HOUR. TOTAL TIDE
COMBINES ASTRO TIDE AND SURGE. FLOOD CATEGORY BASED ON TOTAL
TIDE.
CAMBRIDGE MD
MINOR 3.5 FT, MODERATE 4.0 FT, SEVERE 4.5 FT
TOTAL ASTRO
DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
---------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
24/01 PM 2.5 1.9 0.5 3 NONE
24/02 PM 2.5 1.9 0.5 3 NONE
25/02 AM 3.1 2.3 0.7 3 NONE
25/02 PM 3.2 2.1 0.9 3 NONE
26/03 AM 3.5 2.3 1.0 3 MINOR
26/03 PM 3.0 2.2 0.9 3 NONE
BISHOPS HEAD MD
MINOR 3.3 FT, MODERATE 3.8 FT, SEVERE 4.3 FT
TOTAL ASTRO
DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
---------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
24/05 AM 1.6 0.6 0.8 3 NONE
24/11 AM 3.1 2.1 0.9 3 NONE
25/12 AM 3.2 2.2 0.8 3 NONE
25/12 PM 3.5 2.3 1.0 3 MINOR
26/12 AM 3.9 2.5 1.1 3 MODERATE
26/01 PM 3.4 2.4 1.1 3 MINOR
27/01 AM 3.5 2.6 1.1 3 MINOR
$$
MDZ025-VAZ099-100-241800-
/O.CON.KAKQ.BH.S.0005.000000T0000Z-150925T0000Z/
MARYLAND BEACHES-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA-
547 AM EDT THU SEP 24 2015
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
* HAZARDS...LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND A HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS.
* LOCATION...AREA BEACHES FROM OCEAN CITY MARYLAND AND THE VIRGINIA
EASTERN SHORE.
* SURF HEIGHT...5 TO 7 FEET.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DANGEROUS SHOREBREAK OF 4 FEET OR GREATER CAN CAUSE NECK AND SPINAL INJURIES...
AFFECTING EVEN THE MOST ABLE SWIMMERS. SHOREBREAK OCCURS WHEN WAVES BREAK
DIRECTLY ON THE BEACH POTENTIALLY CAUSING NECK AND HEAD INJURIES.
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS MEANS WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS SUPPORT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF VERY STRONG RIP CURRENTS...ESPECIALLY IN THE VICINITY OF
JETTIES...PIERS...AND SANDBARS. THESE RIP CURRENTS WILL BE LIFE-THREATENING TO
ANYONE WHO ENTERS THE SURF. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS WITH OUTGOING TIDES WHICH
IMPROVE RIP CURRENT FORMATION. ALL BEACH GOERS SHOULD REMAIN AWARE OF INHERENT
DANGERS WHEN ENTERING THE SURF INCLUDING SWIFT LONGSHORE CURRENTS...POUNDING
SHORE BREAK AND SHALLOW SAND BARS.
ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS. PAY ATTENTION TO FLAGS AND SIGNS POSTED
NEAR BEACH ACCESS POINTS AND LIFEGUARD STATIONS.
&&
A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN THREATS SUCH AS RIP CURRENTS...
LONGSHORE CURRENTS...LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND OTHER HAZARDS ARE POSSIBLE.
CAUTION SHOULD BE USED WHEN IN OR NEAR THE WATER.
PLEASE VISIT THE FOLLOWING WEBSITE TO SHARE YOUR THOUGHTS ON THE NEW BEACH
HAZARDS STATEMENT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=CHMBHS
&&
$$
444 follow-up statements
967
WHUS41 KAKQ 241555
CFWAKQ
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1155 AM EDT THU SEP 24 2015
NCZ102-VAZ098-250000-
/O.CON.KAKQ.SU.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-150925T1000Z/
/O.CON.KAKQ.BH.S.0005.000000T0000Z-150925T0000Z/
OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-VIRGINIA BEACH-
1155 AM EDT THU SEP 24 2015
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
* HAZARDS...LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND A HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS.
* LOCATION...CURRITUCK COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA BEACH.
* SURF HEIGHT...7 TO 9 FEET.
* IMPACTS...LARGE AND BREAKING WAVES WILL BE DANGEROUS TO ANYONE WHO ENTERS
THE SURF. THERE WILL ALSO BE DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND BEACH EROSION.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY
AREA. LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE.
A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN THREATS SUCH AS RIP CURRENTS...
LONGSHORE CURRENTS...LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND OTHER HAZARDS ARE POSSIBLE.
CAUTION SHOULD BE USED WHEN IN OR NEAR THE WATER.
PLEASE VISIT THE FOLLOWING WEBSITE TO SHARE YOUR THOUGHTS ON THE NEW BEACH
HAZARDS STATEMENT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=CHMBHS
&&
$$
MDZ021>023-250000-
/O.CON.KAKQ.CF.S.0013.000000T0000Z-150925T1700Z/
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-
1155 AM EDT THU SEP 24 2015
...WATER LEVELS WILL APPROACH MINOR FLOODING THRESHOLDS...
* LOCATION...CHESAPEAKE BAY COASTAL AREAS OF THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.
* TIMING...A FEW HOURS EITHER SIDE OF HIGH TIDE LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACTS...INUNDATION OF WATER IN AND NEAR LOW-LYING COASTAL AREAS COULD LEAD
TO ROAD CLOSURES AND FLOODING OF PROPERTY.
&&
ALL TIDE HEIGHTS ARE RELATIVE TO MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.
TIME OF THE HIGH TOTAL TIDES ARE APPROXIMATE TO THE NEAREST HOUR.
TOTAL TIDE COMBINES ASTRO TIDE AND SURGE.
FLOOD CATEGORY BASED ON TOTAL TIDE.
CAMBRIDGE MD
MINOR 3.5 FT, MODERATE 4.0 FT, SEVERE 4.5 FT
TOTAL ASTRO
DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
---------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ---------
24/02 PM 2.9 1.9 1.0 3 NONE
25/02 AM 3.1 2.3 0.8 3 NONE
25/02 PM 3.0 2.1 0.9 3 NONE
26/03 AM 3.3 2.3 1.0 3 MINOR
26/03 PM 3.1 2.2 0.9 3 NONE
27/04 AM 3.2 2.3 0.9 3 NONE
BISHOPS HEAD MD
MINOR 3.3 FT, MODERATE 3.8 FT, SEVERE 4.3 FT
TOTAL ASTRO
DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
---------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ---------
24/11 AM 2.9 2.1 0.8 3 NONE
25/12 AM 3.0 2.2 0.8 3 NONE
25/12 PM 3.3 2.3 1.0 3 MINOR
26/12 AM 3.5 2.4 1.1 3 MINOR
26/01 PM 3.5 2.4 1.1 3 MINOR
27/01 AM 3.5 2.4 1.1 3 MINOR
SAXIS VA
TOTAL ASTRO
DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
---------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ---------
24/09 PM 3.2 2.8 0.4 3
24/10 PM 3.3 2.8 0.5 3
25/10 AM 3.3 2.7 0.6 3
25/11 PM 3.7 2.9 0.8 3
26/11 AM 3.6 2.9 0.7 3
27/12 AM 3.6 3.0 0.6 3
$$
MDZ025-VAZ099-100-250000-
/O.CON.KAKQ.BH.S.0005.000000T0000Z-150925T0000Z/
MARYLAND BEACHES-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA-
1155 AM EDT THU SEP 24 2015
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
* HAZARDS...LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND A HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS.
* LOCATION...AREA BEACHES FROM OCEAN CITY MARYLAND AND THE VIRGINIA EASTERN
SHORE.
* SURF HEIGHT...5 TO 7 FEET.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DANGEROUS SHOREBREAK OF 4 FEET OR GREATER CAN CAUSE NECK AND SPINAL INJURIES...
AFFECTING EVEN THE MOST ABLE SWIMMERS. SHOREBREAK OCCURS WHEN WAVES BREAK
DIRECTLY ON THE BEACH POTENTIALLY CAUSING NECK AND HEAD INJURIES.
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS MEANS WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS SUPPORT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF VERY STRONG RIP CURRENTS...ESPECIALLY IN THE VICINITY OF
JETTIES...PIERS...AND SANDBARS. THESE RIP CURRENTS WILL BE LIFE-THREATENING TO
ANYONE WHO ENTERS THE SURF. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS WITH OUTGOING TIDES WHICH
IMPROVE RIP CURRENT FORMATION. ALL BEACH GOERS SHOULD REMAIN AWARE OF INHERENT
DANGERS WHEN ENTERING THE SURF INCLUDING SWIFT LONGSHORE CURRENTS...POUNDING
SHORE BREAK AND SHALLOW SAND BARS.
ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS. PAY ATTENTION TO FLAGS AND SIGNS POSTED
NEAR BEACH ACCESS POINTS AND LIFEGUARD STATIONS.
&&
A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN THREATS SUCH AS RIP CURRENTS...
LONGSHORE CURRENTS...LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND OTHER HAZARDS ARE POSSIBLE.
CAUTION SHOULD BE USED WHEN IN OR NEAR THE WATER.
PLEASE VISIT THE FOLLOWING WEBSITE TO SHARE YOUR THOUGHTS ON THE NEW BEACH
HAZARDS STATEMENT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=CHMBHS
$$
$$992
WHUS41 KAKQ 242200
CFWAKQ
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
600 PM EDT THU SEP 24 2015
NCZ102-VAZ098-250600-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.SU.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-150926T0000Z/
/O.EXT.KAKQ.BH.S.0005.000000T0000Z-150926T0000Z/
OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-VIRGINIA BEACH-
600 PM EDT THU SEP 24 2015
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...
* HAZARDS...LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND A HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS.
* LOCATION...CURRITUCK COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA BEACH.
* SURF HEIGHT...7 TO 9 FEET.
* IMPACTS...LARGE AND BREAKING WAVES WILL BE DANGEROUS TO ANYONE WHO ENTERS
THE SURF. THERE WILL ALSO BE DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND BEACH EROSION.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY
AREA. LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE.
A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN THREATS SUCH AS RIP CURRENTS...
LONGSHORE CURRENTS...LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND OTHER HAZARDS ARE POSSIBLE.
CAUTION SHOULD BE USED WHEN IN OR NEAR THE WATER.
PLEASE VISIT THE FOLLOWING WEBSITE TO SHARE YOUR THOUGHTS ON THE NEW BEACH
HAZARDS STATEMENT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=CHMBHS
&&
$$
MDZ025-VAZ099-100-250600-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.BH.S.0005.000000T0000Z-150926T0000Z/
MARYLAND BEACHES-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA-
600 PM EDT THU SEP 24 2015
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...
* HAZARDS...LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND A HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS.
* LOCATION...AREA BEACHES FROM OCEAN CITY MARYLAND AND THE VIRGINIA EASTERN
SHORE.
* SURF HEIGHT...5 TO 7 FEET.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DANGEROUS SHOREBREAK OF 4 FEET OR GREATER CAN CAUSE NECK AND SPINAL INJURIES...
AFFECTING EVEN THE MOST ABLE SWIMMERS. SHOREBREAK OCCURS WHEN WAVES BREAK
DIRECTLY ON THE BEACH POTENTIALLY CAUSING NECK AND HEAD INJURIES.
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS MEANS WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS SUPPORT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF VERY STRONG RIP CURRENTS...ESPECIALLY IN THE VICINITY OF
JETTIES...PIERS...AND SANDBARS. THESE RIP CURRENTS WILL BE LIFE-THREATENING TO
ANYONE WHO ENTERS THE SURF. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS WITH OUTGOING TIDES WHICH
IMPROVE RIP CURRENT FORMATION. ALL BEACH GOERS SHOULD REMAIN AWARE OF INHERENT
DANGERS WHEN ENTERING THE SURF INCLUDING SWIFT LONGSHORE CURRENTS...POUNDING
SHORE BREAK AND SHALLOW SAND BARS.
ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS. PAY ATTENTION TO FLAGS AND SIGNS POSTED
NEAR BEACH ACCESS POINTS AND LIFEGUARD STATIONS.
&&
A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN THREATS SUCH AS RIP CURRENTS...
LONGSHORE CURRENTS...LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND OTHER HAZARDS ARE POSSIBLE.
CAUTION SHOULD BE USED WHEN IN OR NEAR THE WATER.
PLEASE VISIT THE FOLLOWING WEBSITE TO SHARE YOUR THOUGHTS ON THE NEW BEACH
HAZARDS STATEMENT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=CHMBHS
$$
MDZ021>023-250600-
/O.CON.KAKQ.CF.S.0013.000000T0000Z-150925T1700Z/
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-
600 PM EDT THU SEP 24 2015
...WATER LEVELS WILL APPROACH MINOR FLOODING THRESHOLDS...
* LOCATION...CHESAPEAKE BAY COASTAL AREAS OF THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.
* TIMING...A FEW HOURS EITHER SIDE OF HIGH TIDE LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACTS...INUNDATION OF WATER IN AND NEAR LOW-LYING COASTAL AREAS COULD LEAD
TO ROAD CLOSURES AND FLOODING OF PROPERTY.
&&
ALL TIDE HEIGHTS ARE RELATIVE TO MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.
TIME OF THE HIGH TOTAL TIDES ARE APPROXIMATE TO THE NEAREST HOUR.
TOTAL TIDE COMBINES ASTRO TIDE AND SURGE.
FLOOD CATEGORY BASED ON TOTAL TIDE.
CAMBRIDGE MD
MINOR 3.5 FT, MODERATE 4.0 FT, SEVERE 4.5 FT
TOTAL ASTRO
DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
---------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ---------
25/02 AM 3.0 2.3 0.7 3 NONE
25/02 PM 2.9 2.1 0.8 3 NONE
26/03 AM 3.1 2.3 0.8 3 NONE
26/03 PM 3.2 2.2 1.0 3 NONE
27/04 AM 3.6 2.3 1.4 3 MINOR
BISHOPS HEAD MD
MINOR 3.3 FT, MODERATE 3.8 FT, SEVERE 4.3 FT
TOTAL ASTRO
DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
---------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ---------
25/12 AM 3.1 2.2 0.9 3 NONE
25/12 PM 3.2 2.3 0.9 3 NONE
26/12 AM 3.3 2.4 0.9 3 MINOR
26/01 PM 3.5 2.4 1.1 3 MINOR
27/01 AM 3.8 2.4 1.4 3 MODERATE
27/01 PM 4.1 2.4 1.7 3 MODERATE
SAXIS VA
TOTAL ASTRO
DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
---------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ---------
24/10 PM 3.4 2.8 0.6 3
25/10 AM 3.4 2.7 0.7 3
25/11 PM 3.6 2.9 0.7 3
26/11 AM 3.5 2.9 0.6 3
27/12 AM 3.9 3.0 0.9 3
27/12 PM 4.3 3.2 1.1 3
$$
$$304
WHUS41 KAKQ 242344
CFWAKQ
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
744 PM EDT THU SEP 24 2015
NCZ102-VAZ098-250745-
/O.CON.KAKQ.SU.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-150926T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAKQ.BH.S.0005.000000T0000Z-150926T0000Z/
OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-VIRGINIA BEACH-
744 PM EDT THU SEP 24 2015
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...
* HAZARDS...LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND A HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS.
* LOCATION...CURRITUCK COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA BEACH.
* SURF HEIGHT...7 TO 9 FEET.
* IMPACTS...LARGE AND BREAKING WAVES WILL BE DANGEROUS TO ANYONE WHO ENTERS
THE SURF. THERE WILL ALSO BE DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND BEACH EROSION.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY
AREA. LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE.
A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN THREATS SUCH AS RIP CURRENTS...
LONGSHORE CURRENTS...LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND OTHER HAZARDS ARE POSSIBLE.
CAUTION SHOULD BE USED WHEN IN OR NEAR THE WATER.
PLEASE VISIT THE FOLLOWING WEBSITE TO SHARE YOUR THOUGHTS ON THE NEW BEACH
HAZARDS STATEMENT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=CHMBHS
&&
$$
MDZ021>023-250745-
/O.CON.KAKQ.CF.S.0013.000000T0000Z-150925T1700Z/
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-
744 PM EDT THU SEP 24 2015
...WATER LEVELS WILL APPROACH MINOR FLOODING THRESHOLDS...
* LOCATION...CHESAPEAKE BAY COASTAL AREAS OF THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.
* TIMING...A FEW HOURS EITHER SIDE OF HIGH TIDE LATE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACTS...INUNDATION OF WATER IN AND NEAR LOW-LYING COASTAL AREAS COULD LEAD
TO ROAD CLOSURES AND FLOODING OF PROPERTY.
&&
&&
ALL TIDE HEIGHTS ARE RELATIVE TO MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.
TIME OF THE HIGH TOTAL TIDES ARE APPROXIMATE TO THE NEAREST HOUR.
TOTAL TIDE COMBINES ASTRO TIDE AND SURGE.
FLOOD CATEGORY BASED ON TOTAL TIDE.
CAMBRIDGE MD
MINOR 3.5 FT, MODERATE 4.0 FT, SEVERE 4.5 FT
TOTAL ASTRO
DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
---------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ---------
25/02 AM 3.0 2.3 0.7 3 NONE
25/02 PM 2.9 2.1 0.8 3 NONE
26/03 AM 3.1 2.3 0.8 3 NONE
26/03 PM 3.2 2.2 1.0 3 NONE
27/04 AM 3.6 2.3 1.4 3 MINOR
BISHOPS HEAD MD
MINOR 3.3 FT, MODERATE 3.8 FT, SEVERE 4.3 FT
TOTAL ASTRO
DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
---------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ---------
25/12 AM 3.1 2.2 0.9 3 NONE
25/12 PM 3.2 2.3 0.9 3 NONE
26/12 AM 3.3 2.4 0.9 3 MINOR
26/01 PM 3.5 2.4 1.1 3 MINOR
27/01 AM 3.8 2.4 1.4 3 MODERATE
27/01 PM 4.1 2.4 1.7 3 MODERATE
SAXIS VA
TOTAL ASTRO
DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
---------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ---------
24/10 PM 3.4 2.8 0.6 3
25/10 AM 3.4 2.7 0.7 3
25/11 PM 3.6 2.9 0.7 3
26/11 AM 3.5 2.9 0.6 3
27/12 AM 3.9 3.0 0.9 3
27/12 PM 4.3 3.2 1.1 3
$$
MDZ025-VAZ099-100-250745-
/O.CON.KAKQ.BH.S.0005.000000T0000Z-150926T0000Z/
MARYLAND BEACHES-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA-
744 PM EDT THU SEP 24 2015
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...
* HAZARDS...LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND A HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS.
* LOCATION...AREA BEACHES FROM OCEAN CITY MARYLAND AND THE VIRGINIA EASTERN
SHORE.
* SURF HEIGHT...5 TO 7 FEET.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DANGEROUS SHOREBREAK OF 4 FEET OR GREATER CAN CAUSE NECK AND SPINAL INJURIES...
AFFECTING EVEN THE MOST ABLE SWIMMERS. SHOREBREAK OCCURS WHEN WAVES BREAK
DIRECTLY ON THE BEACH POTENTIALLY CAUSING NECK AND HEAD INJURIES.
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS MEANS WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS SUPPORT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF VERY STRONG RIP CURRENTS...ESPECIALLY IN THE VICINITY OF
JETTIES...PIERS...AND SANDBARS. THESE RIP CURRENTS WILL BE LIFE-THREATENING TO
ANYONE WHO ENTERS THE SURF. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS WITH OUTGOING TIDES WHICH
IMPROVE RIP CURRENT FORMATION. ALL BEACH GOERS SHOULD REMAIN AWARE OF INHERENT
DANGERS WHEN ENTERING THE SURF INCLUDING SWIFT LONGSHORE CURRENTS...POUNDING
SHORE BREAK AND SHALLOW SAND BARS.
ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS. PAY ATTENTION TO FLAGS AND SIGNS POSTED
NEAR BEACH ACCESS POINTS AND LIFEGUARD STATIONS.
&&
A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN THREATS SUCH AS RIP CURRENTS...
LONGSHORE CURRENTS...LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND OTHER HAZARDS ARE POSSIBLE.
CAUTION SHOULD BE USED WHEN IN OR NEAR THE WATER.
PLEASE VISIT THE FOLLOWING WEBSITE TO SHARE YOUR THOUGHTS ON THE NEW BEACH
HAZARDS STATEMENT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=CHMBHS
$$
$$851 WHUS41 KAKQ 250723 CFWAKQ COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 323 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2015 MDZ021>023-250830- /O.CAN.KAKQ.CF.S.0013.000000T0000Z-150925T1700Z/ DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET- 323 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2015 ...THE THREAT FOR MINOR COASTAL FLOODING EARLY THIS MORNING HAS ENDED ACROSS THE CHESAPEAKE BAY COASTAL AREAS OF THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.... $$ NCZ102-VAZ098-251530- /O.EXT.KAKQ.SU.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-150927T2200Z/ /O.CON.KAKQ.BH.S.0005.000000T0000Z-150926T0000Z/ OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-VIRGINIA BEACH- 323 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2015 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY... ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... * HAZARDS...LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND A HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS. * LOCATION...CURRITUCK COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA BEACH. * SURF HEIGHT...7 TO 9 FEET. * IMPACTS...LARGE AND BREAKING WAVES WILL BE DANGEROUS TO ANYONE WHO ENTERS THE SURF. THERE WILL ALSO BE DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND BEACH EROSION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA. LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN THREATS SUCH AS RIP CURRENTS... LONGSHORE CURRENTS...LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND OTHER HAZARDS ARE POSSIBLE. CAUTION SHOULD BE USED WHEN IN OR NEAR THE WATER. PLEASE VISIT THE FOLLOWING WEBSITE TO SHARE YOUR THOUGHTS ON THE NEW BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=CHMBHS $$ MDZ025-VAZ099-100-251530- /O.CON.KAKQ.BH.S.0005.000000T0000Z-150926T0000Z/ MARYLAND BEACHES-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA- 323 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2015 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... * HAZARDS...LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND A HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS. * LOCATION...AREA BEACHES FROM OCEAN CITY MARYLAND AND THE VIRGINIA EASTERN SHORE. * SURF HEIGHT...5 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DANGEROUS SHOREBREAK OF 4 FEET OR GREATER CAN CAUSE NECK AND SPINAL INJURIES... AFFECTING EVEN THE MOST ABLE SWIMMERS. SHOREBREAK OCCURS WHEN WAVES BREAK DIRECTLY ON THE BEACH POTENTIALLY CAUSING NECK AND HEAD INJURIES. A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS MEANS WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF VERY STRONG RIP CURRENTS...ESPECIALLY IN THE VICINITY OF JETTIES...PIERS...AND SANDBARS. THESE RIP CURRENTS WILL BE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE WHO ENTERS THE SURF. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS WITH OUTGOING TIDES WHICH IMPROVE RIP CURRENT FORMATION. ALL BEACH GOERS SHOULD REMAIN AWARE OF INHERENT DANGERS WHEN ENTERING THE SURF INCLUDING SWIFT LONGSHORE CURRENTS...POUNDING SHORE BREAK AND SHALLOW SAND BARS. ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS. PAY ATTENTION TO FLAGS AND SIGNS POSTED NEAR BEACH ACCESS POINTS AND LIFEGUARD STATIONS. && A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN THREATS SUCH AS RIP CURRENTS... LONGSHORE CURRENTS...LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND OTHER HAZARDS ARE POSSIBLE. CAUTION SHOULD BE USED WHEN IN OR NEAR THE WATER. PLEASE VISIT THE FOLLOWING WEBSITE TO SHARE YOUR THOUGHTS ON THE NEW BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=CHMBHS && $$ 44
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this coastal flood statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this coastal flood statement went out at Sep 24, 4:06 AM EDT, 1 hour 41 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 24, 4:06 AM EDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
406 AM EDT THU SEP 24 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO NEW ENGLAND THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...WHILE LOW PRESSURE REMAINS OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST. HIGH
PRESSURE PUSHES OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY...REMAINING RIDGED OVER THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. THIS PATTERN
WILL RESULT IN UNSETTLED WEATHER AND BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
LATEST GOES WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS UPPER LOW SPINNING OVER THE
GULF STATES EARLY THIS MORNING. ENERGY VISIBLE ON WV CURRENTLY
LIFTING NWD OVER THE CAROLINAS...HELPING ENHANCE SHOWERS ALONG A
COASTAL BOUNDARY OVER ERN NC. MEANWHILE...STRONG SFC HIGH PRESSURE
LOCATED OVER ONTARIO REMAINS RIDGED OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION.
THE RESULT IS ONGOING ONSHORE FLOW. LATEST RADAR TRENDS DEPICT AN
OVERALL WEAKENING OF THE SHOWERS AS THEY LIFT TOWARD THE ALBEMARLE
SOUND...INTERACTING WITH A DRY BL AND WEAK LIFT. THIS MATCHES WELL
WITH LATEST HI-RES GUIDANCE AND NAM12 300K ISENTROPIC LIFT. EXPECT
ANY MEASURABLE PRECIP TO REMAIN CONFINED TO THE ALBEMARLE SOUND AND
SWD THIS MORNING.
LITTLE CHANGE IN THE OVERALL UPPER AND SFC PATTERN EXPECTED TODAY.
MID LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES THIS AFTERNOON...BUT BUFR SOUNDINGS
DEPICT A RELATIVELY DRY BOUNDARY LAYER NORTH OF THE VA/NC BORDER.
DEEPER MOISTURE EXPECTED ACROSS SRN VA AND NE NC...ALONG WITH
ISENTROPIC LIFT AND MID LEVEL VORT ENERGY ROTATING NWD AROUND THE
UPPER LOW. HAVE RETAINED CHANCE POPS. QPF AMOUNTS WILL BE
LIGHT...WITH AMOUNTS GENERALLY LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH.
LITTLE CHANGE IN HEIGHTS...H85 TEMPS AND THICKNESSES WILL RESULT IN
SIMILAR TEMPS COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80. SKY AVERAGES PARTLY CLOUDY NORTH TO CLOUDY
SOUTH.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
UPPER LOW LIFTS SLOWLY NORTH AND WEST THRU THE SHORT TERM...LOCATING
OVER THE MIDWEST SAT. THIS AS THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER ERN
CANADA. AT THE SFC...ANOMALOUS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SWD ACROSS SE
CANADA AND NEW ENGLAND THRU SAT...LOCATING ALONG THE NORTHEAST COAST
LATE SATURDAY. THE HIGH WILL RIDGE SWWD OVER THE THE LOCAL
AREA...RESULTING IN A HYBRID WEDGE AND CONTINUED ONSHORE FLOW.
MEANWHILE...ENERGY LIFTING AROUND THE ERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER LOW
WILL RESULT IN CYCLOGENESIS ALONG THE COASTAL TROUGH THIS WEEKEND.
STRONG ELY FLOW WILL RESULT IN GOOD MOISTURE ADVECTION AND HIGH
PWATS (AOA 2 INCHES). VORTICITY MAXIMA AND GOOD ISENTROPIC LIFT IN
THE 300K SURFACE OVER AN INCREASINGLY MOIST AIR MASS WILL RESULT IN
PRECIP SPREADING INTO THE REGION LATE THURS NIGHT. DRY AIR AND
SUBSIDENCE OVER THE NRN LOCAL AREA WILL KEEP PRECIP CONFINED TO THE
SRN LOCAL AREA THROUGH FRI...BEFORE THE COLUMN MOISTENS UP AND
OVERRUNNING PRECIP SPREADS NWD LATE FRI AND FRI NIGHT. SAT WILL BE A
COOL/WET/CLOUDY DAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE LOCAL AREA...WITH LIKELY POPS
FORECAST NWD TO THE INTERSTATE 64 CORRIDOR. HAVE TRIMMED BACK ON
QPF...AS THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL LIKELY FALL SOUTH OF THE LOCAL AREA.
AMOUNTS THRU SAT RANGE FROM AROUND ONE TENTH OF AN INCH IN THE NORTH
TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH IN THE SOUTH.
A MOSTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY SKY AND PERIODS OF PRECIP WILL RESULT IN
COOL DAYS AND LITTLE DIURNAL TREND. HIGHS FRI GENERALLY IN THE MID
70S WITH LOWS FRI NIGHT IN THE LOW TO MID 60S (LOW 70S NEAR THE
COAST). HIGHS SAT WARM INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S (UPPER 60S
PIEDMONT).
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
MODEL DIFFERENCES CONTINUE THROUGH THE LATER HALF OF THE WEEKEND
INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE 12Z/23 GFS CONTINUES TO DEPICT A
DEFINED SURFACE LOW OFF THE COAST BY SUNDAY DRIVING INTO THE HIGH TO
THE N...WHILE THE 12Z/23 ECMWF MAINTAINS AN INVERTED TROUGH OFF THE
CAROLINA COAST BENEATH A STRONG HIGH OVER THE NORTHEAST. FORECAST
POPS REMAIN 40-50% N...TO 50-60% S SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH 40-50% AREA-
WIDE SUNDAY. SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY SHOULD BE MOSTLY CLOUDY TO
OVERCAST WITH ONSHORE FLOW REGARDLESS OF WHICH SCENARIO EVENTUALLY
VERIFIES. EITHER SOLUTION WILL PROMOTE A CAD-WEDGE OVER THE
PIEDMONT...SO TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLEST OVER THE PIEDMONT AND
MILDER ALONG THE COAST AS WATER TEMPS REMAIN IN THE 70S. FORECAST
HIGHS SUNDAY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S FAR W...TO THE LOW/MID 70S
FROM I-95 TO THE COAST. SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY APPEARS TO BE MORE OF A
TRANSITION TIME AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES ACROSS THE REGION.
POPS TAPER OFF TO 20-30%...BUT LINGERING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND WEAK
FLOW WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVER THE AREA BY TUESDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM
THE NW. THE 12Z ECMWF IS ABOUT 24HRS QUICKER WITH THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE THAN THE 12Z GFS. MOISTURE APPEARS LIMITED WITH THIS FRONT.
HIGHS WILL LIKELY REACH THE LOW 80S INLAND AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
MSTR FROM WAVE ALONG CSTL FRNT ALRDY STARTING TO ROTATE WESTWARD
ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS AND WILL LIKELY OVRSPRD THE ALBEMARLE SND
BEFORE 12Z. MOST AREAS REMAIN VFR AT 06Z XCPT AT ORF WHERE MVFR
SC COMING IN OFF THE WATER. XPCT ECG TO GO MVFR NEXT FEW HRS AS
MSTR CONTS TO ROTATE NNW. MODELS HAVE HIGH PRES TO THE NORTH
SUPPRESSING MOST PCPN DRNG THE DAYLIGHT HRS XCPT AT ECG WHERE MVFR
CIGS WILL CONT. HELD OFF ON INCLUDING ANY PCPN AT ORF AS LTST
MODELS DON'T SPREAD THE MSTR NORTH OF THE NC/VA BRDR UNTIL AFTR
00Z. SPORATIC RAIN WILL LIKELY TAKE VSBYS DOWN AT ECG THRU OUT
THE DAY. PRS GRDNT BTWN THE SYSTMS CONTS THE GUSTY NE FLOW OFF THE
WATER WITH GUSTS ALONG THE COAST 15-25 KTS. THE RAIN IS PROGGED TO
SLOWLY CREEP NORTH TONIGHT REACHING ORF/PHF BY 12Z FRI.
OUTLOOK...THE WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SE COAST CONTINUES TO
DEVELOP AND PULLS ATLANTIC MOISTURE OVER THE AREA FROM FRIDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY. WITH THE OVERUNNING PATTERN AND DEEP EASTERLY
FLOW...EXPECT WIDESPREAD MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
PERIOD. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE ON MONDAY AS THE SFC LOW FINALLY
PULLS AWAY FROM THE COAST.
&&
.MARINE...
ONLY CHANGE TO HEADLINES THIS FCST PACKAGE WAS TO EXTND THEM OUT
ANTHR 12 HRS (THRU FRI NIGHT) AS THE PRS GRDNT BTWN HIGH PRS TO THE
NORTH AND LOW PRS OFF THE SE COAST CONTS THE PERSISTANT NE FLOW INTO
THE WEEKEND. ADDNTL HEADLINES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THRU THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND AS THE NE FLOW CONTS.
IN THE NEAR TERM...WINDS ACROSS THE RIVERS HAVE DROPPED BLO SCA LVLS
PAST SVRL HRS BUT XPCT THEM TO INCREASE INTO SCA LVLS BY MID-LATE
MORNING AS MIXING INCREASES. HEADLINES OVR THE RIVERS WILL BE TRICKY
AS THEY WILL LIKELY DROP OFF AT NIGHT BEFORE INCRG AGAIN FRI. OTW...
CSTL WTR AND SRN CHES BAY/CURRITUCK SND GUSTS WILL BE CAPPED AT 30
KTS FOR NOW. GFS IS THE OUTLIER MODEL BY FCSTG GALES ACROSS THE LWR
CHES BAY AND OCEAN THIS WEEKEND. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINITY OF THIS
DVLPNG CSTL LOW...CONTINUED TO FAVOR A NAM/SREF BLEND WHICH IS WHY
GUSTS HAVE BEEN CAPPED BLO GALES. STILL PLNTY OF TIME TO UPGRADE
HEADLINES IF NEED BE. SEAS ACROSS THE SRN CSTL WTRS ALRDY AOA 8 FT
(6-7 FT NRN CSTL WTRS) SO THE HIGH SURF ADVSRY / HIGH RIP CRNT
THREAT CONTS WITH CONFIDENCE HIGH ENUF TO XTND THE HIGH SURF ADVSRY
ANTHR 12 HRS (THRU TONIGHT).
NEARSHORE WAVES REMAIN HIGH THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH SUBSTANTIAL
BEACH EROSION LIKELY DUE TO PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW. THE WIND SHOULD
FINALLY RELAX EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILD INTO THE REGION.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
STRONG NE FLOW CONTS TO PRODUCE TIDAL DEPARTURES OF 1.0 TO 1.5 FT
ABOVE NORMAL...BUT THESE LEVELS HAVE FALLEN SHORT OF ANY MINOR
FLOODING THRESHOLDS. DATA SUGGESTS ANTHR ROUND OF NUISANCE/MINOR
FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS EVENINGS HIGH TIDE. ANOTHER
ROUND OF ELEVATED WATER LEVELS AND POTENTIAL MINOR TO MODERATE
COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS ARE POSSIBLE BY LATER FRIDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
&&
.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
NC...HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR NCZ102.
VA...HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR VAZ098.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
ANZ635>637.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ630>634-
638-650-652-654-656-658.
&&
SYNOPSIS...SAM
NEAR TERM...SAM
SHORT TERM...SAM
LONG TERM...AJZ
AVIATION...MPR
MARINE...MPR
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 24, 4:07 AM EDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 407 AM EDT THU SEP 24 2015 MDZ025-VAZ099-100-250815- MARYLAND BEACHES-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA- 407 AM EDT THU SEP 24 2015 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE OF MARYLAND AND THE EASTERN SHORE OF VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ102-VAZ098-250815- OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-VIRGINIA BEACH- 407 AM EDT THU SEP 24 2015 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH HAMPTON ROADS VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH SURF ADVISORY. HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. MDZ021>024-NCZ012>017-030>032-VAZ048-060>062-064>069-075>090-092-093- 095>097-509>525-250815- DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-NORTHAMPTON NC- HERTFORD-GATES-PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-INLAND CURRITUCK-BERTIE-CHOWAN- PERQUIMANS-FLUVANNA-PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-CAROLINE- MECKLENBURG-LUNENBURG-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-POWHATAN-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND- NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-BRUNSWICK-DINWIDDIE-PRINCE GEORGE- CHARLES CITY-NEW KENT-GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-GREENSVILLE- SUSSEX-SURRY-JAMES CITY-SOUTHAMPTON-ISLE OF WIGHT-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH- SUFFOLK-CHESAPEAKE-WESTERN LOUISA-EASTERN LOUISA-WESTERN HANOVER- EASTERN HANOVER-WESTERN CHESTERFIELD-EASTERN CHESTERFIELD- WESTERN HENRICO-EASTERN HENRICO-WESTERN KING WILLIAM- EASTERN KING WILLIAM-WESTERN KING AND QUEEN-EASTERN KING AND QUEEN- WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-YORK-NEWPORT NEWS-HAMPTON/POQUOSON- 407 AM EDT THU SEP 24 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE OF MARYLAND...COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...INTERIOR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EAST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...INTERIOR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH HAMPTON ROADS VIRGINIA...THE MIDDLE PENINSULA OF VIRGINIA...THE NORTHERN NECK OF VIRGINIA...THE PENINSULA OF SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AND THE PIEDMONT OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. MINNICK
Nearby
Coastal Flood Statements in Maryland, 2015Every coastal flood statement in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.