Storm Warning 65, NWS Juneau, AK

962 
FZAK52 PAJK 300700 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1000 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-310100-
1000 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF TUESDAY
NIGHT...THEN WEAKEN AND LINGER OVER THE EASTERN GULF WEDNESDAY. 

$$

PKZ041-310100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
1000 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 14 FT LATE. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 FT
BUILDING TO 20 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.THU...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-310100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
1000 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 60 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 
60 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.THU...S GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-310100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
1000 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. GUSTS
TO 55 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING
TO 16 FT LATE. 
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 20 FT BUILDING
TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT
LATE. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 22 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT LATE. RAIN.
.THU...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-310100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
1000 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT LATE. GUSTS TO
60 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT OVERNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT
BUILDING TO 17 FT LATE. 
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-310100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
1000 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS
BUILDING TO 20 FT LATE. 
.WED...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 70 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 22 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 18 FT
SUBSIDING TO 16 FT LATE. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 



$$

030 
FZAK52 PAJK 300702 CCA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1000 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-310100-
1000 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF TUESDAY
NIGHT...THEN WEAKEN AND LINGER OVER THE EASTERN GULF WEDNESDAY. 

$$

PKZ041-310100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
1000 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 14 FT LATE. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 FT
BUILDING TO 20 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.THU...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-310100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
1000 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 60 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 
60 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.THU...S GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-310100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
1000 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 
BUILDING TO 16 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 20 FT BUILDING
TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT
LATE. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 22 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT LATE. RAIN.
.THU...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-310100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
1000 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT LATE. SEAS 
BUILDING TO 17 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-310100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
1000 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS
BUILDING TO 20 FT LATE. 
.WED...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 70 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 22 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 18 FT
SUBSIDING TO 16 FT LATE. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 



$$

818 
FZAK52 PAJK 301234
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-310100-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE FRONT WILL LINGER IN THE CENTRAL GULF WEDNESDAY
BEFORE MOVING TO THE EAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO THE PANHANDLE
ON THURSDAY.  

$$

PKZ041-310100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015 

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. GUSTS
TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS
18 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT LATE. RAIN LATE.
.THU...SE GALE TO 45 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 60 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-310100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTS
TO 55 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO
23 FT LATE. RAIN LATE.
.THU...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT BECOMING S GALE TO 40 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 25 FT SUBSIDING TO 21 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-310100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015 

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE IN THE MORNING.
GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING. GUSTS TO 65
KT. SEAS 25 FT BUILDING TO 27 FT LATE. RAIN.
.THU...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 65 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 26 FT SUBSIDING TO
20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-310100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015 

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING. GUSTS
TO 65 KT. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING. GUSTS TO 65
KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 65 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 27 FT SUBSIDING TO
20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-310100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015 

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN
BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN
THE MORNING. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE
MORNING. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
254 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES. WE HAVE A BREAK IN
THE WEATHER TODAY BEFORE THE NEXT FRONT MOVES INTO THE FORECAST
AREA TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

AS OF TUESDAY AFTERNOON, THERE IS A HIGH OVER INTERIOR BRITISH
COLUMBIA, AND A DEVELOPING LOW MOVING INTO CENTRAL GULF OVERNIGHT.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A CLEAR DRY SLOT COMING INTO THE BACK
SIDE OF THIS DEVELOPING CYCLONE, WHICH IS INDICATIVE OF FURTHER
INTENSIFICATION OF THIS CYCLONE. A WELL DEVELOPED WEATHER FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STRONG LOW IS FORECASTED TO MOVE INTO THE GULF
OF ALASKA TONIGHT, BRINGING IN STORM FORCE WINDS AND HIGH SEAS OF
20 FT OR GREATER INTO THE OUTER COAST. BY WEDNESDAY THIS STORM
FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF AND SLOW DOWN ITS
EASTWARD PROGRESSION AND SLOWLY WEAKEN. BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON,
THERE WILL BE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS IN SOUTHERN LYNN
CANAL, CROSS SOUND, SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT, SUMNER STRAIT, AND
CLARENCE STRAIT. GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO BE FOUND ON LAND AREAS ALONG
THE OUTER COAST.

PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE ALONG THE WEATHER FRONT. HEAVY RAIN WILL
SPREAD INTO YAKUTAT AREA ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. AROUND ONE INCH OF
RAINFALL EXPECTED IN YAKUTAT AREA. BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, MENTION
CHANCE OF RAIN FOR GUSTAVUS, ELFIN COVE, AND HAINES. PRECIPITATION
WILL BE HAVING A TOUGH TIME TO SPREAD FURTHER INLAND, AS THE FRONT
STALLS OVER EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA. PRECIPITATION TYPE SHOULD BE
ALL RAIN EXCEPT FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF KLONDIKE AND HAINES
HIGHWAYS. SNOW LEVEL WILL BE ABOVE 2000 FEET NEAR YAKUTAT, AROUND
1000 TO 1500 FEET ELSEWHERE.

MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED TONIGHT FOR SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. A FEW
CLEAR BREAKS WILL ALSO DEVELOP ELSEWHERE. WITH LIGHT WINDS AND
REMNANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE, THINK THAT THERE WILL BE FOG POTENTIAL
TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING, ESPECIALLY FOR SOUTHERN PANHANDLE
AREA INCLUDING ANGOON, PETERSBURG, WRANGELL, KETCHIKAN, AND
KLAWOCK. PATCHY FOG EXPECTED IN HOONAH, GUSTAVUS, AND JUNEAU.
CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEATHER FRONT WILL SPREAD INTO THE
PANHANDLE DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOUT AVERAGE. MADE LITTLE OR NO CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST PACKAGE. USES ECMWF TO ADJUST THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS.

.LONG TERM...STALLED GALE FORCE FRONT WILL BE ORIENTED N-S OVER
THE GULF AT THE START OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD...WITH A WARM
CONVEYOR BELT CHARACTERIZED BY PW VALUES NEAR 2 SD SPREADING N
ALONG THE FRONT AND ACROSS AKZ017. THIS MOISTURE COMBINED WITH
LOW-LEVEL ELYS ALONG THE COAST/ENHANCED CONVERGENCE AND
OROGRAPHIC ASCENT IS FORECAST TO YIELD A MULTI-INCH RAINFALL EVENT
FROM YAKUTAT WWD WED NIGHT AND THU /HI-RES WRF GUIDANCE SHOWS 2
INCHES PER 6 HRS AT 06Z THU/. DUE TO THE EXPECTED POSITION OF
THE HIGHEST PRECIP TOTALS...HYDRO ISSUES FOR THE SITUK RIVER ARE
NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM.

PROGRESSIVE UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE NERN
GULF AND NRN PANHANDLE BY 00Z FRI...WHICH WILL SHUNT THE FRONT
EWD TOWARD THE COAST OF THE CNTRL/SRN PANHANDLE...AFTER WHICH IT
IS FORECAST TO WASH OUT THU NIGHT. SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
TIGHTEN OVER THE SRN HALF OF THE PANHANDLE AS THE FRONT
APPROACHES...RESULTING IN SMALL CRAFT WINDS /POSSIBLE GALE FOR
CLARENCE STRAIT/ OVER THE CNTRL/SRN INNER CHANNELS...AND GUSTS
APPROACHING STRONG WIND CRITERIA FOR AKZ027 /AND PERHAPS 28/.

THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE REGION WILL MOVE NE ACROSS
THE GULF FRI EVENING...AND THEN ADVANCE ONSHORE OVER THE
PANHANDLE BY LATE FRI NIGHT. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO YIELD A
HIGHER PROBABILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE CNTRL/SRN PANHANDLE
FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT. AFTER THIS FRONT EXITS...RESIDUAL MOIST
SWLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT RAIN OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH
SUN. HOWEVER...MODEL TRENDS SHOW UPPER HEIGHTS AMPLIFYING NWWD
ACROSS THE REGION HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHICH SIGNALS THE
POTENTIAL FOR DRIER WEATHER. CURRENT FORECAST REFLECTS THIS TREND
WITH LOWER POP AND QPF MON-WED.

INHERITED PRESSURE GRIDS WERE LEFT UNCHANGED THROUGH SAT...THEN
NUDGED TOWARD WPC FROM 12Z SUN ONWARD. WINDS WERE TRENDED UPWARD
OVER THE SRN MARINE AND LAND ZONES WED NIGHT-FRI NIGHT. REMAINDER
OF THE INHERITED GRIDS WERE UPDATED WITH AN ENSEMBLE BLEND WERE
NECESSARY.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FOR PKZ052.
         GALE WARNING FOR PKZ041>043-051.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ013-022-033-035-036.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ053.

&&

RCL/GARNER

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAU