Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2015

Storm Warning 55, NWS Juneau, AK

November 20, 2015

NWS Juneau, AK issued this storm warning at Nov 20, 2015, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 21 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 20, 2015, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired
Nov 21, 2015, 1:20 PM AKST
In force
21 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

092 
FZAK51 PAJK 210033
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-211400-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE E ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND
SE ALASKA FRI NIGHT AND SAT.  

$$

PKZ011-211400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
55 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-211400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 60 KT.
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 35 KT
LATE. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-211400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN IN THE
MORNING...THEN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-211400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
BECOMING SW 40 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 60 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING
TO 8 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-211400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 
65 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 19 FT BUILDING TO 
23 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE.
GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-211400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-211400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN IN THE
MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-211400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 50 KT.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-211400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. GUSTS TO
50 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN IN THE
MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-211400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-211400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
45 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$
3 follow-up statements
907 
FZAK51 PAJK 211318
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-220100-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WITH GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT SE ALASKA SATURDAY. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH WILL BRING COLD
AIR TO SE ALASKA FROM THE NORTH SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. 

$$

PKZ011-220100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-220100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 50 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AND BECOMING N IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT GALE IN THE EVENING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-220100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-220100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. EAST
OF POINT ADOLPHUS...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-220100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-220100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-220100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-220100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE IN THE MORNING.
GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SEAS HIGHEST NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-220100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-220100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER
GUSTS NEAR THE OCEAN ENTRANCE. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-220100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$
681 
FZAK51 PAJK 211528 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
628 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-220115-
628 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WITH GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT SE ALASKA SATURDAY. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH WILL BRING COLD
AIR TO SE ALASKA FROM THE NORTH SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. 

$$

PKZ011-220115-
GLACIER BAY-
628 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-220115-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
628 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 50 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AND BECOMING N IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT GALE IN THE EVENING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-220115-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
628 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-220115-
ICY STRAIT-
628 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
8 FT. SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 


$$

PKZ022-220115-
CROSS SOUND-
628 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-220115-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
628 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-220115-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
628 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-220115-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
628 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE IN THE MORNING.
GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SEAS HIGHEST NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-220115-
FREDERICK SOUND-
628 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-220115-
SUMNER STRAIT-
628 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER
GUSTS NEAR THE OCEAN ENTRANCE. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-220115-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
628 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$
566 
FZAK51 PAJK 212220 AAB
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
120 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-220115-
120 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WITH GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT SE ALASKA SATURDAY. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH WILL BRING COLD
AIR TO SE ALASKA FROM THE NORTH SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. 

$$

PKZ011-220115-
GLACIER BAY-
120 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-220115-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
120 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AND BECOMING N IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT GALE IN THE EVENING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-220115-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
120 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-220115-
ICY STRAIT-
120 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.REST OF TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 


$$

PKZ022-220115-
CROSS SOUND-
120 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT. GUSTS 65 KT DIMINISHING. SEAS 18 FT
SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-220115-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
120 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-220115-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
120 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
8 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-220115-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
120 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.REST OF TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-220115-
FREDERICK SOUND-
120 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-220115-
SUMNER STRAIT-
120 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER
GUSTS NEAR THE OCEAN ENTRANCE. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-220115-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
120 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.REST OF TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Nov 20, 3:55 PM AKST, 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 20, 3:55 PM AKST, 5 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
355 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

.SHORT TERM...A STRONG OCCLUDED FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN
GULF TONIGHT AND SE ALASKA SAT. A STRONG LOW WILL MOVE NE TO THE
FAR NW GULF BY LATE TONIGHT...THEN WEAKEN SLOWLY NEAR PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND SAT. MODELS WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE MAIN
FEATURES.

MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS WILL BE WINDS...PRECIP AMOUNTS/PTYPE...AND
TEMPS. WINDS WILL PICK UP OVER MUCH OF THE AREA TONIGHT AS
OCCLUDED FRONT MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA. LOOKS LIKE THE STRONGEST
WINDS WILL BE OVER THE NW HALF OF THE AREA...NEAREST TO THE UPPER
JET CORE AND LOW LEVEL JET AXIS. MUCH OF THAT AREA WILL HAVE GALE
FORCE WINDS TONIGHT AND SAT...WITH STORM FORCE WINDS EXPECTED FOR
CROSS SOUND LATE TONIGHT AND NRN LYNN CANAL SAT MORNING AFTER
FRONT MOVES THRU. THERE WILL ALSO BE A BAND OF GALE FORCE WINDS ON
S SIDE OF LOW MOVING INTO THE NRN GULF LATE TONIGHT AND SAT. THERE
WILL BE GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL TO E-CENTRAL GULF
TONIGHT WITH THE OCCLUDED FRONT MOVING THRU. DECIDED TO GO WITH A
HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE PAGY AREA LATE TONIGHT AND SAT AS
STRENGTH OF CROSS BARRIER FLOW AND SLY PRESSURE GRADIENT BOTH
SUPPORT WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH ESPECIALLY SAT MORNING. ALSO...MUCH
OF THE NRN AND CENTRAL AREAS AND SRN COAST WILL SEE STRONG WINDS
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WITH THE PAYA AREA GETTING INTO THE STRONG
WINDS SAT AS WSW FLOW INCREASES THERE ON SE SIDE OF LOW.

PRECIP WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY ESPECIALLY ON THE SW FACING TERRAIN
AHEAD OF THE FRONT. RAINFALL UP TO 4 INCHES IS LIKELY BY LATE SAT
MORNING ALONG THE FAVORED SLOPES. THERE MAY BE CONSIDERABLE RAIN
SHADOWING WITH THIS SYSTEM ON ERN SLOPES AS LOWER LEVELS OF
ATMOSPHERE ARE ONLY WEAKLY STABLE...SO RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL VARY
GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. THE SNOW LEVEL WILL RISE TO AROUND
3500 FEET OVER THE FAR N AND 7000 FEET OVER THE S TONIGHT...THEN
FALL ON SAT AS COLDER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE OCCLUDED FRONT.
RIGHT NOW WE ARE NOT EXPECTING ANY RIVER OR STREAM FLOODING BUT
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS COULD BE AN ISSUE WHERE DEEPER SNOW
REMAINS. PRECIP WILL TRANSITION TO SHOWERS SAT BUT WITH DEPTH OF
UNSTABLE LAYER ONLY INCREASING GRADUALLY...THERE MAY BE MORE
BREAKS IN BETWEEN THE INDIVIDUAL SHOWERS AND BETWEEN THE
STRATIFORM TO CONVECTIVE TRANSITION AFTER FROPA. THE DEEPEST
INSTABILITY WILL BE OVER THE NRN GULF AND ADJACENT COASTAL AREA
SAT...SO EXPECT THE HEAVIEST SHOWERS THERE.

TEMPS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN STEADY OR RISE SLOWLY TONIGHT...WITH
MOST AREAS NEAR SEA LEVEL WELL INTO THE 40S BY LATE TONIGHT. MOST
OF THE ZONE FORECASTS WILL HAVE THAT TEMPERATURE TREND FOR
TONIGHT. HAVE DECIDED TO KEEP THE BLIZZARD WARNING GOING UNTIL
6 PM FOR WHITE PASS...WITH MAINLY THE VERY TOP OF THE PASS HAVING
ANY REMAINING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AS TEMPS ARE CLOSE TO FREEZING
NOW. WARMING TEMPS TO ABOVE FREEZING WILL END THE BLIZZARD THREAT
EARLY IN THE EVENING IN WHITE PASS. THEN...MOST OF THE NRN AND
CENTRAL AREAS WILL SEE TEMPS PEAK SAT MORNING THEN FALL SLOWLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AFTER FROPA ...WHILE THE SRN AREA WILL SEE
TEMPS TEND TO REMAIN STEADY OR RISE ONLY ANOTHER DEGREE OR TWO
BEFORE STEADYING DURING THE DAY SAT.

.LONG TERM...FORECAST LARGELY REMAINS ON TRACK. WESTERLIES AND
SOUTHERLIES WILL BE DIMINISHING SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONT FROM
ABOVE TRACKS TO THE EAST ALLOWING COLDER AIR TO FILTER THROUGH THE
REGION. HOWEVER, WINDS SHOULD REMAIN STRONG WITH 40MPH INTO THE
EVENING FOR AREAS SUCH AS HAINES, GUSTAVUS, ELFIN COVE, AND
POSSIBLY JUNEAU SATURDAY EVENING. SKAGWAY AND WHITE PASS WILL SEE
WINDS REMAIN STRONG THROUGH THE NIGHT. ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN
TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SNOW BEGINNING TO MIX
IN WITH THE RAIN SHOWERS EVEN AT SEA LEVEL BEGINNING SATURDAY
EVENING ONCE AGAIN. THICKNESSES FALL BELOW 1290 LINE FAIRLY
QUICKLY IN THE EVENING. BUT GIVEN TEMPERATURES AND TRAJECTORY OF
COLD AIR ACROSS THE WATER, WE RELIED ON A MORE CONSERVATIVE RAIN-
SNOW LINE OF 1288 M THICKNESS WITHIN THE 1000-850 MB LAYER. SURFACE
TEMPERATURES THOUGH SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING FOR MOST OF THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLE DURING THE NIGHT. BUT HEAVIER SHOWERS MAY
ACCUMULATE SNOW AT SUCH A RATE TO YIELD AN INCH OR
TWO...ESPECIALLY WHERE OROGRAPHICS AID IN THE INSTABILITY SUCH AS
JUNEAU. LOW TEMPERATURES FOR SATURDAY NIGHT WILL ACTUALLY BE
DELAYED UNTIL MID-MORNING SUNDAY, AFTER WHICH THERE WILL BE VERY
LITTLE WARMING INTO THE AFTERNOON...AS COLD AIR ADVECTION
CONTINUES TO OVERWHELM MORE THE MORE TYPICAL DIURNAL TEMPERATURE
CHANGES. AFTER THIS SIGNIFICANT WARM UP ACROSS THE
PANHANDLE...SUNDAY SHOULD FEEL COLD AGAIN.

AS THE SYSTEM SINKS TO THE SOUTHEAST AND OFFSHORE COMPONENTS TAKE
OVER IN THE MID-LEVELS ACROSS THE PANHANDLE...SHOWERS WILL BEGIN
DIMINISHING RAPIDLY SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL ALSO ALLOW SKIES TO
BEGIN CLEARING LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE SETS
UP IN CANADA, AND COUPLED WITH A THERMAL THROUGH HANGING ACROSS
THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PANHANDLE, A WEAK OUTFLOW EVENT MAY SET
UP. AT THIS TIME...NOTHING TOO STRONG. SOME NORTHERLY BREEZES
THROUGH SKAGWAY AND NORTHEASTERLIES INTO DOWNTOWN JUNEAU. PERHAPS
MORE IMPORTANTLY...CLEARING SKIES WILL MAXIMIZE RADIATIONAL
COOLING EVEN WITHIN AN ALREADY CHILLY AIR MASS. THUS WE ARE
LOOKING AT TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS OVER MUCH OF THE NORTH FOR
LOWS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT WITH SINGLE DIGITS POSSIBLE TO
THE FAR NORTH IN HAINES AND SKAGWAY. TWENTIES WILL EXPAND EVEN TO
THE COAST AND TO THE FAR SOUTHERN ZONES. THERE LOOKS TO BE A
WARMUP INTO THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY AS THE STORM TRACK ONCE AGAIN
BECOMES MORE ACTIVE IN THE WESTERN GULF ALLOWING SOUTHERLIES TO
RAISE TEMPERATURES...ESPECIALLY THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.

ONE ISSUE THAT WE HAVE TOUCHED CONCERNS IMPACTS ON TRAVEL SHOULD
FOG DEVELOP ACROSS THE PANHANDLE. CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH, AND OUR
SKILL LEVEL IS NOT GOOD ENOUGH TO GO WITH FOG THIS EARLY, BUT AIR
TRAVELERS OUT OF JUNEAU, PETERSBURG, WRANGELL, KETCHIKAN MAY NEED
TO KEEP ABREAST WITH THE WEATHER TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. IT STILL
REMAINS A POSSIBILITY THAT COULD IMPACT FLIGHTS. FERRY SERVICE
SHOULD BE LESS IMPACTED AS WINDS SHOULD NOT BE AN ISSUE.

WE ADDED SOME RAIN/SNOW CHANCES TOWARD FRIDAY AFTER
THANKSGIVING...BUT THIS QUICKLY LOOKS TO TURN MORE LIQUID AS NEXT
WEEKEND DRAWS CLOSER.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND FROM MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR
     AKZ026.
         STRONG WIND FROM 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR
     AKZ027.
         STRONG WIND UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING FOR AKZ025.
         STRONG WIND FROM MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR AKZ025.
         STRONG WIND THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR AKZ019-022.
         STRONG WIND THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR AKZ023.
         STRONG WIND FROM 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING
     FOR AKZ020.
         STRONG WIND FROM 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR AKZ021.
         HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM AKST SATURDAY FOR AKZ018.
         BLIZZARD WARNING UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING FOR AKZ018.
         STRONG WIND FROM 3 AM AKST SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR AKZ017.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FOR PKZ012-022.
         GALE WARNING FOR PKZ011-013-021-031>034-041>043-051>053.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ035-036.

&&

RWT/JWA

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAU

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 20, 10:11 AM AKST, 5 hours 49 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1011 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0937 AM     SNOW             HAINES                  59.24N 135.44W
11/20/2015  M3.0 INCH                           AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            3 INCHES OF SNOW FELL OVERNIGHT. A SWITCH TO SOUTHEAST
            WINDS CHANGED PRECIPITATION TO RAIN THIS MORNING WITH
            TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

0937 AM     SNOW             11 WSW MOSQUITO LAKE    59.45N 136.36W
11/20/2015  M1.5 INCH                           AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            1.5 INCHES OF SNOW MEASURED AT HAINES CUSTOMS OVERNIGHT.

1010 AM     SNOW             39 NW HAINES            59.64N 136.23W
11/20/2015  E4.0 INCH        XXX                XX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER ESTIMATED 4 INCHES OVERNIGHT AND THIS MORNING AT
            MILE 39 OF THE HAINES HIGHWAY. THIS SITE IS 400 FEET
            ABOVE SEA LEVEL. LIGHT SNOW WAS CURRENTLY FALLING AS OF
            1010 AM.

&&

TPS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 20, 3:41 PM AKSTHigh Wind WarningAJK21 hr
Nov 20, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Nov 20, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Nov 20, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Nov 20, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Nov 21, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Nov 21, 1:20 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK9 hr
Nov 21, 1:20 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK15 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2015Every storm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.