Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2015
Small Craft Advisory 913, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Dec 14, 2015, 7:15 AM AKST. It was in force for 33 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 14, 2015, 7:15 AM AKST (16:15 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 15, 2015, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 33 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
083 FZAK52 PAJK 141615 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 715 AM AKST MON DEC 14 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-151015- 715 AM AKST MON DEC 14 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A GALE FORCE FRONT MOVES FROM THE EASTERN GULF INTO THE PANHANDLE THROUGH THE DAY. THE FRONT WILL WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE MONDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AK GULF MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. $$ PKZ041-151015- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 715 AM AKST MON DEC 14 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT LATE. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. W SWELL. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ042-151015- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 715 AM AKST MON DEC 14 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT LATE. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. W SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. .WED...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ043-151015- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 715 AM AKST MON DEC 14 2015 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY THE AFTERNOON. OUT OF CROSS SOUND...GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT LATE. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. .WED...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ051-151015- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 715 AM AKST MON DEC 14 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. .WED...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ052-151015- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 715 AM AKST MON DEC 14 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. .WED...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$
4 follow-up statements
902 FZAK52 PAJK 150025 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-151400- 400 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A FRONT OVER THE PANHANDLE WILL WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE MONDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AK GULF MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. $$ PKZ041-151400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT. SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE. W SWELL IN THE EVENING. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ042-151400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE. W SWELL IN THE EVENING. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ043-151400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW LATE. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE. W SWELL. .WED...E GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ051-151400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. SW SWELL. .WED...E GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ052-151400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 14 BUILDING TO 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. .WED...E GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$
536 FZAK52 PAJK 150635 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 935 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-151415- 935 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A FRONT OVER THE PANHANDLE WILL WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE MONDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AK GULF MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. $$ PKZ041-151415- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 935 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE. W SWELL IN THE EVENING. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ042-151415- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 935 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE. W SWELL IN THE EVENING. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ043-151415- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 935 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW LATE. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE. W SWELL. .WED...E GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ051-151415- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 935 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. SW SWELL. .WED...E GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ052-151415- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 935 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE...STRONGEST S HALF. SEAS 14 BUILDING TO 17 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. .WED...E GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$
562 FZAK52 PAJK 151237 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST TUE DEC 15 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-160100- 400 AM AKST TUE DEC 15 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AK GULF WILL MOVE OVER THE PANHANDLE BY TUESDAY EVENING. A GALE FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH WEDNESDAY. $$ PKZ041-160100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST TUE DEC 15 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE. W SWELL. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ042-160100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST TUE DEC 15 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT LATE. W SWELL IN THE EVENING. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ043-160100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST TUE DEC 15 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT LATE. W SWELL IN THE EVENING. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT...EXCEPT 45 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ051-160100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST TUE DEC 15 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. SW SWELL. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ052-160100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST TUE DEC 15 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN LATE. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E AND INCREASING TO 40 KT GALE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$
479 FZAK52 PAJK 152210 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 110 PM AKST TUE DEC 15 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-160100- 110 PM AKST TUE DEC 15 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AK GULF WILL MOVE OVER THE PANHANDLE BY TUESDAY EVENING. A GALE FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH WEDNESDAY. $$ PKZ041-160100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 110 PM AKST TUE DEC 15 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE. W SWELL. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ042-160100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 110 PM AKST TUE DEC 15 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT LATE. W SWELL IN THE EVENING. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ043-160100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 110 PM AKST TUE DEC 15 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT LATE. W SWELL IN THE EVENING. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT...EXCEPT 45 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ051-160100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 110 PM AKST TUE DEC 15 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. AREAS OF DRIZZLE. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. SW SWELL. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ052-160100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 110 PM AKST TUE DEC 15 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. AREAS OF DRIZZLE. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN LATE. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E AND INCREASING TO 40 KT GALE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Dec 14, 5:57 AM AKST, 1 hour 18 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 14, 5:57 AM AKST, 1 hour 18 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
557 AM AKST MON DEC 14 2015
.SHORT TERM...GALE FORCE FRONT MOVING FROM THE EASTERN AK GULF
OVER THE PANHANDLE THIS MORNING. AS THE FRONT MOVES EAST TOWARD
THE COAST MOUNTAINS TONIGHT IT WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND SHEAR
APART. UNSTABLE AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL TRANSITION STEADY PRECIP
TO SHOWERS THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. AS THE FRONT MOVES IN
TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN SLOWLY RISING OVERNIGHT. AS OF NOW TEMPS
ARE JUST BELOW OR NEAR FREEZING. TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE
THROUGH THE DAY THEN BECOME STEADY OVERNIGHT OR ONLY DROP A FEW
DEGREES.
SNOW BEGAN IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS STARTING AT YAKUTAT AND
SPREADING EAST. CENTRAL COASTAL AREAS AND SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WILL
START OUT AS, AND CONTINUE AS RAIN. TIMING OF THE FRONT HAS BEEN
ONE OF THE ISSUES THE PAST FEW DAYS SO SNOW TOTALS VARIED BY AN
INCH OR TWO DEPENDING ON THE START TIME. SNOW FALL RATES DID NOT
PICK UP QUITE AS FAST OVERNIGHT SO A FEW LOCATIONS, SUCH AS
JUNEAU, DID NOT GET THE EARLY ADDITION TO STORM TOTAL SNOW.
HEAVIER SNOW FALL ALREADY OCCURRING AT YAKUTAT WITH THE CENTRAL
PANHANDLE RATES HITTING MAXIMUM LEVELS AROUND 7 TO 9 AM. THIS IS
WHEN HIGHEST OMEGA VALUES HIT DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE. SNOWFALL
RATES OF 1 INCH PER HOURS ARE LIKELY DURING THIS PERIOD AND HAVE
ALREADY BEEN REPORTED AT YAKUTAT. THE TIMING OF THESE HEAVIER
RATES WILL CAUSES SOME ISSUES FOR THE MONDAY MORNING COMMUTE. AS
THE FRONT MOVES INLAND AND TEMPERATURES RISE SNOW WILL BEGIN TO
MIX WITH THEN TRANSITION TO MOSTLY RAIN FOR ALL BUT THE NORTHERN
PANHANDLE. BOTH GUSTAVUS AND HOONAH HAVE REACHED 34 F BY 4 AM, SO
EXPECT MORE RAIN THERE. FOR ZONE 17, 18, 19 AND 25 SNOW FALL
AMOUNTS IN THE 3 TO 6 INCH RANGE FOR TODAY WITH ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES TONIGHT FOR 18, 19 AND 25. ELSEWHERE SNOW FALL
AMOUNTS IN THE 1 TO 3 INCH RANGE WITH MOSTLY RAIN TONIGHT.
AMOUNTS TONIGHT FOR LOCATIONS THAT ARE NOT ALL RAIN WILL BE
DEPENDENT ON VARIABLE SNOWFALL RATES AND DISTRIBUTION DUE TO
CONVECTIVE ATMOSPHERE AND TEMPERATURES HOVERING NEAR FREEZING
CAUSING MORE RAIN TO MIX IN.
GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE AK GULF ALONG THE FRONT WILL DROP OFF
THIS MORNING AND SHIFT WEST. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDING OVER
THE GULF WILL KEEP SMALL CRAFT WESTERLY WINDS THROUGH TONIGHT
WITH ANOTHER QUICK BURST OF GALES AS SHORT WAVE MOVES OVER THE N
GULF. INNER CHANNEL WINDS SHIFTED TO THE SOUTH OVERNIGHT AND HAVE
PICKED UP OR WILL SOON REACH SMALL CRAFT LEVELS. OVERLAND WINDS
ALSO GETTING GUSTY AS THE FRONT MOVES IN, THEN DROPPING OFF BY THE
EVENING AND SHIFTING TO THE WEST.
MODELS WERE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT AND HAD LITTLE CHANGE FROM
PREVIOUS FORECAST. NAM STILL MAIN MODEL CHOICE FOR PRESS AND
WINDS, ONLY MINOR CHANGES MADE TO THESE FIELDS. STILL SOME SPREAD
ON TIMING OF PRECIP SO KEPT WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST TIMING AND
PRECIP AMOUNTS. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.
.LONG TERM...SNOWFALL FROM TODAY'S FRONT WILL CONTINUE ON TUESDAY
AS SHOWER ACTIVITY, BUT SNOW RATES ARE NOT EXPECTED TO ADD MUCH TO
WHAT FALLS DURING THIS SHORT TERM FORECAST PERIOD. A COMBINATION
OF RISING SNOW LEVELS AND DIMINISHING POP WILL LIMIT ACCUMULATIONS
TO AROUND AN INCH OR LESS.
TURNING ATTENTION TO THE NEXT WEATHER EVENT...A FRONT WILL ENTER
THE GULF FROM THE SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT TUESDAY AND MAKE ITS
APPROACH ON THE OUTER COAST LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. DEEP LAYER
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND 1000-500MB THICKNESS VALUES SUGGEST THIS TO
BE PRIMARILY A RAIN EVENT. 1000-850 MB THICKNESS VALUES AND LOW
LEVEL OFFSHORE FLOW MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE OF SNOW. SURFACE TEMPS
INDICATE SNOW. IN SUM, THERE IS STILL SOME SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY
REGARDING WHETHER THIS WILL BE PRIMARILY A SNOW OR A RAIN EVENT.
FORECAST AS ISSUED THIS MORNING RETAINS CONTINUITY WITH PREVIOUS
SHIFT AND HAS SOME SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS, BUT AM NOT YET
CONVINCED. GIVEN THIS REPRESENTS DAY 4 OF THE FORECAST, THERE IS
TIME TO STUDY THE SITUATION AND LOOK AT LATER MODEL RUNS FOR MORE
CLARITY.
HAVE MUCH HIGHER CONFIDENCE IN PRE-FRONTAL WINDS THAT WILL PRECEDE
THE THURSDAY FRONT. 40 KT SOUTHEASTERLY GALES WILL SPREAD ACROSS
MOST OF THE EASTERN GULF WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WILL
LIKELY SEE STRONG WIND GUSTS ALONG THE OUTER COAST AS WELL. VERY
STRONG EASTERLY PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL INDUCE GALE OR NEAR GALE
FORCE WINDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY OVER MOST OF THE INNER
CHANNELS AS WELL, AND THIS LOW LEVEL COLD AIR FROM CANADA MAY BE
THE SAVING GRACE FOR PRECIP ON THURSDAY TO FALL IN THE FORM OF
SNOW. WINDS AND PRECIP WILL WIND DOWN FRIDAY AS THE ASSOCIATED LOW
WEAKENS AND MOVE OUT OF THE GULF TO THE SOUTHEAST.
LONG RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATING THE POSSIBILITY OF ANOTHER
STRONG FRONT AFFECTING SOUTHEAST ALASKA DURING THE SECOND HALF OF
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
UPDATED THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A BLEND OF ECMWF AND
CANADIAN NH FOR PRESSURES. WINDS DERIVED FROM GFS22. POP AND QPF
A BLEND OF GFS22 AND CANADIAN NH. REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED RANGE
FORECAST LARGELY UNCHANGED. OVERALL FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
AVERAGE.
&&
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
AKZ018-019-025.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING FOR AKZ017.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ041>043-051-052.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-013-021-022-031>036-053.
&&
PRB/FRITSCH
VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAUIn the hours before
Local storm report, Dec 14, 6:48 AM AKST, 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
648 AM AKST MON DEC 14 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0645 AM SNOW YAKUTAT 59.54N 139.73W
12/14/2015 M4.5 INCH AK NWS EMPLOYEE
SNOW HAS CHANGED OVER TO A RAIN/SNOW MIX.
&&
RCLThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Dec 13, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Dec 13, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Dec 13, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Dec 13, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Dec 14, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 3 hr | |
| Dec 14, 7:25 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 9 hr | |
| Dec 14, 7:39 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 3 hr | |
| Dec 14, 10:56 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 5 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2015Every small craft advisory in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.