Hurricane Force Wind Warning 2, NWS Juneau, AK

261 
FZAK51 PAJK 051529 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
627 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-060930-
627 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER NORTHWESTERN CANADA THROUGH
THURSDAY WHILE A LOW APPROACHES THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF RESULTING
IN STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS THROUGH FRIDAY. 

$$

PKZ011-060930-
GLACIER BAY-
627 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT AND SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-060930-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
627 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015

UPDATED

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...N WIND 60 KT INCREASING TO 65 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 

.TODAY...N WIND 50 KT INCREASING TO 65 KT BY THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 70 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 60 KT DIMINISHING TO STORM FORCE WIND
TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-060930-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
627 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 55 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-060930-
ICY STRAIT-
627 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. 
.FRI...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-060930-
CROSS SOUND-
627 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. 
.FRI...NE GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-060930-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
627 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE MORNING. GUSTS TO
80 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 90 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 45 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 85 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 11 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-060930-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
627 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-060930-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
627 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER
GUSTS NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. HIGHER GUSTS NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SEAS
9 FT. SNOW LATE. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-060930-
FREDERICK SOUND-
627 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT BY THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 60
KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. 
SEAS 9 FT. SNOW LATE. 
.FRI...NE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND DECREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 5 FT.
SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-060930-
SUMNER STRAIT-
627 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. HIGHER
GUSTS OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. HIGHER GUSTS OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS
9 FT. SNOW IN THE EVENING...THEN SNOW AND RAIN LATE. 
.FRI...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 45 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND DECREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 6 FT.
SNOW.
.SAT THROUGH MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-060930-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
627 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING
TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONGEST WINDS NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES AND
OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT AND SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

953 
FZAK51 PAJK 051728 AAB
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
828 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-060100-
828 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER NORTHWESTERN CANADA THROUGH
THURSDAY WHILE A LOW APPROACHES THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF RESULTING
IN STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS THROUGH FRIDAY. 

$$

PKZ011-060100-
GLACIER BAY-
828 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT AND SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-060100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
828 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 50 KT INCREASING TO 65 KT BY THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 70 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 60 KT DIMINISHING TO STORM FORCE WIND
TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-060100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
828 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 55 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-060100-
ICY STRAIT-
828 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. 
.FRI...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-060100-
CROSS SOUND-
828 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. 
.FRI...NE GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-060100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
828 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE MORNING. GUSTS TO
80 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 90 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 45 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 85 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 11 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-060100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
828 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-060100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
828 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER
GUSTS NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. HIGHER GUSTS NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SEAS
9 FT. SNOW LATE. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-060100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
828 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. 
SEAS 9 FT. SNOW LATE. 
.FRI...NE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND DECREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 5 FT.
SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-060100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
828 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. HIGHER
GUSTS OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. HIGHER GUSTS OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS
9 FT. SNOW IN THE EVENING...THEN SNOW AND RAIN LATE. 
.FRI...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 45 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND DECREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 6 FT.
SNOW.
.SAT THROUGH MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-060100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
828 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING
TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONGEST WINDS NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES AND
OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT AND SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
511 PM AKST WED FEB 4 2015

.SHORT TERM...DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS WILL BE THE
PRIMARY WEATHER STORY DURING THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. A 1035 MB HIGH
AND ASSOCIATED ARCTIC AIRMASS OVER THE INTERIOR OF AK AND NWRN
CANADA WILL BUILD SSEWD THROUGH THU AFTERNOON AS A SERIES OF UPPER
DISTURBANCES ROTATE ESE ACROSS THAT REGION. WINDS AT SKAGWAY AND
NRN LYNN CANAL ARE ALREADY RESPONDING TO THE INITIAL SURGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE...AND WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE NIGHT TO
HIGH WIND CRITERIA FOR SKAGWAY...AND STORM FORCE SPEEDS FOR NRN
LYNN CANAL...BY 12Z THU. IN ADDITION...TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS
COMBINED WITH WATER TEMPERATURES AROUND 4C AND THE STRONG NLY
WINDS WILL FAVOR HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY FOR NRN LYNN CANAL.

ELSEWHERE...CROSS BARRIER FLOW IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN TO 50-70
KT BY 18Z OVER DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AND PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. THIS FLOW COMBINED WITH A STRONG
BOUNDARY LAYER INVERSION AND CRITICAL LEVEL NEAR 600 MB WILL FAVOR
HIGH WINDS FOR DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AND S DOUGLAS...WITH GUSTS ABOVE 60
KT LIKELY...AND POSSIBLY REACHING 90 KT BY 03Z FRI.

STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS ARE ALSO FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE INTERIOR
PASSES SURROUNDING YAKUTAT...INVOF GUSTAVUS...ALONG LYNN CANAL
NEAR HAINES...AND PORTLAND CANAL S OF HYDER. GALES WILL BE
WIDESPREAD FOR MOST OF THE INNER CHANNELS...AND GALE FORCE WINDS
WILL ALSO EMANATE FROM INTERIOR BAYS...PASSES...AND CHANNELS AND
SPREAD ACROSS THE OUTSIDE WATERS. FINALLY...TEMPERATURES WILL
HOVER NEAR ZERO AT WHITE PASS...AND WHEN COMBINED WITH NELY WINDS
GUSTING FROM 40-60 MPH...WILL FAVOR WIND CHILL VALUES NEAR
-30F...AS WELL AS BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DUE TO BLOWING SNOW...LATE
TONIGHT THROUGH THU AFTERNOON.

OTHERWISE...AN UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DIG
INTO THE NERN GULF AND WILL BEGIN TO PHASE WITH ANOTHER TROUGH
LOCATED OVER THE SERN GULF/FAR NERN PAC THU AFTERNOON. MOISTURE
WILL SPREAD NWD INTO THE SRN PANHANDLE AS THIS OCCURS AND AID IN
INCREASING PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL. TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO
RESIDE A DEGREE OR TWO BELOW ZERO IMMEDIATELY ABOVE THE
SURFACE...WHICH WILL FAVOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SNOW LATE THU
AFTERNOON FROM KLAWOCK TO KETCHIKAN AND HYDER. COLDEST SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WILL BE LOCATED AT HYDER...THUS CURRENTLY EXPECT THEM
TO HAVE THE GREATEST PROBABILITY FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION.

.LONG TERM...MODELS TRENDING FURTHER N WITH SIGNIFICANT PRECIP FOR
THU NIGHT-FRI NIGHT. PREFERRED 12Z GFS/EC BLEND FOR THEIR HANDLING
OF THE MAIN FEATURES. UPPER TROF WILL SHARPEN OVER THE NE GULF
WHILE SRN STREAM SHORTWAVES MOVE NNE INTO THE SRN AREA DURING THIS
TIME. THE ARCTIC FRONT WILL BE OVER THE SRN PANHANDLE...PROBABLY
JUST N OF A PAKT-PAKW LINE. AS SFC LOW MOVES NWD THU NIGHT...THE
ARCTIC FRONT WILL LIKELY DRIFT A BIT TO THE N AS WARMER AIR MOVES
IN. STRONG OVERRUNNING OF THE ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL OCCUR...AND IT
IS LOOKING MORE LIKELY THAT HEAVY SNOW WILL DEVELOP S OF FREDERICK
SOUND AND N OF A PAKT-PAKW LINE THU NIGHT...THEN MAY GET AS FAR N
AS PAGN FRI. LOOKS LIKE FRONTOGENESIS WILL BE STRONG OVER THE
CENTRAL PANHANDLE AS WELL...ENHANCING SNOWFALL. STILL A TRICKY CALL
FOR THE JUNEAU AREA FOR FRI AS THEY WILL BE ON THE MORE NW SIDE OF
THE PRECIP SHIELD...BUT IF MODELS TREND IT A LITTLE FURTHER
N...PAJN WILL NEED SNOW HEADLINE. ISSUED WINTER STORM WATCH FOR
ZONES 23...24...26...AND 29...ALL THRU 09Z SAT. 29 WILL START AT
03Z FRI...26 AT 09Z FRI...AND 23/24 AT 15Z FRI. THINK THE HEAVY
SNOW FOR 23 WILL BE MAINLY OVER SRN BARANOF ISLAND. SNOWFALL MAY
EXCEED 18 INCHES IN THE PAPG/PAWG/HYDER AREAS...WITH A FOOT OR
MORE POSSIBLE IN PAAP/PAGN AREAS. THINK MOST OF THIS PRECIP WILL
DIMINISH LATER FRI NIGHT AS SRN STREAM SHORTWAVE LIFTS NE OF THE
AREA.

WINDS WILL REMAIN A CONCERN FOR MOST OF THE NRN AND CENTRAL AREA
THRU FRI. THERE WILL BE A VERY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
ARCTIC HIGH TO N AND FAIRLY DEEP LOW TO S THU NIGHT INTO FRI. THE
GRADIENT ALONE WILL GENERATE STORM FORCE NLY WINDS OVER MUCH OF
THE NRN INNER CHANNELS. ALSO LOOKS FAVORABLE FOR TAKU WINDS IN THE
JUNEAU AREA...AND HAVE THE HIGH WIND WARNING LASTING UNTIL 4 PM
FRI THERE. PAGY/WHITE PASS WILL ALSO SEE VERY STRONG WINDS...AND
WHITE PASS WILL ALSO HAVE A LOT OF BLOWING SNOW AND VERY LOW WIND
CHILLS. HAVE ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING FOR WHITE PASS AND HIGH
WIND WARNING FOR LOWER ELEVATIONS OF ZONE 18. WILL KEEP STRONG
WINDS GOING FOR PAHN/PAYA THRU AT LEAST FRI AFTERNOON.

UPPER TROF WILL REDEVELOP FURTHER W OVER THE WEEKEND AS A STRONG
SHORTWAVE TROF DIGS SWD INTO THE WRN GULF. SFC LOW WILL LIKELY
FORM OVER THE CNTRL GULF AND DRIFT NWD...AND WILL SEE INCREASINGLY
MOIST SWLY FLOW ALOFT DEVELOP ESPECIALLY OVER THE NW HALF OF THE
AREA. THIS MAY LEAD TO ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIP FOR THE AREA...WITH
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW OVER THE NW HALF OF THE AREA.
WARMER AIR LOOKS LIKE IT WILL MAKE ITS WAY NWD SUN INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WHICH WILL DIMINISH THE SNOW THREAT FROM THE S.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
     EVENING FOR AKZ026.
         WINTER STORM WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING
     FOR AKZ023-024.
         HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 4 PM AKST FRIDAY FOR
     AKZ025.
         STRONG WIND FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     AKZ020-022-029.
         WINTER STORM WATCH FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING
     FOR AKZ029.
         STRONG WIND FROM MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR AKZ019.
         HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 3 AM THURSDAY TO 4 PM AKST FRIDAY FOR
     AKZ018 AT LOWER ELEVATIONS.
         BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 3 AM THURSDAY TO 4 PM AKST FRIDAY FOR
     AKZ018 NEAR WHITE PASS.
         STRONG WIND THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR AKZ017.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ012.
         STORM WARNING FOR PKZ012-013-043-051.
         GALE WARNING FOR PKZ011-021-022-031>035-041-042-053.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ036-052.

&&

GARNER/RWT

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAU

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1127 PM AKST WED FEB 4 2015

AKZ017>029-060900-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
GLACIER BAY-EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND-
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
EASTERN BARANOF ISLAND AND SOUTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YAKUTAT...SKAGWAY...HAINES...GUSTAVUS...
HOONAH...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...ANGOON...
JUNEAU...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE...CRAIG...KLAWOCK...
KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA...HYDER
1127 PM AKST WED FEB 4 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER TO IMPACT SOUTHEAST ALASKA THROUGH
THIS WEEKEND...

COLD TEMPERATURES AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS ALONG THE KLONDIKE HIGHWAY WITH BLOWING SNOW AND
DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS. VERY GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL REACH AS HIGH
AS 90 MPH IN DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AND DOUGLAS. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE IS
ALSO INDICATING THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE AND HYDER THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY AND THEN OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE INTO THE WEEKEND.
HOWEVER...IF LATEST MODEL TRENDS CONTINUE THE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL
ON FRIDAY COULD EXPAND NORTHWARD TO JUNEAU AND HOONAH.

STAY TUNED TO WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAU FOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS TO THIS DEVELOPING WINTER WEATHER SITUATION.