Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2015

Gale Warning 89, NWS Juneau, AK

January 23, 2015

NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 23, 2015, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 23, 2015, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired
Jan 24, 2015, 4:00 PM AKST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

872 
FZAK52 PAJK 240032
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 23 2015 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-241400-
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 23 2015 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A GALE FORCE LOW OVER THE NE GULF WILL MOVE ONSHORE NEAR YAKUTAT
FRI EVENING. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
PANHANDLE FRI NIGHT. ANOTHER GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE NE INTO
THE SE GULF SAT. 

$$

PKZ041-241400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 23 2015 

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 
BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE EVENING...THEN SUBSIDING TO 15 FT LATE. SW
SWELL.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
14 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS
21 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT LATE. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-241400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 23 2015 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 
24 FT IN THE EVENING...THEN SUBSIDING TO 16 FT LATE. SW SWELL LATE.
RAIN IN THE EVENING.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
16 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-241400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 23 2015 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 
25 FT IN THE EVENING...THEN SUBSIDING TO 17 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE
EVENING. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 40 KT
OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SW SWELL.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-241400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 23 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO
17 FT IN THE EVENING. S SWELL. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT
SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. S SWELL. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-241400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 23 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. S SWELL. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN
IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$
2 follow-up statements
682 
FZAK52 PAJK 240805 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1105 PM AKST FRI JAN 23 2015

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-250215-
1105 PM AKST FRI JAN 23 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A GALE FORCE LOW OVER THE NE GULF WILL MOVE ONSHORE NEAR YAKUTAT
FRI EVENING. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
PANHANDLE FRI NIGHT. ANOTHER GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE NE INTO
THE SE GULF SAT. 

$$

PKZ041-250215-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
1105 PM AKST FRI JAN 23 2015

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 19 FT. SW
SWELL.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
14 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS
21 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT LATE. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-250215-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
1105 PM AKST FRI JAN 23 2015

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SW SWELL.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
16 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-250215-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
1105 PM AKST FRI JAN 23 2015

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS
24 FT. SW SWELL.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 40 KT
OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SW SWELL.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-250215-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
1105 PM AKST FRI JAN 23 2015

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. S SWELL. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT
SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. S SWELL. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-250215-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
1105 PM AKST FRI JAN 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. S SWELL. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN
IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 



$$
851 
FZAK52 PAJK 241300
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 24 2015 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-250100-
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 24 2015 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE NE INTO THE SE GULF SAT AFTERNOON
THEN MAKE LANDFALL NEAR SITKA SAT EVENING. A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL REBUILD OVER THE PANHANDLE SAT NIGHT INTO SUN. 

$$

PKZ041-250100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 24 2015 

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING
TO 26 FT IN THE EVENING...THEN SUBSIDING LATE. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-250100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 24 2015 

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN
BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 45 KT IN THE EVENING THEN
DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE
EVENING...THEN SUBSIDING LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-250100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 24 2015 

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT IN THE EVENING THEN
DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT LATE. RAIN
IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-250100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 24 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN
BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT. S
SWELL. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE LATE EVENING. SEAS
11 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-250100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 24 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE EVENING THEN
INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 23, 3:45 PM AKST, 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 23, 3:45 PM AKST, 15 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
345 PM AKST FRI JAN 23 2015

.SHORT TERM...A GALE FORCE LOW OVER THE NE GULF WILL MOVE ONSHORE NEAR
YAKUTAT THIS EVENING. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BUILD N INTO THE
AREA LATER TONIGHT. ANOTHER GALE FORCE LOW WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE
NE INTO THE SE GULF SAT. GENERALLY USED A GFS/ECMWF/GEM/NAM BLEND
FOR TONIGHT...THEN BASICALLY LEFT SAT AS IS FOR THE MOST PART.

MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS WILL BE WINDS AND PRECIP. RIGHT
NOW...STRONGEST WINDS ARE ON SE SIDE OF LOW...ASSOCIATED WITH
SECOND WRAP OF OCCLUDED FRONT. THESE STRONGER WINDS WILL MOVE
OVER THE NRN PANHANDLE THRU THIS EVENING. MOST PLACES OVER THE NRN
HALF OF THE MAIN PANHANDLE AREA WILL SEE GALES FROM THIS WIND
BAND...WITH POTENTIAL STORM FORCE WINDS FOR A BIT IN CROSS SOUND
THIS EVENING. ALSO...WILL HAVE STRONG WIND HEADLINES FOR THE
ADJACENT PUBLIC ZONES FOR AT LEAST THE EVENING HOURS. THE FAR NRN
INNER CHANNEL AREA WILL STAY WINDY THRU THE NIGHT...SO THEIR
GALES/STRONG WIND HEADLINES WILL LAST INTO EARLY SAT MORNING.
WINDS SHOULD DROP OFF EARLY SAT MORNING OVER THE NRN AREA.
THEN...NEXT LOW MOVING IN WILL INCREASE WINDS OVER THE SRN AREA
SAT. MORE GALES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE FAR SE GULF AND SRN INNER
CHANNELS BY SAT AFTERNOON...AND WILL ALSO HEADLINE ZONES 27 AND 28
FOR STRONG WINDS. AM A BIT CONCERNED THAT THE MODELS MAY BE
UNDERESTIMATING THE STRENGTH OF THIS LOW AS IT WILL HAVE STRONG
JET SUPPORT...180+ KT JET MAXIMA WITH SYSTEM IN LEFT EXIT REGION.
LATER SHIFTS WILL NEED TO MONITOR THIS CLOSELY.

AS FOR PRECIP...THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL BE OVER THE NRN AREAS THIS
EVENING AS SECOND WRAP FRONTAL BAND MOVES THRU. LOOKS LIKE 1/2 TO
1 INCH OF RAIN OVER THE NRN THIRD OF THE AREA...MAINLY THIS
EVENING. WILL STILL HAVE SOME RAIN AFTER THE SECOND WRAP MOVES
AWAY FROM THE AREA...BUT IT WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AND EARLY SAT
MORNING. MORE RAIN WILL SPREAD NNE INTO THE SRN AREA SAT AHEAD OF
THE NEXT LOW. THE SRN THIRD OF THE AREA COULD GET LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON...WITH 1/2 TO 1 INCH AMOUNTS LIKELY THERE.
THINK THE RAIN IN BOTH EVENTS WILL NOT LAST LONG ENOUGH TO CAUSE
ANY FLOODING CONCERNS...BUT SOME SMALLER STREAMS WILL RISE TO
NEAR BANKFULL CONDITIONS. AN SPS WAS ISSUED TO COVER THE HYDRO
IMPACTS FROM THESE SYSTEMS.

OTHERWISE...WILL REMAIN FAIRLY MILD OVER THE AREA THRU SAT. TEMPS
WILL NOT MOVE MUCH FROM THEIR CURRENT READINGS TONIGHT ESPECIALLY
OVER THE NRN AREA. NOT MUCH RISE IS EXPECTED ON SAT EITHER AS SOME
SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR TRIES TO FILTER IN ON N SIDE OF THE NEXT LOW.

.LONG TERM...985 LOW MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
ACCOMPANIED BY GALE-FORCE WINDS OFFSHORE AND OVER THE SOUTHERN
INNER CHANNELS ALONG WITH STRONG WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN ZONES. THE
POSITION OF THE LOW CHANGED AND IT STRENGTHENED A BIT ON TODAY'S
MODELS...NECESSITATING NEW PRESSURE/WIND FIELDS IN THE GRIDS. THE
LOW WEAKENS ON THE LATEST GUIDANCE DURING THE DAY SUN AND PRECIP
AMOUNTS WILL BE LARGEST OVER THE SOUTHERN THIRD...ALTHOUGH ALL OF
THE PANHANDLE WILL LIKELY SEE RAIN AS MOIST POSTFRONTAL CONDITIONS
ACCOMPANY THE BACK SIDE OF THE FRONTAL SYSTEM. RAIN SHOULD NOT BE
PERSISTENT ENOUGH FOR FLOODING PROBLEMS THOUGH. LATE SUNDAY OUR
ONSHORE COMPONENT FINALLY WEAKENS SIGNIFICANTLY AS COLDER AIR
BEGINS TO FILTER IN BEHIND THE WEAKENING LOW. SOME LIGHT SNOW IS
POSSIBLE AT THE END OF THE PRECIP EVENT ON SUNDAY NIGHT. GRADIENT
WEAKENING PERMEATES THE WHOLE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. A SECONDARY COLD
FRONT IS POISED ALONG THE NORTHERN BORDER IN THE MODEL PROGS
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AND SHOULD MAKE SOME PROGRESS SOUTHWARD.
MONDAY NIGHT APPEARS TO PRESENT A CHANCE OF SNOW OVER EVEN THE
CENTRAL PANHANDLE AS A WEAK LOW SKIRTS THE PANHANDLE, CROSSING THE
SOUTHERN PORTION...THIS SCENARIO WILL DEPEND ON THE NORTHWARD
EXTENT OF ITS PRECIP. ANOTHER WEAK LOW MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTH
WITH ANOTHER POSSIBLE SNOW SCENARIO FOR AT LEAST THE NORTHERN
PANHANDLE FOR WEDNESDAY. WE HAVE SNOW MENTIONED IN THE WET
PORTIONS OF THE FORECASTS FOR THE NORTHERN HALF FROM ABOUT SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

ON MONDAY THE MODELS' JET-LEVEL FIELDS SHOW GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH
RIDGING ALOFT DOMINATING ALONG WITH THE ARCTIC FRONT IN PLACE OVER
OUR NORTHERN PORTION. THE COLD AIR OVER THE NORTH PERSISTS RIGHT
ON THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH THE WEAK WED SYSTEM AT THE SURFACE. BY WED
PM THE EC AND GFS BOTH SHOW GENERAL UPPER RIDGING CONTINUING WITH
THE EC ON THE STRONGER END...THIS WOULD TEND TO KEEP THE COLD AIR
IN AS A FACTOR IN PRECIP TYPE FOR ANY WEAK DISTURBANCE PRESENT AT
THE SURFACE. HOWEVER AT THIS POINT (WED) THE GEM MODEL HAS ALREADY RE-
STRENGTHENED WARM LOW-LEVEL SWLY FLOW OVER THE GULF. BY NEXT FRI
THE EC AND GFS ARE GENERALLY SIMILAR WITH THE RIDGE GIVING WAY TO
SIGNIFICANT GULF TROUGHING AND A TRANSITION BACK TO WARM/WINDY
CONDITIONS OVER THE PANHANDLE.

UTILIZED PRIMARILY NAM/EC/GEM PROGS FOR UPDATES ON DAYS 2-4 AND THEN
MIGRATED TO WPC GUIDANCE FOR DAY 5 ONWARDS, WHICH UTILIZED AN
ENSEMBLE APPROACH. THE SOLUTION DEVELOPS EXTENSIVE SOUTHEASTERLY
GULF SURFACE FLOW AGAIN BY THURS BUT MAINTAINS THE PROXIMITY OF
THE ARCTIC FRONT ON THE NORTH END OF THE PANHANDLE THROUGH DAYS
7-8. OVERALL FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE WITH SIGNIFICANT MODEL
DIVERGENCE PRESENT BY ABOUT TUES.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR AKZ027.
         STRONG WIND UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT FOR AKZ020-021-024.
         STRONG WIND UNTIL 3 AM AKST SATURDAY FOR AKZ025.
         STRONG WIND UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT FOR AKZ022.
         STRONG WIND UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING FOR AKZ023.
         STRONG WIND SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR AKZ028.
         STRONG WIND THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR AKZ018-019.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FOR PKZ022.
         GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-013-021-031-032-034>036-041>043.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-033-051>053.

&&

RWT/WESLEY

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAU

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 23, 12:18 PM AKST, 3 hours 42 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1218 PM AKST FRI JAN 23 2015

AKZ018>026-232330-
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
GLACIER BAY-EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND-
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
EASTERN BARANOF ISLAND AND SOUTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKAGWAY...HAINES...GUSTAVUS...HOONAH...
ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...ANGOON...JUNEAU...
PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE
1218 PM AKST FRI JAN 23 2015

THE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. THE
NEXT STORM SYSTEM IS PROJECTED TO IMPACT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
PANHANDLE WITH HEAVY RAIN AND WINDY CONDITIONS. 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.
WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED.

IMPACTS - EXPECT SMALL STREAMS TO RISE AND APPROACH BANK FULL
FRIDAY NIGHT. WINDY CONDITIONS MAY INTERRUPT POWER AND UPROOT
TREES. MUDSLIDES AND LANDSLIDES ARE LIKELY.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO YOUR FAVORITE WEATHER INFORMATION SOURCES FOR
UPDATES ON THE PROGRESS OF THE HEAVY RAIN AND WIND.

VISIT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAU FOR TEXT...GRAPHICAL...AND
POINT FORECASTS.
Special weather statement, Jan 23, 3:33 PM AKST, 27 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
333 PM AKST FRI JAN 23 2015

AKZ018>026-250045-
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
GLACIER BAY-EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND-
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
EASTERN BARANOF ISLAND AND SOUTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKAGWAY...HAINES...GUSTAVUS...HOONAH...
ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...ANGOON...JUNEAU...
PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE
333 PM AKST FRI JAN 23 2015

THE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. THE
NEXT STORM SYSTEM IS PROJECTED TO IMPACT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
PANHANDLE WITH HEAVY RAIN AND WINDY CONDITIONS. 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.
WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED.

IMPACTS - EXPECT SMALL STREAMS TO RISE AND APPROACH BANK FULL
FRIDAY NIGHT. WINDY CONDITIONS MAY INTERRUPT POWER AND UPROOT
TREES. MUDSLIDES AND LANDSLIDES ARE LIKELY.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO YOUR FAVORITE WEATHER INFORMATION SOURCES FOR
UPDATES ON THE PROGRESS OF THE HEAVY RAIN AND WIND.

VISIT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAU FOR TEXT...GRAPHICAL...AND
POINT FORECASTS.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 23, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Jan 23, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK36 hr
Jan 23, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr
Jan 23, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr
Jan 23, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK48 hr
Jan 23, 4:00 PM AKSTStorm WarningAJK12 hr
Jan 23, 11:05 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK5 hr
Jan 23, 11:18 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK41 hr
Jan 24, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Jan 24, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Jan 24, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK48 hr
Jan 24, 4:00 AM AKSTStorm WarningAJK12 hr
Jan 24, 4:00 AM AKSTStorm WarningAJK24 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2015Every gale warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.