Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2015
Gale Warning 404, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 21, 2015, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 21, 2015, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 22, 2015, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
517 FZAK52 PAJK 220013 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-221400- 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... STRONG LOW PRESSURE IN THE CANADIAN YUKON WEAKENS THROUGH TONIGHT AS IT MOVES INTO NORTHERN BC. LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL MOVE SE INTO THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE THROUGH SUN. $$ PKZ041-221400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. W SWELL. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ042-221400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT LATE. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT LATE. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. W SWELL. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ043-221400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 21 FT LATE. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ051-221400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 26 FT SUBSIDING TO 21 FT LATE. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. W SWELL IN THE EVENING. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ052-221400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 26 FT SUBSIDING TO 21 FT LATE. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .SUN...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$
4 follow-up statements
175 FZAK52 PAJK 220923 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1220 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-221400- 1220 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... STRONG LOW PRESSURE IN THE CANADIAN YUKON WEAKENS THROUGH TONIGHT AS IT MOVES INTO NORTHERN BC. LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL MOVE SE INTO THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE THROUGH SUN. $$ PKZ041-221400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1220 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. W SWELL. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ042-221400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1220 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF WATERSPOUTS. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF WATERSPOUTS IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT LATE. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. W SWELL. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ043-221400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 1220 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 21 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND WATERSPOUTS. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND WATERSPOUTS IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ051-221400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 1220 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND WATERSPOUTS. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND WATERSPOUTS IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. W SWELL IN THE EVENING. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ052-221400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 1220 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND WATERSPOUTS. .SUN...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND WATERSPOUTS IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$
999 FZAK52 PAJK 221315 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-230100- 400 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL MOVE SE ACROSS THE PANHANDLE THROUGH SUNDAY WHILE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE YUKON. THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT INTO NORTHERN BRITISH COLUMBIA MONDAY. $$ PKZ041-230100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. W SWELL. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ042-230100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF WATERSPOUTS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT LATE. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W SWELL. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ043-230100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND WATERSPOUTS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ051-230100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND WATERSPOUTS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. W SWELL. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ052-230100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONGEST WINDS SOUTHERN HALF. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND WATERSPOUTS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LATE. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT LATE. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$
490 FZAK52 PAJK 221613 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 713 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-230115- 713 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL MOVE SE ACROSS THE PANHANDLE THROUGH SUNDAY WHILE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE YUKON. THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT INTO NORTHERN BRITISH COLUMBIA MONDAY. $$ PKZ041-230115- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 713 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. W SWELL. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ042-230115- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 713 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT LATE. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W SWELL. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ043-230115- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 713 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ051-230115- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 713 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. W SWELL. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ052-230115- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 713 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONGEST WINDS SOUTHERN HALF. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LATE. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT LATE. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$
954 FZAK52 PAJK 230042 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-231400- 400 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE PANHANDLE FROM THE YUKON ON SUNDAY NIGHT. THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTHEAST INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA MONDAY. $$ PKZ041-231400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. W SWELL. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ042-231400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT LATE. .MON...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W SWELL. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ043-231400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT LATE. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. W SWELL. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ051-231400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. .MON...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ052-231400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE EVENING... THEN BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE. .MON...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 21, 3:36 PM AKST, 24 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 21, 3:36 PM AKST, 24 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
336 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015
.SHORT TERM...WINDS AND PRECIPITATION HAVE WORKED OUT AS PLANNED.
SKAGWAY'S WINDS GUSTED TO 66 MPH THIS MORNING WITH OTHER GUSTS TO
60 MPH THROUGH THE MORNING. HOWEVER, AS A SHORT-WAVE CAUSES SOME
PRESSURE FALLS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE...GRADIENTS THROUGH
THE CANAL WILL ALSO LOWER A LITTLE. THEREFORE, STRONG WINDS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH SKAGWAY OVERNIGHT, BUT GUSTS WILL STAY BELOW THE
60 MPH WARNING CRITERIA. WESTERLIES THROUGH CROSS SOUND HAVE
GUSTED TO 77 MPH...EASILY VERIFYING STORM FORCE WINDS. POINT
RETREAT AND PORTLAND ISLAND EASILY VERIFIED GALES WITH SOUTHWEST
GUSTS TO 50 MPH. IN ADDITION...STRONG GUSTS WERE REPORTED IN
JUNEAU AND YAKUTAT AS WELL AS BREEZY CONDITIONS IN GUSTAVUS,
HOONAH, AND SITKA. SOME BREEZY CONDITIONS ALSO WERE REPORTED TO
THE SOUTH AROUND FRONTAL PASSAGE TIME, BUT THESE HAVE RELAXED THIS
AFTERNOON. AS 925 MB WESTERLY WINDS FALL OVERNIGHT, AND GRADIENTS
RELAX ACROSS THE PANHANDLE, WINDS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE NIGHT.
AS A LOW DEVELOPS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF TONIGHT AND DROPS INTO
THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO THE
NORTH...THEREFORE, CAUSING SOUTHERLIES TO FLIP TO NORTHWESTERLIES
OVER MUCH OF THE NORTH. HEAVY RAIN ALSO FELL AHEAD OF THE FRONT
OVERNIGHT WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE PANHANDLE WITH LCL HIGHER
AMOUNTS. PELICAN CAME IN WITH 5.5 INCHES WITH SNETTISHAM TOPPING 7
INCHES.
NOW THE BIG CHANGE FOR THE FORECAST WAS TO LOOK AT TEMPERATURES.
1000 TO 850 MB THICKNESSES WILL DECREASE RAPIDLY TONIGHT ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE AND CONTINUE DECREASING OVER THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN PANHANDLE ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER, THE WESTERLY TRAJECTORY
OF THE MID-LEVELS TAKES IT ACROSS THE GULF WHERE MOISTURE FLUX
WILL KEEP THE LOWER LEVELS WARMER THAN ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN
THICKNESSES WOULD SUGGEST. THUS, WE HAVE SLOWED THE COOLING ACROSS
THE PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THIS HAS
NEGATIVELY AFFECTED SNOW ACCUMULATION ESTIMATES. BLENDED HEAVILY
TO THE ECMWF TEMPERATURES AND RELIED ON MOS FOR TIMING FOR
TEMPERATURES BETWEEN SYNOPTIC HOURS. THIS RESULTED IN LOW
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID-MORNING SUNDAY MORNING WITH WEAK DIURNAL
RISES IF AT ALL INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HAINES, SKAGWAY, AND
YAKUTAT THOUGH SHOULD SEE DROPS.
FINALLY...WE TRIMMED POPS AND QPF THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BEGINNING
FROM THE NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
THUS WHEN THE ATMOSPHERE IS BY AND LARGE THE COLDEST...IT WILL
ALSO BE DRIER AS WELL.
USED NAMDNG AND GFS22 FOR POPS/QPF. MADE MINOR TWEAKS FOR WIND
LOCAL EFFECTS. ECMWF HELPED AND VARIOUS MOS PRODUCTS HELPED WITH
TEMPERATURES.
.LONG TERM...ON SUNDAY EVENING SHOWERS WILL BE DIMINISHING FROM
NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS THE PANHANDLE. A STRENGTHENING AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BE SLIDING ACROSS THE YUKON AND INTO BRITISH
COLUMBIA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. THIS WILL BRIEFLY
STRENGTHEN THE NORTHERLY GRADIENT OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE WITH
WINDS INCREASING TO GALE IN NORTHERN LYNN CANAL. 850 MB
TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO AROUND -10 TO -12 C ON MONDAY BUT THE
COLDEST AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS HIGH WILL STAY ON THE OTHER SIDE
OF THE MOUNTAINS IN CANADA. THE LOWEST TEMPERATURES WILL BE FELT
ON MONDAY NIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE TEENS AND 20S.
AS THE HIGH DOES SLIDE INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA THE POTENTIAL FOR
GUSTY WINDS IN OUTFLOW LOCATIONS ALONG THE COAST MOUNTAINS WILL
INCREASE INCLUDING NEAR DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AND DOUGLAS. THIS WILL NOT
BE A LONG LIVED EVENT BUT GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH COULD OCCUR.
AS WE HEAD INTO MID WEEK A SHARPENING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE
GULF WILL BECOME THE DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE FOR SOUTHEAST
ALASKA. THIS RIDGE COMBINED WITH AN UPPER LOW CUTTING OFF SOUTH OF
THE ALEUTIANS AND AN UPPER LOW OVER THE WESTERN US WILL HELP TO
INDUCE AN OMEGA BLOCK OVER THE AREA. THE OMEGA BLOCK WILL SLOW THE
WESTERN PROGRESSION OF SYSTEMS MOVING ACROSS THE GULF. IT ALSO
WILL ADVECT VERY WARM AIR ALOFT BEGINNING ON TUESDAY. BOTH THE
12Z GFS AND ECMWF INDICATE 850 MB TEMPERATURES AROUND +5 TO 6 C
OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND +1 TO +2 C IN THE
VICINITY OF JUNEAU. THE PRESENCE OF THIS WARM AIR ALOFT COMBINED
WITH WEAK FLOW ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE PANHANDLE
COULD RESULT IN A PERIOD OF WIDESPREAD FOG AND/OR DRIZZLE MID
WEEK. THIS IS A CONCERN DUE TO THE INCREASED AMOUNT OF TRAVEL
EXPECTED OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA AROUND THANKSGIVING. BASED UPON
THIS AS WELL AS THE RIDGE AXIS SHIFTING EAST OF THE PANHANDLE HAVE
BUMPED UP SKY COVER TO MOSTLY CLOUDY DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.
A FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE GULF AGAINST THE BACK SIDE OF
THE RIDGE NEXT WEEK REACHING YAKUTAT WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY. LATEST
MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THIS FRONT WON'T REACH THE REMAINDER OF
THE AREA UNTIL THURSDAY NIGHT AT THE EARLIEST. PRECIPITATION
CHANCES WILL INCREASE BY THE WEEKEND HOWEVER. SOUTHERLY FLOW AND
WARM AIR ALOFT IN PLACE WOULD KEEP SNOW CONFINED TO THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.
USED THE 12Z NAM AND ECMWF FOR UPDATES TO THE FORECAST THROUGH
DAY 4. THEN USED THE LATEST WPC GUIDANCE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
EXTENDED PERIOD.
&&
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING FOR AKZ017-022.
STRONG WIND UNTIL 3 AM AKST SUNDAY FOR AKZ018.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FOR PKZ022.
GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-013-021-043-051>053.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-031>035-041-042.
&&
JWA/TPS
VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAUThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Nov 21, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Nov 21, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Nov 21, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 48 hr | |
| Nov 21, 4:00 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AJK | 8 hr | |
| Nov 21, 4:01 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 7 hr | |
| Nov 21, 10:37 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 29 hr | |
| Nov 22, 12:10 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 4 hr | |
| Nov 22, 12:10 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 16 hr | |
| Nov 22, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Nov 22, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Nov 22, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Nov 22, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.