Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2015
Gale Warning 151, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Feb 10, 2015, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 19 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 10, 2015, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 11, 2015, 11:20 AM AKST
- In force
- 19 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
858 FZAK52 PAJK 110032 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-111400- 400 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A LOW WILL MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF THROUGH TUE NIGHT WITH ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT SPREADING GALE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND INTO THE PANHANDLE. WINDS WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT TO THE SOUTH AS THE FRONT PASSES WEDNESDAY. $$ PKZ041-111400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT LATE. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. S SWELL. RAIN LATE. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ042-111400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT LATE. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. S SWELL. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. S SWELL. RAIN LATE. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ043-111400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT IN THE EVENING. OUT OF CROSS SOUND...GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT LATE. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER GUSTS OUT OF CROSS SOUND IN THE MORNING. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. S SWELL. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. RAIN LATE. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ051-111400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT LATE. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. S SWELL. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ052-111400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT LATE. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. S SWELL. SNOW IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
804 FZAK52 PAJK 110848 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1148 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-111500- 1148 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A LOW WILL MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF THROUGH TUE NIGHT WITH ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT SPREADING GALE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND INTO THE PANHANDLE. WINDS WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT TO THE SOUTH AS THE FRONT PASSES WEDNESDAY. $$ PKZ041-111500- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1148 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. S SWELL. RAIN LATE. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ042-111500- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1148 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. S SWELL. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. S SWELL. RAIN LATE. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ043-111500- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 1148 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. OUT OF CROSS SOUND...GUSTS TO 65 KT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER GUSTS OUT OF CROSS SOUND IN THE MORNING. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. S SWELL. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. RAIN LATE. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ051-111500- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 1148 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. S SWELL. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ052-111500- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 1148 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. S SWELL. SNOW IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$
766 FZAK52 PAJK 111239 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-120100- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A LOW WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND WEAKEN ON WED AS ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE THROUGH THE PANHANDLE. A NEW LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF FROM THE SOUTH BY THURSDAY MORNING WITH ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVING NORTH THROUGH THE PANHANDLE. $$ PKZ041-120100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. S SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ042-120100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT. S SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ043-120100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. RAIN LATE. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ051-120100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. S SWELL. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ052-120100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 20 KT BY THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. S SWELL. .THU...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$
067 FZAK52 PAJK 112024 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1120 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-121430- 1120 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A LOW WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND WEAKEN ON WED AS ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE THROUGH THE PANHANDLE. A NEW LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF FROM THE SOUTH BY THURSDAY MORNING WITH ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVING NORTH THROUGH THE PANHANDLE. $$ PKZ041-121430- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1120 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ042-121430- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1120 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ043-121430- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 1120 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. S SWELL. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. RAIN LATE. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ051-121430- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 1120 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. S SWELL. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ052-121430- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 1120 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. S SWELL. .THU...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Feb 10, 3:19 PM AKST, 41 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 10, 3:19 PM AKST, 41 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
319 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015
.SHORT TERM...A LOW HAS DEVELOPED ALONG AN OCCLUDED FRONT IN THE
GULF. THE LOW WILL TRACK NORTH THROUGH THE CENTRAL GULF TONIGHT
AND ENHANCE THE ASSOC FRONT. EXPECT SELY GALE FORCE WINDS OF 45KT IN
THE GULF TO SPREAD INTO THE COAST AND UP CLARENCE STRAIT LATE
TONIGHT. LAND AREAS WILL SEE WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH THE
FRONT. EXCEPTION TO THIS IS SKAGWAY WHICH HAS A STRONG NORTHERLY
PRESSURE GRADIENT STILL DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE IN THE YUKON. WINDS
HAVE BEEN GUSTING 45-55MPH ALL DAY...CAUSING BLOWING SNOW AND
REDUCING VISIBILITY TO AROUND 2 MILES. FOR THIS REASON AND DUE TO
COLD WIND CHILLS AT WHITE PASS...THE WINTER STORM WARNING IN
SKAGWAY WAS STARTED THIS MORNING DESPITE THE SNOW WITH THE FRONT
NOT ARRIVING UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
PRECIP WILL MOVE INTO THE COAST THIS EVENING AND SPREAD INLAND
OVERNIGHT. EXPECT HEAVIEST AMOUNTS TO BE AFTER MIDNIGHT THROUGH
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. PRECIP WILL START OFF AS SNOW FROM NORTH
OF A YAKUTAT TO PETERSBURG/HYDER LINE THEN CHANGE OVER TO RAIN
FROM SOUTH TO NORTH THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON. YAKUTAT/GUSTAVUS/JUNEAU
HAVE AN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR 3-7 INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED. AS
WINDS VEER FROM NE TO SE TOMORROW THE TEMPERATURE WILL JUMP UP AND
CHANGE THE SNOW TO RAIN. TIMING OF THIS HAS BEEN A CHALLENGE AND
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THAT PART REMAINS BELOW NORMAL. A WINTER
STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HAINES AND SKAGWAY...EXPECT
6-12 INCHES THERE WITH PEAK AMOUNTS DURING THE SAME OVERNIGHT
TIMEFRAME.
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTH BEHIND THE FRONT AND DECREASE.
TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM OVERNIGHT THEN JUMP UP WITH THE WIND
SHIFT TOMORROW. USED MAINLY THE NAM FOR UPDATES TO PRESSURE THEN
SOME HIRES MODELS FOR ADJUSTMENT TO WIND SPEEDS. AGAIN THE BIGGEST
FORECAST CHALLENGE LIES WITH TEMPERATURES AND TIMING OF THE WIND
SHIFT.
.LONG TERM...A SERIES OF UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE IMPULSES ARE
FORECAST TO MOVE NWD ACROSS THE GULF DURING THE START OF THE LONG
TERM PERIOD THU MORNING/AFTERNOON. EACH IMPULSE WILL BE
ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK SURFACE LOW CENTERS...WHICH WILL AID IN
PERIODIC INCREASES IN WINDS OVER THE GULF...AND MODEST INCREASES
IN ASCENT. BURSTS OF ASCENT COMBINED WITH PW VALUES FROM 0.6-0.8
INCH AND SLY 850 MB WINDS FROM 30-50 KT ENHANCING MOISTURE FLUX
WILL FAVOR WIDESPREAD RAIN OVER THE CNTRL/SRN PANHANDLE...AND
LIGHT SNOW NEAR HAINES...SKAGWAY...AND WHITE PASS. A STRONGER/MORE
ORGANIZED UPPER DISTURBANCE IS THEN FORECAST TO MOVE FROM THE SRN
TO NRN GULF THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI AFTERNOON. THIS TROUGH AND
SURFACE CYCLONE WILL CONTINUE TO YIELD WINDS UP TO GALE STRENGTH
OVER THE GULF...WHILE INLAND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SPREAD N.
MODERATE RAINFALL RATES ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS FRONT...AS WELL AS
MODERATING TEMPERATURES OVER THE ENTIRE REGION. THE LOW WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DISSIPATE OVER THE NRN GULF BY SAT...AND POP/QPF WILL
LIKEWISE DECREASE.
MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING AN UPPER RIDGE
DEVELOPING FROM THE NERN PAC NWWD ACROSS THE ERN/CNTRL GULF INTO
INTERIOR AK ON SUN. THE ATMOSPHERE OVER THE PANHANDLE WILL LIKELY
BECOME COLDER AND DRIER IN RESPONSE TO A GREATER CONTINENTAL
INFLUENCE OCCURRING E OF THE RIDGE. POP GRIDS TRANSITION FROM AN
ECMWF/INHERITED BLEND TO WPC BY THIS POINT...WHICH YIELDS A
VIRTUALLY PRECIP FREE FORECAST DURING EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK.
HOWEVER...ENSEMBLE MODEL SPREAD INCREASES SUBSTANTIALLY BY
WED...WITH UNCERTAINTY HINGING ON THE EVOLUTION OF RIDGE BREAK
DOWN AS WELL AS THE INFLUENCE FROM NRN STREAM TROUGHS EMANATING
FROM THE ARCTIC REGION. HOW THE RIDGE BREAKS DOWN WILL DETERMINE
HOW QUICKLY THE PANHANDLE RETURNS TO A RELATIVELY MORE MILD AND
MOIST ONSHORE FLOW REGIME.
USED AN ECWMF/GEM/INHERITED BLEND FOR PRESSURE 09Z FRI THROUGH 00Z
SUN...THEN TRANSITIONED TO 12Z WPC. AS PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED...POP
GRIDS WERE DERIVED FROM AN ECMWF/INHERITED BLEND THROUGH
SAT...THEN MAINLY WPC FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE LONG TERM. FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH SAT...THEN
TRENDS BELOW AVERAGE BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
&&
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR AKZ027.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON AKST
WEDNESDAY FOR AKZ017-020-025.
STRONG WIND FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM AKST WEDNESDAY FOR
AKZ018-022.
STRONG WIND UNTIL 3 AM AKST WEDNESDAY FOR AKZ023.
STRONG WIND FROM 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR
AKZ028.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM AKST
WEDNESDAY FOR AKZ019.
STRONG WIND UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING FOR AKZ018.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 PM AKST WEDNESDAY FOR AKZ018.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-021-022-033-035-036-041>043-051>053.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-013-031-032-034.
&&
FERRIN/GARNER
VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAUThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Feb 10, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Feb 10, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 19 hr | |
| Feb 10, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 3 days | |
| Feb 11, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 67 hr | |
| Feb 11, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Feb 11, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 48 hr | |
| Feb 11, 11:20 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 4 days | |
| Feb 11, 11:25 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 41 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.