Wind Advisory 29, NWS Fairbanks, AK

060 
WWAK73 PAFG 242141
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
141 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

AKZ226-250600-
/O.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-151025T0600Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
141 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATION...THROUGH THE PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 55 MPH

* TIMING...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY 
  WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL 
  DIMINISH LATE THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS WHICH MAY
BE BLOWN ABOUT BY THE WIND.

&&

$$

870 
WWAK73 PAFG 242310
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
310 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

AKZ226-250600-
/O.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-151025T0600Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
310 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF...

* LOCATION...THROUGH THE PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AROUND 10
  PM THIS EVENING...THEN DIMINISH DURING THE REMAINING OVERNIGHT
  HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS WHICH MAY
BE BLOWN ABOUT BY THE WIND.

&&

$$

844 
WWAK73 PAFG 250541
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
941 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

AKZ226-251300-
/O.EXT.PAFG.WI.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-151025T1300Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
941 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM AKDT SUNDAY FOR PASSES
WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF...

* LOCATION...THROUGH THE PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
  WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS WHICH MAY
BE BLOWN ABOUT BY THE WIND.

&&

$$

734 
WWAK73 PAFG 251147
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
347 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

AKZ226-251300-
/O.CAN.PAFG.WI.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-151025T1300Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
347 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 



$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1203 PM AKDT FRI OCT 23 2015

.DISCUSSION...

MODELS...LAST COUPLE RUNS HAVE BEEN PRETTY CONSISTENT. MAIN
FEATURES INITIALIZED WELL AT 18Z ONLY BEING A MILLIBAR OR TWO OFF
AT THE SURFACE. THERE ARE SOME MINOR DIFFERENCES IN TIMING OF THE
MOVEMENT OF THE FEATURES WITH THE NAM BEING A LITTLE FASTER IN
MOVING THE MAIN SHORTWAVE NORTH ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. MODELS HAVE COME INTO MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT IN
THE MID RANGE AND EXTENDED PERIODS THAN THE PREVIOUS FEW RUNS. IN
THE NEAR TERM WILL USE THE NAM BLENDING WITH SOME OF THE LATEST
GFS.

ALOFT...AT 500 HPA...543 DAM HIGH OVER THE NORTHERN ARCTIC WITH
RIDGING EXTENDING SOUTHWEST TO THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA TODAY. THE
HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE CANADIAN ARCTIC BY
SATURDAY MORNING WITH RIDGING EXTENDING WEST TO WRANGEL ISLAND. A
SHORTWAVE ROTATING NORTH LIES FROM ST MATTHEW ISLAND TO
UNALAKLEET TO TOK AND WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE OVERNIGHT TO LIE
FROM ST MATTHEW ISLAND TO POINT HOPE TO NUIQSUT TO MCKENZIE BAY BY
SATURDAY MORNING. RIDGING WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE SHORTWAVE
MOVING NORTH TO LIE FROM SOUTHEAST ALASKA TO THE UPPER TANANA
RIVER TO THE SEWARD PENINSULA BY SATURDAY MORNING. A SECOND
SHORTWAVE WILL ROTATE NORTH BEHIND THE RIDGE LATE SATURDAY TO LIE
FROM NUNIVAK ISLAND TO RUBY TO DAWSON CANADA BY SATURDAY EVENING
AS IT WEAKENS MOVING OVER THE RIDGE. AT 850 HPA...WEAK WARM AIR
ADVECTION THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING WITH THE ZERO ISOTHERM MOVING
NORTH OF FAIRBANKS FOR A SHORT PERIOD SATURDAY NIGHT...THEN WEAK
COLD AIR ADVECTION THROUGH TUESDAY.

SURFACE...EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE AREA WITH A
1033 MB HIGH OVER THE BEAUFORT SEA AND A 992 MB LOW OVER UNIMAK
ISLAND TODAY. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING AS IT WEAKENS TO 1029 MB...WHILE THE LOW MOVES
TO THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS AT 992 MB. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS
ACROSS THE STATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. BY SUNDAY MORNING
THE HIGH IN THE BEAUFORT SEA WILL MOVE OVER BANKS ISLAND...THE LOW
IN THE PRIBILOFS WILL MOVE NEAR CAPE ROMANZOF AT 1006 MB AND WEAK
RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER THE SOUTHEAST MAINLAND. ON MONDAY HIGH
PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE SOUTHEAST MAINLAND AND EXTEND OVER
THE NORTHWEST COAST WITH WEAK LOW PRESSURE CENTERS OVER THE WEST
COAST AND EASTERN ARCTIC.

ARCTIC COAST AND BROOKS RANGE...FLOW WILL SLOWLY BECOME MORE
SOUTHEASTERLY...OFFSHORE TONIGHT...BUT WITH THE HIGH IN THE
CANADIAN ARCTIC AND TROUGHING DEVELOPING OVER THE ARCTIC PLAIN THE
GRADIENT TIGHTENS A BIT OVER THE EASTERN ARCTIC...SO WILL MAINTAIN
THE STRONG WIND HEADLINE FOR THAT AREA WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45
MPH. WINDS WILL DECREASE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA
TONIGHT. CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA...BUT LOOK
FOR CLOUDS TO LIFT UP A BIT SATURDAY AND VISIBILITY WILL IMPROVE
ACROSS THE AREA. A FEW FLURRIES OR SOME LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE
WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA. THE GOES CLOUD TOP PHASE
INDICATES MOSTLY MIXED WATER AND ICE CLOUD TOPS AT 23/1715Z WHICH
IN THE PAST HAS BEEN AN INDICATOR OF POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING
DRIZZLE. SOME WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION INTO THE AREA SATURDAY WILL
HELP PUSH THE TEMPERATURES UP A COUPLE DEGREES...BUT IT WILL BE
SHORT LIVED WITH TEMPERATURES STARTING TO FALL ON SUNDAY AND
CONTINUING TO FALL THROUGH THE WEEK.

WEST COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR...SHORTWAVE ALOFT WITH A WEAK
FRONTAL BOUNDARY AT THE SURFACE WILL MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN AROUND THE
LOWER YUKON DELTA SATURDAY MORNING. DO NOT EXPECT MORE THAN A
TRACE AT THIS TIME SO NO ADVISORY...BUT WILL ISSUE A SPECIAL
WEATHER STATEMENT FOR THE AREA. AS TEMPERATURES WARM POTENTIAL
DECREASES DRAMATICALLY BY LATE MORNING. LOOK FOR A MIX OF SNOW AND
RAIN FROM NOME SOUTH ON THE COAST AND FROM KALTAG SOUTH INLAND
THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY. MAINLY SNOW TO THE NORTH OF THOSE AREAS
WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN. WINDS WILL REMAIN MAINLY
OFFSHORE ON THE COAST WITH LIGHT WINDS INLAND.

CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...CONTINUES TO BE A PRETTY QUIET
PATTERN IN THE INTERIOR. FRONT SWINGING THROUGH WILL BRING SOME
CHINOOK WINDS TO THE INTERIOR...BUT NOT SEEING ANYTHING
SIGNIFICANT. DO EXPECT SOME GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH MID DAY SATURDAY IN THE WINDY AREAS NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE
AND AROUND DELTA JUNCTION. WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL BRING
SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES TO AREAS SOUTH OF THE YUKON RIVER
SATURDAY...THEN A SLOW COOL DOWN THROUGH NEXT WEEK. A FEW
LINGERING FLURRIES IN THE UPPER YUKON AND PORCUPINE THIS
EVENING...OTHERWISE SOME CLEARING ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT.
INCREASING CLOUDS SATURDAY WITH JUST A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
ALASKA RANGE WEST OF THE RICHARDSON HIGHWAY. AS THE WHOLE SYSTEM
LIFTS OUT SUNDAY A FEW FLURRIES OR SPRINKLES WILL BE BE POSSIBLE
DURING THE DAY.

&&

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ245.

&&

SDB OCT 15