Alert archive / Alaska / High Wind Watches in 2015

High Wind Watch 4, NWS Fairbanks, AK

November 17, 2015

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this high wind watch at Nov 17, 2015, 12:51 PM AKST. It took effect at Nov 19, 2015, 12:00 PM AKST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 17, 2015, 12:51 PM AKST (21:51 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 19, 2015, 12:00 PM AKST
Expired
Nov 19, 2015, 3:58 AM AKST
In force
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

506 
WWAK73 PAFG 172151
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1251 PM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015

AKZ223-181500-
/O.NEW.PAFG.HW.A.0004.151119T2100Z-151120T1500Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
INCLUDING...SALCHA...DELTA JUNCTION...FORT GREELY...
HARDING/BIRCH LAKE...DRY CREEK...DOT LAKE...HEALY LAKE
1251 PM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT FROM DELTA JUNCTION SOUTH...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* LOCATION...FROM DELTA JUNCTION SOUTH.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 70 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THURSDAY NIGHT. THE
  STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM AROUND NOON THURSDAY
  THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED.
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE TO PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

AKZ225-181500-
/O.NEW.PAFG.HW.A.0004.151119T2100Z-151120T1500Z/
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
1251 PM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT FOR AREAS IN AND NEAR PASSES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* LOCATION...AREAS IN AND NEAR PASSES.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 70 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THURSDAY NIGHT. THE
  STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM AROUND NOON THURSDAY
  THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED.
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE TO PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

AKZ226-181500-
/O.NEW.PAFG.HW.A.0004.151119T2100Z-151120T1500Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
1251 PM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT FOR AREAS IN AND NEAR PASSES WEST OF THE TOK
CUTOFF...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* LOCATION...AREAS IN AND NEAR PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 80 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THURSDAY NIGHT. THE
  STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM AROUND NOON THURSDAY
  THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED.
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE TO PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$
3 follow-up statements
203 
WWAK73 PAFG 181300
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
400 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

AKZ224-190100-
/O.EXB.PAFG.HW.A.0004.151120T0000Z-151120T1800Z/
UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND THE FORTYMILE COUNTRY-
INCLUDING...TOK...TANACROSS...EAGLE...TETLIN...NORTHWAY...ALCAN...
CHICKEN...BOUNDARY
400 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING FOR AREAS ALONG THE ALASKA HIGHWAY WEST OF TOK...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND 
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING.

* LOCATION...FOR AREAS ALONG THE ALASKA HIGHWAY WEST OF TOK.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE
  STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED. PREPARATIONS
SHOULD BE MADE TO PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

AKZ223-190100-
/O.EXT.PAFG.HW.A.0004.151119T2100Z-151120T1800Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
INCLUDING...SALCHA...DELTA JUNCTION...FORT GREELY...
HARDING/BIRCH LAKE...DRY CREEK...DOT LAKE...HEALY LAKE
400 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...HIGH WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING FROM DELTA JUNCTION SOUTH...

* LOCATION...FROM DELTA JUNCTION SOUTH.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 70 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE
  STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED.
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE TO PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

AKZ225-190100-
/O.EXT.PAFG.HW.A.0004.151119T2100Z-151120T1800Z/
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
400 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...HIGH WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...

* LOCATION...AREAS IN AND NEAR PASSES.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 70 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE
  STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED.
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE TO PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

AKZ226-190100-
/O.EXT.PAFG.HW.A.0004.151119T2100Z-151120T1800Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
400 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...HIGH WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING FOR PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF...

* LOCATION...AREAS IN AND NEAR PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 80 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE
  STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED.
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE TO PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$
342 
WWAK73 PAFG 182148
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1248 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

AKZ223-191500-
/O.CON.PAFG.HW.A.0004.151119T2100Z-151120T1800Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
INCLUDING...SALCHA...DELTA JUNCTION...FORT GREELY...
HARDING/BIRCH LAKE...DRY CREEK...DOT LAKE...HEALY LAKE
1248 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

* LOCATION...FROM DELTA JUNCTION SOUTH.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 70 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THURSDAY MORNING. THE
  STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
  FRIDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED.
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE TO PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

AKZ224-191500-
/O.CON.PAFG.HW.A.0004.151120T0000Z-151120T1800Z/
UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND THE FORTYMILE COUNTRY-
INCLUDING...TOK...TANACROSS...EAGLE...TETLIN...NORTHWAY...ALCAN...
CHICKEN...BOUNDARY
1248 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

* LOCATION...FOR AREAS ALONG THE ALASKA HIGHWAY WEST OF TOK.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE
  STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
  FRIDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED.
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE TO PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

AKZ225-191500-
/O.CON.PAFG.HW.A.0004.151119T2100Z-151120T1800Z/
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
1248 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

* LOCATION...AREAS IN AND NEAR PASSES.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 70 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THURSDAY MORNING. THE
  STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT AND
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED.
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE TO PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

AKZ226-191500-
/O.CON.PAFG.HW.A.0004.151119T2100Z-151120T1800Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
1248 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

* LOCATION...AREAS IN AND NEAR PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 80 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THURSDAY MORNING. THE
  STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT AND
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED.
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE TO PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$
441 
WWAK73 PAFG 191258
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
358 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

AKZ223-200000-
/O.UPG.PAFG.HW.A.0004.151119T2100Z-151120T1800Z/
/O.NEW.PAFG.HW.W.0012.151119T2100Z-151120T1800Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
INCLUDING...SALCHA...DELTA JUNCTION...FORT GREELY...
HARDING/BIRCH LAKE...DRY CREEK...DOT LAKE...HEALY LAKE
358 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 AM AKST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 AM AKST FRIDAY.
THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATION...FROM DELTA JUNCTION SOUTH.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 70 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THURSDAY MORNING. THE 
  STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY 
  FRIDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE. 

&&

$$

AKZ224-200000-
/O.UPG.PAFG.HW.A.0004.151120T0000Z-151120T1800Z/
/O.NEW.PAFG.HW.W.0012.151120T0000Z-151120T1800Z/
UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND THE FORTYMILE COUNTRY-
INCLUDING...TOK...TANACROSS...EAGLE...TETLIN...NORTHWAY...ALCAN...
CHICKEN...BOUNDARY
358 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 AM
AKST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 AM
AKST FRIDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATION...FOR AREAS ALONG THE ALASKA HIGHWAY WEST OF TOK.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE 
  STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY 
  FRIDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE. 

&&

$$

AKZ225-200000-
/O.UPG.PAFG.HW.A.0004.151119T2100Z-151120T1800Z/
/O.NEW.PAFG.HW.W.0012.151119T2100Z-151120T1800Z/
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
358 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 AM AKST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 AM AKST FRIDAY.
THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATION...AREAS IN AND NEAR PASSES.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 70 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THURSDAY MORNING. THE 
  STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY 
  FRIDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE. 

&&

$$

AKZ226-200000-
/O.UPG.PAFG.HW.A.0004.151119T2100Z-151120T1800Z/
/O.NEW.PAFG.HW.W.0012.151119T2100Z-151120T1800Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
358 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 AM AKST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 AM AKST FRIDAY.
THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATION...AREAS IN AND NEAR PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 70 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THURSDAY MORNING. THE 
  STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY 
  FRIDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE. 

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high wind watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind watch went out at Nov 17, 6:06 AM AKST, 6 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 17, 6:06 AM AKST, 6 hours 45 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
606 AM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN CONCERNS THIS FORECAST PACKAGE WERE IN THE NEAR-TERM AND IN
THE WED-FRI TIME FRAME. PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AK WILL HAVE TO
CONTEND WITH LOW CEILINGS...FOG...AND LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OR
FLURRIES IN THE NEAR-TERM. FOR THE LATTER PERIOD...THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR A WINTER STORM AND VARIOUS WEATHER HAZARDS. A
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT WAS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WEST
COAST THAT INCLUDES ZONES 212...214...215...216...AND 227 BECAUSE
OF THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS.

00Z DETERMINISTIC MODEL SUITE IS SHOWING BETTER AGREEMENT AND
CONSISTENCY FURTHER OUT IN TIME COMPARED TO YESTERDAY\S GUIDANCE
WITH RESPECT TO THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN. DIFFERENCES IN
PHASE/LOCATION ARE NOT AS LARGE AS SEEN IN PREVIOUS RUNS EARLY ON
ALTHOUGH THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES IN AMPLITUDE/STRENGTH WITH
SYNOPTIC FEATURES. 00Z MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THROUGH
AROUND 54-60 HRS BEFORE DIFFERENCES BECOME MORE APPARENT IN
STRENGTH AND LOCATION.

.ALOFT...LONGWAVE TROUGH STILL IN PLACE OVER NORTHERN AK. THE 500
HPA PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE PROGRESSIVE STARTING TONIGHT AS WE
TRANSITION TO A WESTERLY FLOW. NOTABLY...MULTIPLE SHORTWAVE RIDGES
AND TROUGHS WILL MOVE EAST RESULTING IN A RIDGE BUILDING OVER
NORTHERN AK BY EARLY THU WITH A STRONG LOW OVER THE EASTERN BERING
SEA. THE 500 HPA LOW WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND LIFT OVER THE
NORTON PENINSULA BY EARLY FRI AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS OVER SE AK INTO
THE YUKON.

.SURFACE...A WEAK 1008 MB LOW IS LOCATED NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND EARLY
THIS MORNING AND IT WILL BE ABSORBED THIS AFTERNOON WHILE MOVING
SOUTHEAST BY A LOW IN THE WESTERN HALF OF THE BERING SEA. THIS
AFOREMENTIONED LOW WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE NORTHEAST BERING SEA
EARLY WED AT ABOUT 993 MB. MODELS ARE SHOWING SOME DISCREPANCIES
AT THIS POINT WITH RESPECT TO THE LOW\S LOCATION AND ITS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WED...HOWEVER...MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN REGARD
TO ITS OVERALL PROGRESSION. SPECIFICALLY...THE LOW WILL WEAKEN
INTO A TROUGH AS A STRONGER LOW DEVELOPS JUST EAST OF KAMCHATKA
WED. THIS STRONGER LOW WILL MOVE TO THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS AT 974 MB
BY THU MORNING. THERE IS UNCERTAINTY PRESENT IN THE DETAILS WITH
RESPECT TO THE LOCATION AND OVERALL TIMING OF THIS LOW...FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...AND AXIS OF HEAVIEST PRECIP. MODELS ARE IN FAIR
AGREEMENT WITH THE LOW MOVING EASTWARD OVER THE YUKON DELTA BY
EARLY FRI MORNING.

ELSEWHERE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE ARCTIC COAST AND
SPREAD INTO THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL INTERIOR TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD AND A 1023 MB HIGH WILL BE OVER INTERIOR
AK BY THE END OF TONIGHT. A TROUGH WILL THEN DEVELOP AND DEEPEN
OVERNIGHT FROM THE BERING STRAIT THROUGH THE CHUKCHI SEA FROM THE
PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED 993 MB LOW THAT IS MOVING INTO THE NORTHEAST
BERING SEA EARLY WED. THE TROUGH WILL STRENGTHEN WED THROUGH THU
AS A STRONG CYCLONE MOVES INTO THE NORTHEAST BERING SEA LATE WED.
MEANWHILE...THE SURFACE HIGH WILL PUSH EASTWARD AND BE OVER THE
CENTRAL YUKON BY TOMORROW NIGHT. INTERIOR AK WILL THEN BE IN
POSITION BETWEEN A STRONG LOW NEAR HOOPER BAY AND A 1030 MB HIGH
NEAR THE YUKON/NORTHWEST TERRITORIES BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

INTERIOR AK WILL CONTINUE TO SEE FLURRIES TODAY AND OVERNIGHT. THE
MAIN CONCERN THIS FORECAST PACKAGE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE
TO HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW IN THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE WEST
COAST DOMAIN. THERE IS GROWING CONFIDENCE IN PERIODS OF MODERATE
TO HEAVY SNOW WEDNESDAY THROUGH LATE THURSDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 8 TO 10 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE WED TO
LATE THU TIME PERIOD. SPECIFICALLY...THIS WILL BE FROM THE YUKON
DELTA...TO THE LOWER YUKON VALLEY...TO THE UPPER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY.
ELSEWHERE...GROWING CONFIDENCE IN THE NULATO HILLS AND SOUTH AND
WEST OF GALENA IN THE MIDDLE YUKON VALLEY TO SEE TOTAL SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES. THE OTHER HAZARD WILL BE BLOWING
SNOW...AS THE SNOW COMBINES WITH GUSTY WINDS. GUSTS EXCEEDING 25
MPH AT TIMES ARE ANTICIPATED DURING THIS PERIOD. THE WINDOW FOR
THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING.

LASTLY...THU INTO FRI CONFIDENCE IS GROWING IN A MODERATE CHINOOK
EVENT THAT WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THE NORTH SLOPES OF
THE ALASKA RANGE. SPECIFICALLY...ALONG THE RICHARDSON AND PARK
HIGHWAYS. SUPPORT WILL BE SUFFICIENT ALOFT AS 700 MB WINDS WILL BE
45 TO 65 KTS AT THIS TIME AND AT A FAVORABLE DIRECTION COMPARED TO
THE MOUNTAIN BARRIER. THIS TIME FRAME WILL HAVE TO BE WATCH AS WE
GET CLOSER FOR POSSIBLE WIND HAZARD PRODUCTS.

.COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225-
PKZ230.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210.
&&

ET NOV 15

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 17, 3:36 AM AKSTGale WarningAFG35 hr
Nov 17, 3:36 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG11 hr
Nov 17, 3:37 AM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFG4 days
Nov 17, 12:36 PM AKSTWinter Storm WarningAFG3 days
Nov 17, 2:03 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG14 hr
Nov 17, 2:10 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG38 hr
Nov 17, 2:10 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFG14 hr
Nov 17, 2:28 PM AKSTWinter Storm WatchAFG37 hr

Nearby

High Wind Watches in Alaska, 2015Every high wind watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.