Alert archive / Alaska / High Wind Warnings in 2015

High Wind Warning 12, NWS Fairbanks, AK

November 19, 2015

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this high wind warning at Nov 19, 2015, 3:58 AM AKST. It took effect at Nov 19, 2015, 12:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 17 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 19, 2015, 3:58 AM AKST (12:58 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 19, 2015, 12:00 PM AKST
Expired
Nov 20, 2015, 5:02 AM AKST
In force
17 hr
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

441 
WWAK73 PAFG 191258
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
358 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

AKZ223-200000-
/O.UPG.PAFG.HW.A.0004.151119T2100Z-151120T1800Z/
/O.NEW.PAFG.HW.W.0012.151119T2100Z-151120T1800Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
INCLUDING...SALCHA...DELTA JUNCTION...FORT GREELY...
HARDING/BIRCH LAKE...DRY CREEK...DOT LAKE...HEALY LAKE
358 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 AM AKST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 AM AKST FRIDAY.
THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATION...FROM DELTA JUNCTION SOUTH.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 70 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THURSDAY MORNING. THE 
  STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY 
  FRIDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE. 

&&

$$

AKZ224-200000-
/O.UPG.PAFG.HW.A.0004.151120T0000Z-151120T1800Z/
/O.NEW.PAFG.HW.W.0012.151120T0000Z-151120T1800Z/
UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND THE FORTYMILE COUNTRY-
INCLUDING...TOK...TANACROSS...EAGLE...TETLIN...NORTHWAY...ALCAN...
CHICKEN...BOUNDARY
358 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 AM
AKST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 AM
AKST FRIDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATION...FOR AREAS ALONG THE ALASKA HIGHWAY WEST OF TOK.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE 
  STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY 
  FRIDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE. 

&&

$$

AKZ225-200000-
/O.UPG.PAFG.HW.A.0004.151119T2100Z-151120T1800Z/
/O.NEW.PAFG.HW.W.0012.151119T2100Z-151120T1800Z/
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
358 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 AM AKST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 AM AKST FRIDAY.
THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATION...AREAS IN AND NEAR PASSES.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 70 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THURSDAY MORNING. THE 
  STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY 
  FRIDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE. 

&&

$$

AKZ226-200000-
/O.UPG.PAFG.HW.A.0004.151119T2100Z-151120T1800Z/
/O.NEW.PAFG.HW.W.0012.151119T2100Z-151120T1800Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
358 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 AM AKST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 AM AKST FRIDAY.
THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATION...AREAS IN AND NEAR PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 70 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THURSDAY MORNING. THE 
  STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY 
  FRIDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE. 

&&

$$
4 follow-up statements
858 
WWAK73 PAFG 192251
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
151 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

AKZ223-201500-
/O.CON.PAFG.HW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-151120T1800Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
INCLUDING...SALCHA...DELTA JUNCTION...FORT GREELY...
HARDING/BIRCH LAKE...DRY CREEK...DOT LAKE...HEALY LAKE
151 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST FRIDAY...


* LOCATION...FROM DELTA JUNCTION SOUTH.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 70 MPH.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT AND
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE.

&&

$$

AKZ224-201500-
/O.CON.PAFG.HW.W.0012.151120T0000Z-151120T1800Z/
UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND THE FORTYMILE COUNTRY-
INCLUDING...TOK...TANACROSS...EAGLE...TETLIN...NORTHWAY...ALCAN...
CHICKEN...BOUNDARY
151 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST FRIDAY...


* LOCATION...FOR AREAS ALONG THE ALASKA HIGHWAY WEST OF TOK.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT AND
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE.

&&

$$

AKZ225-201500-
/O.CON.PAFG.HW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-151120T1800Z/
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
151 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST FRIDAY...


* LOCATION...AREAS IN AND NEAR PASSES.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 80 MPH.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT AND
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE.

&&

$$

AKZ226-201500-
/O.CON.PAFG.HW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-151120T1800Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
151 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST FRIDAY...


* LOCATION...AREAS IN AND NEAR PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 70 MPH.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT AND
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE.

&&

$$
145 
WWAK73 PAFG 200408
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
708 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

AKZ223-201500-
/O.CON.PAFG.HW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-151120T1800Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
INCLUDING...SALCHA...DELTA JUNCTION...FORT GREELY...
HARDING/BIRCH LAKE...DRY CREEK...DOT LAKE...HEALY LAKE
708 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST FRIDAY...

* LOCATION...FROM DELTA JUNCTION SOUTH.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 70 MPH.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT AND 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE.

&&

$$

AKZ224-201500-
/O.CON.PAFG.HW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-151120T1800Z/
UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND THE FORTYMILE COUNTRY-
INCLUDING...TOK...TANACROSS...EAGLE...TETLIN...NORTHWAY...ALCAN...
CHICKEN...BOUNDARY
708 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST FRIDAY...

* LOCATION...FOR AREAS ALONG THE ALASKA HIGHWAY WEST OF TOK.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT AND 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE.

&&

$$

AKZ225-201500-
/O.CON.PAFG.HW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-151120T1800Z/
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
708 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST FRIDAY...

* LOCATION...AREAS IN AND NEAR PASSES.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 80 MPH.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT AND 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE.

&&

$$

AKZ226-201500-
/O.CON.PAFG.HW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-151120T1800Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
708 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST FRIDAY...

* LOCATION...AREAS IN AND NEAR PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 80 MPH.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT AND 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE.

&&

$$
027 
WWAK73 PAFG 201150
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
250 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

AKZ223-225-201300-
/O.CAN.PAFG.HW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-151120T1800Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-DENALI-
INCLUDING...SALCHA...DELTA JUNCTION...FORT GREELY...
HARDING/BIRCH LAKE...DRY CREEK...DOT LAKE...HEALY LAKE...HEALY...
DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...KANTISHNA
250 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
WIND WARNING. 


$$

AKZ224-201800-
/O.CON.PAFG.HW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-151120T1800Z/
UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND THE FORTYMILE COUNTRY-
INCLUDING...TOK...TANACROSS...EAGLE...TETLIN...NORTHWAY...ALCAN...
CHICKEN...BOUNDARY
250 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATION...FOR AREAS ALONG THE ALASKA HIGHWAY WEST OF TOK.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT AND 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE.

&&

$$

AKZ226-201800-
/O.CON.PAFG.HW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-151120T1800Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
250 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST THIS
MORNING...
* LOCATION...AREAS IN AND NEAR PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 80 MPH.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT AND 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE.

&&

$$
629 
WWAK73 PAFG 201402
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
502 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

AKZ224-226-201515-
/O.CAN.PAFG.HW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-151120T1800Z/
UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND THE FORTYMILE COUNTRY-
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...TOK...TANACROSS...EAGLE...TETLIN...NORTHWAY...ALCAN...
CHICKEN...BOUNDARY...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...
DONNELLY DOME...TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
502 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
WIND WARNING. 


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high wind warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind warning went out at Nov 18, 3:35 PM AKST, 12 hours 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 18, 3:35 PM AKST, 12 hours 23 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
335 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

.DISCUSSION...
AN ACTIVE AND PROGRESSIVE WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE OVER AND NEAR THE NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST AREA
FOR THE NEXT WEEK TO 10 DAYS.

UPPER AIR...
A WEAK SHORT WAVE TROUGH NOW MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
WEST COAST AREA WILL DAMPEN OUT OVER THE INTERIOR TONIGHT
AS A MIGRATORY RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD THE ALASKA MAINLAND.
THE RIDGE WILL BUILD THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING AS IT MOVES
EAST...RIDGE AXIS THURSDAY EVENING WILL EXTEND FROM THE
WESTERN BROOKS RANGE SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE YUKON TERRITORY.
BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING THE RIDGE DECREASE IN AMPLITUDE
AS IT MOVES ON EASTWARD INTO CANADA.

A STRONG UPPER LOW CENTERED NEAR 54N/170E...ABOUT 150 NM
NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA...WILL MOVE EASTWARD TO NEAR THE SEWARD
PENINSULA BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE WEAKENING...THEN OPEN UP
INTO A TROUGH OVER NORTHWEST ALASKA BY LATE FRIDAY EVENING. THIS
WILL RESULT IN A LIGHTER MAINLY WESTERLY FLOW PATTERN WHICH SHOULD
PERSIST OVER NORTHERN ALASKA THROUGH SUNDAY. A RATHER WEAK RIPPLE
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE INTERIOR FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...FOLLOWED
BY ANOTHER WEAKENING SHORT WAVE TROUGH WHICH WILL ARRIVE ON THE
WEST COAST LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THEN WEAKEN FURTHER AS IT MOVES
ACROSS THE INTERIOR SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVENING.

SURFACE...
A BROAD AREA OF 1020-1024 MB HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN
ALASKA MAINLAND WILL MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD...BUILDING TO A
1030 MB HIGH CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN YUKON TERRITORY
BY LATE TONIGHT THEN WEAKENING SOME THURSDAY.

A 973 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 54N/170E...ABOUT 150 NM NORTHWEST
OF SHEMYA...WILL DEEPEN TO A 970 MB CENTER NEAR 56N/178W BY
THIS EVENING. THE LOW WILL MOVE TO THE NORTON SOUND AREA
BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE FILLING TO AROUND 980 MB.
CURRENT RUNS OF THE GFS/NAM/ECMWF/CANADIAN MODELS ARE
IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON FORECAST POSITIONS AND CENTRAL
PRESSURES THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. THE LOW WILL THEN
RAPIDLY WEAKEN THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH ONLY A
VERY WEAK CENTER REMAINING OVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR.

AS THE FIRST WEAKENING SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES EASTWARD...
FOLLOWED BY THE MUCH STRONGER UPPER LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED
SURFACE SYSTEM...SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE WEST COAST
AND WESTERN INTERIOR WITH HEAVY SNOWFALL AMOUNTS EXPECTED
IN MANY AREAS.

THE FOLLOWING ARE EXPECTED STORM TOTAL SNOW AMOUNTS THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
ZONE 209.....UP TO 6 INCHES.
ZONE 210.....4 TO 8 INCHES.
ZONE 211.....5 TO 9 INCHES.
ZONE 212.....4 TO 10 INCHES...HEAVIEST IN THE NULATO HILLS.
ZONE 213.....6 TO 10 INCHES...HEAVIEST OVER ST LAWRENCE ISLAND.
ZONE 214.....5 TO 10 INCHES.
ZONE 215.....8 TO 12 INCHES.
ZONE 216.....6 TO 10 INCHES.
ZONE 217.....UP TO 8 INCHES.
ZONE 219.....UP TO 8 INCHES.
ZONE 227.....8 TO 15 INCHES FROM THE MCGRATH AREA WEST.

AS THE NEXT BERING SEA LOW MOVES EAST...IT WILL GENERATE
STORM FORCE NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THE NORTHERN
BERING SEA INCLUDING ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND THE BERING STRAIT
TONIGHT THROUGH THROUGH MID DAY THURSDAY...WITH NORTHERLY GALES
LIKELY PERSISTING THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY. BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THESE AREAS THROUGH MID DAY FRIDAY.

CONDITIONS REMAIN VERY FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF VERY
STRONG SOUTHERLY CHINOOK WINDS IN AND NEAR ALASKA RANGE PASSES
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. VERY STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. AFTER THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS PASSES BY TO
THE EAST...STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL DEVELOP ALOFT...
WITH WINDS AS HIGH AS 75-80 KT ACROSS THE ALASKA RANGE AT 700
MB AND 800 MB. NAM MODEL BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS MAX OUT AT AS HIGH
AS 80 KT ACROSS PARTS OF THE EASTERN ALASKA RANGE. GUSTS TO 70
MPH ARE EXPECTED IN THE WIND PRONE AREAS OF ZONES 223-225...GUSTS
TO 80 MPH IN THE PASSES SOUTH OF ZONE 226 SOUTH OF DELTA JUNCTION.
STRONG SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST WINDS MAY OCCUR ALONG SECTIONS OF THE
ALASKA HIGHWAY NORTHWEST OF TOK IN ZONE 224. GUSTS TO 70 MPH ARE
ALSO EXPECTED IN WIND PRONE AREAS NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE IN ZONE
227.

CURRENT MODELS PROGGING A LOW PRESSURE CENTER TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST INTERIOR SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL PRODUCE LOW LEVEL
UPSLOPE FLOW ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE AND IN THE SOUTHEAST INTERIOR.
THE UPSLOPE FLOW AND LARGER SCALE DYNAMICS FROM THE SURFACE SYSTEM
WILL PRODUCE SNOW BEGINNING IN THE SOUTHEAST INTERIOR AND ALASKA
RANGE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...CONTINUING OVER THE ALASKA RANGE AND
MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN INTERIOR THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.
THIS MAY PRODUCE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES OR MORE IN THE
PARTS OF THE ALASKA RANGE AND SOUTHEAST INTERIOR.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

MEDIUM RANGE OUTLOOK...AN ACTIVE AND PROGRESSIVE WEATHER
PATTERN WILL LIKELY CONTINUE WITH POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EVENTS IN THE 5-10 DAY TIME FRAME. ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS PROGGED BEGIN TO BUILD OVER THE BERING SEA
SUNDAY...INCREASING SHARPLY IN AMPLITUDE AS IT MOVES TO THE
EASTERN ARCTIC COAST AND EASTERN INTERIOR BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
THESE RESULTS AGREE FAIRLY WELL WITH THE GEFS ENSEMBLE MEAN
POSITION. CURRENT GFS/ECMWF RUNS ARE IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT
THROUGH TUESDAY ON THE DEVELOPMENT AND MOVEMENT OF THIS RIDGE.
THERE WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG SOUTH WINDS ACROSS THE WEST
COAST AND NORTHERN BERING SEA MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...ALONG WITH
ANOTHER INTRUSION OF WARM AIR WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO NEAR
OR MAYBE ABOVE FREEZING. AS THE RIDGE PROGRESSES FARTHER TO THE
EAST...THERE WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER EPISODE OF STRONG
SOUTHERLY CHINOOK WINDS IN ALASKA RANGE PASSES TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY. MODEL RUNS MAY VARY FROM DAY TO DAY...CURRENT GFS/ECMWF
RUNS BECOME INCREASINGLY DIVERGENT AFTER TUESDAY...SO SUBSEQUENT
MODEL RUNS WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH WIND WATCH FOR AKZ223-AKZ224-AKZ225-AKZ226.

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ214-AKZ215-AKZ216-
AKZ227.

BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ213.

WINTER STORM WATCH FOR AKZ209-AKZ210-AKZ217-AKZ219.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ220-PKZ225.

STORM WARNING FOR PKZ210.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ215.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ220.
&&

RF NOV 15

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Nov 18, 10:32 PM AKST, 5 hours 26 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1032 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

AKZ218-219-221-223>226-191500-
SOUTHEASTERN BROOKS RANGE-UPPER KOYUKUK VALLEY-CENTRAL INTERIOR-
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND THE FORTYMILE COUNTRY-DENALI-
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...ARCTIC VILLAGE...WISEMAN...COLDFOOT...
CHANDALAR D.O.T. CAMP...INIAKUK LAKE...ALLAKAKET...HUGHES...
BETTLES...CARIBOU MOUNTAIN...GOBBLERS KNOB...NENANA...ANDERSON...
TANANA...MINTO...MANLEY HOT SPRINGS...RAMPART...LAKE MINCHUMINA...
LIVENGOOD...SALCHA...DELTA JUNCTION...FORT GREELY...
HARDING/BIRCH LAKE...DRY CREEK...DOT LAKE...HEALY LAKE...TOK...
TANACROSS...EAGLE...TETLIN...NORTHWAY...ALCAN...CHICKEN...
BOUNDARY...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
1032 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...HIGH WINDS COMING TO THE ALASKA RANGE THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY SNOW COMING TO THE CENTRAL INTERIOR THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

STRONG SOUTH CHINOOK WINDS WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY AFTERNOON NEAR
THE ALASKA RANGE. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE THURSDAY EVENING
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. GUSTS AS HIGH 70 TO AS 80 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. THE AREA ALONG THE ALASKA HIGHWAY WEST OF TOK MAY GET
VERY STRONG SOUTH WINDS AS WELL. THESE WINDS WILL BE STRONG
ENOUGH TO CAUSE DAMAGE TO PROPERTY.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE TANANA AREA THURSDAY AND SPREAD
NORTH TO COLDFOOT BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL FALL
THROUGH FRIDAY WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW THURSDAY NIGHT. BETWEEN 4
AND 12 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS NEAR
BETTLES. THIS WILL MAKING DRIVING ON THE DALTON HIGHWAY DIFFICULT
FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH AND FRIDAY.

THESE CONDITIONS ARE DUE TO A STRONG STORM NOW IN THE CENTRAL
BERING SEA THAT WILL MOVE TO THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA BY FRIDAY.

IN FAIRBANKS NO SIGNIFICANT SNOW IS EXPECTED UNTIL THIS WEEKEND WHEN
THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF A SIGNIFICANT SNOW FALL ON SATURDAY.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 18, 6:17 PM AKSTWinter Storm WarningAFG47 hr
Nov 18, 6:17 PM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFG47 hr
Nov 19, 3:53 AM AKSTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFG10 hr
Nov 19, 3:53 AM AKSTGale WarningAFG34 hr
Nov 19, 3:59 AM AKSTGale WarningAFG24 hr
Nov 19, 2:18 PM AKSTGale WarningAFG24 hr
Nov 19, 2:18 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG14 hr
Nov 19, 2:18 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG24 hr

Nearby

High Wind Warnings in Alaska, 2015Every high wind warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.