Gale Warning 53, NWS Fairbanks, AK

553 
FZAK51 PAFG 311147
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
347 AM AKDT SUN MAY 31 2015

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-010300-
347 AM AKDT SUN MAY 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1040 MB HIGH 350 NM NORTH OF WRANGEL ISLAND WILL WEAKEN TO A
1031 MB HIGH 200 NM NORTH OF WRANGEL ISLAND BY TUE AFTERNOON.
A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ALONG THE ARCTIC
COAST THROUGH MON. A 1019 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 200 NM NORTH
OF DEMARCATION POINT MON EVENING THEN DISSIPATE OVER THE
EASTERN ARCTIC SLOPE BY MON EVENING.

$$

PKZ225-010300-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
347 AM AKDT SUN MAY 31 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-010300-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
347 AM AKDT SUN MAY 31 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-010300-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
347 AM AKDT SUN MAY 31 2015

.TODAY...N WINDS 15 KT. FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-010300-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
347 AM AKDT SUN MAY 31 2015

.TODAY...N WINDS 10 KT. FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.MON...NW WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-010300-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
347 AM AKDT SUN MAY 31 2015

.TODAY...N WINDS 10 KT. FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.MON...NW WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

RF/NS MAY 15

806 
FZAK51 PAFG 312227
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
227 PM AKDT SUN MAY 31 2015

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-011230-
227 PM AKDT SUN MAY 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1040 MB HIGH 325 NM NORTHEAST OF WRANGEL ISLAND WILL WEAKEN TO
A 1031 MB HIGH 200 NM NORTHEAST OF WRANGEL ISLAND BY TUE
AFTERNOON. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ALONG THE
ARCTIC COAST THROUGH MON. A 1019 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 200 NM NORTH
OF DEMARCATION POINT MON EVENING THEN DISSIPATE OVER THE EASTERN
ARCTIC SLOPE BY TUE MORNING.

$$

PKZ225-011230-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
227 PM AKDT SUN MAY 31 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-011230-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
227 PM AKDT SUN MAY 31 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-011230-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
227 PM AKDT SUN MAY 31 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-011230-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
227 PM AKDT SUN MAY 31 2015

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.MON...N WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.TUE...N WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-011230-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
227 PM AKDT SUN MAY 31 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.MON...NW WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG...SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

MAK/DJH MAY 15

121 
FZAK51 PAFG 011157
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
357 AM AKDT MON JUN 1 2015

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-020300-
357 AM AKDT MON JUN 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1039 MB HIGH CENTERED 400 NM NORTHWEST OF BARROW WILL WEAKEN TO
A 1026 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR WRANGEL ISLAND BY WED MORNING. A WEAK
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD
ACROSS THE EASTERN ARCTIC COAST TONIGHT.


$$

PKZ225-020300-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
357 AM AKDT MON JUN 1 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-020300-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
357 AM AKDT MON JUN 1 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-020300-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
357 AM AKDT MON JUN 1 2015

.TODAY...N WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-020300-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
357 AM AKDT MON JUN 1 2015

.TODAY...NW WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. FOG...SNOW.
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. FOG...SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-020300-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
357 AM AKDT MON JUN 1 2015

.TODAY...NW WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. FOG...SNOW.
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. FOG...SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

RF/NS JUN 15

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
551 AM AKDT SAT MAY 30 2015

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER AIR AT 500 MB...UPPER LEVEL LOW NOW CENTERED NEAR THE
MACKENZIE RIVER DELTA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD AND OPEN
UP INTO A TROUGH THIS MORNING. A 572 DAM HIGH WILL REMAIN CENTERED
OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING NORTHWESTWARD
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST ALASKA COAST INTO THE CHUKCHI SEA. A COLD
UPPER LOW NOW CENTERED NEAR 83N/133W IN THE HIGH ARCTIC WILL MOVE
SOUTHWARD TO THE EASTERN ARCTIC COAST BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING...THEN
OPEN UP INTO A SHORT WAVE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM INUVIK TO THE
WESTERN ALASKA RANGE BY LATE MONDAY MORNING...AND MOVE A LITTLE
FARTHER SOUTHEASTWARD BY TUESDAY MORNING. MODEL FORECASTS
OF THIS FEATURE ARE IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT. THIS FEATURE
WILL BRING A SUBSTANTIALLY COLDER AIR MASS INTO THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN INTERIOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES WILL
LIKELY BE ON MONDAY MORNING AND TUESDAY MORNING. THE SOUTHWARD
MOVING SHORT WAVE WILL PUSH THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE SOUTHWARD...BY
MONDAY AFTERNOON THE RIDGE AXIS WILL EXTEND FROM THE CHUKOTSK
PENINSULA TO COOK INLET THEN EAST SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. A SECOND UPPER LOW MOVING OUT OF THE
NORTH POLAR REGION WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD TO THE ALASKAN ARCTIC COAST
BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON...BRINGING ANOTHER SURGE OF COLD AIR TO AREAS
FROM THE BROOKS RANGE NORTH. MODEL FORECAST POSITIONS FOR TUESDAY
AFTERNOON VARY...A MEAN POSITION OF THE GFS...ECMWF...AND CANADIAN
MODELS WOULD PUT THE CENTER OVER THE CENTRAL ARCTIC COAST. THIS
SECOND CENTER IS THEN PROGGED TO MOVE SOUTHWEST TO NORTON SOUND BY
WED EVENING...WITH A RESIDUAL TROUGH EXTENDING NORTHEASTWARD TO
THE CENTRAL ARCTIC COAST AND ON INTO THE BEAUFORT SEA.

SURFACE...
A 1037 MB HIGH CENTERED 800 MILES NORTHWEST OF BARTER ISLAND
WILL BUILD TO 1040 MB BY THIS EVENING...THEN WEAKEN TO 1037
MB BY MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH LITTLE NET MOVEMENT EXPECTED
THROUGH THE PERIOD. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING FROM
COOK INLET TO THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE WILL EXPAND NORTHWESTWARD
TO NORTON SOUND AND THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA BY SUNDAY MORNING. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE ARCTIC SLOPE LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT AND THEN PUSH SOUTHWARD INTO THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN INTERIOR.

WEST COAST...
SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND SUNDAY WITH
MAINLY LIGHT OFFSHORE WIND FLOW AND HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING
EXPANDING NORTHWESTWARD. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN AREAS SOUTH OF THE YUKON DELTA. RAIN
LIKELY OVER ST LAWRENCE ISLAND THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT WITH
THE REMNANTS OF AN OLD OCCLUDED FRONT. A CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH
THIS EVENING OVER THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE YUKON DELTA ZONE.

INTERIOR...
NOTICEABLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN INTERIOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO REBOUND TO NEAR NORMAL BY LATE IN THE WEEK. GUSTY
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER MOST OF THE INTERIOR SUNDAY
EVENING AND SUNDAY NIGHT...LIKELY CONTINUING INTO MONDAY NIGHT.
SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN
THE EASTERN BROOKS RANGE. ELSEWHERE IN THE INTERIOR EAST
OF THE MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY...THE SOUTHWARD MOVING COLD FRONT
WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SNOW AT HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. ADDITIONALLY...THE FRONT AND THE UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE ALOFT WILL BRING GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS OVER
MANY PARTS OF THE INTERIOR SUNDAY NIGHT. BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF THE INTERIOR MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN AREAS SOUTH OF THE YUKON
DELTA MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN AN AREA OF MARGINAL
INSTABILITY...OTHERWISE NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY. HIGHER HUMIDITIES WILL PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT
IN MOST INTERIOR AREAS EAST OF THE MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY.
THE REMAINDER OF THE INTERIOR WILL EXPERIENCE DRIER CONDITIONS
WITH LOWER HUMIDITIES. GUSTY NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN BROOKS RANGE SUNDAY EVENING AND
CONTINUE SUNDAY NIGHT...CREATING POTENTIAL FOR RED FLAG
CONDITIONS IN SOME INTERIOR AREAS SUNDAY EVENING. A DRIER AIRMASS
IS EXPECTED OVER INTERIOR AREAS EAST OF THE MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY
MONDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THE SAG RIVER AT PUMP STATION 3 CRESTED AT 19.8 FEET AT AROUND
6 PM FRIDAY EVENING. AS OF 1 AM THIS MORNING...THE SAG RIVER AT
PUMP STATION 3 HAS FALLEN TO 19.0 FEET. THE CREST WILL BE MOVING
DOWNRIVER AND REACH THE AREA OF THE DALTON HIGHWAY THAT WAS
SEVERELY DAMAGED BY THE RECENT SNOWMELT FLOODING BY THIS
AFTERNOON. WITH RECENT FLOODING AND DAMAGE TO THE HIGHWAY...
FLOODING IMPACTS COULD BE MORE SEVERE THAN NORMAL FOR THIS TYPE OF
EVENT.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ230.
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ225.

&&

RF MAY 15

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
942 AM AKDT SAT MAY 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0938 AM     SNOW             50 E PRUDHOE BAY        70.14N 146.29W
05/30/2015  E4.0 INCH                           AK   PUBLIC

            POINT THOMSON AIRFIELD MANAGER RELAYED THAT THEY RECEIVED
            3 TO 4 INCHES TOTAL FROM YESTERDAYS SNOWFALL. IT WAS WET
            AND HEAVY.

&&

HLIND