Gale Warning 35, NWS Fairbanks, AK

106 
FZAK51 PAFG 302258
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
258 PM AKDT MON MAR 30 2015

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-311400-
258 PM AKDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A STRONG 1035 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER 500 MILES NORTH OF PRUDHOE
BAY WILL BUILD TO 1046 MB THROUGH THU WHILE DRIFTING NORTHWEST. A
1002 MB LOW NEAR KIVALINA WILL DRIFT NORTHWEST TO WRANGELL ISLAND
AND WEAKEN TO 1014 MB WED AM. BROAD LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST
OVER MAINLAND ALASKA WITH A WEAK TROUGH EXTENDING INTO THE
SOUTHERN ARCTIC PLAIN.

$$

PKZ225-311400-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
258 PM AKDT MON MAR 30 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT.  
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT.  
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT.  
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT.  
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT.  
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-311400-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
258 PM AKDT MON MAR 30 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.TUE...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.WED...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT.  
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-311400-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
258 PM AKDT MON MAR 30 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS INCREASING TO 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM
OR LESS.
.TUE...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.  
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.WED...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT.  
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-311400-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
258 PM AKDT MON MAR 30 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.  
.TUE...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.  
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.WED...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT.  
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-311400-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
258 PM AKDT MON MAR 30 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.  
.TUE...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.  
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.WED...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT.  
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT.  
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

JL/AD/LTH MAR 15

382 
FZAK51 PAFG 311208
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
408 AM AKDT TUE MAR 31 2015

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-010315-
408 AM AKDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A STRONG 1037 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER 400 MILES NORTH OF PRUDHOE
BAY WILL BUILD TO 1044 MB THROUGH THU WHILE DRIFTING NORTHWEST. A
1003 MB LOW NEAR KIVALINA WILL DRIFT NORTHWEST TO WRANGELL ISLAND
AND WEAKEN TO 1013 MB WED AM. BROAD LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST
OVER MAINLAND ALASKA WITH A WEAK TROUGH EXTENDING INTO THE
SOUTHERN ARCTIC PLAIN.

$$

PKZ225-010315-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
408 AM AKDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT BECOMING S. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-010315-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
408 AM AKDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-010315-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
408 AM AKDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-010315-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
408 AM AKDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-010315-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
408 AM AKDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

CCC/NTS MAR 15

265 
FZAK51 PAFG 312302
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
302 PM AKDT TUE MAR 31 2015

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-011415-
302 PM AKDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A STRONG 1040 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER 600 MILES NORTH OF PRUDHOE
BAY WILL BUILD TO 1046 MB THROUGH THU. A 1006 MB LOW 100 NM
NORTHWEST OF POINT HOPE WILL DRIFT NORTHWEST TO WRANGEL ISLAND AND
WEAKEN TO 1011 MB WED AM.

$$

PKZ225-011415-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
302 PM AKDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-011415-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
302 PM AKDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-011415-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
302 PM AKDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.WED...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-011415-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
302 PM AKDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.WED...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-011415-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
302 PM AKDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.WED...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

AD/RF MAR 15

313 
FZAK51 PAFG 011201
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
401 AM AKDT WED APR 1 2015

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-020315-
401 AM AKDT WED APR 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A STRONG 1041 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER 600 MILES NORTH OF PRUDHOE
BAY WILL BUILD TO 1048 MB THROUGH THU. A 1011 MB LOW NEAR WRANGEL
ISLAND WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND MOVE NW THROUGH WED
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ225-020315-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
401 AM AKDT WED APR 1 2015

.TODAY...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-020315-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
401 AM AKDT WED APR 1 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-020315-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
401 AM AKDT WED APR 1 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-020315-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
401 AM AKDT WED APR 1 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-020315-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
401 AM AKDT WED APR 1 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

CF/NTS APR 15

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
348 AM AKDT MON MAR 30 2015

.DISCUSSION...
00Z SYNOPTIC SCALE MODELS INITIALIZED WELL AND VERIFIED WELL
AGAINST THE 06Z ANALYSIS WITH FEATURE STRENGTH AND POSITION.
TEMPERATURES VERIFIED MUCH BETTER WITH TODAYS MODEL RUNS THAN HAS
BEEN OBSERVED OVER THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS. SHORT RANGE AND MID
RANGE RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY REMAINS GOOD AND SPREAD BETWEEN MODEL
FAMILIES REMAINS REASONABLE HOWEVER MODEL SPREAD INCREASES
CONSIDERABLY BY LATE WEEK WITH EXPECTED PATTERN SHIFT. RELIED
HEAVILY ON A BLEND OF THE INHERITED FORECAST PACKAGE WITH A BLEND
OF 00Z GFS AND ECMWF.

ALOFT AT 500 HPA...A 515 DAM LOW OVER KOTZEBUE SOUND CONTINUES TO
DRIFT TO THE WEST AND WILL BE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHERN CHUKCHI
SEA THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL DRIFT SLOWLY NORTH TUESDAY MORNING. A
518 DAM LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF OF ALASKA SLIDES TO THE EAST
TODAY AS A 514 DAM LOW OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS MOVES RAPIDLY
EAST TO BE LOCATED OVER COLD BAY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND THEN MOVES
TO NEAR KODIAK ISLAND AND ANCHORS A LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER
MAINLAND ALASKA THURSDAY. THE PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER
SOUTHEAST ALASKA AND EXTENDING SOUTH THROUGH BRITISH COLUMBIA
NUDGES EAST WEDNESDAY AN THURSDAY. A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE BUILDS
INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS PATTERN
SHIFTS.

ON THE SURFACE...A COMPLEX LOW CENTER JUST SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE NORTH AND WEST AND WEAKEN AS A WEAK
FRONT WRAPPED AROUND THE LOW CENTER CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH INTO
SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA AND THE ALASKA RANGE TODAY. WINDS AHEAD OF
THE FRONT CONTINUE TO CREATE DRY AND WARM CHINOOK CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN INTERIOR. WINDS THROUGH THE ALASKA RANGE
PASSES REMAIN GUSTY BUT BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS. WINDS THROUGH THE
ALASKA RANGE PASSES WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES
NORTH INTO THE INTERIOR.

A 1033 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 75N AND 150W WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH TO
THE SOUTH AND INCREASE THE GRADIENT ALONG THE NORTH SLOPE TODAY
AND TONIGHT. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES HOISTED FOR ZONES 203 AND
204 FOR BLOWING SNOW AS WINDS GUST IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE TODAY
AND TONIGHT. WILL NEED TO MONITOR FOR WINTER HEADLINES IN ZONES
202 AND 201 TONIGHT AS WINDS INCREASE IN THESE AREAS. WILL NEED TO
MONITOR FOR LOCAL BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DEVELOPING OVER THE EASTERN
NORTH SLOPE THIS EVENING.

SURFACE TEMPERATURES OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR
CONTINUE TO RUN WELL ABOVE NORMAL WITH BETTLES SETTING A HIGH
TEMPERATURE RECORD FOR THE SECOND DAY IN A ROW. HIGH TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE 40S THROUGH MID WEEK AND THEN COOL
BACK TO MORE SEASONAL LEVELS BY THE END OF THE WEEK. SNOWPACK OVER
THE SOUTHERN INTERIOR CONTINUES TO MELT SLOWLY ESPECIALLY OVER
SOUTH FACING SLOPES. NOT EXPECTING SIGNIFICANT HYDROLOGICAL ISSUES
AT THIS TIME WITH SLOW MELTING RATES.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ203-AKZ204.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ240-PKZ245.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240.
&&

CCC MAR 15