Brisk Wind Advisory 9, NWS Fairbanks, AK

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
527 AM AKST TUE JAN 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...

ALOFT...MODELS IN AGREEMENT WITH A WEAK 529 LOW OVER BETHEL MOVING
INTO BRISTOL BAY AND DEEPENING ON THURSDAY WHILE A 561 DAM HIGH
OVER RUSSIA WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS NORTHERN ALASKA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. MODELS INDICATING THE DEVELOPING LOW IN BRISTOL BAY ON
THURSDAY COULD BRING PRECIP ACROSS THE YUKON DELTA BY THU
AFTERNOON. EAST OF THIS LOW SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP AND BRING
PUSH WARMER AIR INTO THE ALASKA RANGE.

SURFACE....A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL MOVE NORTH
TO LIE FROM BRISTOL BAY TO KODIAK ISLAND AND EASTWARD WED
MORNING...AND OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST WED AFTERNOON. A 1043 MB
HIGH OVER THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AND BUILD TO
1045 MB NORTH OF BARROW AT 3PM TUE...THEN EAST TO BE 1049 MB OVER
MACKENZIE BAY AT 3 PM WED.

NORTH SLOPE...AREAS OF IFR CLOUDS MOVING ACROSS THE NORTH SLOPE
THIS MORNING. CLEARING FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE DAY.
AN INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER NORTHERN ALASKA SOUTH OF THE
BROOKS RANGE IS OCCURRING NOW. LOCALLY STRONG WINDS IN PASSES OF
THE BROOKS RANGE WITH LOW VISIBILITIES AND BLOWING SNOW THROUGH
TUESDAY.

INTERIOR...CLEAR AND COLD CONTINUES AT LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THEN A PATTERN CHANGE WITH WARMER 850 TEMPS AND CLOUDS BY THURSDAY
NIGHT WILL EASE THE EARLY JAN COLD SPELL A BIT WITH HIGHS ZERO TO
10 ABOVE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY IN THE MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY AND UPPER
TEENS LOWER 20S ABOVE IN THE ALASKA RANGE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ210.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200.
&&

JK JAN 15