Brisk Wind Advisory 13, NWS Fairbanks, AK

447 
FZAK51 PAFG 111159
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
259 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-120300-
259 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1031 MB HIGH CENTERED 125 MILES NORTHWEST OF BARROW WILL BECOME
A 1027 MB RIDGE OVER THE BEAUFORT SEA AND WESTERN ARCTIC OCEAN BY
MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ225-120300-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
259 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT.
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 35 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 35 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 40 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-120300-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
259 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 35 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-120300-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
259 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015

.TODAY...NE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING E.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-120300-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
259 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015

.TODAY...NE WINDS 10 KT.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-120300-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
259 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

RF/RM JAN 15

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
202 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
ALOFT...
THE LONG WAVE PATTERN CONSISTING OF A RIDGE OVER EASTERN ALASKA
AND A TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN PACIFIC AND SOUTHERN BERING SEA.
RIDGE WILL BUILD NW OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA THROUGH MON. THIS WILL
CAUSE A GRADUAL CLEARING OVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR AND AND WEST
COAST OF ALASKA THROUGH MON. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN NEXT
FRI CAUSING COOLING OVER NORTHERN ALASKA.

A SHORT WAVE TROUGH FROM ATIGUN PASS TO DENALI WILL MOVE TO OLD
CROW TO TOK BY 3AM SUN AND THEN DISSIPATE. EXPECT FLURRIES WITH
THIS IN THE INTERIOR AND CLOUDS DECREASING TO THE WEST. EXPECT
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE BROOKS RANGE WITH THIS.

A SECOND SHORT WAVE TROUGH STRETCHING FROM GAMBELL TO UNALAKLEET
WILL MOVE TO THE BERING STRAIT TO POINT HOPE BY 3AM SUN...THEN
DISSIPATE. SNOW WITH 1 INCH ACCUMULATION NW OF THE TROUGH WILL
DIMINISH TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE TROUGH AND FLURRIES
TO THE SOUTH.

A THIRD SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER SE ALASKA WILL MOVE OVER THE
EXTREME SE INTERIOR SUN...AND TO MCGRATH TO CHICKEN MON. EXPECT
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WITH THIS TROUGH...WITH 1-2 INCHES OF SNOW
IN THE EASTERN ALASKA RANGE.

850 MB TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM -2C IN THE SOUTHERN INTERIOR TO
-8C ALONG THE WEST COAST AND ARCTIC COASTS. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE
SLOWLY OVER THE WEST COAST AND SOUTHWEST INTERIOR THROUGH
MON...FALL A FEW DEGREES IN THE INTERIOR...AND FALL UP TO 10C OVER
THE ARCTIC SLOPE THROUGH MON.

SURFACE...
A COLD FRONT STRETCHING FROM DEMARCATION POINT TO ANAKTUVUK PASS
TO POINT HOPE WILL MOVE TO OLD CROW TO POINT HOPE BY 3AM SUN...AND
THEN DISSIPATE IN PLACE THROUGH MON. THERE WILL BE 1-2 INCHES OF
SNOW ALONG THE NORTH SLOPES OF THE BROOKS RANGE WITH THIS AND
LESS THAN 1 INCH ALONG THE FRONT SOUTH OF THE BROOKS. NW WINDS
20G30KT AND BLOWING SNOW ALONG THE FRONT OVER THE EASTERN ARCTIC
COAST WILL DECREASE RAPIDLY WEST OF THE FRONT.

A 1034 MB HIGH OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA WILL BUILD EAST ACROSS THE
ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA TONIGHT AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH MON. THIS
WILL CAUSE N WINDS 10-15 KT AND FLURRIES/FOG OVER THE ARCTIC
COAST TONIGHT THAT WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUN.

A 1002 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF GAMBELL WILL MOVE WEST TONIGHT.
THIS IS CAUSING NE WINDS 15G25KT FROM GAMBELL TO POINT HOPE THAT
WILL DECREASE TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES WEST.

A STRONG LOW INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF AK MON WILL MOVE TO BRISTOL
BAY TUE. THIS WILL INCREASE THE EASTERLY WINDS MON NIGHT AND TUE OVER
THE AREAS OF THE INTERIOR AND WEST COAST SUSCEPTIBLE TO EAST
WINDS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS SHOW SIMILAR SOLUTIONS THROUGH MON.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ245.
&&

JB JAN 15