Brisk Wind Advisory 101, NWS Fairbanks, AK

500 
FZAK51 PAFG 211041
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
241 AM AKDT SAT MAR 21 2015

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-220200-
241 AM AKDT SAT MAR 21 2015

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1041 MB HIGH CENTERED 500 MILES NORTH OF BARROW WILL MOVE TO
500 MILES NORTH OF THE MACKENZIE RIVER DELTA BY SUN AFTERNOON
WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE NORTHWEST 
TERRITORIES. AN ELONGATED 1019 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP SUN
MORNING...EXTENDING FROM 400 MILES NORTHWEST OF BARROW TO 100
MILES EAST OF BARROW.

$$

PKZ225-220200-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
241 AM AKDT SAT MAR 21 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT.
.SUN...N WINDS 15 KT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-220200-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
241 AM AKDT SAT MAR 21 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT.
.SUN...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-220200-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
241 AM AKDT SAT MAR 21 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 5 KT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 5 KT BECOMING W 10 KT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-220200-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
241 AM AKDT SAT MAR 21 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT.
.SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-220200-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
241 AM AKDT SAT MAR 21 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

RF/LTH MAR 15

227 
FZAK51 PAFG 212235
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
235 PM AKDT SAT MAR 21 2015

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-221400-
235 PM AKDT SAT MAR 21 2015

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1042 MB HIGH CENTERED 500 MILES NORTH OF DEMARCATION POINT WILL
MOVE TO 500 MILES NORTH OF THE MACKENZIE RIVER DELTA BY SUN
AFTERNOON AT 1039 MB. WEAKER HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER
EASTERN SIBERIA. AN ELONGATED 1019 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP SUNDAY
MORNING EXTENDING FROM 400 MILES NORTHWEST OF BARROW TO 100 MILES
EAST OF BARROW.

$$

PKZ225-221400-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
235 PM AKDT SAT MAR 21 2015

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-221400-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
235 PM AKDT SAT MAR 21 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-221400-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
235 PM AKDT SAT MAR 21 2015

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT.
.SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-221400-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
235 PM AKDT SAT MAR 21 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT WELL OFFSHORE EAST OF
PRUDHOE BAY.
.SUN...EAST WINDS 10 KT OR LESS NEAR SHORE...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
AROUND NOON. EAST WINDS 20 KT OFF SHORE...DIMINISHING.
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-221400-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
235 PM AKDT SAT MAR 21 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT...EXCEPT 15 KT NEAR SHORE FROM KAKTOVIK
WEST.
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT...DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY NOON. NEAR SHORE
FROM KAKTOVIK WEST...EAST WINDS 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT BY NOON.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

CF/DJH MAR 15

865 
FZAK51 PAFG 221044
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
244 AM AKDT SUN MAR 22 2015

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-230200-
244 AM AKDT SUN MAR 22 2015

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1040 MB HIGH CENTERED 500 MILES NORTH OF THE MACKENZIE RIVER
DELTA WILL MOVE TO 600 MILES EAST OF THE MACKENZIE RIVER DELTA
BY TUE MORNING WEAKENING TO 1030 MB. A WEAK 1017 MB LOW CENTERED
150 MILES NORTHWEST OF BARROW WILL MOVE TO 650 MILE NORTH
NORTHWEST OF BARROW BY LATE SUN NIGHT DEEPENING TO 1014 MB.

$$

PKZ225-230200-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
244 AM AKDT SUN MAR 22 2015

.TODAY...N WINDS 10 KT.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-230200-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
244 AM AKDT SUN MAR 22 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 5 KT BECOMING W 10 KT.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-230200-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
244 AM AKDT SUN MAR 22 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-230200-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
244 AM AKDT SUN MAR 22 2015

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-230200-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
244 AM AKDT SUN MAR 22 2015

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT.
.MON...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

RF/LTH MAR 15

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
103 PM AKDT FRI MAR 20 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
ALOFT...
THE LONG WAVE PATTERN CONSISTS OF A RIDGE OVER WESTERN CANADA AND
EASTERN ALASKA WITH A TROUGH OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC AND GULF OF
ALASKA. THIS PATTERN WILL HOLD FOR THE NEXT WEEK. SEVERAL STRONG
SHORT WAVES WILL MAKE THEIR WAY NORTH OVER MAINLAND ALASKA IN THIS
SOUTH FLOW. THIS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FOR THE NEXT WEEK NEAR
NORMAL ALONG THE WEST AND ARCTIC COASTS AND ABOVE NORMAL IN THE
INTERIOR.

A SHORT WAVE TROUGH STRETCHING FROM BETHEL TO KOYUK TO HOWARD PASS
WILL MOVE TO THE YUKON DELTA TO KOTZEBUE TO WAINWRIGHT BY 4AM
SAT...AND THEN DISSIPATE IN PLACE. A WEAK SURFACE OCCLUDED FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH.

A SECOND SHORT WAVE IN THE SOUTHERN YUKON TERRITORY WILL MOVE TO
TOK TO EAGLE BY 4AM SAT...TO BIG DELTA TO OLD CROW BY 4PM
SAT...AND TO FORT YUKON TO INUVIK BY 4AM SUN. EXPECT SCT/BKN MID
LEVEL CLOUDS AND A FEW FLURRIES WITH THIS TROUGH ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN EAST WINDS ALONG THE ALCAN BORDER.

850 MB TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM 0C NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE TO -17C
ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST. INTERIOR WILL COOL 1-2C SAT WHILE THE
ARCTIC COAST WILL WARM BY 4-8C. ALL AREAS WILL COOL 2-4C SUNDAY.

SURFACE..
A 1035 MB HIGH CENTERED NORTH OF THE ARCTIC COAST WILL MOVE EAST
SUNDAY.

A WEAK SURFACE OCCLUDED FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH FROM
BETHEL TO KOYUK TO HOWARD PASS WILL MOVE TO THE YUKON DELTA TO
KOTZEBUE TO WAINWRIGHT BY 4AM SAT...AND THEN DISSIPATE IN PLACE.
WILL SEE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WITH THE FRONT. THIS WILL CAUSE
INCREASED GRADIENT AND WINDS OVER NW AK TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH NW
WINDS OF 15-25 KT.

A COLD FRONT DEVELOPING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA TONIGHT
WILL MOVE TO POINT HOPE TO NOME BY 4PM SAT...AND TO WAINWRIGHT TO
KOYUK TO THE YUKON DELTA BY 4PM SUN...AND TO BARTER ISLAND TO
BETTLES TO THE YUKON DELTA BY 4PM MON. EXPECT LIGHT SNOW WITH
LESS THAN 1 INCH ACCUMULATION WITH THIS FRONT ALONG THE COAST
DIMINISHING TO FLURRIES INLAND. NORTH WINDS 20KT WILL OCCUR WITH
THE FRONT ALONG THE WEST COAST THROUGH SUN DECREASING SUN NIGHT.

A STRONG OCCLUDED FRONT IN THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL MOVE OVER THE
SOUTHEAST INTERIOR SAT PM AND THEN DISSIPATE IN PLACE THROUGH SUN.
EXPECT ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS WITH THIS FRONT IN THE SE INTERIOR
SAT THROUGH SUN.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS INITIALIZE WELL AND SHOW SIMILAR SOLUTIONS THROUGH 4PM
SUN. IN THE LONGER RANGE MODELS DIFFER ON TIMING OF SHORT WAVES
BUT SIMILAR IN MAINTAINING LONG WAVE RIDGE OVER NW CANADA AND
EASTERN ALASKA.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ201.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235-
PKZ245.
&&

JB MAR 15