Storm Warning 25, NWS Anchorage, AK

378 
FZAK51 PAFC 101831 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
931 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

UPDATED AREAS 119 129 131 AND 132

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-110430-
931 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 990 MB LOW WILL FORM 280 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND THIS
AFTERNOON THEN MOVE TO 30 NM NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 994 MB
WED MORNING THEN MOVE INLAND.

$$

PKZ119-110430-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
931 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 20
FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ120-110430-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
931 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-110430-
RESURRECTION BAY-
931 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY THIS MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-110430-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
931 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK
ENTRANCE. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-110430-
PORT VALDEZ-
931 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-110430-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
931 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THIS
MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-110430-
VALDEZ ARM-
931 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-110430-
PASSAGE CANAL-
931 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-110430-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
931 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-110430-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
931 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-110430-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
931 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
20 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-110430-
CHINIAK BAY-
931 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-110430-
MARMOT BAY-
931 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-110430-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
931 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-110430-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
931 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-110430-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
931 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-110430-
KACHEMAK BAY-
931 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

069 
FZAK51 PAFC 110040
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
340 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-111345-
340 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 986 MB LOW 285 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA WILL MOVE NEAR WHITTIER AT
994 MB WED AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE INLAND AND WEAKEN. A 987 MB LOW
WILL MOVE TO 350 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-111345-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
340 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18
FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-111345-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
340 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-111345-
RESURRECTION BAY-
340 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-111345-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
340 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NE GUSTS
TO 30 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4
FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-111345-
PORT VALDEZ-
340 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-111345-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
340 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-111345-
VALDEZ ARM-
340 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-111345-
PASSAGE CANAL-
340 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-111345-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
340 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE EVENING.
SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-111345-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
340 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
15 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-111345-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
340 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20
FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ136-111345-
CHINIAK BAY-
340 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ137-111345-
MARMOT BAY-
340 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ138-111345-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
340 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-111345-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
340 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING.
SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-111345-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
340 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-111345-
KACHEMAK BAY-
340 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

284 
FZAK51 PAFC 111234
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
334 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-120130-
334 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 983 MB LOW 110 NM SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING WILL MOVE INTO PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND AT 994 MB THIS AFTERNOON THEN WEAKEN AND MOVE INLAND.
A 987 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 310 NM SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING THU
AFTERNOON THEN TO 175 NM SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING LATE THU NIGHT
WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH.

$$

PKZ119-120130-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
334 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR
THE COAST...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-120130-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
334 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING S 10 KT. SEAS 16
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-120130-
RESURRECTION BAY-
334 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING
TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-120130-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
334 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-120130-
PORT VALDEZ-
334 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-120130-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
334 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY THIS MORNING.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-120130-
VALDEZ ARM-
334 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-120130-
PASSAGE CANAL-
334 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER DIMINISHING IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-120130-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
334 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
13 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-120130-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
334 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-120130-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
334 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ136-120130-
CHINIAK BAY-
334 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ137-120130-
MARMOT BAY-
334 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ138-120130-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
334 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-120130-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
334 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-120130-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
334 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2
FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-120130-
KACHEMAK BAY-
334 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
429 PM AKST MON FEB 9 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THERE IS AN INVERTED UPPER TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WITH
AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND A
FRONT STRETCHING FROM THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS THROUGH KODIAK ISLAND
AND ALONG THE GULF COAST. THERE IS AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH OVER THE
WESTERN BERING AND ANOTHER OVER THE EASTERN GULF EXTENDING
SOUTHEASTWARD. THE FRONT IS OCCLUDED FROM THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
THROUGH THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND IS A WARM FRONT FROM KODIAK
THROUGH THE GULF COAST. THE COLD FRONT PORTION EXTENDS SOUTHEAST
FROM ABOUT CHIGNIK INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT
TERM. THE CANADIAN MODELS (REGIONAL AND NORTHERN HEMISPHERE) ARE
A LITTLE DIFFERENT FROM THE OTHER MODELS IN HOW THEY HANDLE A LOW
IN THE GULF TUESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING AND THEY WERE NOT USED FOR
THE AFTERNOON FORECAST. PREFERENCE WAS FOR THE NAM FOR THE FIRST
DAY OR TWO...THEN TRANSITIONING TOWARD THE ECMWF. FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOWERED A LITTLE BIT DUE TO THE PATTERN
CHANGE...AND IS NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
EXPECTING SOME SNOW THROUGH THE COOK INLET AREA TONIGHT WITH THE
INITIAL ARRIVAL OF THE WARM FRONT. THIS SHOULD NOT AMOUNT TO
MUCH...BUT WITH THE OVER-RUNNING OF MOIST AIR OVER THE COLD AND
DRY SURFACE AIR IT SHOULD BE A HIGH POP/LOW QPF EVENT. AS FLOW
BECOMES MORE EASTERLY LATER TONIGHT ANY SNOW SHOULD CUT BACK TO
ISOLATED SHOWERS. WARMER AIR IS ALREADY SURGING INTO KODIAK ISLAND
BUT WILL STALL THERE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...THEN SLOWLY WORK ITS
WAY NORTH ON WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE GULF COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A WEAK UPPER TROUGH WILL LIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA AND LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY TODAY...WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM
PUSHING INTO THE BRISTOL BAY REGION. MAINLY THE THE KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY AND DELTA WILL SEE AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW...AS THE WAVE DISSIPATES OVERHEAD. A
CHANCE FOR SNOW AND RAIN WILL PERSIST ACROSS BRISTOL BAY INTO THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...AS A NORTH PACIFIC FRONT CROSSES THE ALASKA
PENINSULA AND EVENTUALLY STALLS AND WEAKENS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
BERING. OTHER AREAS AROUND THE THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND WILL REMAIN
GENERALLY DRY...WITH GUSTY AND PERSISTENT NORTHEASTERLY OFFSHORE
FLOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A FRONT CURRENTLY TRACKING INTO THE THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND
EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL BRING ABUNDANT PRECIPITATION AND GUSTY
WINDS TO THE SOUTHEASTERN BERING OVER THE COMING DAYS AS IT STALLS
AND GRADUALLY WEAKENS. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL PERSIST ALONG
THE PARTS OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS THROUGH
EARLY THIS EVENING AS THE FRONT CONTINUES TO TRACK INTO THE
REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM MORE DRAMATICALLY THIS
EVENING...TRANSITIONING FROM SNOW TO RAIN...THUS GETTING RID OF ANY
BLOWING SNOW CONCERNS. MEANWHILE...A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE NEAR THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA AND AN UPPER
LOW OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL HELP TO MAINTAIN GUSTY GALE FORCE
WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL BERING THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE
WEEK.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...SOUTHERLY FLOW BETWEEN A
LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN US AND CANADA AND A BROAD
UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED SOUTH OF THE TIP OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA
WILL BRING A SERIES OF FRONTAL WAVES INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA FROM
MIDWEEK THROUGH AROUND SATURDAY. WITH THE POSITION OF THE UPPER
RIDGE AXIS INLAND OVER CANADA AND THE CORE OF THE SOUTH TO NORTH
RUNNING JET ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE OVER THE FAR EASTERN
GULF AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA...THE WARMEST AND MOISTEST OF THE
SOUTHERLY FLOW SHOULD REMAIN EAST OF THE AREA. HOWEVER EVEN WITH
THE MORE MODERATE OVERRUNNING...THE LARGE NUMBER OF FRONTAL WAVES
PUSHING UP OVER THE AREA WILL STILL BRING A DEFINITE WARMING
TREND WITH NUMEROUS OPPORTUNITIES FOR PRECIPITATION. CURRENTLY
PRECIPITATION TYPES ARE LOOKING TO BE PREDOMINATELY RAIN
IMMEDIATELY ALONG THE GULF COAST CHANGING OVER TO SNOW NOT FAR
INLAND. AS THE WARMING PROGRESSES THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK SOME
ISOLATED FREEZING RAIN MAY STILL BE POSSIBLE IN COLD WIND
SHELTERED VALLEYS OR WINDY ONES DRAWING AIR DIRECTLY FROM THE
INTERIOR. OVERALL...THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD IMPACTS FROM
MIXED PRECIPITATION TYPES CONTINUES TO BE TRENDING GRADUALLY DOWN
FROM PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS.

IN THE MORE EXTENDED TIME PERIODS MODELS ARE NOW SUGGESTING A
SECOND PATTERN SHIFT WITH A LARGE NEGATIVELY TILTED UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA AROUND SUNDAY WITH A COUPLE
OF STRONG LOWS SPINNING UP ALONG ITS SOUTHWEST SIDE AND TRACKING
TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST BETWEEN 40N AND 50N SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS.
FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THE POSITION OF THIS RIDGE WOULD START A
DRYING TREND WHILE WARM AND PERIODICALLY WET SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW
WOULD BE DIRECTED AT KODIAK ISLAND AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA AS WELL AS
THE ALASKA PENINSULA WITH VARIOUS SURFACE LOWS TRACKING WEST DOWN
THE ALEUTIANS.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM 138
         GALE 119 120 127 130 131 132 136 137 139 150 155
         160 165 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 179 180
         181 185
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 127 139 179 180 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TP
LONG TERM...JR