Small Craft Advisory 906, NWS Anchorage, AK

023 
FZAK51 PAFC 160027
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-161300-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 989 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF
THE WESTERN GULF AND MOVE INLAND NEAR ANNETTE MON AFTERNOON AT 974
MB. A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
MON MORNING WILL WEAKEN THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-161300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E WIND 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT ALONG THE COAST. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ120-161300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ121-161300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-161300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-161300-
PORT VALDEZ-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-161300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-161300-
VALDEZ ARM-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-161300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-161300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-161300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING NEAR THE
BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-161300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-161300-
CHINIAK BAY-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-161300-
MARMOT BAY-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-161300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-161300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW
SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW
SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-161300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-161300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
442 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

THE LOW IN THE NORTH GULF COAST HAS CONTINUED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS
IT DRIFTS TO THE SOUTHEAST. COLD AIR ADVECTION CONTINUES TO
ROTATE INTO THE WESTERN QUADRANT OF THIS LOW AND IS EVIDENT BY THE
SHOWERS IN THE LATEST SATELLITE LOOP. IN THE UPPER LEVELS WE HAVE
A LOW ANCHORED OVER THE ARCTIC WITH A TROUGH THAT EXTENDS ACROSS
THE INTERIOR TO A SHORT WAVE LOW NOW ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE
ALASKA RANGE AND A TROUGH FROM THIS LOW THROUGH THE KENAI
PENINSULA INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA. THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE
EAST ACROSS THE NORTH GULF COAST TONIGHT AND REDUCING THE COLD
ADVECTION. THIS WILL REDUCE THE STRONG GAP WINDS THAT HAVE BEEN
PREVALENT THE LAST FEW DAYS ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST. THE CLOUD
SHIELD AND MOISTURE HAS ROTATED OVER THE CORDOVA AND VALDEZ AREAS
TODAY. WE EXPECT THIS TO PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING AND
THEREFORE HAVE BROUGHT SOME SNOW INTO THOMPSON PASS AND THE
CORDOVA AREA.

THE LOW IN THE NORTHERN BERING SEA HAS A WEAK FRONT EXTENDING ALONG
THE BERING SEA COAST TO NORTHERN BRISTOL BAY. THIS FRONT IS
RAPIDLY DISSIPATING AS IT PUSHES INLAND. THE SOUTHWEST FLOW AROUND
THIS LOW ACROSS THE BERING SEA HAS THE TYPICAL COLD ADVECTION OPEN
CUMULUS SHOWERY REGIME. A SECOND TROUGH IS ROTATING THROUGH THE
SOUTHERN QUADRANT OF THIS LOW AND IS EXPECTED TO CROSS TO THE
PRIBILOF ISLANDS TONIGHT. THE LOW ITSELF BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND
ALOFT WILL RAPIDLY CROSS THE BERING SEA AND ALASKA PENINSULA BY
SUNDAY EVENING.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT TERM WITH RESPECT TO
THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN. NONE OF THE MODELS ADEQUATELY
ACCOUNT FOR THE WESTERN EXTENT OF THE SNOW ALONG THE NORTH GULF
COAST TODAY. THE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THE CONTINUED
WEAKENING OF THIS SYSTEM AND THUS LESS COLD ADVECTION. THE HIGHER
RESOLUTION MODELS ARE NATURALLY PROVIDING BETTER DETAILS FOR THE
GAP WINDS ALONG THE COAST AND BRINGING DOWN THE MAGNITUDE OF THESE
WINDS BY LATE TONIGHT.

THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE QPF ALONG THE BERING
SEA COAST AND THE SECONDARY WRAP THAT ROTATES AROUND THE MAIN LOW
ACROSS THE BERING SEA THROUGH TOMORROW EVENING.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A WEAKENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE GULF AND FRONT STRETCHING
INTO THE EASTERN COPPER RIVER BASIN ARE BRINGING LIGHT SNOW AS
FAR WEST AS CORDOVA/VALDEZ/GLENNALLEN. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN
QUICKLY THIS EVENING ENDING SNOW EARLY FOR VALDEZ/CORDOVA WHILE
SNOW FROM GLENNALLEN EASTWARD WILL LINGER THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS WITH LITTLE ACCUMULATION. THE WEAKENING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
WILL ALSO HELP RELAX THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG THE NORTH GULF
COAST...BRINGING OUTFLOW WINDS DOWN OVERNIGHT FROM CURRENT
LEVELS...HOWEVER...COLD AIR IN THE INTERIOR AND A LINGERING
GRADIENT ALONG THE MOUNTAINS WILL KEEP OUTFLOW WINDS IN
PLACE...ALBEIT WEAKER FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. AS THE COLD UPPER
TROUGH CONTINUES TO SIT OVERHEAD THROUGH MONDAY...COLD
TEMPERATURES ARE PRETTY MUCH THE EXTENT OF ACTIVE WEATHER FOR MUCH
OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE LIGHT IN MOST
AREAS WITH LITTLE TO NO CLOUD COVER...EXCEPT FOR THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO REACH SOME OF THE COLDEST
MINIMUMS OF THE SEASON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE JUST A FEW DEGREES
COLDER EACH NIGHT AS FOR THE NEXT FEW NIGHTS AS THE SAME
CONDITIONS REMAIN IN PLACE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN MOSTLY DRY OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA THROUGH
MONDAY. THERE ARE A COUPLE OF EXCEPTIONS TO THIS. THERE IS A FRONT
JUST INLAND FROM THE COAST THAT WILL BE FAIRLY STATIONARY THROUGH
TONIGHT. THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THIS FRONT WILL DISSIPATE SUNDAY
MORNING WHILE THE SOUTHERN PORTION WILL BECOME MORE EAST-WEST
ORIENTED AND LINGER JUST SOUTH OF KING SALMON THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...THEN SLIDE SOUTH. THERE IS ALSO AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
THAT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE NORTHERN KUSKOKWIM BASIN TONIGHT AND
PRODUCE A FEW SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A LOW OVER THE NORTHERN BERING IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST.
THIS LOW WILL PASS JUST WEST OF THE PRIBILOFS SUNDAY MORNING AND
REACH THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA SUNDAY NIGHT
BEFORE MOVING INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA MONDAY MORNING. THIS
LOW WILL INITIALLY BE QUITE STRONG AS IT PULLS COLD AIR OFF OF
NORTHEAST SIBERIA WITH SOME STORM FORCE WINDS...THEN WILL SLOWLY
WEAKEN AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM ITS COLD AIR SOURCE. ANOTHER SYSTEM
WILL FORM OVER THE NORTHERN BERING MONDAY AND APPROACH THE
PRIBILOFS MONDAY AFTERNOON...BUT MUCH WEAKER THAN THE PREVIOUS
SYSTEM. A WARM FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE WESTERN BERING AND WESTERN
ALEUTIANS MONDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
MAINLAND THROUGH TUESDAY BEFORE BEGINNING TO REBOUND DURING THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS THE LONGWAVE TROUGH SHIFTS TO THE EAST.
HOWEVER...MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE GREATLY WITH THE EVOLUTION
OF THE PATTERN DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK AS THE TROUGH IS
REPLACED BY WEAK SHORTWAVE RIDGING. THE GFS QUICKLY MOVES THIS
FEATURE OFF TO THE EAST AND TRANSITIONS TO ZONAL FLOW WITH SEVERAL
EMBEDDED WAVES TRAVERSING THE INTERIOR. MEANWHILE...EUROPEAN
GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO AMPLIFY THE RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE MAINLAND AND HOLD BACK MOST OF THE ENERGY OVER THE WESTERN
HALF OF THE STATE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THIS LENDS BELOW
AVERAGE CONFIDENCE TO THE FORECAST...WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES
GRADUALLY INCREASING FROM WEST TO EAST AND TEMPERATURES RETURNING
TO NEAR NORMAL VALUES BY THE END OF THE WEEK IN WEST TO SOUTHWEST
FLOW. MODELS ARE ALSO HAVING TROUBLE PINNING DOWN THE DETAILS OVER
THE BERING NEXT WEEK...BUT ARE GENERALLY ADVERTISING A PROGRESSIVE
PATTERN FEATURING UNSETTLED CONDITIONS AS A NUMBER OF SYSTEMS
TRACK THROUGH THE REGION.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING...SPRAY 180 181
         GALE 170 172 173 174 175 179 185

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...ML
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...BL
LONG TERM...CB