Small Craft Advisory 902, NWS Anchorage, AK

526 
FZAK51 PAFC 150041
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-151315-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A BROAD 994 MB LOW CENTERED 110 NM WEST OF YAKUTAT WILL DISSIPATE
INTO A BROAD TROUGH SUN NIGHT. A 999 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 50 NM
SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK SUN AFTERNOON AND TRACK TO 175 NM SOUTH OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 998 MB MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-151315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA IN THE EVENING
DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY OUT
OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-151315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. FREEZING
SPRAY OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-151315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-151315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SEAL ISLAND.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-151315-
PORT VALDEZ-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-151315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-151315-
VALDEZ ARM-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-151315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTER. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-151315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-151315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ132-151315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ136-151315-
CHINIAK BAY-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-151315-
MARMOT BAY-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-151315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-151315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-151315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-151315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

244 
FZAK51 PAFC 150041 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-151315-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A BROAD 994 MB LOW CENTERED 110 NM WEST OF YAKUTAT WILL DISSIPATE
INTO A BROAD TROUGH SUN NIGHT. A 999 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 50 NM
SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK SUN AFTERNOON AND TRACK TO 175 NM SOUTH OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 998 MB MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-151315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA IN THE EVENING
DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY OUT
OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-151315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. FREEZING
SPRAY OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-151315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-151315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SEAL ISLAND.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-151315-
PORT VALDEZ-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-151315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-151315-
VALDEZ ARM-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-151315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-151315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-151315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ132-151315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ136-151315-
CHINIAK BAY-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-151315-
MARMOT BAY-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-151315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-151315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-151315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-151315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
341 PM AKST SAT NOV 14 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

370 
FZAK51 PAFC 151202
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
302 AM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-160115-
302 AM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A BROAD 996 MB LOW CENTERED 80 NM WEST OF YAKUTAT WILL DISSIPATE
INTO A BROAD TROUGH BY THIS AFTERNOON. A 998 MB LOW 530 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE WESTERN GULF 
AS IT TRACKS TOWARD HAIDA GWAII WHILE STRENGTHENING TO 973 MB 
MON MORNING. THIS LOW MOVES INLAND MON AFTERNOON...WITH A
RESIDUAL 993 MB LOW FORMING 35 NM EAST OF CAPE SUCKLING MON
EVENING AND REMAINING STATIONARY THROUGH MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-160115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
302 AM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ120-160115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
302 AM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ121-160115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
302 AM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-160115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
302 AM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-160115-
PORT VALDEZ-
302 AM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY 
IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-160115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
302 AM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT AND MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-160115-
VALDEZ ARM-
302 AM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-160115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
302 AM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-160115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
302 AM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-160115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
302 AM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ132-160115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
302 AM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ136-160115-
CHINIAK BAY-
302 AM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-160115-
MARMOT BAY-
302 AM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-160115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
302 AM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-160115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
302 AM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-160115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
302 AM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-160115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
302 AM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

023 
FZAK51 PAFC 160027
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-161300-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 989 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF
THE WESTERN GULF AND MOVE INLAND NEAR ANNETTE MON AFTERNOON AT 974
MB. A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
MON MORNING WILL WEAKEN THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-161300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E WIND 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT ALONG THE COAST. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ120-161300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ121-161300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-161300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-161300-
PORT VALDEZ-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-161300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-161300-
VALDEZ ARM-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-161300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-161300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-161300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING NEAR THE
BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-161300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-161300-
CHINIAK BAY-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-161300-
MARMOT BAY-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-161300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-161300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW
SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW
SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-161300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-161300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
327 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

453 
FZAK51 PAFC 161222
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
322 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-170115-
322 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 980 MB LOW 230 NM SOUTHWEST OF ANNETTE MOVES INLAND NEAR
ANNETTE AROUND MIDDAY AT 972 MB. A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WEAKENS THROUGH TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-170115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
322 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ120-170115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
322 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ121-170115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
322 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-170115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
322 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY 
W OF SEAL ISLAND.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-170115-
PORT VALDEZ-
322 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-170115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
322 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-170115-
VALDEZ ARM-
322 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-170115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
322 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING.
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-170115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
322 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-170115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
322 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-170115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
322 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-170115-
CHINIAK BAY-
322 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-170115-
MARMOT BAY-
322 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-170115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
322 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES DIMINISHING TO 35 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-170115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
322 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-170115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
322 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-170115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
322 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY 
IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
422 PM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN OVER THE NORTHEASTERN
GULF...WHILE COLD AIR ADVECTION REMAINS ALONG THE WESTERN EDGE OF
THE LOW. OVER THE WESTERN GULF...THIS COLD AIR ADVECTION IS STRONG
ENOUGH TO BRING STORM FORCE GUSTS AROUND KODIAK ISLAND...WHILE THE
THERMAL AND PRESSURE GRADIENT IS ALLOWING STRONG WINDS TO CONTINUE
THROUGH GAP WIND AREAS OF THE GULF COAST (SUCH AS
VALDEZ...SEWARD AND WHITTIER). RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN BERING IS
BEGINNING TO MOVE EASTWARD INTO THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...ALLOWING
FOR THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AREA TO BEGIN
TO DIMINISH. THIS RIDGING IS BEING PUSHED EASTWARD IN ADVANCING
SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL BERING...BRINGING SNOW
TO THE PRIBILOFS. THIS SHORTWAVE WILL PROGRESS TOWARDS THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS THIS EVENING...ALLOWING FOR RIDGING TO SPREAD
INTO THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND BY LATE TONIGHT.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE DISSIPATION OF THE GULF
LOW TONIGHT...AND WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE BERING LOW INTO THIS
WEEKEND. IN PARTICULAR THEY HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT THAT
ANY SNOWFALL FROM THE GULF LOW AS IT MAKES LANDFALL SATURDAY
AFTERNOON WILL LARGELY STAY CONFINED TO THE EASTERN COPPER RIVER
BASIN...RATHER THAN SPREADING TOWARDS THE VALDEZ/THOMPSON PASS
AREA AS THE MODELS HAD PREVIOUSLY INDICATED. OVER THE BERING SEA
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE GENERAL
INTENSITY...BUT STILL HAVE SOME MINOR DIFFERENCES MAINLY IN
POSITIONING AS IT APPROACHES THE PRIBILOFS ON SUNDAY. AS A RESULT
THERE IS NOW GOOD CONFIDENCE THAT THIS SYSTEM WILL DEEPEN TO A
STRONG GALE...OR POSSIBLY STORM FORCE LOW ON SATURDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

UPPER TROUGHING OVER SOUTHCENTRAL AND A SURFACE LOW IN THE
NORTHEAST GULF IS PROMOTING A CONTINUED OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT
THIS EVENING. WITH COLDER AIR CONTINUING TO FILTER IN FROM THE
NORTH...THIS SHOULD KEEP A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG THE
NORTHERN COAST THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE IT BEGINS TO SLACKEN
OFF...ALLOWING FOR NORTHERLY OUTFLOW WINDS TO DIMINISH AS WELL. A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL MERGE WITH THE
AFOREMENTIONED GULF LOW TONIGHT...ALLOWING FOR SNOW TO DEVELOP
OVER THE EASTERN COPPER BASIN SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT WITH
LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
SURFACE RIDGING TRANSITS THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE WEEKEND KEEPING
THE AREA UNDER DRIER CONDITIONS. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE ALONG THE
COASTAL AREAS AND ALASKA PENINSULA WHERE A FRONT STALLS SATURDAY
MORNING BRINGING INCREASED SNOW CHANCES THROUGH SUNDAY. WINDS
ACROSS BRISTOL BAY AND THE KUSKOKWIM SHIFT FROM THE NORTHWEST
TONIGHT TO THE EAST ON SATURDAY. THE COASTAL AREAS WILL SEE GUSTY
CONDITIONS AS A FRONT MOVES INTO THE EASTERN BERING. THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WILL SEE NORTHWEST WINDS SHIFT TO THE WEST TONIGHT WITH
GUSTS PERSISTING INTO LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING IN THE NORTHERN BERING WILL BRING STORM
FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN BERING DURING THE FIRST PART OF
THE WEEKEND. THE LOW PUSHES A FRONT INTO THE CENTRAL BERING
TONIGHT AND THEN DIGS QUICKLY TO THE SOUTH AND EASTERN WATERS
BEFORE STALLING ON SATURDAY. THE SURFACE LOW PICKS UP
SOUTHWARD MOMENTUM SATURDAY MORNING KEEPING THE SAME INTENSITY AS
IT MOVES ACROSS THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS INTO SUNDAY. COLD DENSE AIR
FILTERS IN ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM BRINGING THE STRONGEST
WINDS ACROSS THE BERING SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK WILL FEATURE WELL BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND AS THE LONGWAVE TROUGH
IS REINFORCED BY AN UPPER LOW DIVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE BERING
SEA INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. THIS WILL KEEP ANY PRECIPITATION
CONFINED TO THE GULF AND KODIAK ISLAND THROUGH TUESDAY AS OUTFLOW
WINDS CONTINUE ALONG THE GULF COAST. FORECAST CONFIDENCE DECREASES
BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS THE LONGWAVE TROUGH IS DISPLACED
EASTWARD. THE GFS DEPICTS A TRANSITION TO QUASI ZONAL FLOW WITH
SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL WAVES TRACKING THROUGH THE INTERIOR WHEREAS
EUROPEAN GUIDANCE BUILDS A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE OVER THE MAINLAND.
THIS MORE AMPLIFIED SOLUTION WOULD KEEP SOUTHCENTRAL DRY THROUGH
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK AS MOST OF THE ENERGY WOULD BE HELD BACK OVER
THE BERING AND WEST COAST. THE FORECAST REFLECTS SOMEWHAT OF A
MIDDLE GROUND APPROACH...WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES GRADUALLY
INCREASING FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK
AS TEMPERATURES SLOWLY MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL VALUES IN INCREASING
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW.

OVER THE BERING...A SHOWERY NORTHWEST FLOW REGIME WILL GIVE WAY
TO A MORE PROGRESSIVE PATTERN EARLY IN THE WEEK AS A KAMCHATKA LOW
SWINGS A GALE FORCE FRONT ACROSS THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS. THIS
WILL BE FOLLOWED CLOSELY BY ANOTHER SYSTEM DURING MIDDLE TO LATTER
PORTIONS OF THE WEEK. MODELS ARE STILL STRUGGLING TO PIN DOWN THE
EXACT DETAILS OF THESE FEATURES...BUT IN GENERAL WET AND WINDY
CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE BERING FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JA
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...CB