Small Craft Advisory 686, NWS Anchorage, AK

813 
FZAK51 PAFC 012322
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
322 PM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-021245-
322 PM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 999 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTH OF KETCHIKAN WILL MOVE INLAND THIS
EVENING...THEN A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE
EASTERN GULF THROUGH THU AFTERNOON. A 1009 MB LOW WILL THEN FORM NEAR 
KODIAK ISLAND THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-021245-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
322 PM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-021245-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
322 PM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 15 KT IN THE EVENING.
SEAS 4 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-021245-
RESURRECTION BAY-
322 PM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING.
SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-021245-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
322 PM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-021245-
PORT VALDEZ-
322 PM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-021245-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
322 PM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-021245-
VALDEZ ARM-
322 PM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-021245-
PASSAGE CANAL-
322 PM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. GUSTS TO 20 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-021245-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
322 PM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-021245-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
322 PM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-021245-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
322 PM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-021245-
CHINIAK BAY-
322 PM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-021245-
MARMOT BAY-
322 PM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 15 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-021245-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
322 PM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-021245-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
322 PM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-021245-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
322 PM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-021245-
KACHEMAK BAY-
322 PM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

416 
FZAK51 PAFC 021158
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
358 AM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-030100-
358 AM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1003 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTH OF KETCHIKAN WILL MOVE INLAND THIS
MORNING...WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN OVER THE GULF. A 1008 MB
LOW WILL FORM NEAR KODIAK ISLAND THU AFTERNOON AND MOVE INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF THU NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-030100-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
358 AM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-030100-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
358 AM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-030100-
RESURRECTION BAY-
358 AM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT AND THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-030100-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
358 AM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-030100-
PORT VALDEZ-
358 AM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-030100-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
358 AM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-030100-
VALDEZ ARM-
358 AM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-030100-
PASSAGE CANAL-
358 AM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. GUSTS TO 20 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE 
MORNING. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-030100-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
358 AM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-030100-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
358 AM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT 
BY AFTERNOON.  SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-030100-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
358 AM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-030100-
CHINIAK BAY-
358 AM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.

$$

PKZ137-030100-
MARMOT BAY-
358 AM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-030100-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
358 AM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-030100-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
358 AM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-030100-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
358 AM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-030100-
KACHEMAK BAY-
358 AM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING 
SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 
SEAS 2 FT.

$$

313 
FZAK51 PAFC 022329
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
329 PM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-031230-
329 PM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE PERSISTS OVER THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH
THU AFTERNOON. A 1010 MB LOW WILL THEN FORM NEAR KODIAK ISLAND LATE
THU...THEN MOVES TO 20 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 1005 MB FRI
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-031230-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
329 PM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-031230-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
329 PM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-031230-
RESURRECTION BAY-
329 PM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. HIGHER WINDS
AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.FRI THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-031230-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
329 PM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-031230-
PORT VALDEZ-
329 PM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT SUBSIDING.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-031230-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
329 PM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-031230-
VALDEZ ARM-
329 PM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-031230-
PASSAGE CANAL-
329 PM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-031230-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
329 PM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-031230-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
329 PM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING SE WIND 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT E WIND 30 KT NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SEAS 6 FT EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE
WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-031230-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
329 PM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-031230-
CHINIAK BAY-
329 PM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-031230-
MARMOT BAY-
329 PM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-031230-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
329 PM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-031230-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
329 PM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-031230-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
329 PM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-031230-
KACHEMAK BAY-
329 PM AKDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3
FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

769 
FZAK51 PAFC 031124
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
324 AM AKDT THU SEP 3 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-040045-
324 AM AKDT THU SEP 3 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONTAL SYSTEM ENTERS THE WESTERN GULF THIS MORNING AND TRACKS
TO THE EASTERN GULF BY FRI. A 1007 MB LOW FORMS NEAR KODIAK ISLAND
THU AFTERNOON...THEN MOVES TO 70 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT AT 1001 MB
FRI EVENING.

$$

PKZ119-040045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
324 AM AKDT THU SEP 3 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ120-040045-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
324 AM AKDT THU SEP 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-040045-
RESURRECTION BAY-
324 AM AKDT THU SEP 3 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS 
AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-040045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
324 AM AKDT THU SEP 3 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-040045-
PORT VALDEZ-
324 AM AKDT THU SEP 3 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-040045-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
324 AM AKDT THU SEP 3 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE 
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-040045-
VALDEZ ARM-
324 AM AKDT THU SEP 3 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-040045-
PASSAGE CANAL-
324 AM AKDT THU SEP 3 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-040045-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
324 AM AKDT THU SEP 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-040045-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
324 AM AKDT THU SEP 3 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON...STRONGEST WINDS NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT...STRONGEST WINDS NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-040045-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
324 AM AKDT THU SEP 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT 
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-040045-
CHINIAK BAY-
324 AM AKDT THU SEP 3 2015

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. 
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-040045-
MARMOT BAY-
324 AM AKDT THU SEP 3 2015

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-040045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
324 AM AKDT THU SEP 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT
NORTH END OF STRAIT. SEAS 3 FT....BUILDING TO 6 FT NORTH END OF
STRAIT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-040045-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
324 AM AKDT THU SEP 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-040045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
324 AM AKDT THU SEP 3 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-040045-
KACHEMAK BAY-
324 AM AKDT THU SEP 3 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
442 PM AKDT MON AUG 31 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
EVEN THOUGH THE UPPER LOW CENTER OVER THE STATE HAS MOVED OUT
OVER THE GULF THERE IS STILL ENOUGH OF A GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS LOW
AND RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN BERING TO CONTINUE TO BRING STRONG
NORTHWEST WINDS TO THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. THE WIND GUSTS OVER
SOUTHCENTRAL WERE STRONGER IN THE MORNING DUE TO A POTENTIAL
VORTICITY ANOMALY PUSHING THROUGH THE AREA FROM THE MAIN LOW
CENTER HELPING TO MIX DOWN THE STRONGER WINDS FROM ALOFT. THIS
WAS ADDITIONALLY AIDED BY COLD AIR ADVECTION MOVING IN FROM THE
NORTH. WEST OF THE RIDGING ANOTHER LOW IS SLOWLY TRACKING NORTH
JUST TO THE WEST OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THIS LOW AND ITS
ASSOCIATED FRONT THAT STRETCHES THROUGH THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS HAVE
BEEN BRINGING RAIN TO THE ISLANDS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT OVERALL. THERE ARE SOME MINOR
DIFFERENCES OUT WEST WITH THE FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE BERING AND
THE NEXT LOW THAT MOVES IN SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS. ALL THE MODELS
HAVE THE FRONT MAKING LANDFALL ON THE SOUTHWEST COAST TUESDAY
NIGHT. THE BIGGEST DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THEM IS THE NAM IS A COUPLE
HOURS FASTER THAN THE OTHERS WHICH ALSO LEADS TO IT PUSHING
THROUGH FASTER. WITH THE LOW TRAVELING SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY THE NAM AND GFS HAVE THE LOW JUST SOUTH OF
THE ISLANDS WHILE THE EC AND GEM HAVE AN EVEN FURTHER SOUTH
SOLUTION. THIS LEADS TO THE NAM AND GFS BRINGING IN MORE RAIN FOR
THE ISLANDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE PRIMARY FORECAST CHALLENGE OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS WILL BE
REFINING THE DETAILS OF THE CONTINUED OUTFLOW WINDS AND HOW THEY
IMPACT OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES. A BRIEF LULL IN THE WINDS IS
EXPECTED THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT AS THE MAIN LOW PULLS AWAY FROM
THE AREA. HOWEVER...THIS DIMINISHING TREND WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS
ANOTHER UPPER WAVE DROPS INTO THE GULF FROM THE NORTH LATE
TONIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY MORNING ACCOMPANIED BY A RE-ENFORCING SHOT
OF COLD AIR ADVECTION. THIS WILL KEEP GUSTY NORTH WINDS OVER THE
AREA AND PRODUCE A SECONDARY PEAK IN STRONG GAP WINDS THROUGH
FAVORED AREAS ALONG THE GULF COAST THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THIS
SHOULD HELP TO INHIBIT RADIATIONAL COOLING AND KEEP TEMPERATURES
ABOVE FREEZING FOR MOST OF THE AREA TONIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
TYPICALLY SHELTERED AREAS SUCH AS EAST ANCHORAGE. WINDS WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO
SOUTHCENTRAL AK FROM THE WEST...LEADING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE
WIDESPREAD COLDER TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY NIGHT.

FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL ALSO HAVE TO BE MONITORED OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS AS DRY NORTHERLY FLOW PERSISTS OVER THE AREA...RESULTING
IN GUSTY WINDS WITH AFTERNOON MINIMUM RH VALUES APPROACHING 30
PERCENT FROM THE MATANUSKA AND SUSITNA VALLEYS INTO THE ANCHORAGE
BOWL.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
AN AMPLIFYING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN BERING WILL
CONTINUE TO SHIFT EASTWARD OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND
TONIGHT. AS A RESULT...GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL SLOWLY
DIMINISH TUESDAY MORNING...AND TEMPERATURES WILL BECOME SLIGHTLY
WARMER AS THE RIDGE BUILDS EASTWARD THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DRIER
CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY...AS WINDS BEGIN TO SHIFT
TO A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM
FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL USHER IN ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN AND
WINDY CONDITIONS OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND FROM TUESDAY
EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE BERING SHIFTS EAST A LARGE
VERTICALLY STACKED LOW OFF OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL TRACK
NORTHEAST INTO THE FAR WESTERN BERING. A NORTH PACIFIC SURFACE
LOW WILL CROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS TUESDAY MORNING
WITH AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM THEN LIFTING NORTH AND EAST
ACROSS THE BERING BY TUESDAY EVENING...BRINGING IN GUSTY SOUTHEAST
WINDS IN THE 30 TO 35 KT RANGE OVER THE EASTERN BERING TUESDAY
MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. MEANWHILE AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH TO THE SOUTH OF THE MAIN WESTERN BERING UPPER LOW WILL
SWING EAST DRAGGING SHOWERS ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS FROM WEST TO EAST
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

THE FRONT MOVING INLAND ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL SLOW DOWN A
LITTLE BIT ON THURSDAY AS IT BEGINS TO PUSH UP AGAINST SFC HIGH
PRESSURE OVER MUCH OF THE ALASKA MAINLAND. THIS WILL KEEP MUCH OF
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA IN A FAVORABLE AREA TO SEE
PERIODS OF RAINFALL THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE WEEKEND. RAIN
CHANCES WILL DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST SUNDAY MORNING WITH THE
PASSAGE OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. SOME TIMING ISSUES ARE PRESENT
AS TWO UPPER LOWS (ONE OVER THE NORTHERN BERING AND THE OTHER IN
THE NORTH PACIFIC) MAY OR MAY NOT INTERACT WITH ONE ANOTHER
HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. THE GFS HAS THE LOW IN THE BERING
DROPPING SOUTH AND INTERACTING WITH THE LOW MOVING TOWARD THE GULF
OF ALASKA WHICH WILL KEEP THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW IN A MORE ZONAL
PATTERN. THE ECMWF...HOWEVER...KEEPS THESE TWO LOWS SEPARATE WITH
THE NORTHERN BERING LOW CUT OFF FROM THE MEAN FLOW AND SLOWLY
MEANDERING EASTWARD. THIS WOULD ALLOW AN UPPER LOW COMING OFF THE
KAMCHATKA TO AMPLIFY THE LONGWAVE PATTERN LEADING TO A
STRENGTHENING RIDGE OVER MUCH OF THE MAINLAND. THE GFS FAILS TO
AMPLIFY THE PATTERN AS THE ZONAL FLOW AND STRONG JET WOULD SHUNT
THIS UPPER LOW INTO ALASKA BEFORE IT HAS TIME TO AMPLIFY THE
PATTERN. THE ECMWF SOLUTION STILL LOOKS TO BE THE MORE FAVORABLE
SOLUTION ALTHOUGH MAYBE NOT WITH THE EXTREME AMPLIFICATION THE
MODEL IS CURRENTLY DEPICTING. THERE IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF
UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME SO IT IS TOUGH TO REALLY BUY INTO ANY ONE
SOLUTION BUT IT APPEARS MORE LIKELY THAT THE PATTERN RE-AMPLIFIES
HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 131 132.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TP
LONG TERM...MC