Gale Warning 951, NWS Anchorage, AK

Issued

Dec 31, 2015, 3:20 AM AKST (12:20 UTC)

Expired

Dec 31, 2015, 4:30 PM AKST

In force

13 hr

Issued by

NWS Anchorage, AK

120 
FZAK52 PAFC 311220
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
320 AM AKST THU DEC 31 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-010130-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 31 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 971 MB LOW 200 NM NORTHWEST OF ADAK MOVES TO 125 NM NORTH OF
ADAK AT 980 MB LATE THU NIGHT...THEN GETS ABSORBED INTO A BIGGER
LOW IN THE EASTERN BERING. A 958 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT
THU AFTERNOON MOVES TO 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT AT 960 MB
LATE THU NIGHT...THEN MOVES TO 50 NM SOUTHWEST OF CAPE NEWENHAM AT
964 MB LATE FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-010130-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT EARLY BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23
FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ155-010130-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT LATE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT...EXCEPT BECOMING N 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT
W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ160-010130-
BRISTOL BAY-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 31 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E TOWARD EVENING. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NE 35 KT. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-010130-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 31 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E TOWARD EVENING. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ170-010130-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 31 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND TO 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ171-010130-
UNALASKA BAY-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 31 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT TOWARD
MORNING. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-010130-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 31 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ173-010130-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 31 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-010130-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 31 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ175-010130-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 31 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ176-010130-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 31 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ177-010130-
ADAK TO KISKA-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 31 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ178-010130-
KISKA TO ATTU-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 31 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY N AND
W OF SHEMYA.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SHEMYA.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ179-010130-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 31 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ180-010130-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 31 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT EARLY BECOMING NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-010130-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 31 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT TOWARD EVENING. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-010130-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 31 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N 30 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND... E WIND 15 KT. SEAS
5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 30, 4:44 PM AKST, 10 hours 36 minutes earlier.

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
444 PM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS TODAY SHOWS A STRONG BLOCKING RIDGE OVER
WESTERN CANADA AND EASTERN ALASKA WITH A DEEP UPPER LOW OVER THE
CENTRAL BERING AND NORTHERN PACIFIC. A 110KT JET STREAK IS
CURRENTLY MOVING OUT OF THE TROUGH INTO THE RIDGE...CAUSING THE
PATTERN TO SHIFT SLIGHTLY EASTWARD. THIS MERIDIONAL FLOW IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE STRONG RIDGE
REMAINS IN PLACE.

AT THE SURFACE A 955 MB LOW LIES JUST NORTHWEST OF THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA. THIS LOW MOVED IN VERY QUICKLY FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC
OVERNIGHT AS IT WAS SUPPORTED BY THE STRONG JET ALOFT. AS IT MOVED
NORTHWARD IT RAPIDLY STRENGTHENED ALTHOUGH AT THIS POINT IT HAS
REACHED ITS MAX STRENGTH AND WILL BEGIN TO WEAKENED AS THE UPPER
LEVEL SUPPORT MOVES INTO THE RIDGE. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
INTO THE BERING STRAIT AND WILL BECOME LESS OF AN ISSUE FOR THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE STATE LATER TODAY. THE ACCOMPANYING FRONT
WAS ALSO IMPRESSIVELY STRONG...WITH RAPID CHANGES AHEAD AND BEHIND
THE FRONT. THESE PRESSURE CHANGES...COMBINED WITH A SIGNIFICANT
LOW LEVEL JET AND CHANNELED TERRAIN...BROUGHT VERY STRONG AND
GUSTY WINDS TO MOST OF THE ANCHORAGE FORECAST AREA...INCLUDING
BOTH SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA. THE FRONT HAS PASSED
THROUGH MOST OF THE AREA THIS MORNING AND WINDS ARE SWITCHING TO A
MORE SOUTHERLY FLOW AND RAPIDLY WEAKENING.

SATELLITE INDICATES THAT ALTHOUGH THIS MAIN SYSTEM HAS PASSED
THERE ARE SEVERAL DEVELOPING TROUGHS IN THE NORTH PACIFIC ALONG
THE SAME PATH. AT THIS TIME THEY ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ALONG THE
SAME TRAJECTORY...ALTHOUGH NOT AS STRONG AS THE SYSTEM THAT PASSED
THROUGH TODAY. REGARDLESS...AS LONG AS THE UPPER LEVEL JET
MAINTAINS SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE MAINLAND THE WEATHER PATTERN
WILL CONTINUE TO BE QUITE ACTIVE FOR MOST PARTS OF THE FORECAST
AREA.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
IN GENERAL THE MODEL CONSISTENCY ON HANDLING THE SYSTEM CURRENTLY
IN THE BERING SEA HAS BEEN GOOD OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS. THE GFS
HAS BEEN MOST CONSISTENT OVERALL AND HAS HANDLED THE TIMING AND
STRENGTH OF THE ASSOCIATED FRONT VERY WELL AND WAS CHOSEN FOR
TODAYS FORECAST. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN PRETTY GOOD
AGREEMENT ON A SECOND TROUGH MOVING NORTHWARD WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...HOWEVER A DEVELOPING SYSTEM IN THE BASE OF THE
LONGWAVE TROUGH IN THE NORTH PACIFIC SEEMS TO BE CAUSING SOME
GRIEF. THIS SYSTEM...CURRENTLY ANALYZED NEAR 978 MB...WILL
CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES EASTWARD BEFORE TURNING TOWARDS
THE NORTH ON THURSDAY MORNING. THERE IS SOME DISPARITY BETWEEN THE
MODELS ON THIS SYSTEM IN BOTH STRENGTH AND LOCATION...WITH THE
NAM BEING FURTHEST EAST AND WEAKEST PRESSURE. GIVEN THE FACT THAT
IT DIFFERS SO GREATLY...GFS CONTINUES TO BE THE MODEL OF CHOICE
FOR THE SHORT TERM. HOWEVER WITH THE DISPARITY IN SOLUTIONS...CONFIDENCE
ON THAT LOW...EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING ALASKA ON FRIDAY...IS
MODERATE AT BEST.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE MAIN ISSUE CONTINUES TO BE THE STRONG GRADIENTS AND STRONG
WARM MOIST ADVECTION INTO THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND AROUND THE STORM
THAT PASSED ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA LAST NIGHT. A 100 PLUS
KNOT DUE SOUTH JET IS FOCUSED ON THE KENAI PENINSULA. THE FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONG BRISTOL BAY STORM HAS PUSHED ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN COAST AND INLAND WITH A CONTINUED WARM MOIST SOUTHERLY
FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT. THE NEXT STORM TO IMPACT THE GULF OF ALASKA
AND SOUTHERN MAINLAND IS A RAPIDLY MOVING LOW THAT IS NOW OVER
700 MILES SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND. AS THIS LOW DISSIPATES TO A
TROUGH AS IT CROSSES KODIAK ISLAND THIS EVENING ANOTHER SHOT OF
STRONG WINDS IS EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST AND ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA TONIGHT. HOWEVER THIS SHOT OF WIND WILL NOT
BE NEARLY AS STRONG AS THE HIGH WINDS THAT BLEW THROUGH THE REGION
LAST NIGHT AND THIS MORNING.

COLDER AIR IS WRAPPING IN AROUND THE LOW BEHIND THE FRONT THAT
SHOULD RESULT IN ENOUGH COOLING TO HAVE A MIX OF SNOW INTO THE
RAIN SHOWERS BEHIND THE FRONT...THOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
WARM ENOUGH TO INHIBIT ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AT THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS. THE ONLY AREA THAT SHOULD SEE COLD ENOUGH AIR TO THE
SURFACE TO SUPPORT SOME SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE THE NORTHERN
SUSITNA VALLEY AND NORTHERN COPPER RIVER BASIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE POWERFUL LOW WHICH PASSED THROUGH THE REGION TODAY WILL
QUICKLY MOVE OFF TO THE NORTH...WITH DIMINISHING WINDS AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS. ANOTHER MUCH WEAKER NORTH PACIFIC LOW
WILL MOVE INTO THE BRISTOL BAY REGION TONIGHT THEN THE LOWER
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY TOWARD THE MORNING HOURS...BRINGING RAIN AND
SNOW AND BREEZY EASTERLY WINDS. BRIEF DRYING WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY
EVENING BEFORE ANOTHER FRONT MOVES IN FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WITH INCREASING NORTHEAST WINDS AND MORE PRECIPITATION
CHANCES.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

BROAD LOW PRESSURE WILL ENCOMPASS THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ROTATING THROUGH THE AREA...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING AND ALEUTIANS WHERE COLDER AIR WILL HELP
DESTABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW AND ASSOCIATED
OCCLUDED FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN BERING ON
FRIDAY...BRINGING STRONGER EASTERLY WINDS AND RAIN AND SNOW.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH THE EXTENDED FORECAST
AS A BROAD UPPER TROUGH OVER THE BERING SLIDES FURTHER EAST
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. MODELS ARE IN GOOD GENERAL
AGREEMENT THAT THE UPPER RIDGE HOLDS OVER THE ALCAN BORDER WHICH
KEEPS THE LONGWAVE TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE BERING. THE LONG RANGE
FORECAST STARTING ON SATURDAY NIGHT BEGINS WITH A STORM SYSTEM
PUSHING A WARM FRONT INLAND ALONG THE SOUTHWEST BRINGING SCATTERED
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS INLAND ALONG WITH GUSTY CONDITIONS ALONG
THE BOUNDARY. A WEAKER WAVE FOLLOWS ON SUNDAY AND MOVES ACROSS THE
ALASKA PENINSULA AND WESTERN GULF...THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND
OF PRECIPITATION. THERE IS A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY ON THE NEXT STORM
SYSTEM THAT TRACKS SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
THIS STORM SHOULD TAKE A NORTHWARD TURN...HOWEVER A DEVELOPING
WAVE LOOKS TO CLOSE OFF A NEW LOW CENTER IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC WHICH
WOULD SLOW THE TRACK OF THE FIRST SYSTEM AS RIDGING OVER THE ALCAN BUILDS
BACK OVER THE SOUTHEAST.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...SNOW ADVISORY 141. HIGH SURF ADVISORY(EVENING) 155.
MARINE...GALE 119 130 131 132 138 150 178 180 181.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...LF
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SA
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JA
LONG TERM...KH

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2015Every gale warning in 2015

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.