Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2015
Gale Warning 801, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 22, 2015, 3:18 PM AKST. It was in force for 48 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 22, 2015, 3:18 PM AKST (00:18 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 24, 2015, 3:40 PM AKST
- In force
- 48 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
468 FZAK51 PAFC 230018 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 318 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-231330- 318 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 1019 MB LOW 90 NM NORTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL TRACK TO 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT AT 1025 MB EARLY MON AND DISSIPATES. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF MON MORNING AND PERSIST THERE INTO TUE AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ119-231330- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 318 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ120-231330- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 318 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ121-231330- RESURRECTION BAY- 318 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-231330- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 318 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ126-231330- PORT VALDEZ- 318 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. .TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-231330- VALDEZ NARROWS- 318 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. .TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ128-231330- VALDEZ ARM- 318 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-231330- PASSAGE CANAL- 318 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 .TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ130-231330- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 318 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ131-231330- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 318 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ132-231330- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 318 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ136-231330- CHINIAK BAY- 318 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ137-231330- MARMOT BAY- 318 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ138-231330- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 318 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING 4 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ139-231330- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 318 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ140-231330- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 318 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. PATCHY FOG. .MON...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-231330- KACHEMAK BAY- 318 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS IN EVENING. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
4 follow-up statements
135 FZAK51 PAFC 231255 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 355 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-240200- 355 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A WEATHER FRONT MOVING INTO THE WESTERN GULF WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH TUE NIGHT. $$ PKZ119-240200- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 355 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ120-240200- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 355 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ121-240200- RESURRECTION BAY- 355 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-240200- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 355 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ126-240200- PORT VALDEZ- 355 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 .TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. .TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-240200- VALDEZ NARROWS- 355 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ128-240200- VALDEZ ARM- 355 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-240200- PASSAGE CANAL- 355 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ130-240200- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 355 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ131-240200- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 355 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ132-240200- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 355 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ136-240200- CHINIAK BAY- 355 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ137-240200- MARMOT BAY- 355 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ138-240200- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 355 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ139-240200- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 355 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-240200- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 355 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-240200- KACHEMAK BAY- 355 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR OUTER BAY. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
790 FZAK51 PAFC 240021 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 321 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-241330- 321 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A FRONT NEAR THE WESTERN GULF WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH TUE NIGHT. ANOTHER STRONGER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE WESTERN GULF THROUGH WED AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ119-241330- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 321 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT EXCEPT E 30 KT NEAR THE COAST IN THE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ120-241330- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 321 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ121-241330- RESURRECTION BAY- 321 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 .TONIGHT...WINDS BECOMING S 15 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-241330- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 321 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ126-241330- PORT VALDEZ- 321 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. .TUE...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-241330- VALDEZ NARROWS- 321 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ128-241330- VALDEZ ARM- 321 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-241330- PASSAGE CANAL- 321 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ130-241330- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 321 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ131-241330- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 321 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ132-241330- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 321 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ136-241330- CHINIAK BAY- 321 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ137-241330- MARMOT BAY- 321 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ138-241330- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 321 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ139-241330- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 321 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ140-241330- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 321 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ141-241330- KACHEMAK BAY- 321 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR OUTER BAY. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
286 FZAK51 PAFC 241254 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 354 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-250200- 354 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A FRONT NEAR THE WESTERN GULF WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH TONIGHT. ANOTHER STRONGER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF WED MORNING...THEN MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF BY WED NIGHT. $$ PKZ119-250200- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 354 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ120-250200- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 354 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ121-250200- RESURRECTION BAY- 354 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-250200- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 354 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 35 KT. HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE AND EAST...SE WIND 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE AND EAST...SE WIND 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ126-250200- PORT VALDEZ- 354 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-250200- VALDEZ NARROWS- 354 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ128-250200- VALDEZ ARM- 354 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-250200- PASSAGE CANAL- 354 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ130-250200- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 354 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ131-250200- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 354 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ132-250200- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 354 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ136-250200- CHINIAK BAY- 354 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ137-250200- MARMOT BAY- 354 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ138-250200- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 354 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ139-250200- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 354 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ140-250200- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 354 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ141-250200- KACHEMAK BAY- 354 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR OUTER BAY. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
586 FZAK51 PAFC 250040 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 340 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-251400- 340 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A FRONT NEAR THE WESTERN GULF WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH TONIGHT. A 992 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTH OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND WED MORNING MOVES TO NEAR AUGUSTINE ISLAND AT 991 MB THU MORNING...THEN MOVES INLAND AND DISSIPATES. $$ PKZ119-251400- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 340 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ120-251400- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 340 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ121-251400- RESURRECTION BAY- 340 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-251400- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 340 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ126-251400- PORT VALDEZ- 340 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ127-251400- VALDEZ NARROWS- 340 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ128-251400- VALDEZ ARM- 340 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-251400- PASSAGE CANAL- 340 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ130-251400- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 340 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT EXCEPT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ131-251400- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 340 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ132-251400- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 340 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 23 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ136-251400- CHINIAK BAY- 340 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ137-251400- MARMOT BAY- 340 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ138-251400- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 340 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ139-251400- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 340 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ140-251400- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 340 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ141-251400- KACHEMAK BAY- 340 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 22, 5:57 AM AKST, 9 hours 21 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 22, 5:57 AM AKST, 9 hours 21 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
557 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015
CORRECTED ADVISORIES
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
ZONAL FLOW RESIDES OVER THE REGION WITH SEVERAL DIFFERENT FEATURES
MOVING THROUGH. THE BIGGEST AND MOST IMPACTFUL TROUGH HAS BEEN
PUSHING IN OVER THE SOUTHWEST BRINGING SNOW SHOWERS TO THE AREA
BUT THERE IS NOT ENOUGH SUPPORT WITH IT TO SEE MUCH OF AN INCREASE
IN WINDS. THE NEXT BIG LOW IS APPROACHING THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC WITH ITS FRONT HAVING ALREADY TRACKED
ACROSS THE ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM IS STILL DEEPENING AS IT HEADS
TOWARD THE BERING AND IS PULLING UP A FAIR AMOUNT OF WARM AIR
WITH IT.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE POSITIONING OF THE MAJOR
FEATURES INTO TUESDAY BUT THERE ARE A COUPLE PROBLEMS WITH
INTENSITY AND TEMPERATURE. THE INTENSITY PROBLEM IS WITH THE LOW
TRACKING INTO THE BERING TODAY. THE GFS IS THE STRONGER SOLUTION
WITH THE OTHER MODELS ALL VARYING DEGREES WEAKER. WITH THE STRONG
SUPPORT IN THE UPPER LEVELS WITH A 150 KT JET THE STRONGER GFS
SOLUTION WAS PREFERRED. THE IMPACT OF THIS DIFFERENCE WILL SHOW IN
STRONGER WINDS AROUND THE LOW AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE BERING. THE
MOST RECENT SCATTEROMETER PASSES ALSO SHOW WINDS THAT MORE CLOSELY
RESEMBLE THE STRONGER SOLUTIONS. THE TEMPERATURE DIFFERENCES COME
INTO PLAY EARLY IN THE WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
MAINLAND. THERE IS A FAIR AMOUNT OF VARIATION AMONGST THE MODELS
MAKING IT DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE HOW STRONG AND FAST THE WARM PUSH
WILL BE. THIS LOWERS CONFIDENCE IN THE TIMING OF THE SNOW EITHER
MIXING WITH OR TRANSITIONING TO RAIN FOR THE MORE SOUTHERN
LOCATIONS.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING ANOTHER QUICK ROUND OF SNOW
SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE ANCHORAGE
BOWL...MATANUSKA VALLEY AND SUSITNA VALLEY. DUE TO THE QUICK
PROGRESSION OF THE SYSTEM AND RELATIVELY WEEK FORCING...JUST A FEW
QUICK INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA.
MEANWHILE...A DRAMATIC PATTERN CHANGE IS TAKING PLACE MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY AS A POTENT LOW MOVES TOWARDS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA...AND
ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT BRINGS WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION AND MUCH
WARMER TEMPERATURES TO SOUTHCENTRAL. PRECIPITATION WILL GENERALLY
BEGIN AS SNOW MONDAY AFTERNOON...BUT BEGIN TO CHANGE OVER TO RAIN
BEGINNING MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING. DUE TO THE STRENGTH
OF THIS SYSTEM...DOWNSLOPING IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT RAIN AND
SNOWFALL ACROSS THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND WESTERN KENAI. IN
CONTRAST...IN THE SUSITNA VALLEY...PERSISTENT UPSLOPE FLOW AND A
STEADY MOISTURE STREAM WILL SUPPORT HEAVY SNOW. SNOW AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE GREATEST TOWARDS THE PARK WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO FAVOR SNOW THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE EVENT.
MEANWHILE...IN TALKEETNA AND SOUTH RAIN WILL BEGIN TO MIX IN
STARTING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...LIMITING SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
SNOW WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND AS AN UPPER DISTURBANCE AND
ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW RAPIDLY MOVE OFF TO THE EAST. ATTENTION
THEN QUICKLY TURNS TO THE STRONG BERING FRONT WHICH WILL ARRIVE
ALONG THE COAST LATER TONIGHT...BRINGING BLOWING SNOW CONCERNS TO
PORTIONS OF THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA. THE MAIN LIMITING FACTOR FOR
BLOWING SNOW WILL BE WARM TEMPERATURES AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS AS
ALL SNOW BUT BEGINS TO CHANGE OVER TO RAIN FAIRLY QUICKLY ON
MONDAY MORNING IN DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT. THIS
RAPID WARMING SHOULD GENERALLY KEEP ANY AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW
VERY LOCALIZED AND SHORT LIVED. THEREFORE...THE BLIZZARD WATCH
FOR COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA HAS BEEN CANCELLED
WITH ISSUANCE OF THE MORNING PACKAGE.
THE OTHER MAIN FORECAST CONCERN WITH THIS SYSTEM IS THE POTENTIAL
FOR HIGH SURF CONDITIONS FOR COASTAL COMMUNITIES ALONG THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA...BEGINNING WITH THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE AROUND
MIDDAY MONDAY. CURRENT GUIDANCE SUGGESTS SEAS REACHING 2 TO 4 FEET
ABOVE MAX ASTRONOMICAL TIDE FOR SEVERAL CONSECUTIVE HIGH TIDE
CYCLES NORTH OF CAPE NEWENHAM. HAVE THEREFORE ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH NOON TUESDAY TO COVER
THESE TIDE CYCLES.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE POWERFUL LOW APPROACHING THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL REMAIN THE
DOMINANT FEATURE IN THE BERING OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE STORM
FORCE FRONT MOVES GRADUALLY EASTWARD. THE FRONT WILL WEAKEN
SLIGHTLY BUT STILL MAINTAIN STRONG GALE FORCE WINDS AS IT CROSSES
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND AKPEN THROUGH MONDAY. MEANWHILE...COLD
ADVECTION ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW WILL PRODUCE ANOTHER ROUND
OF STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING AND A SMALL AREA OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EAST ACROSS THE UNPOPULATED PORTIONS OF THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS EAST OF SHEMYA.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
ON TUESDAY THE FOCUS IN THE FORECAST WILL SHIFT FROM WEAKENING
BERING LOW TO THE FRONTAL SYSTEM IN THE WESTERN GULF. THERE
REMAINS VERY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THIS WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN
AND SNOW TO THE SOUTH MAINLAND...ALONG WITH STRONG WARM AIR
ADVECTION IN THE DEEP AND MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW THAT WILL PERSIST
INTO MID WEEK. ENOUGH WARM AIR WILL SURGE NORTHWARD WITH THIS
FRONT TO CAUSE PRECIPITATION IN MOST AREAS TO SWITCH OVER TO
RAIN...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE NORTHERN SUSITNA VALLEY WHICH
WILL LIKELY REMAIN SNOW INTO WEDNESDAY. A VERY TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL ALSO SETUP ALONG THE KENAI AND CHUGACH MOUNTAINS
DURING THIS TIME...BRINGING STRONG GAP WINDS TO TURNAGAIN AND
KNIK ARM...AND GUSTY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS INTO THE ANCHORAGE BOWL
ON TUESDAY. DOWNSLOPING FROM THESE WINDS WILL MOSTLY LIMIT
RAINFALL OVER THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND MATANUSKA VALLEY TO SPOTTY
SHOWERS...WHILE THE GULF COAST WILL SEE LITTLE REPRIEVE FROM
STEADY RAIN AS STRONG UPSLOPE FLOW WILL PERSIST INTO WEDNESDAY.
AS HAS BEEN THE CASE FOR THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS...THE FORECAST FOR
WEDNESDAY ONWARD HAS BEEN DIFFICULT. MODELS ARE BEGINNING TO
CONVERGE ON A SOLUTION FOR EX-TYPHOON IN-FA WITH A 965 TO 975 MB
LOW MOVING ALONG THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN THURSDAY THROUGH EARLY
SATURDAY. THE MODELS HAVE NOT SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED HOWEVER ON
THE HANDLING OF THE LOW THAT IS ABOUT 700 MILES NORTH OF OAHU
THIS AFTERNOON. AT LEAST PORTIONS OF THIS FEATURE...IN WHATEVER
FORM IT WILL TAKE...SHOULD MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN SIDE
OF THE RIDGE AND INTO THE THE ALASKA PENINSULA TO KODIAK REGION IN
THE WEDNESDAY TO THURSDAY TIME FRAME...BUT EVEN THIS IS NOT
CERTAIN AS THE MODELS ARE INCONSISTENT WITH SURFACE FEATURES AS
WELL AS WHAT TO DO WITH THE ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW. BOTH
THE EC AND THE GFS HINT THAT WHATEVER REMAINS OF THIS ENERGY WILL
LIKELY INTERACT WITH THE REMAINS IN-FA ON DAY 6-7. WITH THIS BEING
SAID...AGAIN WPC GUIDANCE WAS USED HEAVILY IN THE DAY 4-7 TIME
FRAME TO ACCOUNT FOR THE HIGH DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY IN THESE TWO
FEATURES.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY 141.
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY 155
MARINE...HURRICANE FORCE 177 178.
STORM 173 175 176 179 181 185.
GALE 132 138 150 155 160 165 170 171 172 174 180
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EN
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CB
LONG TERM...DEK/RFIn the hours before
Local storm report, Nov 22, 10:01 AM AKST, 5 hours 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1001 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0958 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ADAK STATION 51.84N 176.64W
11/22/2015 M75.00 MPH AK AWOS
PEAK GUST REPORTED AT 0756 HST
&&
LINGRAMThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 3:18 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 13 hr | |
| Nov 22, 3:25 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Nov 22, 3:25 PM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Nov 22, 8:31 PM AKST | High Surf Advisory | AFC | 39 hr | |
| Nov 23, 3:43 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 4 days | |
| Nov 23, 3:52 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 35 hr | |
| Nov 23, 3:52 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 11 hr | |
| Nov 23, 3:52 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 72 hr | |
| Nov 23, 3:55 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 11 hr | |
| Nov 23, 3:55 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 3 days | |
| Nov 23, 9:40 AM AKST | High Wind Warning | AFC | 8 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.