Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2015

Gale Warning 732, NWS Anchorage, AK

November 29, 2015

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 29, 2015, 3:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 48 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 29, 2015, 3:00 PM AKST (00:00 UTC)
Expired
Dec 1, 2015, 3:00 PM AKST
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

831 
FZAK62 PAFC 300000
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-301430-
300 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 976 MB LOW NEAR 53N 168W MOVES TO 54N 157W AT 977 MB MON
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVES TO 53N 155W AT 979 MB TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-301430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
300 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ412-301430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
300 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
TO 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ413-301430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
300 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 TO 35 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
TO 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ414-301430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
300 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 TO 9
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$
4 follow-up statements
583 
FZAK62 PAFC 301230
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
330 AM AKST MON NOV 30 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-010230-
330 AM AKST MON NOV 30 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 975 MB LOW NEAR 54N 162W MOVES TO 54N 159W AT 977 MB LATE MON
NIGHT...THEN MOVES INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC. A STRONG FRONT ENTERS
THE FAR WESTERN BERING BY LATE TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-010230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
330 AM AKST MON NOV 30 2015

.TODAY...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY N OF 56 N.
.TUE...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF
56N.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ412-010230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
330 AM AKST MON NOV 30 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ413-010230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
330 AM AKST MON NOV 30 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ414-010230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
330 AM AKST MON NOV 30 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$
820 
FZAK62 PAFC 010019
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
319 PM AKST MON NOV 30 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-011430-
319 PM AKST MON NOV 30 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 975 MB LOW NEAR 54N 160W MOVES TO THE SOUTHEAST AND DISSIPATES
BY TUE MORNING. A 995 MB LOW NEAR 49N 149E WILL BE A 974 MB LOW AT
49N 178E WED AFTERNOON. 


$$

PKZ411-011430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
319 PM AKST MON NOV 30 2015

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 TO 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.

$$

PKZ412-011430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
319 PM AKST MON NOV 30 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ413-011430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
319 PM AKST MON NOV 30 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT BECOMING S TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 9
TO 12 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.

$$

PKZ414-011430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
319 PM AKST MON NOV 30 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 FT.

$$
724 
FZAK62 PAFC 011241
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
341 AM AKST TUE DEC 1 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-020300-
341 AM AKST TUE DEC 1 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 977 MB LOW NEAR 54N 156W WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE NORTH
PACIFIC AND DISSIPATE TONIGHT. A 992 MB LOW NEAR 45N 167E THIS
AFTERNOON WILL INTENSIFY TO 957 MB AS IT MOVES TO 52N 172E WED
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE TO 49N 176E AS IT WEAKENS TO 968 MB WED
NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-020300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
341 AM AKST TUE DEC 1 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF
56N.
.TONIGHT...W WIND UP TO 20 KT BECOMING E 20 TO 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT S OF 56N. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.

$$

PKZ412-020300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
341 AM AKST TUE DEC 1 2015

.TODAY...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ413-020300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
341 AM AKST TUE DEC 1 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT BECOMING SE 10 TO 20 KT W OF 176W.
SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ414-020300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
341 AM AKST TUE DEC 1 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$
070 
FZAK62 PAFC 020000
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKST TUE DEC 1 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-021430-
300 PM AKST TUE DEC 1 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A FRONT OVER THE EASTERN BERING WILL DRIFT EAST AND DISSIPATE BY
WED MORNING. A 981 MB LOW NEAR 47N 169E EARLY TUE EVENING MOVES TO
52N 174E AT 962 MB WED AFTERNOON...THEN MOVES TO 47N 175W AT 980
MB THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-021430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
300 PM AKST TUE DEC 1 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND UP TO 20 KT BECOMING E 20 TO 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ412-021430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
300 PM AKST TUE DEC 1 2015

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND UP TO 15 KT BECOMING SE UP TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ413-021430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
300 PM AKST TUE DEC 1 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 14 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ414-021430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
300 PM AKST TUE DEC 1 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND UP TO 15 KT BECOMING E 10 TO 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 29, 5:04 AM AKST, 9 hours 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 29, 5:04 AM AKST, 9 hours 56 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
504 AM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE CURRENT UPPER LEVEL PATTERN REMAINS VERY SIMILAR TO THAT OF
THE LAST FEW DAYS. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ARE A BROAD LONG
WAVE TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE BERING...WITH A SHARP BLOCKING RIDGE
STRETCHING FROM THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE DOWN TO THE WEST COAST OF
THE LOWER 48. A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS BRINGING MAINLY RAIN
SHOWERS TO THE SOUTHCENTRAL AND THE GULF COAST...WHILE A WEAKENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT CONTINUES TO BRING GUSTY GAP WINDS TO THE GULF
COAST. THIS GRADIENT IS ALSO BRINGING WEAK DOWNSLOPING TO THE LEE
SIDE OF THE CHUGACH RANGE...WHICH IS KEEPING MOST OF THE RAIN
SHOWERS AROUND SOUTHCENTRAL FROM REACHING THE GROUND FROM THE
ANCHORAGE BOWL EASTWARD INTO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. OVER THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS...A GALE FORCE LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONT IS
CENTERED UNDER THE LONGWAVE TROUGH...AND IS BEGINNING TO SPREAD
RAIN AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS INTO THE AKPEN. OVER THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND A WEAK AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE IS BRINGING PATCHY
FOG/STRATUS TO THE AREA...ESPECIALLY FOR THE INTERIOR KUSKOKWIM
DELTA AND BRISTOL BAY.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN EXCELLENT SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT WITH THE
TRACK/INTENSITY OF THE ALEUTIAN LOW INTO MID WEEK. AS THE RESULT
THE HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS WERE USED AGAIN TONIGHT TO BETTER
CAPTURE GAP WINDS AND PRECIPITATION FROM THE FRONT MOVING INTO THE
GULF ON MONDAY. THERE REMAINS VERY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT CROSS
BARRIER FLOW ALONG CHUGACH AND KENAI MOUNTAINS WILL KEEP MOST OF
THE RAINFALL CONFINED TO THE GULF COAST INTO TUESDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND SOUTH CENTRAL
MAINLAND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH THROUGH THIS EVENING AND
WEAKEN AS IT DOES SO. PRECIPITATION WILL BE MAINLY CONFINED TO
COASTAL AND UP-SLOPE AREAS...WITH VERY LITTLE PRECIPITATION
INLAND. THIS SYSTEM WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT AS A RIDGE BUILDS OVER
SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. THE LEADING FRONT FROM THIS NEXT LOW WILL REACH KODIAK
ISLAND TONIGHT AND THE GULF COAST ON MONDAY. THIS FRONT WILL THEN
BECOME MUCH MORE EAST-WEST ORIENTED AS THE RESPONSIBLE UPPER LOW
STALLS OUT JUST SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA LATER MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL AGAIN KEEP MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION
CONFINED TO THE COAST. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY COOL OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...BUT REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL WITH CONTINUED
SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE SOUTHWEST IS UNDER ONSHORE FLOW...WITH LIGHT WINDS COMBINED
WITH MOISTURE IN THE REGION PRODUCING AREAS OF FOG WITH SOME
PLACES HAVING DENSE FOG AT TIMES THIS MORNING. AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH TODAY PRODUCING SHOWERY PRECIPITATION IN
THE SOUTHWEST AREA. BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW
TRACKS ALONG THE EASTERN CHAIN...THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL
MOVE INTO THE BRISTOL BAY REGION. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF
PRECIPITATION TO BRISTOL BAY BEFORE SPREADING INLAND ACCOMPANIED
BY GUSTY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS HEADING INTO MONDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL HAVE A GALE FORCE LOW LOCATED WEST OF
DUTCH HARBOR THIS MORNING BEFORE THIS SYSTEM TRACKS TO THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS BY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING GALE FORCE WINDS TO
THE EASTERN BERING SEA BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. BY MONDAY THE BERING
WILL PREDOMINANTLY HAVE GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS WITH A SHOWERY
WEATHER REGIME.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

BEGINNING THE EXTENDED PERIOD ON TUESDAY MORNING...A BROAD UPPER
LOW CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN BERING AND NORTH PACIFIC WILL
ENCOMPASS THE ENTIRE REGION AS THE NORTH PACIFIC JET REMAINS
CENTERED IN THE VICINITY OF 40N. A SECONDARY LOW IN THE VICINITY
OF THE ALASKA PANHANDLE WILL ROTATE WEST INTO THE NORTHERN
GULF...SPREADING RAIN AND SNOW ALONG THE GULF OF ALASKA COAST.
INLAND LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODERATE EAST
TO SOUTHEAST FLOW...WITH THIS DOWNSLOPE SHADOW KEEPING
PRECIPITATION MAINLY CONFINED TO COASTAL AND MARINE LOCATIONS.
FARTHER WEST...THE BULK OF COLD ARCTIC AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL BERING SEA...WITH EXTENSIVE INSTABILITY
SHOWERS AND STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS. WITH AN ARCTIC HIGH CENTERED
NORTH OF THE NORTH SLOPE OF ALASKA...COLDER SURFACE LEVEL AIR WILL
INFILTRATE SOUTHERN ALASKA...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO MODERATE AND
COOL BACK TO NEAR NORMAL HEADING INTO THE LATE WEEK. ANOTHER NORTH
PACIFIC LOW WILL MERGE WITH THE ARCTIC TROUGH LATE
WEEK...DEEPENING INTO A DEEP LOW SOMEWHERE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA. MUCH UNCERTAINTY ARISES BY THIS
POINT...BUT SOME GUIDANCE DRIVES IN A STRONG STORM FORCE LOW
THROUGH THE GULF OF ALASKA LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...BUT THERE
REMAINS TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY WITH TRACK AND POSITION TO REALLY GET
EXCITED AT THIS JUNCTURE. EITHER WAY...THE GENERAL PATTERN OF COLD
AIR OVER THE BERING AND STRONG EASTERLY LOW TO MID LEVEL FLOW OVER
SOUTHERN ALASKA WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION LARGELY RELEGATED TO
COASTAL LOCALES...WITH NO DRAMATIC CHANGE IN THE SENSIBLE WEATHER
INLAND. HEADING THROUGH THE WEEKEND...THE NORTH PACIFIC JET STREAM
WILL MOVE EAST...WITH STORMINESS CONTINUING TO IMPACT THE
PANHANDLE OF ALASKA AS SOUTHERN ALASKA REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF WEAKER LOWS DYING IN THE GULF OF ALASKA. IN OTHER WORDS...NO
SIGNIFICANT INLAND STORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE EXTENDED
PERIOD...WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE WARNING 130 131 132 150 155 160 170 172 173 174
					  175 176 180

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DEK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PLD
LONG TERM...JA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 29, 3:04 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Nov 30, 3:42 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC35 hr
Nov 30, 3:42 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC47 hr
Nov 30, 3:50 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC35 hr
Nov 30, 3:50 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC23 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2015Every gale warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.