Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2015

Gale Warning 690, NWS Anchorage, AK

October 31, 2015

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Oct 31, 2015, 3:24 AM AKDT. It was in force for 25 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 31, 2015, 3:24 AM AKDT (11:24 UTC)
Expired
Nov 1, 2015, 3:00 AM AKST
In force
25 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

256 
FZAK52 PAFC 311124
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
324 AM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-010000-
324 AM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 977 MB LOW JUST EAST OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL TRACK TO
400 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA AT 968 MB TONIGHT...THEN TO 75 NM WEST OF
GAMBELL AT 981 MB SUN NIGHT. AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL PUSH
EAST ACROSS THE BERING THIS MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. A
NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL DEVELOP SUN AFTERNOON AND THEN TRACK TO 150
NM SOUTHEAST OF ADAK AT 1002 MB SUN NIGHT.


$$

PKZ150-010000-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
324 AM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT. GUSTS TO
50 KT IN THE MORNING OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ155-010000-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
324 AM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ160-010000-
BRISTOL BAY-
324 AM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ165-010000-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
324 AM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...SW
WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ170-010000-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
324 AM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-010000-
UNALASKA BAY-
324 AM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-010000-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
324 AM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ173-010000-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
324 AM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ174-010000-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
324 AM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ175-010000-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
324 AM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ176-010000-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
324 AM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ177-010000-
ADAK TO KISKA-
324 AM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ178-010000-
KISKA TO ATTU-
324 AM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ179-010000-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
324 AM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ180-010000-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
324 AM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ181-010000-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
324 AM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ185-010000-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
324 AM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S 35 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SW WIND 30 KT. W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$
2 follow-up statements
765 
FZAK52 PAFC 312303
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-011200-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 977 MB LOW JUST EAST OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL TRACK TO 275
NM WEST OF GAMBELL AT 972 MB SUN AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE
TO WEAKEN TO 985 MB WHILE MOVING TO 225 NM NORTHEAST OF GAMBELL BY
MON AFTERNOON. AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS
THE BERING THROUGH SUNDAY. A 1006 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 150 NM SOUTHEAST
OF ADAK SUN NIGHT AND THEN DEEPEN TO 998 MB NEAR COLD BAY MON
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-011200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT EARLY EVENING DIMINISHING TO W WIND 20
KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ155-011200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT EARLY THIS EVENING BECOMING SW 35 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.

$$

PKZ160-011200-
BRISTOL BAY-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT EARLY THIS EVENING BECOMING SW 25 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-011200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT EARLY THIS EVENING INCREASING TO 35 KT.
FROM PORT MOLLER E...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ170-011200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12
FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT EARLY DIMINISHING TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ171-011200-
UNALASKA BAY-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
40 KT DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT EARLY DIMINISHING TO 15
KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ172-011200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT EARLY THIS EVENING INCREASING TO 35 KT.
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.

$$

PKZ173-011200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13
FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ174-011200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15
FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.

$$

PKZ175-011200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND TO 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ176-011200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15
FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ177-011200-
ADAK TO KISKA-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ178-011200-
KISKA TO ATTU-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ179-011200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ180-011200-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ181-011200-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-011200-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 35 KT
INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$
523 
FZAK52 PAFC 312303 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

CORRECTED HEADLINE MARINE ZONE 160

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-011200-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 977 MB LOW JUST EAST OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL TRACK TO 275
NM WEST OF GAMBELL AT 972 MB SUN AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE
TO WEAKEN TO 985 MB WHILE MOVING TO 225 NM NORTHEAST OF GAMBELL BY
MON AFTERNOON. AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS
THE BERING THROUGH SUNDAY. A 1006 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 150 NM SOUTHEAST
OF ADAK SUN NIGHT AND THEN DEEPEN TO 998 MB NEAR COLD BAY MON
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-011200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT EARLY EVENING DIMINISHING TO W WIND 20
KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ155-011200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT EARLY THIS EVENING BECOMING SW 35 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.

$$

PKZ160-011200-
BRISTOL BAY-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

CORRECTED HEADLINE

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT EARLY THIS EVENING BECOMING SW 25 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-011200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT EARLY THIS EVENING INCREASING TO 35 KT.
FROM PORT MOLLER E...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ170-011200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12
FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT EARLY DIMINISHING TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ171-011200-
UNALASKA BAY-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
40 KT DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT EARLY DIMINISHING TO 15
KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ172-011200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT EARLY THIS EVENING INCREASING TO 35 KT.
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.

$$

PKZ173-011200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13
FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ174-011200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15
FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.

$$

PKZ175-011200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND TO 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ176-011200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15
FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ177-011200-
ADAK TO KISKA-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ178-011200-
KISKA TO ATTU-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ179-011200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ180-011200-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ181-011200-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-011200-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
303 PM AKDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 35 KT
INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 30, 4:21 PM AKDT, 11 hours 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 30, 4:21 PM AKDT, 11 hours 3 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
421 PM AKDT FRI OCT 30 2015

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CONTINUES OVER THE STATE WITH A CLOSED
CENTER SPINNING IN THE WESTERN GULF. TO THE WEST...A RIDGE IS OVER
THE BERING WITH A PROGRESSIVELY EASTWARD MOVING TROUGH OVER THE
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA. AT THE SURFACE...THE PATTERN IS REFLECTIVE
WITH A LOW OVER THE GULF AND RIDGE CENTERED IN THE BERING. THE
FRONT THAT MOVED ACROSS THE WESTERN AREAS OF THE STATE ON
THURSDAY...HAS MADE LITTLE PROGRESS THROUGH TODAY WITH THE
BOUNDARY NOW STRETCHING FROM THE SUSITNA VALLEY TO THE WESTERN
GULF. SNOW SHOWERS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG THE BOUNDARY FROM KENAI
NORTH. SHOWERS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG A CONVECTIVELY UNSTABLE
AIR MASS OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE NORTHERN GULF WITH
PROPAGATION TO THE NORTH AND WEST. EASTERLY FLOW ON THE NORTH SIDE
OF THE LOW IS CARRYING THIS MOISTURE ACROSS THE SOUND TO THE
ANCHORAGE BOWL WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO SNOW ALONG A COOLER
ISOTHERMAL LAYER JUST OFF THE SURFACE. AS FOR WINDS...NORTHERLY
FLOW REMAINS STRONG OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...ALASKA PENINSULA
AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS. AN INCREASE OF STRONGER NORTHERLY FLOW
ACROSS THE WESTERN ALASKA RANGE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON IS A GOOD
INDICATION THAT THE FRONT IS BEGINNING TO ADVANCE.

MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SHORT
TERM THIS WEEKEND. A TRANSITION IN THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IS
ANTICIPATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE MAINLAND GAINING
EASTWARD MOMENTUM TONIGHT. FOR THE WEEKEND...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL
DEAMPLIFY AS IT PASSES OVER THE MAINLAND AND THE UPPER LOW OVER
KAMCHATKA MOVES A FRONT ACROSS THE BERING/ALEUTIANS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
WIDESPREAD SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN
COVERAGE OVERNIGHT AND THEN END FROM WEST TO EAST ON SATURDAY AS
THE UPPER TROUGH PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHCENTRAL. THIS LEAVES OUTFLOW
WINDS AS THE PRIMARY FORECAST CHALLENGE FOR THE WEEKEND AS COLD
ADVECTION CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO INCREASE TONIGHT THROUGH FAVORED GAPS ALONG THE NORTH GULF
COAST AND THEN PEAK IN INTENSITY LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE TROUGH AXIS PUSHES EAST ACROSS PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND AND A 100 KT JET STREAK MOVES OVERHEAD. THEREFORE
INTRODUCED STRONG WIND HEADLINES FOR WHITTIER/VALDEZ AND THE
COPPER RIVER DELTA WITH THE AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE. WINDS WILL
THEN DIMINISH THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
MOVES OVERHEAD...BRINGING A SLIGHT MODERATING TREND IN
TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION FROM THE WEST
BY LATE SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE MAINLAND WILL CONTINUE TO DRY OUT BEHIND THE DIGGING TROUGH
AND FRONT THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE BEST CHANCES FOR SNOW WILL BE
ALONG/OVER THE ALASKA/ALEUTIAN RANGES BUT ANY PRECIPITATION SHOULD
BE VERY LIGHT. THE BIGGER IMPACT ON SENSIBLE WEATHER WILL BE THE
SEASONABLY COLD AIR MASS CONTINUING TO MOVE IN FROM THE NORTH
ALONG WITH THE GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS ACCOMPANYING IT...HOWEVER
MOST AREAS FROM BRISTOL BAY NORTH WILL BEGIN TO SEE A GRADUAL
DOWNTURN IN THE STRONGEST WINDS THROUGH TONIGHT AND EARLY
SATURDAY. THIS AIR MASS WILL BRING SOME OF THE COLDER MINIMUMS OF
THE SEASON LATE TONIGHT...HOWEVER THIS WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AS A
FRONT FROM THE BERING SEA BRINGS A PATTERN CHANGE.

TEMPERATURES AND MOISTURE WILL RISE SUBSTANTIALLY LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY WITH A STRONG BUT WEAKENING WEATHER FRONT
BARRELING INLAND. TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY BE COLD ENOUGH FOR
PRECIPITATION TO BEGIN AS SNOW JUST AT ONSET OF PRECIPITATION
BEFORE A CHANGEOVER TO RAIN. NO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW
ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO ROAR OUT OF THE BAYS AND PASSES OF THE
ALASKA PENINSULA AND WELL OUT INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH
SATURDAY...THOUGH ON A DOWNWARD TREND AFTER TONIGHT. CONDITIONS
WILL RAPIDLY CHANGE FROM WEST TO EAST AS A STRONG GALE-FORCE
WEATHER FRONT RACES EAST FROM THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS TONIGHT TO THE
BRISTOL BAY AND ALASKA PENINSULA REGION LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY NIGHT. A WIDESPREAD AREA OF RAIN ALONG WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE GALE-FORCE WINDS AHEAD OF
THE FRONT...WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND CONTINUED
WINDY CONDITIONS BEHIND THE FRONT.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

THE EXPECTED WARM-UP EARLY NEXT WEEK LOOKS LESS PROMISING TODAY
AS A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE BERING SEA LOOKS TO KEEP
HIGH PRESSURE FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST. A QUICK SHORTWAVE RIDGE
LOOKS TO QUICKLY SLIDE ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
THROUGHOUT THE DAY MONDAY WHICH WILL BE THE TURNING POINT
TEMPERATURE WISE. AS MENTIONED EARLIER...THE WARM-UP LOOKS LESS
PROMISING BUT IS STILL EXPECTED TO OCCUR (JUST TO A LESSER
MAGNITUDE).

LOOKING AT THE BIG PICTURE...THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE RIDGE
WILL BE QUICK TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY AS A POTENT
SHORTWAVE IS EXPECTED TO DIG OUT OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND
AMPLIFY THE LONGWAVE PATTERN. THIS WAVE WILL SPIN UP A WEAK SFC
BASED LOW WHICH WILL MOVE INLAND NEAR BRISTOL BAY TUESDAY MORNING.
THIS SHOULD KEEP INCREASE RAIN CHANCES AS WELL AS BRING GALE FORCE
WINDS TO THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS AND ALASKA PENINSULA LATE MONDAY AND
EARLY TUESDAY. THIS LOW WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA EARLY
TUESDAY AND LIKELY PRODUCE PERIODS OF RAIN AND SNOW. CURRENTLY IT
APPEARS ANYTHING NORTH OF KENAI WOULD BE IN THE SNOW ZONE WITH
JUST COASTAL AREAS REMAINING RAIN. MODELS ARE STRUGGLING A TOUCH
WITH THE POSITION OF THE UPPER LEVEL WAVE AND SFC LOW...WHICH WILL
HAVE A LOT TO DO WITH HOW MUCH PRECIPITATION WILL BE OBSERVED.

THE MOST SIGNIFICANT (POSSIBLY) YET THE MOST INCONSISTENT FEATURE
WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF A SIGNIFICANT LOW DEVELOPING SOUTH OF
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE REASON FOR
THE INCONSISTENCY IS THAT THE ARCTIC JET AND NORTH PACIFIC JET
APPEAR TO PHASE TOGETHER BRIEFLY WHICH CREATES A VERY POTENT JET
STREAK. THIS JET STREAK COULD QUICKLY DEVELOP AN UPPER LEVEL AND
SFC LOW THAT COULD EXCEED 24 MB STRENGTHENING IN 24 HOURS.
HOWEVER...THE JET STREAMS COULD ALSO HAVE LITTLE PHASING AND THE TWO
SEPARATE JET STREAKS COULD CLASH AND CREATE A WEAKER SFC LOW. THE
ONE THING OF NOTE IS THAT MODELS ARE TRENDING FURTHER NORTH WITH
LOW DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLY IN THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA. SHOULD THIS
SOLUTION PAN OUT...A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN FOR THE ALEUTIANS AND
ALASKA PENINSULA COULD BE SEEN AS WELL AS A LARGE AREA OF STORM
FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 127 130 131 132 150 155 160 165 170 172 173
 174 175 176 177 178 179 180.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KH
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CC
LONG TERM...MC

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 30, 10:32 PM AKDT, 4 hours 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1032 PM AKDT FRI OCT 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1020 PM     SNOW             3 NW GLEN ALPS          61.13N 149.76W
10/30/2015  M3.0 INCH                           AK   PUBLIC

&&

RDUELL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 31, 3:24 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC25 hr
Oct 31, 4:02 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Oct 31, 11:15 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC17 hr
Oct 31, 3:03 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC13 hr
Oct 31, 3:03 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC13 hr
Oct 31, 3:18 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC13 hr
Oct 31, 3:30 PM AKDTHigh Surf AdvisoryAFC58 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2015Every gale warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.