Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2015

Gale Warning 558, NWS Anchorage, AK

September 8, 2015

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Sep 8, 2015, 3:14 PM AKDT. It was in force for 37 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 8, 2015, 3:14 PM AKDT (23:14 UTC)
Expired
Sep 10, 2015, 4:03 AM AKDT
In force
37 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

241 
FZAK51 PAFC 082314
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
314 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-091215-
314 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 999 MB LOW OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL RAPIDLY DEEPEN TO 980 MB
AS IT TRACKS TO 55 NM EAST OF CHIGNIK WED AFTERNOON. THIS LOW
WILL THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT HEADS INLAND ACROSS INTERIOR
SOUTHWEST ALASKA ON THU.

$$

PKZ119-091215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
314 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 30 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-091215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
314 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-091215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
314 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-091215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
314 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-091215-
PORT VALDEZ-
314 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-091215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
314 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-091215-
VALDEZ ARM-
314 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-091215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
314 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4
FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-091215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
314 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-091215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
314 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-091215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
314 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17
FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-091215-
CHINIAK BAY-
314 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-091215-
MARMOT BAY-
314 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-091215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
314 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT EXCEPT SE 15 KT NEAR THE SOUTH
ENTRANCE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-091215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
314 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-091215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
314 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-091215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
314 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$
5 follow-up statements
523 
FZAK51 PAFC 091200
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-100030-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 989 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT MOVES TO NEAR EGEGIK AT
979 MB LATE WED NIGHT...THEN MOVES INTO INTERIOR ALASKA. AN
ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF MIDDAY WED...MOVES
TO THE NORTHERN GULF WED NIGHT...THEN DISSIPATES.


$$

PKZ119-100030-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
55 KT ALONG THE COAST EAST OF MONTAGUE ISLAND DIMINISHING AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-100030-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-100030-
RESURRECTION BAY-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-100030-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE
DIMINISHING AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-100030-
PORT VALDEZ-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-100030-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-100030-
VALDEZ ARM-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-100030-
PASSAGE CANAL-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-100030-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-100030-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-100030-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SHOWERS...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE EVENING.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-100030-
CHINIAK BAY-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN .
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-100030-
MARMOT BAY-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE EVENING.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-100030-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-100030-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-100030-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 1 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-100030-
KACHEMAK BAY-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$
658 
FZAK51 PAFC 092303
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
303 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-101145-
303 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 981 MB LOW 90 NM NORTHEAST OF SAND POINT MOVES INTO INTERIOR
SOUTHWEST ALASKA THIS EVENING...THEN WEAKENS TO 1004 MB AS IT
TRACKS NORTHEAST. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN
GULF EARLY THU AND THEN DISSIPATES AS IT MOVES INLAND.

$$

PKZ119-101145-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
303 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 55 KT ALONG THE COAST LATE THIS EVENING. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ120-101145-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
303 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ121-101145-
RESURRECTION BAY-
303 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-101145-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
303 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR
HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE LATE THIS EVENING. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-101145-
PORT VALDEZ-
303 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-101145-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
303 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-101145-
VALDEZ ARM-
303 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-101145-
PASSAGE CANAL-
303 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-101145-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
303 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-101145-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
303 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ132-101145-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
303 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-101145-
CHINIAK BAY-
303 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.

$$

PKZ137-101145-
MARMOT BAY-
303 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-101145-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
303 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-101145-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
303 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-101145-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
303 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-101145-
KACHEMAK BAY-
303 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$
271 
FZAK51 PAFC 100900
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

UPDATED ZONE 138 

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-102130-
100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF
COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET...

A 981 MB LOW 90 NM NORTHEAST OF SAND POINT MOVES INTO INTERIOR
SOUTHWEST ALASKA THIS EVENING...THEN WEAKENS TO 1004 MB AS IT
TRACKS NORTHEAST. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN
GULF EARLY THU AND THEN DISSIPATES AS IT MOVES INLAND.

$$

PKZ119-102130-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 55 KT ALONG THE COAST LATE THIS EVENING. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ120-102130-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015100 AM
AKDT THU SEP 10 2015EAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ121-102130-
RESURRECTION BAY-
1259 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015
100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015UGH THURSDAY...

100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015MING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-102130-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
1259 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 201500 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015 TO 35 KT.
GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE LATE THIS EVENING. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-102130-
PORT VALDEZ-
1259 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015SDAY... 100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015S 3
FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-102130-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
1259 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015SDAY...

100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015S 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-102130-
VALDEZ ARM-
1259 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015SDAY...

100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015S 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-102130-
PASSAGE CANAL-
1259 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015UGH THURSDAY...

100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-102130-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
1259 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015ISHING TO
25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-102130-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
1259 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ132-102130-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
1259 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 201514 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-102130-
CHINIAK BAY-
1259 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 20157 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.

$$

PKZ137-102130-
MARMOT BAY-
1259 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-102130-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
1259 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

UPDATED

100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015H THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-102130-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
1259 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-102130-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
1259 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-102130-
KACHEMAK BAY-
1259 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015O 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$
541 
FZAK51 PAFC 100931
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
131 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

CORRECTED FOR FORMAT

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF
OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK
INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-102230-
100 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF
COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET...

A 981 MB LOW 90 NM NORTHEAST OF SAND POINT MOVES INTO INTERIOR
SOUTHWEST ALASKA THIS EVENING...THEN WEAKENS TO 1004 MB AS IT
TRACKS NORTHEAST. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN
GULF EARLY THU AND THEN DISSIPATES AS IT MOVES INLAND.

$$

PKZ119-102230-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
131 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 55 KT ALONG THE COAST LATE THIS EVENING. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.  
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.  
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.  
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ120-102230-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
131 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.  
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.  
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ121-102230-
RESURRECTION BAY-
131 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.  
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.  
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-102230-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
131 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.  
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-102230-
PORT VALDEZ-
131 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

.THU...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.  
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-102230-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
131 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.  
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-102230-
VALDEZ ARM-
131 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.  
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.  
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-102230-
PASSAGE CANAL-
131 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.  
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-102230-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
131 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.  
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-102230-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
131 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.  
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ132-102230-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
131 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-102230-
CHINIAK BAY-
131 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.  
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.

$$

PKZ137-102230-
MARMOT BAY-
131 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.  
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-102230-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
131 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-102230-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
131 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.  
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.  
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-102230-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
131 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.  
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-102230-
KACHEMAK BAY-
131 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.  
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$
496 
FZAK51 PAFC 101203
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
403 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-110045-
403 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 982 MB LOW 50 NM NORTHWEST OF PORT HEIDEN MOVES INTO INTERIOR SOUTHWEST
ALASKA BY TONIGHT AND WEAKENS AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST. AN ASSOCIATED
FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF THIS EVENING...REACHES THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST FRI MORNING...THEN DISSIPATES AS IT MOVES INLAND.

$$

PKZ119-110045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
403 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. WINDS GUSTING TO 40 KT EAST OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND EARLY THIS MORNING. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ120-110045-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
403 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ121-110045-
RESURRECTION BAY-
403 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS MORNING THEN DIMINISHING
TO 15 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-110045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
403 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE THIS MORNING. SEAS 7
FT DIMINISHING TO 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-110045-
PORT VALDEZ-
403 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-110045-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
403 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...WINDS BECOMING SW 25 KT THIS MORNING DIMINISHING TO 20 KT
LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-110045-
VALDEZ ARM-
403 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE WIND 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-110045-
PASSAGE CANAL-
403 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-110045-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
403 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-110045-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
403 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS
11 FT EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN SHOWERS
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ132-110045-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
403 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-110045-
CHINIAK BAY-
403 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.

$$

PKZ137-110045-
MARMOT BAY-
403 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-110045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
403 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-110045-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
403 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-110045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
403 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-110045-
KACHEMAK BAY-
403 AM AKDT THU SEP 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Sep 8, 5:21 AM AKDT, 9 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 8, 5:21 AM AKDT, 9 hours 53 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
521 AM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

OVER SOUTHCENTRAL...A SIMILAR WEATHER REGIME TO THE ONE THAT HAS
PERSISTED FOR THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS REMAINS OVER SOUTHCENTRAL THIS
MORNING. AN AIR MASS FEATURING ABUNDANT MOISTURE WITH WEAK
DISTURBANCES TRAVERSING THROUGH IT REMAINS IN PLACE FOR ONE MORE
DAY TODAY. COLDER AIR MOVING IN ALOFT AND OCCASIONAL BREAKS OF
SUNSHINE HAS MADE THE PRECIPITATION MODE MORE CONVECTIVE. THE 00Z
ANCHORAGE SOUNDING SHOWS 183 J/KG OF CAPE FOR THE CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION TO USE. FURTHERMORE...KENAI RADAR SHOWED A
CONVERGENCE ZONE THAT SET UP LAST NIGHT ACROSS WEST ANCHORAGE.
THIS WAS CAUSED BY LIGHT WINDS COMING DOWN TURNAGAIN ARM
CONVERGING WITH THE SOUTHWEST WINDS MOVING UP COOK INLET. THIS
BAND OF RAIN PRODUCED A PRODIGIOUS 1.12 INCHES OF RAIN IN 5 HOURS
TIME AT ANCHORAGE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT LAST NIGHT. TO PUT THAT
INTO PERSPECTIVE...THAT 1.12 INCHES IN 5 HOURS WAS MORE THAN WAS
RECEIVED AT THE AIRPORT FOR THE ENTIRE MONTH OF AUGUST...0.97
INCHES. ADDITIONAL WAVES OF MOISTURE PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWER
ACTIVITY ARE MOVING NORTH UP THE LOWER COOK INLET AS WELL.

OVER SOUTHWEST...AN ELONGATED OCCLUDED FRONT IS MOVING NORTH INTO
THE COASTAL KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND BRISTOL BAY AREAS. BETHEL AND KING
SALMON RADAR SHOW LIGHT RAIN MOVING INLAND ASSOCIATED WITH THE
FRONT FROM EGEGIK NORTHWARD PAST TOKSOOK BAY. IR SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS WIDESPREAD STRATUS ALONG WITH INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS
ENVELOPING MUCH OF THE REST OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA AS THE FRONT MOVES
IN.

OVER THE BERING...THINGS ARE BECOMING MUCH MORE ACTIVE AS A
PATTERN CHANGE BEGINS. A POLAR JET STREAK FLOWING FROM NORTHEAST
TO SOUTHWEST IS ADVANCING ACROSS THE NORTHERN BERING. WHILE THIS
IS SLOWLY DEEPENING A LOW CENTERED NEAR THE PRIBILOFS AND
ENHANCING PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT MOVING INTO THE
COAST OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA...ITS MORE SIGNIFICANT PURPOSE IS TO
PUSH A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW CENTERED NEAR SHEMYA IN THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS SOUTHEASTWARD INTO A ZONALLY ORIENTED 120 KT SUBTROPICAL
JET STREAK...CAUSING THE JET TO BUCKLE AND BEGIN DIGGING AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH. THE CLASH OF THE POLAR JET AND THE SUBTROPICAL JET
IS ALREADY INDUCING SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS. THIS DEVELOPING LOW WILL QUICKLY BECOME THE DOMINANT
PRIMARY WEATHER MAKER FOR SOUTHERN MAINLAND ALASKA FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

THE MODELS ALL CONTINUE TO AGREE ON PRECIPITATION DEVELOPMENT
TODAY ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA AS AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
AND POSITIVE VORTICITY ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACH OF
THE LEADING EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL JET STREAK MOVES NORTHEAST
ALONG THE WESTERN GULF COAST. THUS...FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS
FIRST EVENT IS HIGH.

THEN ALL EYES TURN TOWARDS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND THE
DEVELOPMENT OF THE NEXT CYCLONE. SINCE YESTERDAYS MODEL RUNS...
MOST OF THE MODELS HAVE SHIFTED TOWARDS YESTERDAYS GFS
RUN...KEEPING THE LARGE STORM MOVING MORE SLOWLY AND STAYING
FURTHER WEST ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA. HOWEVER...THAT IS WHERE
THE SIMILARITIES IN THE MODELS END. LARGE DIFFERENCES IN THE
MODELS QUICKLY ARISE IN DETERMINING HOW LONG THE CENTER OF THE LOW
LINGERS NEAR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA...WHERE
THE LOW MOVES AFTER THAT...AND THE TIMING OF THE RESULTING
PRECIPITATION. THE 06Z RUN OF THE GFS MOVES THE CENTER OF THE LOW
ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA ALONG COASTAL BRISTOL BAY THURSDAY
MORNING...WHEREAS THE EC AND NAM BOTH DEPICT A MORE TYPICAL TRACK
OF THE LOW THROUGH SHELIKOF STRAIT AND INLAND UP COOK INLET. IF
THAT SCENARIO VERIFIES...THEN THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BE SOUTHEAST TO
EAST ACROSS THE CHUGACH AND KENAI MOUNTAINS...RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT
DOWNSLOPING. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS HIGH REGARDING THE LOW
DEVELOPMENT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THEN LOWERS
SIGNIFICANTLY BEYOND THAT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2...TUE AND
WED)...AFTER A RELATIVELY NICE LABOR DAY...RAIN AND INCREASING
WINDS WILL HIGHLIGHT THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WHILE THE
HEAVY SHOWERS OVER WEST ANCHORAGE OVERNIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO
DISSIPATE...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN QUITE MOIST TODAY.
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL TURN JUST SLIGHTLY MORE SOUTHEASTERLY THIS
MORNING ALLOW FOR A BRIEF BREAK WITH SOME CROSS-BARRIER FLOW. BUT
BY TONIGHT ANOTHER WEAK UPPER LEVEL WAVE WILL TRACK UP THE COOK
INLET AND SHOULD BRING ALL AREAS ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT RAIN.
THESE "PULSES" IN THE PATTERN WILL LEAD TO BRIEF PERIODS OF
GUSTIER WINDS THROUGH THE PORTAGE VALLEY AND TURNAGAIN ARM.

BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AN IMPRESSIVE SYSTEM SOUTH OF THE WESTERN
ALASKA PENINSULA WILL TRACK OVER KODIAK. WHILE MODELS HAVE BEEN
STRUGGLING WITH THE EXACT TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW...THE TREND HAS
BEEN TO BRING IT FURTHER WEST AND NEARLY DIRECTLY THROUGH COOK
INLET. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD FEATURE SOME CLASSIC "FALL" SIGNATURES
WITH A ROBUST BARRIER JET ALONG THE COAST...MODERATE DOWNSLOPING
WINDS ACROSS COOK INLET...AND EVENTUALLY RAIN FOR ALL AREAS. THERE
IS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE FOR SOME THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
GULF NEAR KODIAK WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT THE BEST
POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION LOOKS TO REMAIN FURTHER WEST. SOUTHEAST
WINDS WITH THE SYSTEM SHOULD FAVOR GUSTY CONDITIONS THROUGH
TURNAGAIN ARM AND THE PORTAGE VALLEY...BUT SHOULD KEEP ANCHORAGE
AND THE MAT VALLEY OUT OF THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION INITIALLY. BY
THURSDAY...THE UPPER LEVEL CENTER CUTS RIGHT THROUGH COOK INLET
AND WILL BRING YET ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN TO THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL ZONE OVER THE
EASTERN BERING WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD MOISTURE AND PRECIPITATION
OVER SOUTHWEST TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. A VIGOROUS LOW WILL THEN
RAPIDLY DEEPEN ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC THEN MOVE TO THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BRINGING MORE RAIN TO
MOST OF SOUTHWEST. GUSTY EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL ALSO IMPACT
THE BRISTOL BAY REGION AS THIS LOW MOVES INLAND.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A BROAD LOW OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WILL MERGE WITH AN ARCTIC
TROUGH TODAY...WITH INCREASING NORTHERLY WINDS SPREADING OVER MOST
OF THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS. THE BIG STORY
THEN TURNS TO A POWERFUL LOW EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE ALASKA
PENINSULA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL MOSTLY IMPACT
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS EAST OF UNALASKA. GIVEN THE RAPID
INTENSIFICATION OF THIS LOW AIDED BY A SUBTROPICAL WARM FRONT AND
STRONG JET STREAK...THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AS THE FRONT MOVES
OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA. STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL
DEVELOP ON THE BACKSIDE OF THIS LOW...STRONGEST OVER THE FAR
WESTERN ALASKA PENINSULA.

&&

.MARINE...

A POWERFUL LOW WILL RAPIDLY INTENSIFY ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN
MARINE ZONES OF 150 AND 155 TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. WHAT IS
KNOWN IS A STRONG SUBTROPICAL WARM FRONT WILL INTERACT WITH A
STRONG JET STREAK...ALLOWING FOR POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF
THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE LOW CENTER. WHAT IS LESS CERTAIN IS THE
EXACT TRACK OF THIS LOW...AND THE STRENGTH AS IT MOVES OVER THE
COASTAL MARINE WATERS. SOME STRONGER MODEL SOLUTIONS WOULD RESULT
IN NEAR STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS NEAR THE ALASKA PENINSULA COAST AT
THE PEAK OF THE EVENT...WHILE WEAKER SOLUTIONS KEEP THE STRONGEST
NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OUTSIDE OF THE COASTAL MARINE ZONES. WITH
THAT SAID...THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN AN INTENSE LOW MOVING
THROUGH THIS AREA WITH AREAS OF SUSTAINED GALE FORCE WINDS...AND
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE STRONG LOW SPINNING UP TO THE SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA ON
WEDNESDAY CONTINUES TO BE THE MAJOR WEATHER FEATURE WHICH WILL
IMPACT THE MIDTERM FORECAST. IN COMPARISON TO YESTERDAY...MODELS
HAVE BROUGHT THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW FURTHER TO THE WEST WITH
THE LOW TRACKING THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF SUCH THAT IT BRUSHES
OVER THE EASTERN COAST OF KODIAK ISLAND WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE
CONTINUING NORTH TOWARDS THE KENAI PENINSULA THURSDAY AND TO THE
NORTHERN GULF THURSDAY NIGHT. EXPECTING TO SEE BARRIER JET WINDS
IN THE NORTHERN GULF...EAST WINDS IN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND EAST
TO NORTHEAST WINDS THROUGH THE BARRENS INCREASE TO GALES WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AS THE INITIAL FRONTAL SYSTEM LIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE GULF
AHEAD OF THE LOW. SOUTHERLY GALES WILL ALSO SPREAD NORTH ACROSS
THE GULF ON THURSDAY TO THE EAST OF AND FOLLOWING THE LOW NORTH.
IN ADDITION ALSO EXPECTING STRONG GAP WINDS THROUGH PASSAGE CANAL
AND TURNAGAIN ARM WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY BEFORE BEGINNING TO
TAPER OFF THURSDAY NIGHT.

A COLD UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER NORTHERN ALASKA AND SEVERAL
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS SWINGING IN FROM THE WEST AND NORTHWEST WILL
KEEP CONDITIONS COOL WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AROUND THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. THE NEXT MAJOR LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS AROUND SATURDAY. MODEL UNCERTAINTY REMAINS
RATHER HIGH WITH REGARDS TO THE TIMING...TRACK AND STRENGTH OF
THIS FEATURE AS WELL AS THE SURFACE RIDGE AMPLIFYING OUT AHEAD OF
IT OVER THE ALEUTIANS AND BERING. HOWEVER IT IS ONE THAT DEFINITELY
BEARS WATCHING AS IT WILL CONTAIN QUITE A BIT OF REMNANT TROPICAL
MOISTURE. FOR GULF THE NEXT LOW WILL TRACK UP FROM THE SOUTH
SOMETIME AROUND SUNDAY OR MONDAY AND WILL ALSO LIKELY BE A RATHER
WARM AND MOIST SYSTEM

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 155. MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT 150 155.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JW
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MSO
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JA
LONG TERM...JR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 8, 3:38 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Sep 8, 3:38 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Sep 8, 4:01 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC72 hr
Sep 8, 3:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC13 hr
Sep 8, 3:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC13 hr
Sep 8, 3:14 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC37 hr
Sep 8, 3:14 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC37 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2015Every gale warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.