Gale Warning 532, NWS Anchorage, AK

699 
FZAK52 PAFC 292335
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
335 PM AKDT SAT AUG 29 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-301230-
335 PM AKDT SAT AUG 29 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A FRONT NEAR THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS MOVES INTO THE
NORTH PACIFIC SAT NIGHT. A 996 MB LOW 275 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA SUN
MORNING MOVES TO 175 NM WEST OF ATTU AT 993 MB SUN
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVES TO 225 NM NORTHWEST OF ATTU AT 991 MB MON
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-301230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
335 PM AKDT SAT AUG 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT N OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ155-301230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
335 PM AKDT SAT AUG 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ160-301230-
BRISTOL BAY-
335 PM AKDT SAT AUG 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-301230-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
335 PM AKDT SAT AUG 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT NW 20 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 7
FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT NW 20 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E.
SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ170-301230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
335 PM AKDT SAT AUG 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ171-301230-
UNALASKA BAY-
335 PM AKDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-301230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
335 PM AKDT SAT AUG 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ173-301230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
335 PM AKDT SAT AUG 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ174-301230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
335 PM AKDT SAT AUG 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ175-301230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
335 PM AKDT SAT AUG 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ176-301230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
335 PM AKDT SAT AUG 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ177-301230-
ADAK TO KISKA-
335 PM AKDT SAT AUG 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ178-301230-
KISKA TO ATTU-
335 PM AKDT SAT AUG 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. DENSE FOG.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ179-301230-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
335 PM AKDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. AREAS OF FOG.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ180-301230-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
335 PM AKDT SAT AUG 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ181-301230-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
335 PM AKDT SAT AUG 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ185-301230-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
335 PM AKDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
416 PM AKDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

MASSIVE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE PERSISTS OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
BERING THIS AFTERNOON...WITH CUT-OFF LOWS OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF
AK AND SOUTH OF KAMCHATKA...AS WELL AS CENTERED NORTH OF BARROW.
AT THE SURFACE...THINGS LOOK SIMILAR AS THE ATMOSPHERE IS
VERTICALLY STACKED. HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED JUST SOUTH OF THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS...WITH A SMALL LOW OVER THE EASTERN GULF...AND
BROADER LOWS SOUTH OF KAMCHATKA AND NORTH OF BARROW. A STRONG
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE HIGH AND THE GULF LOW IS SLOWLY
WEAKENING...BUT IS STILL PRODUCING UNSEASONABLY STRONG WINDS
ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND AND NEAR VALDEZ. A MOISTURE RICH WEATHER
FRONT IS DRAPED AROUND THE BERING HIGH AND BEGINNING TO MAKE ITS
WAY INLAND ALONG THE SOUTHWEST AK COAST.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT. THE BERING RIDGE WILL MOVE
SOUTH...ALLOWING THE SURFACE AND UPPER LOWS NEAR KAMCHATKA TO
REACH THE EXTREME WESTERN BERING DURING THE WEEKEND. THE UPPER
LOWS NORTH OF BARROW AND OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL BEGIN TO MERGE
INTO A BROAD TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF MAINLAND AK...WHILE
THEIR SURFACE REFLECTIONS MERGE INTO A GIANT AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
THAT HAS EMBEDDED LOWS ALONG THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST AND OVER THE
YUKON TERRITORY BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND.

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT CURRENTLY OVER THE AKPEN WILL SLOWLY
DIMINISH THROUGH THIS EVENING AS THE FRONT MOVES INLAND OVER
SOUTHWEST AK...BUT THEN BRIEFLY REDEVELOPS SAT NIGHT INTO EARLY
SUN AS A NEW RIDGE POKES INTO THE BERING FROM EASTERN RUSSIA. THIS
WILL MERGE WITH THE HIGH WHICH BY THEN IS SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS
AND WILL PLAY A ROLE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE NORTHERLY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE
STRONG GUSTY NORTHERLY GAP WINDS THROUGH WHITTIER...VALDEZ...THOMPSON
PASS AND KODIAK ISLAND WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING.
THIS WILL COINCIDE WITH THE CONTINUAL WEAKENING OF THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT AS THE SURFACE LOW IN THE EASTERN GULF MOVES FARTHER
EASTWARD. THE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES WITH
LOW TEMPERATURES NEAR FREEZING IN THE VALLEYS WITH THE CLEAR
SKIES TONIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT THE COLDER AREAS OF THE
MATANUSKA VALLEY AS WELL AS PARTS OF EAST ANCHORAGE MAY SEE
TEMPERATURES DROP TO THE FREEZING MARK TONIGHT. THE BIGGEST FACTOR
WILL BE THE CLOUD COVER AND WHILE IT SHOULD BE MOSTLY CLEAR SOME
HIGH CLOUDS MAY MAKE IT INTO THE REGION TOWARD MORNING WHICH WOULD
BE ENOUGH TO KEEP TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING OVER ALL AREAS.  BY
SATURDAY AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL DROP DOWN FROM THE NORTH
AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE ANCHORAGE BOWL.
THIS SYNOPTIC FEATURE WILL INCREASE THE PRESSURE GRADIENTS
BRINGING THE STRONG GUSTY GAP WINDS BACK INTO PICTURE BY EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING FOR THE SOUTHCENTRAL REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN IS IN STORE FOR THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND THIS
EVENING...AS AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM AT
THE SURFACE STRETCH AROUND THE NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE
OVER THE BERING SEA. RAIN ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST WILL SPREAD
INLAND OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND TONIGHT...BEFORE
BECOMING MORE SHOWERY BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE SURFACE LOW
TRACKS THROUGH THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF
ALASKA. CONDITIONS WILL DRY OUT FAIRLY QUICKLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AS GUSTY NORTHWEST FLOW PUSHES ACROSS THE AREA...WITH
THE STRONGEST GUSTS REMAINING MOSTLY CONFINED TO THE ALASKA
PENINSULA. HOWEVER...SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL LIKELY PERSIST
FURTHER INLAND ESPECIALLY ALONG THE MOUNTAINS WITH A SHORTWAVE
DROPPING SOUTH SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
STRONG RIDGING WHICH HAS BROUGHT WIDESPREAD FOG AND STRATUS OVER
THE BERING AND PARTS OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS
WILL SLOWLY START TO RETREAT INTO THE NORTHERN PACIFIC...AS AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE EXITING NORTHEASTERN RUSSIA TONIGHT TRACKS
INTO THE NORTHERN BERING BY TOMORROW MORNING. THIS FEATURE WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHEAST OVER THE EASTERN BERING/ALEUTIANS...
BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN AND GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW
TO THE EASTERN HALF OF THE BERING AND ALEUTIAN CHAIN. THIS WAVE
WILL QUICKLY WORK ITS WAY THROUGH THE EASTERN BERING/ALEUTIANS BY
SUNDAY MORNING...USHERING IN A SHOT OF COLDER TEMPERATURES FROM
THE NORTH...ALONG WITH DIMINISHING GUSTS AND A TRANSITION TO
SHOWERY CONDITIONS. FURTHER WEST...MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
CONTINUE TO DOMINATE WESTERN ALEUTIANS/BERING...AS THEY REMAIN ON
THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF DEEP RIDGING OVER THE CENTRAL BERING
THROUGH SATURDAY. A FRONTAL SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH A VERTICALLY
STACKED LOW WEST OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL CLIP THE AREA BY
SUNDAY MORNING...BRINING A WET AND WINDY CONDITIONS TO THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...MON THROUGH FRI)...MODELS
ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT FOR THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. SO
FOR THE TIME BEING...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS RELATIVELY HIGH. THE
HIGHLIGHT OF THIS PERIOD WILL BE THE TRANSITION FROM FAIRLY
STRONG...COOL NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGH MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL TO A
CALMER AND SLIGHTLY WARMER PATTERN. THE AREA OF THE LOW PRESSURE
IN THE NORTHEAST GULF WILL WORK IN COMBINATION WITH A DEVELOPING
HIGH OVER THE BRISTOL BAY AREA ON MONDAY TO KEEP THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT TIGHT. BUT AS THIS LOW PULLS FURTHER TO THE SOUTH AND
EAST ON TUESDAY...HIGHER PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER SOUTHWEST
ALASKA. THIS WILL KEEP THINGS DRY ACROSS JUST ABOUT ALL OF THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE MAINLAND THROUGH TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES SHOULD
BE ABLE TO REBOUND TO A FEW DEGREES AS WELL WITH THE FLOW BECOMING
MORE WESTERLY AND 850 MB TEMPERATURES CLIMBING 5 TO 6 DEGREES
CELSIUS.

THE MORE ACTIVE WEATHER WILL BE OVER THE BERING SEA TO START THE
WEEK. THE REMNANTS OF TYPHOON ATSANI WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT OVER
THE FAR WESTERN BERING. WHILE WINDS SHOULD ALL BE BELOW SMALL
CRAFT LEVEL...IT WILL KEEP A CHANCE FOR RAIN IN THE FORECAST. IT
WILL ALSO LEAVE A DECAYING WARM FRONT ALONG THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN ALEUTIANS. A WEAK WAVE TRIES TO DEVELOP ALONG THIS
BOUNDARY AS WE GET TO WEDNESDAY. THIS IS WHERE MODELS START TO
DIFFER WITH THE GFS BEING RATHER AGGRESSIVE WITH THIS WAVE AND
SWINGING ANOTHER STORM THROUGH THE BERING STRAIT. MEANWHILE...THE
EC IS MUCH WEAKER AND ONLY BRINGS LIGHT RAIN TO THE SOUTHWEST.
BOTH GLOBAL MODELS SHOW SIGNS OF CYCLOGENESIS IN THE GULF BY THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK WHICH WOULD MEAN A RETURN TO COOLER AND
WETTER WEATHER FOR MUCH OF THE MAINLAND.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 130 131 132 150 155 165.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TP
LONG TERM...MO