Gale Warning 524, NWS Anchorage, AK

160 
FZAK51 PAFC 262125 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
125 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

UPDATED 139

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-270345-
125 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL MOVE EAST AND
INTENSIFY INTO THU. A 999 MB LOW WILL FORM 75 NM NORTHWEST OF
YAKUTAT EARLY THU AFTERNOON AND MOVE TO 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF
YAKUTAT AT 989 MB LATE THU NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-270345-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
125 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 5 FT.  
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.  
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-270345-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
125 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT.  
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-270345-
RESURRECTION BAY-
125 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-270345-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
125 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-270345-
PORT VALDEZ-
125 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-270345-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
125 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-270345-
VALDEZ ARM-
125 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-270345-
PASSAGE CANAL-
125 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER.
SEAS 5 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-270345-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
125 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-270345-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
125 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.THU...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-270345-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
125 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT 15 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-270345-
CHINIAK BAY-
125 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-270345-
MARMOT BAY-
125 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-270345-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
125 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-270345-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
125 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-270345-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
125 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-270345-
KACHEMAK BAY-
125 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

081 
FZAK51 PAFC 262357
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
357 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-271315-
357 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1010 MB LOW FORMS 70 NM SOUTH OF CORDOVA LATE TONIGHT AND MOVES
TO 110 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT AT 989 MB EARLY FRI...THEN MOVES INTO
THE SOUTHEAST GULF FRI.

$$

PKZ119-271315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
357 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-271315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
357 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-271315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
357 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-271315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
357 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-271315-
PORT VALDEZ-
357 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-271315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
357 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 40 KT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-271315-
VALDEZ ARM-
357 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 30 KT.
SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-271315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
357 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR
WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 40 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. NEAR WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 45 KT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-271315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
357 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-271315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
357 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-271315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
357 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...W WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 25 KT FROM DANGEROUS CAPE N.
SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT EXCEPT 30 KT S OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-271315-
CHINIAK BAY-
357 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-271315-
MARMOT BAY-
357 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-271315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
357 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-271315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
357 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING DIMINISHING TO
30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-271315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
357 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING DIMINISHING TO 25 KT.
SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-271315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
357 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

478 
FZAK51 PAFC 270451 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
851 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

UPDATED ZONE 129

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-271715-
851 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1010 MB LOW FORMS 70 NM SOUTH OF CORDOVA LATE TONIGHT AND MOVES
TO 110 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT AT 989 MB EARLY FRI...THEN MOVES INTO
THE SOUTHEAST GULF FRI.

$$

PKZ119-271715-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
851 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-271715-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
851 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-271715-
RESURRECTION BAY-
851 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-271715-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
851 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-271715-
PORT VALDEZ-
851 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-271715-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
851 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 40 KT.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-271715-
VALDEZ ARM-
851 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 30 KT.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-271715-
PASSAGE CANAL-
851 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR
WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 40 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-271715-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
851 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-271715-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
851 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-271715-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
851 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 25 KT FROM DANGEROUS CAPE N. SEAS
9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT EXCEPT 30 KT S OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-271715-
CHINIAK BAY-
851 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-271715-
MARMOT BAY-
851 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-271715-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
851 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-271715-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
851 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING DIMINISHING TO
30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-271715-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
851 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING DIMINISHING TO
25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-271715-
KACHEMAK BAY-
851 PM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

126 
FZAK51 PAFC 271149
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
349 AM AKDT THU AUG 27 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-280015-
349 AM AKDT THU AUG 27 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1005 MB LOW FORMS 125 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT THU MORNING AND
MOVES TO 100 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT AT 989 MB EARLY FRI
MORNING...THEN MOVES INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-280015-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
349 AM AKDT THU AUG 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-280015-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
349 AM AKDT THU AUG 27 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-280015-
RESURRECTION BAY-
349 AM AKDT THU AUG 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-280015-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
349 AM AKDT THU AUG 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-280015-
PORT VALDEZ-
349 AM AKDT THU AUG 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-280015-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
349 AM AKDT THU AUG 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-280015-
VALDEZ ARM-
349 AM AKDT THU AUG 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-280015-
PASSAGE CANAL-
349 AM AKDT THU AUG 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-280015-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
349 AM AKDT THU AUG 27 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-280015-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
349 AM AKDT THU AUG 27 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-280015-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
349 AM AKDT THU AUG 27 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-280015-
CHINIAK BAY-
349 AM AKDT THU AUG 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-280015-
MARMOT BAY-
349 AM AKDT THU AUG 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-280015-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
349 AM AKDT THU AUG 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-280015-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
349 AM AKDT THU AUG 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-280015-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
349 AM AKDT THU AUG 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-280015-
KACHEMAK BAY-
349 AM AKDT THU AUG 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
459 AM AKDT WED AUG 26 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

IR SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY SHOW AN EXTENSIVE AREA OF CLOUDS
AND PRECIPITATION MOVING INTO WESTERN ALASKA THIS MORNING. WHILE
MOST OF THE FORCING FOR THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION IS STAYING
NORTH OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA...RADAR IMAGERY FROM BETHEL AND KING
SALMON SHOW BANDS OF SHOWERS MOVING EAST ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY AND DELTA...WITH THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION IN THE DELTA.
OVER SOUTHCENTRAL... SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE DEVELOPING FROM THE
SUSITNA VALLEY SOUTH THROUGH ANCHORAGE. BIOLOGICAL CONTAMINATION
OF THE RADAR ECHOES IS MAKING RAIN DETERMINATION MUCH MORE
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY SINCE THE RAINFALL ACTIVITY OVER SOUTHCENTRAL
IS SO LIGHT. A DEVELOPING LEESIDE TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN GULF
WILL BECOME A BIG PLAYER IN THE FUTURE WEATHER AS IT INTENSIFIES
OVER THE COMING DAYS.

MEANWHILE OUT WEST...A STRONG VERTICALLY STACKED HIGH CENTERED
SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS REMAINS STATIONARY. IT HAS BEEN
RESPONSIBLE FOR PUMPING VERY WARM AND MOIST SUBTROPICAL AIR IN THE
MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS NORTHWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN
BERING. THIS IS HELPING TO MOVE A STRONG 150 KT JET STREAK
NORTHWARD AS THE UPPER RIDGE FLATTENS OUT OVER THE NORTHERN
BERING. AT THE SURFACE... A WEAK SURFACE LOW IS RAPIDLY MOVING
EAST ACROSS THE BERING STRAIT. THE COMBINATION OF THE JET STREAK
AND THE SURFACE LOW ARE ADVECTING MOISTURE INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

THE EC HAS COME INTO EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH THE AMERICAN MODELS
CONCERNING BOTH THE TIMING AND INTENSITY OF THE PRECIPITATION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE PASSAGE OF BOTH THE SHORTWAVE AND THE SOUTHWARD
MOVEMENT OF THE JET STREAK THROUGH THURSDAY. THE MOST NOTEWORTHY
MODEL DIFFERENCE CONCERNS THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SURFACE LOW OVER
THE NORTHERN GULF ON THURSDAY AS A SHORTWAVE IN THE POLAR JET DIVES
SOUTH. THE SHORTWAVE WILL INITIATE A MERGER OF THE POLAR AND
SUBTROPICAL JETS. THE GAP WINDS WILL INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO THE
RAPIDLY TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE GULF LOW AND THE
SUBTROPICAL HIGH ANCHORED SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THE EC IS
NOT AS AGGRESSIVE AS THE AMERICAN MODELS AT DEVELOPING THE
SURFACE LOW. THUS THE EC WAS ELIMINATED IN FAVOR OF THE
GFS...WHICH BETTER DEPICTS MORE JET ENERGY ROUNDING THE BASE OF
THE DIGGING TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN GULF THU NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A WEATHER SYSTEM WILL QUICKLY WORK ITS WAY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
ALASKA TODAY IN THE FAST WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. THERE IS PLENTY OF
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM AND QPF TOTALS SHOULD BE
DECENTLY HIGH. A BRIEF BREAK IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BEFORE THE NEXT
SYSTEM ARRIVES ON THURSDAY. THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME
NORTHWESTERLY AS THE ALEUTIAN RIDGE RETROGRADES. THIS NEXT SYSTEM
WILL NOT BE AS MOISTURE LADEN AS THE WEDNESDAY ONE. HOWEVER...THIS
SYSTEM DOES HAVE A STRONG VORTICITY MAXIMUM. IT WILL ALSO HAVE A
FAIRLY STRONG COLD FRONT DUE TO THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. STRONG
WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATE THURSDAY AS THE SURFACE LOW DROPS INTO THE
GULF AND INTENSIFIES. GAP FLOW WINDS WILL BE ESPECIALLY STRONG FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR. 850 MB TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BELOW ZERO OVER
MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT
SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS (ABOVE 2500 FEET) COULD SEE A
DUSTING OF SNOW AT THAT TIME...THE ATMOSPHERE DOES DRY OUT FAIRLY
QUICKLY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
WIDESPREAD STRATIFORM RAIN WILL TAPER OFF TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AS THE FIRST IN A SERIES
OF WAVES EMBEDDED IN MOISTURE RICH ZONAL FLOW EXTENDING FROM THE
BERING SEA TRACKS INTO THE INTERIOR. ANOTHER PAIR OF DISTURBANCES
WILL THEN MOVE OVERHEAD IN RAPID SUCCESSION LATE TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY MORNING AND PROVIDE ANOTHER QUICK SHOT OF ENHANCED
RAINFALL BEFORE DIVING SOUTHEAST INTO THE GULF. THE SECOND OF
THESE WAVES WILL USHER IN A DRYING AND COOLING TREND AS NORTHWEST
FLOW TAKES HOLD HEADING INTO THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
PRECIPITATION WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN COVERAGE ACROSS THE
BERING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE PATTERN SLOWLY AMPLIFIES AND
THE NORTH PACIFIC RIDGE RETROGRADES WESTWARD. THIS WILL KEEP MOST
OF THE RAINFALL CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN TIP OF THE ALEUTIANS AS
DEEP SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM NORTHWARD ON THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. A FEW SHOWERS WILL ALSO DEVELOP
ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA IN BRISK NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE
EASTERN BERING. OTHERWISE...WIDESPREAD STRATUS AND FOG WILL
CONTINUE TO IMPACT MUCH OF THE REGION THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK
BENEATH THE STRONG HIGH.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

BEGINNING THE EXTENDED PERIOD ON SATURDAY...ANOTHER VIGOROUS
SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES INTO SOUTHERN ALASKA LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON
INTO SUNDAY. THERE IS ENOUGH DISCREPANCY WITH HOW THE LOW DEVELOPS
AND THE EXACT TRACK...WHICH WILL DRAMATICALLY INFLUENCE THE
PRECIPITATION DISTRIBUTION AND STRENGTH OF SURFACE WINDS IN THE
GULF. THE ECMWF AND GFS DIFFER ON THESE DETAILS...WITH THE ECMWF
CURRENTLY SUGGESTING A FARTHER SOUTH TRACK THROUGH THE CENTRAL
GULF...AND THE GFS FAVORING A NORTHERN GULF SOLUTION. BOTH OF
THESE SOLUTIONS HINT AT A STRONG GALE FORCE LOW TRACKING THROUGH
THE GULF...BUT THE CURRENT FORECAST REMAINS MUCH MORE CONSERVATIVE
GIVEN UNCERTAINTY. EITHER WAY... THIS SYSTEM WILL CLEAR THROUGH BY
SUNDAY EVENING WITH DRIER WEATHER ON MONDAY. THEREAFTER MUCH
UNCERTAINTY WITH THE REMNANTS OF FORMER TYPHOON ATSANI CLOUDS THE
FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEK...WITH A MORE GENERAL WPC ENSEMBLE APPROACH
FAVORING FLAT RIDGING MOVING EAST ACROSS THE BERING.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JW
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CB
LONG TERM...JA