Gale Warning 501, NWS Anchorage, AK

698 
FZAK52 PAFC 021807 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1007 AM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

UPDATED AREA 150

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-030315-
1007 AM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE PERSISTS OVER THE BERING SEA THROUGH MON NIGHT. A
1001 MB LOW 295 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY THIS AFTERNOON MOVES TO 195
NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT AT 1004 MON AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKENS TO
1008 MB WHILE REMAINING NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-030315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
1007 AM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. WESTERLY GUSTS TO 20 KT OUT OF BAYS
AND PASSES THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ155-030315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
1007 AM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT E 20 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS
E. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ160-030315-
BRISTOL BAY-
1007 AM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-030315-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
1007 AM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ170-030315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
1007 AM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ171-030315-
UNALASKA BAY-
1007 AM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS
5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-030315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
1007 AM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS
7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ173-030315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
1007 AM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ174-030315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
1007 AM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ175-030315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
1007 AM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ176-030315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
1007 AM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ177-030315-
ADAK TO KISKA-
1007 AM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ178-030315-
KISKA TO ATTU-
1007 AM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ179-030315-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
1007 AM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS
3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ180-030315-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
1007 AM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ181-030315-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
1007 AM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ185-030315-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
1007 AM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

882 
FZAK52 PAFC 022302
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
302 PM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-031145-
302 PM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE BERING SEA THROUGH TUE. A 1001
MB LOW 300 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY WILL MOVE TO 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF
SITKINAK AT 1007 MB TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-031145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
302 PM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ155-031145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
302 PM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ160-031145-
BRISTOL BAY-
302 PM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-031145-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
302 PM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ170-031145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
302 PM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ171-031145-
UNALASKA BAY-
302 PM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-031145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
302 PM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ173-031145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
302 PM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ174-031145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
302 PM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ175-031145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
302 PM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ176-031145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
302 PM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ177-031145-
ADAK TO KISKA-
302 PM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ178-031145-
KISKA TO ATTU-
302 PM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ179-031145-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
302 PM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ180-031145-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
302 PM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ181-031145-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
302 PM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ185-031145-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
302 PM AKDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

004 
FZAK52 PAFC 031139
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
339 AM AKDT MON AUG 3 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-040030-
339 AM AKDT MON AUG 3 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE BERING SEA THROUGH TUE NIGHT.
A 1001 MB LOW 235 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT WILL MOVE TO 85 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK AT 1007 MB TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-040030-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
339 AM AKDT MON AUG 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ155-040030-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
339 AM AKDT MON AUG 3 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ160-040030-
BRISTOL BAY-
339 AM AKDT MON AUG 3 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-040030-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
339 AM AKDT MON AUG 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ170-040030-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
339 AM AKDT MON AUG 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ171-040030-
UNALASKA BAY-
339 AM AKDT MON AUG 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...


.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-040030-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
339 AM AKDT MON AUG 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ173-040030-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
339 AM AKDT MON AUG 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ174-040030-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
339 AM AKDT MON AUG 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ175-040030-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
339 AM AKDT MON AUG 3 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ176-040030-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
339 AM AKDT MON AUG 3 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ177-040030-
ADAK TO KISKA-
339 AM AKDT MON AUG 3 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ178-040030-
KISKA TO ATTU-
339 AM AKDT MON AUG 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ179-040030-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
339 AM AKDT MON AUG 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ180-040030-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
339 AM AKDT MON AUG 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ181-040030-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
339 AM AKDT MON AUG 3 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ185-040030-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
339 AM AKDT MON AUG 3 2015

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
458 PM AKDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND BUILDING INTO
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA TODAY. IT IS STILL FAR ENOUGH TO THE NORTHWEST
THAT THERE IS ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR SHOWERS OVER THE MOUNTAINS
FROM THE TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS SOUTHWARD WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS
AROUND THE KENAI MOUNTAINS. WHAT IS INTERESTING ABOUT THIS IS THAT
THE ATMOSPHERE IS BECOMING MORE STABLE FROM THE NORTHWEST AS THE
DAY GOES ON WHICH SHOULD LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF SHOWER DEVELOPMENT
FROM ANCHORAGE NORTHWARD. OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA THE ATMOSPHERE
WILL REMAIN UNSTABLE LONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE SOME ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE THE EARLY EVENING. KODIAK ISLAND ALSO REMAINS
AN INTERESTING CASE AS THE ATMOSPHERE IS UNSTABLE ALOFT BUT LOW
LEVELS HAVE A STABILIZING MARINE LAYER AND SEA BREEZES. CUMULUS
CLOUDS BEGAN TO DEVELOP OVER HIGHER TERRAIN AROUND NOON AND MAY
DEVELOP INTO SHOWERS AND EVEN POSSIBLY THUNDERSTORMS INLAND. THE
BIGGEST QUESTION FOR THEIR DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN THE INITIAL
DEVELOPMENT AND WITH THE CUMULUS BEGINNING AROUND NOON IT INCREASES
THE POSSIBILITY FOR THE CONVECTION TO DEVELOP WITH THE MAXIMUM
HEATING OF THE DAY.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS CONTINUE TO DO WELL WITH THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN THROUGH THE
FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. THE FEATURE THEY CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE
WITH IS THE LOW DEVELOPING SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA STARTING
TONIGHT AND MOVING EASTWARD SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE
GOOD NEWS IS THAT THE SPREAD IN MODEL SOLUTIONS IS LESS THAN
YESTERDAY BUT THE GFS AND NAM ARE STILL FARTHER EAST THAN THE
ECMWF AND GEM SOLUTIONS. THE MOST STABLE SOLUTION FROM RUN TO RUN
STILL APPEARS TO BE THE ECMWF MODEL.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
SOME WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK DUE TO THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH
BUILDING OVER THE AREA. WINDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT AND
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL NOT GET NEAR CRITICAL VALUES. ASIDE
FROM THE POSSIBILITY OF HUMAN CARELESSNESS THE BIGGEST FIRE THREAT
FROM THIS PATTERN WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF FLARE UPS FROM THE
DUFF LAYER WHICH MAY STILL BE SMOLDERING WHERE RECENT FIRES HAVE
BURNED.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL ALSO SEE SOME WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS
BUT THERE WILL BE MORE MOISTURE AVAILABLE IN SOUTHWEST ALASKA TO
KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FAIRLY HIGH FOR A SUNNY PATTERN.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA WILL BE COMING TO
AN END LATER TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES INTO THE AREA FROM
THE NORTH THROUGH MONDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING
ARE MAINLY FOCUSED ALONG MOUNTAIN AREAS WHERE THERE IS STILL
SUFFICIENT MOISTURE TO SUPPORT CONVECTION. THIS...COMBINED WITH
DAYTIME HEATING AND SOME OROGRAPHIC LIFT...WILL SUPPORT CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN...THE KENAI PENINSULA...AND KODIAK ISLAND. PRECIPITATION
CHANCES ON SUNDAY WILL BE LIMITED TO THE ALASKA RANGE AS A WEAK
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVES AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE.

AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES THROUGH MONDAY WILL RISE INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 70S INLAND AND INTO THE UPPER 60S ALONG THE COAST AS MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES WILL DOMINATE THE AREA. SOME INLAND LOCATIONS OF THE
SUSITNA VALLEY AND THE COPPER RIVER BASIN MAY WARM INTO THE LOWER
80S.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
STABLE CONDITIONS CAUSED BY THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE BERING SEA
WILL LIMIT SHOWER DEVELOPMENT ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA THROUGH
TUESDAY. BUT THE STABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL ALSO MAKE WAY FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF FOG. THE MOSTLY LIKELY AREA FOR FOG IS OVER THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA DUE TO THE CONSISTENT NORTHWEST FLOW THAT WILL
HELP TO ADVECT IN FOG FROM THE BERING SEA. THE NEXT SEVERAL
NIGHTS WILL LIKELY SEE FOG PUSH INLAND OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA
THAT WILL DISSIPATE EACH DAY WITH THE PEAK HEATING OF THE DAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
FOG AND STRATUS WILL BE THE DOMINANT CONDITIONS FOR THE BERING
SEA AND ALEUTIANS AS A STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE SITS OVER THE
BERING. THIS HIGH PRESSURE WILL LAST INTO TUESDAY WHERE IT WILL
FINALLY BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND PUSH WEST. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL
ALSO MAKE ITS WAY TOWARDS THE ALASKA PENINSULA SUNDAY NIGHT WHICH
WILL START TO BRING RAIN TO THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS. HOWEVER...THIS LOW WILL STAY SOUTH OF THE PENINSULA AND
WEAKEN EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
GENERALLY SUNNY SKIES AND SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS HIGH
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE BERING SEA AND EXTENDS EASTWARD
OVER THE MAINLAND. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT
WITH RESPECT TO THE CUTOFF LOW WHICH WILL FORM SOUTH OF THE ALASKA
PENINSULA AND REMAIN IN THAT GENERAL VICINITY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
BEFORE PASSING SOUTH OF THE GULF LATER IN THE WEEK. THIS WILL
KEEP ANY ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION MAINLY CONFINED TO THE AKPEN
AND KODIAK ISLAND. THE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL THEN BEGIN
TO INCREASE OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND LATER IN THE WEEK AS HIGH
PRESSURE WEAKENS AND AN UPPER TROUGH DROPS DOWN FROM THE ARCTIC.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RF
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DK
LONG TERM...CB