Gale Warning 48, NWS Anchorage, AK

012 
FZAK52 PAFC 081615 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
715 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

CORRECTED ZONES 181 185

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-090415-
715 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 998 MB LOW 80 NM EAST OF THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS WILL MOVE TO 160
NM NORTH OF THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS AT 990 MB LATE THU NIGHT...THEN
MOVE TO 100 NM NORTHWEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AT 997 MB LATE
FRI NIGHT. A 983 MB LOW 130 NM SOUTH OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND WILL
WEAKEN AND STALL OUT OVER CHIRIKOF ISLAND THROUGH LATE FRI
NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-090415-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
715 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ155-090415-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
715 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ160-090415-
BRISTOL BAY-
715 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ165-090415-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
715 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ170-090415-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
715 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ171-090415-
UNALASKA BAY-
715 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-090415-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
715 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-090415-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
715 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ174-090415-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
715 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ175-090415-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
715 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ176-090415-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
715 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-090415-
ADAK TO KISKA-
715 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ178-090415-
KISKA TO ATTU-
715 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ179-090415-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
715 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ180-090415-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
715 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ181-090415-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
715 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE ICE EDGE. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY
FOG. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ185-090415-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
715 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
NEAR THE ICE EDGE. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

895 
FZAK52 PAFC 090005
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
305 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-091330-
305 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 992 MB LOW 75 NM NORTHEAST OF SAINT PAUL ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 30
NM SOUTH OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AT 992 MB FRI AFTERNOON...THEN
WEAKEN AND MOVE TO 170 NM SOUTHWEST OF GAMBELL AT 1001 MB SAT
AFTERNOON. A 988 MB LOW 120 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK WILL MOVE TO
30 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK FRI AFTERNOON THEN STALL AND WEAKEN
THROUGH SAT.

$$

PKZ150-091330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
305 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ155-091330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
305 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE WIND 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ160-091330-
BRISTOL BAY-
305 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-091330-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
305 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING.
SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ170-091330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
305 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ171-091330-
UNALASKA BAY-
305 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-091330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
305 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ173-091330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
305 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ174-091330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
305 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS FT BUILDING TO 9 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ175-091330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
305 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-091330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
305 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT BY MIDDAY.
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ177-091330-
ADAK TO KISKA-
305 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT BERING SIDE...11 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT BERING SIDE...13 FT PACIFIC
SIDE.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ178-091330-
KISKA TO ATTU-
305 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT BERING SIDE...11 FT PACIFIC
SIDE.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT BERING SIDE...12 FT PACIFIC
SIDE.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT BERING SIDE...14 FT
PACIFIC SIDE.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ179-091330-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
305 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ180-091330-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
305 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-091330-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
305 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. PATCHY
FOG. SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ185-091330-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
305 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. E OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FROM
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND E...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FROM SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND
E...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
518 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED PATTERN CONTINUES TO EXERT INCREASING INFLUENCE
ON MAINLAND ALASKA THIS MORNING AS A DEEP SPLIT TROUGH ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST PACIFIC INTERACTS WITH A SHARP NEGATIVE TILT RIDGE
EXTENDING INTO SOUTHERN ALASKA. SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A
STREAM OF HIGH CLOUD TOPS ASSOCIATED WITH AN ENHANCED ZONE OF WARM
AIR ADVECTION PUSHING INTO NORTHERN ALASKA. THE LOW LEVEL
SUBTROPICAL FRONT IS MOVING TOWARD THE GULF COAST...WITH RADAR
BEGINNING TO SCAN MORE VIGOROUS SHOWERS MOVING NORTHWARD. THE
FRONT IS ALSO RAMPING UP NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS THE GULF COAST
INTO THE BARREN ISLANDS WITH STORM FORCE WINDS. A SECONDARY
UPPER/SURFACE LOW OVER THE EASTERN BERING HAS ALREADY SPREAD
RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...AND SNOW INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA. THESE SPLIT
LOWS WILL MERGE AND INTERACT WITH ONE ANOTHER TODAY...WITH THE
SECOND SURGE OF WARM AIR ALOFT TRACKING THROUGH MOST OF
SOUTHCENTRAL. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR WIDESPREAD AREAS OF RAIN ACROSS
COASTAL LOCATIONS...WITH POSSIBLE FREEZING RAIN ACROSS INLAND
AREAS WHERE DEEP POCKETS OF ARCTIC AIR HAVE SETTLED. EVENTUALLY
THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL WEAKEN AND TRACK EAST...THEREBY CUTTING
OFF THE MOISTURE AND WARM AIR CONVEYOR BELT INTO SOUTHERN ALASKA.
CLOUDS AND SHOWERS WILL LINGER ACROSS SOUTHERN ALASKA HEADING INTO
THE WEEKEND AS WEAK RIDGING TAKES HOLD.

THIS BRIEF REPRIEVE WILL BE REPLACED BY A POWERFUL AND LARGE 200
KT COUPLED POLAR/SUBTROPICAL JET STREAM ACROSS THE NORTH
PACIFIC...WHICH WILL EVENTUALLY AMPLIFY NUMEROUS POTENTIAL STRONG
LOWS AS THEY MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS
PATTERN WILL YIELD MORE POTENTIAL CHINOOK WARM UPS ACROSS MUCH OF
SOUTHERN ALASKA. THE YEAR WITHOUT A WINTER LOOKS TO CONTINUE AS
SIGNIFICANT WARM ANOMALIES PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH THE GENERAL
SYNOPTIC PATTERN HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND...AND GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
HOWEVER...THEY DO VARY IN KEY AREAS SUCH AS PRECIPITATION TIMING
AND DISTRIBUTION. THESE CHALLENGES ARE LEADING TO A LOWER OVERALL
FORECAST CONFIDENCE TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH INCREASING CONFIDENCE
HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE WEATHER PATTERN BECOMES MORE
TRANQUIL.

THE BIGGEST CHALLENGES TODAY REVOLVE AROUND THE THERMAL PROFILE
ACROSS VALDEZ AND THE AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ACROSS INLAND LOCATIONS OVER SOUTHCENTRAL. THE 12Z UPPER AIR
SOUNDING OVER ANCHORAGE FEATURES TWO WELL DEFINED DRY
LAYERS...WITH THE LOWEST LEVEL DRY LAYER FEATURING A NORTHEAST
WIND DIRECTION. CROSS BARRIER FLOW WILL BE ON THE INCREASE AS THE
FRONT APPROACHES...AND MODELS ARE BOTH TOO FAST AND TOO WET WITH
CURRENT PRECIPITATION TRENDS AS OF 12Z THIS MORNING. JUST HOW MUCH
FREEZING RAIN FALLS FROM ANCHORAGE NORTH IS MORE UNCERTAIN GIVEN
THE DRY AIR ADVECTION FROM THE MAT VALLEY...AND GENERAL DOWNSLOPE
DRYING. THAT SAID...EVEN A BRIEF LIGHT SHOWER MAY BE ENOUGH TO
CREATE SLICK ROADS GIVEN THE RECENT ARCTIC AIR MASS. THERE IS
MORE CONFIDENCE IN SATURATION FROM WASILLA WESTWARD ALONG THE
PARKS HIGHWAY...AS WELL AS ALONG THE WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA.

ELSEWHERE...THERMAL PROFILES AROUND VALDEZ WILL BE QUITE
CHALLENGING AS STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION PUSHES FREEZING LEVELS
QUITE HIGH. LEFTOVER COLD ARCTIC AIR IN THE LOW LEVELS WOULD
SUGGEST FREEZING RAIN IN TOWN EVEN THOUGH SUCH OCCURRENCES ARE
QUITE RARE. FOR NOW...WILL MENTION THE THREAT FOR SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS CHANGING TO FREEZING RAIN IN TOWN...WITH SNOW
POSSIBLY MIXING WITH RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN LATER TODAY ACROSS
THE PASS.

OUT ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE BERING...MODEL DISCREPANCIES
ARE SMALL...AND CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE TO HIGH.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (THURSDAY AND FRIDAY)...
A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE SOUTHWEST
GULF WILL PUSH INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA TODAY. TEMPERATURES AT
THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS ARE QUITE WARM WITH THIS SYSTEM...WHILE
AIR AT THE SURFACE IS QUITE COLD. THIS WILL CREATE WIDESPREAD
CHANCES OF FREEZING RAIN TODAY. THE LOWER LEVELS WILL WARM LATER
IN THE DAY...AND STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS ALOFT WILL CREATE A DOWN-
SLOPE RAIN SHADOW FOR MOST INLAND AREAS BEGINNING IN THE AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY. BY FRIDAY NIGHT THE LOW AND THE FRONT
WILL HAVE WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY WITH JUST SOME SCATTERED
SHOWERS...MAINLY COASTAL AREAS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (THURSDAY AND FRIDAY)...

AS THE LOW OVER THE EASTERN BERING MOVES NORTH...WARMER AIR WILL
CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE...WHERE RAIN WILL
REPLACE RESIDUAL AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN NORTH OF DILLINGHAM. AREAS
OF FREEZING RAIN WILL PERSIST OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND WILL ENTER THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM FROM SLEETMUTE
WEST. SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOWFALL ARE EXPECTED WEST OF BETHEL IN
THE COLDER AIR...WITH SOME BLOWING SNOW POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST.
BY FRIDAY FREEZING RAIN WILL BE OVER AS A DEEP LAYER OF COLDER AIR
FROM THE BERING BRINGS SNOW SHOWERS TO THE KUSKOKWIM. THE BRISTOL
BAY ZONE WILL KEEP RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AREA AS WARM AIR PERSISTS
NORTHWEST OF THE ALEUTIAN RANGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (THURSDAY AND FRIDAY)...

EXCEPT FOR SNOW OVER THE PRIBILOFS ASSOCIATED WITH THE PASSAGE OF
THE EASTERN BERING LOW...THE REST OF THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS WILL
BE FAIRLY DRY WITH ONLY A FEW RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH THE END
OF THE WORK WEEK.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
A WARMER AND MORE UNSETTLED PATTERN IS IN STORE FOR SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA FROM THIS WEEKEND INTO THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK AS A
LONGWAVE RIDGE REMAINS ENTRENCHED OVER THE WEST COAST OF NORTH
AMERICA AND EXTENDS OVER THE INTERIOR MAINLAND TO NEAR THE BERING
STRAIT. THIS WILL ALLOW PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY FLOW TO BECOME
ESTABLISHED OVER THE GULF...YIELDING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AS
VARIOUS DISTURBANCES ROTATE NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE MAINLAND. THE
DETAILS OF THESE FEATURES REMAIN DIFFICULT TO NAIL DOWN AT THIS
POINT IN TIME...BUT SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL GENERALLY BE FOCUSED
ALONG THE GULF COAST AND OCCASIONALLY SPREAD INLAND AS
DISTURBANCES MOVE THROUGH. IN BETWEEN THESE DISTURBANCES WILL BE
A SHORT LIVED PERIODS OF CLEARING SKIES WITH CONTINUED WARM
TEMPERATURES AS RIDGING WILL REMAIN IN THE VICINITY OF THE
SOUTHERN MAINLAND THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

WARM AND UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL ALSO DOMINATE THE BERING SEA AND
ALEUTIANS THIS WEEKEND AS A NORTH PACIFIC LOW BRINGS GALE FORCE
WINDS AND RAIN TO MUCH OF THE AREA. THE BROAD LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL
THEN BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY AND STRETCHING FROM THE NORTH
PACIFIC INTO THE CENTRAL BRING. THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP SHOWERY
CONDITIONS OVER THE REGION THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 131
         FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY 101 111 121 145 152 155 161.
MARINE...STORM 130 131
         GALE 119 120 127 132 137 138 139.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DS
LONG TERM...DEK