Gale Warning 468, NWS Anchorage, AK

400 
FZAK52 PAFC 192314
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
314 PM AKDT FRI JUN 19 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-201215-
314 PM AKDT FRI JUN 19 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN OVER THE NORTHERN BERING SEA THROUGH SUN.
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS
WILL WEAKEN AS IT PUSHES INTO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA
PENINSULA SAT AND SUN.

$$

PKZ150-201215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
314 PM AKDT FRI JUN 19 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ155-201215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
314 PM AKDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E. SEAS 7 FT EXCEPT 4 FT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT SE 20 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-201215-
BRISTOL BAY-
314 PM AKDT FRI JUN 19 2015

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ165-201215-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
314 PM AKDT FRI JUN 19 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT EXCEPT E 15 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS
3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ170-201215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
314 PM AKDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ171-201215-
UNALASKA BAY-
314 PM AKDT FRI JUN 19 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-201215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
314 PM AKDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ173-201215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
314 PM AKDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ174-201215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
314 PM AKDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ175-201215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
314 PM AKDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ176-201215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
314 PM AKDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ177-201215-
ADAK TO KISKA-
314 PM AKDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ178-201215-
KISKA TO ATTU-
314 PM AKDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ179-201215-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
314 PM AKDT FRI JUN 19 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ180-201215-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
314 PM AKDT FRI JUN 19 2015

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ181-201215-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
314 PM AKDT FRI JUN 19 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ185-201215-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
314 PM AKDT FRI JUN 19 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
447 PM AKDT THU JUN 18 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH REMAINS IN AN OMEGA BLOCK PATTERN OVER THE
NORTHERN BERING SEA. WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER SOUTHEAST
ALASKA THE FLOW OVER THE MAINLAND PART OF THE STATE REMAINS FROM
THE NORTH TO SOUTH.
THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA INTO BRISTOL BAY. HOWEVER LIKE YESTERDAY THERE IS NO STRONG
TRIGGER TO INITIATE CONVECTION. TOMORROW LOOKS MORE FAVORABLE FOR
KICKING OFF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

AT THE SURFACE THE THERMAL TROUGH IS DEVELOPING IN THE INTERIOR OF
THE STATE AND EXTENDING TOWARD BRISTOL BAY. MARINE STRATUS HAS
ALSO DEVELOPED OVER A LARGE PART OF THE GULF OF ALASKA UNDERNEATH
HIGH PRESSURE. THIS MARINE LAYER WILL LIKELY START TO PUSH
NORTHWARD UP COOK INLET BY FRIDAY NIGHT DRIVEN BY THE THERMAL
TROUGH IN THE INTERIOR.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE
GFS AND NAM ARE BOTH IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH THE AREAS OF MOST
UNSTABLE AIR THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS WELL. BOTH SHOW
THE AREA FROM THE TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS THROUGH KUSKOKWIM MOUNTAINS
AND SOUTHWARD OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA AS VERY UNSTABLE FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.
THE NAM IS PICKING UP THE LOW LEVEL MARINE LAYER AND IS SHOWING A
STRONG PUSH UP COOK INLET FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS IS A
VERY DIFFICULT FEATURE TO RESOLVE AND THE NAM DOES THE BEST JOB OF
IT. THE GFS IS ALSO SHOWING THIS OCCURRING BUT IT IS LIMITED IN
ITS RESOLUTION.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE CHANGING SOME AS WE APPROACH THE
WEEKEND. THE MAIN REASON FOR THIS WILL BE THE STRENGTHENING OF THE
THERMAL TROUGH IN THE INTERIOR OF THE STATE TURNING LOW LEVEL FLOW
TO THE SOUTH OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA.
THE AREA WITH ACTIVE FIRES THAT WILL BE IMPACTED THE MOST WILL BE
THE KENAI PENINSULA. A STRONG PUSH OF MARINE AIR IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE UP COOK INLET FRIDAY NIGHT. IT IS DIFFICULT TO SAY HOW FAR UP
THE INLET THIS PUSH WILL GO BUT IT LOOKS LIKELY THAT THE KENAI
PENINSULA WILL GET THIS COOLER AND MOIST MARINE AIR OVER A GOOD
PORTION OF IT. THIS IS GOOD FOR SUPPRESSING THE TEMPERATURES AND
GREATLY INCREASING THE HUMIDITY. IT IS BAD FOR AIR QUALITY AS THIS
MARINE AIR CREATES A STRONG INVERSION WHICH WILL TRAP SMOKE NEAR
THE SURFACE. IN ADDITION THERE MAY BE WIDESPREAD STRATUS THAT
DEVELOPS IN THIS MARINE AIR WHICH WOULD IMPACT AIR OPERATIONS
AROUND THE FIRES. THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL THEN
MOVE THIS SMOKE OVER THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND POTENTIALLY CAUSE
FURTHER REDUCED AIR QUALITY SATURDAY AND SUNDAY MORNINGS AS A
RESULT. THE BIGGEST WRENCH IN THE WORKS THAT MIGHT PREVENT THIS IS
THE DEVELOPMENT OF SOME TURNAGAIN ARM WINDS...BUT THEY WILL LIKELY
NOT BE ENOUGH TO SIGNIFICANTLY MITIGATE THE SMOKE.

THE SUSITNA VALLEY WILL ALSO SEE SOME IMPACT FROM THIS PUSH OF
MARINE AIR BUT IT WILL NOT BE NEARLY AS MUCH AS OVER THE KENAI
PENINSULA. HOWEVER IT SHOULD ALLOW LOWER DAYTIME TEMPERATURES AND
STRONGER INVERSIONS AT NIGHT IN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW UP THE VALLEY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE PATTERN IS BEGINNING TO CHANGE SLIGHTLY AS ANY RIDGING ALOFT
HAS BEEN REPLACED BY WEAK FLOW. A WEAK SHORTWAVE CONTINUES THE
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS
TONIGHT. THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS THE FOCUS FOR CONVECTION WILL BE
MAINLY ALONG HIGHER TERRAIN. THE STEERING FLOW REMAINS WEAK AND
VARIABLE...ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS THAT POP IN THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING SHOULD REMAIN ROOTED OVER THE MOUNTAINS. THIS DIURNAL
CONVECTION PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ON SATURDAY AS WELL WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN AIR MASS.

THE BIGGEST CHANGE TO THE FORECAST WILL BE A DIURNAL UP INLET
WIND DEVELOPING TONIGHT AND TOMORROW IN RESPONSE TO INTERIOR
HEATING AND HIGH PRESSURE IN THE GULF. THIS FLOW WILL BRING A
SURGE OF MOIST AND CLOUDY MARINE AIR FROM THE NORTHERN GULF UP
INTO COOK INLET TONIGHT THEN RECEDE DURING THE DAY TOMORROW BEFORE
RETURNING AND MAKING A BIGGER PUSH UP INTO THE SUSITNA VALLEY
OVERNIGHT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. THE FLOW SHOULD MODERATE
TEMPERATURES FROM THE RECENT HEAT AND INCREASE SURFACE MOISTURE IN
THE COOK INLET REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (TONIGHT THROUGH SAT)...

THE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS LOOK TO
FINALLY BE COMING TO AN END AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE BERING SEA
SLIDES WESTWARD AND ALLOWS FOR ONSHORE FLOW TO USHER IN COOLER AND
SLIGHTLY MORE MOIST AIR. THIS DOES NOT MEAN THAT A SIGNIFICANT
COOL DOWN IS EXPECTED...JUST HIGH TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE IN THE
MID 70S TO AROUND 80 DEGREES VS THE MID 80S SEEN OVER THE COURSE
OF THE WEEK. WHILE ONSHORE FLOW WILL USHER IN SOME COOLER
TEMPERATURES...THE INCREASE OF MOISTURE WILL INTERACT WITH
INCREASING INSTABILITY TO HELP PRODUCE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE
ALASKA AND ALEUTIAN RANGES BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
THE BULK OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY OCCUR IN THE LOWER
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE...BUT A FEW ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT THE VALLEY CANNOT BE RULED OUT. STORM
MOTION LOOKS TO BE WEAK...SO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO
DEVELOP COULD DROP SOME DECENT RAIN AS THEY ARE SLOW TO PROPAGATE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (TONIGHT THROUGH SAT)...

THE HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAD BEEN SO DOMINANT THIS WEEK LOOKS TO
SHIFT NORTH AND WEST AS IT BEGINS TO WEAKEN ON FRIDAY. CONDITIONS
STILL APPEAR QUITE FAVORABLE TO HAVE FOG RE-DEVELOP ALONG THE
BERING SIDE OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND ALONG THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN
AS WELL AS THE WESTERN BERING SEA. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE
NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC CONTINUES TO INCH CLOSER TO THE WESTERN
ALEUTAINS AND WILL PUSH A FRONT ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS ON
FRIDAY. THIS WILL BRING GALE FORCE WINDS TO THE COASTAL MARINES
ZONES SURROUNDING THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AS WELL AS GUSTS TO 45 MPH
OVER ADAK AND ATKA. THESE WINDS WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS THE FRONT
QUICKLY SLIDES EASTWARD AND OCCLUDES.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

THE UPPER LEVEL BLOCKING RIDGE CENTERS NEAR THE BERING STRAIT
TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEKEND AND BECOMES STATIONARY THROUGH THE
NEXT WEEK. THERE IS A PATTERN CHANGE THAT COMMENCES SLOWLY WITH
LOW PRESSURE SLOWLY BREAKING DOWN THE RIDGE INFLUENCE ACROSS THE
MAINLAND THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY. MODELS ARE STILL NOT IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE EVOLVING WEATHER PATTERN ON THE LATEST 12Z RUN.
HOWEVER...THE ECMWF AND GFS WERE IN BETTER AGREEMENT TODAY THEREFORE
A BLEND TOWARD BOTH SOLUTIONS WERE INCORPORATED IN THE EXTENDED
FORECAST.

THE FORECAST CONTINUES TO ADVERTISE DIURNALLY DRIVEN PRECIPITATION
CHANCES ACROSS THE MOUNTAIN RANGES OF THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. A
STRONG SHORTWAVE THAT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE FROM THE EASTERN GULF ON
SATURDAY NIGHT MAY BRING ENHANCED CONVECTION AS IT TRACKS WEST THROUGH
THE GULF INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. THE MOST ORGANIZED
SYSTEM TO WATCH THIS WEEK IS THE LOW THAT CENTERS SOUTH OF THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS STACKED SYSTEM WILL BRING A
NOTABLE WETTER CHANGE TO THE GULF WATERS BY MID WEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 175 176 177.
FIRE WEATHER...RED FLAG WARNING 141 145.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...ML
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MC
LONG TERM...KH