Gale Warning 423, NWS Anchorage, AK

240 
FZAK52 PAFC 122303
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
303 PM AKDT TUE MAY 12 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-131200-
303 PM AKDT TUE MAY 12 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 976 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF SHEMYA WILL WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS
INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC WED. A 978 MB LOW WILL FORM 165 NM WEST OF
ADAK TUE EVENING THEN WEAKEN TO 990 MB AS IT TRACKS TO 120 NM WEST
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND ON THU. A PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 175 NM
SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WED NIGHT AT 990 MB THEN WEAKEN ON THU.

$$

PKZ150-131200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
303 PM AKDT TUE MAY 12 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING S 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ155-131200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
303 PM AKDT TUE MAY 12 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT...INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT W
OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ160-131200-
BRISTOL BAY-
303 PM AKDT TUE MAY 12 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-131200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
303 PM AKDT TUE MAY 12 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 20
KT IN THE EVENING OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-131200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
303 PM AKDT TUE MAY 12 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NE. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ171-131200-
UNALASKA BAY-
303 PM AKDT TUE MAY 12 2015

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT EARLY BECOMING SW 15
KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT EARLY DIMINISHING TO 10
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING E. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-131200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
303 PM AKDT TUE MAY 12 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT EARLY DIMINISHING TO S 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ173-131200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
303 PM AKDT TUE MAY 12 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT EARLY BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-131200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
303 PM AKDT TUE MAY 12 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
10 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ175-131200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
303 PM AKDT TUE MAY 12 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ176-131200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
303 PM AKDT TUE MAY 12 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS
17 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
19 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE. SEAS
14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ177-131200-
ADAK TO KISKA-
303 PM AKDT TUE MAY 12 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 10 FT. PACIFIC
SIDE...SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF
180...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 20 KT LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT
BERING SIDE...21 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. W OF 180...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ178-131200-
KISKA TO ATTU-
303 PM AKDT TUE MAY 12 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ179-131200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
303 PM AKDT TUE MAY 12 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO SW 30 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ180-131200-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
303 PM AKDT TUE MAY 12 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-131200-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
303 PM AKDT TUE MAY 12 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FOOT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FOOT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ185-131200-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
303 PM AKDT TUE MAY 12 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON
FROM SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND S AND E. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. PATCHY
FOG.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
443 PM AKDT MON MAY 11 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
WEAK LOW PRESSURE IS MOVING EAST THROUGH THE GULF BUT IS BEING
HELD UP BY STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER NORTHWESTERN CANADA. AS THE
LOW SPINS IN THE GULF IT IS BRINGING SHOWERS TO THE NORTH GULF
COAST. UPPER LEVELING TROUGHING EXTENDING THROUGH MAINLAND ALASKA
DOWN INTO THE GULF IS CAUSING ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR SHOWERS TO
DEVELOP IN THE SOUTHCENTRAL. OUT WEST A WEAKENING LOW AND FRONT
ARE MOVING THROUGH THE BERING WITH THE FRONT RAPIDLY DIMINISHING
AS IT TRIES TO BRING RAIN TO THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA. SOUTH
OF SHEMYA A STRONGER LOW IS MAKING ITS WAY TOWARDS THE ALEUTIANS
AND IS BRINGING MORE RAIN AND WINDS WITH IT.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT TERM. IN THE MID
TERM PROBLEMS ARISE WITH THE MULTIPLE LOWS IN AND AROUND THE
BERING. FOR THE MOST PART THEY ARE CLOSE WITH THE MAIN BERING LOW
THAT TRACKS NORTH ON WEDNESDAY. BUT THERE ARE SOME ISSUES WITH
ANOTHER LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS. THE EC AND NAM ARE THE FASTER
SOLUTIONS WITH THE GFS AND GEM BEHIND. THEN ALL MODELS BRING THE
LOW INTO THE BRISTOL BAY AREA WITH THE GFS CATCHING UP TO THE NAM
AND EC WHILE THE GEM STAYS IN THE NORTH PACIFIC LONGER. THE EC AND
NAM SHOW BETTER CONSISTENCY THROUGH THIS PROCESS AND WERE THE
PREFERRED SOLUTIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE FRONTAL SYSTEM ARCING ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL GRADUALLY
WEAKEN AND SHEAR APART AS THE PARENT LOW WELL TO THE SOUTH
CONTINUES EAST AND FILLS. BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON BOTH THE SURFACE
LOW AND REMNANTS OF THE FRONT WILL BE PRETTY MUCH DISSIPATED WITH
A SURFACE RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE WESTERN GULF. THE SURFACE RIDGE
AND A STRENGTHENING RIDGE ALOFT WILL SHIFT TO THE CENTRAL GULF BY
WEDNESDAY WITH FRONTAL SYSTEM COMING IN FROM THE WEST MAKING IT TO
AROUND KODIAK ISLAND BEFORE STALLING OUT. FOR THE REMAINDER OF
SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA THE GENERAL TREND WILL BE WARMING AND DRYING.

ONE POTENTIAL CONCERN WILL BE FIRE WEATHER FOR INLAND AREAS SUCH
AS THE COPPER RIVER BASIN ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. WITH THE
SURFACE RIDGE IN THE GULF OF ALASKA STRENGTHENING GAP WINDS
THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER VALLEY...KNIK RIVER VALLEY AND TURNAGAIN
ARM WILL INCREASE AGAIN SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE AFTERNOONS AND
EVENINGS STARTING ON WEDNESDAY WHILE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
IN INLAND AREAS WILL DROP DOWN INTO THE MID 20 PERCENT RANGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE MAINLAND IS CURRENTLY BEING SQUEEZED BETWEEN A COUPLE OF
LOW PRESSURE CENTERS ALOFT. THIS IS CREATING A DEFORMATION ZONE
OVER THE GREATER BRISTOL BAY REGION WHICH IS ACTING TO ENHANCE THE
SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THAT REGION. THE OTHER SHOWERY REGION OVER
THE INTERIOR KUSKOKWIM DELTA IS ALONG A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH
A NORTHERN BERING SEA TROUGH. ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD WANE IN
THE EVENING. BRIEF CLEARING WILL SHOW UP TOMORROW WITH SOME
AFTERNOON SHOWER ACTIVITY ALONG THE MOUNTAINS IN THE LOWER
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY A WARM FRONT
WILL SPREAD OVER THE MAINLAND FROM THE BERING SEA...HITTING MOST
AREAS WITH A GOOD PERIOD OF RAIN WHICH WILL USHER IN A MORE ACTIVE
PATTERN IN THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A GALE FORCE FRONT WILL SPREAD RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA
TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. A SHOWERY PATTERN WILL REMAIN INTO
WEDNESDAY AS SEVERAL DISTURBANCES ROTATE AROUND THE LARGE SCALE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND
AND GULF FROM THE WEST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUE TO
AMPLIFY OVER SOUTHCENTRAL THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. AS A
RESULT...GUSTY GAP WINDS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST AND PARTS
OF THE SOUTHCENTRAL INTERIOR ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AND
PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND. RAINY AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO TRACK INTO THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND AND WESTERN GULF
WEDNESDAY...AS A WEAKENING FRONTAL SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW
OVER THE BERING TRACKS THROUGH THE AREA. A SECONDARY FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LOW SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
THURSDAY WILL QUICKLY CATCH UP TO THE WEAKENING FRONT AHEAD OF IT.
THIS WILL ACT TO REINFORCE THE INITIAL FRONT OVER THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND AND WESTERN PORTION OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...KEEPING THE
RAINY AND WINDY CONDITIONS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK. MODELS ARE SHOWING THIS SYSTEM TRACKING NORTH WHILE
DISSIPATING OVER MUCH OF THE AREA BY THE WEEKEND...BRINGING A
BRIEF BREAK TO THE RAINY AND WINDY CONDITIONS. MODELS ARE ALSO
SHOWING ANOTHER LOW DEVELOPING SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
THURSDAY NIGHT AND TRACKING INTO THE CENTRAL BERING BY SATURDAY.
THE FRONTAL SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO TRACK
THROUGH THE CENTRAL/EASTERN ALEUTIANS THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...BEFORE PUSHING INTO THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND SATURDAY
NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF RAINY AND WINDY
WEATHER BACK TO THE EASTERN HALF OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN AND
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER THERE ARE
STILL SOME TIMING AND STRENGTH DISCREPANCIES IN THE MODELS
REGARDING THIS SYSTEM...KEEPING FORECAST CONFIDENCE SLIGHTLY BELOW
AVERAGE.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 170 176 177 178 179 411 412 413 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JR
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...ML
LONG TERM...TP