Gale Warning 383, NWS Anchorage, AK

343 
FZAK52 PAFC 222310
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
310 PM AKDT WED APR 22 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-231230-
310 PM AKDT WED APR 22 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 975 MB LOW 200 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL WEAKEN TO 986 MB AS
IT MOVES TO 185 NM NORTH OF ADAK THU AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN TO 993 MB AS IT MOVES TO 80 NM NORTH OF DUTCH
HARBOR FRI AFTERNOON. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL WEAKEN OVER THE
NORTHERN TO EASTERN BERING WED NIGHT AND THU.

$$

PKZ150-231230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
310 PM AKDT WED APR 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ155-231230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
310 PM AKDT WED APR 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ160-231230-
BRISTOL BAY-
310 PM AKDT WED APR 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-231230-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
310 PM AKDT WED APR 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ170-231230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
310 PM AKDT WED APR 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ171-231230-
UNALASKA BAY-
310 PM AKDT WED APR 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-231230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
310 PM AKDT WED APR 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ173-231230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
310 PM AKDT WED APR 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-231230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
310 PM AKDT WED APR 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ175-231230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
310 PM AKDT WED APR 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ176-231230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
310 PM AKDT WED APR 22 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ177-231230-
ADAK TO KISKA-
310 PM AKDT WED APR 22 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT BERING SIDE...16 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT PACIFIC SIDE AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...W WIND 40 KT DECREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT BERING SIDE...21 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT PACIFIC SIDE IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ178-231230-
KISKA TO ATTU-
310 PM AKDT WED APR 22 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT PACIFIC SIDE...15 FT BERING
SIDE. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ179-231230-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
310 PM AKDT WED APR 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ180-231230-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
310 PM AKDT WED APR 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ181-231230-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
310 PM AKDT WED APR 22 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SNOW.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT.

$$

PKZ185-231230-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
310 PM AKDT WED APR 22 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 30 KT. W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
540 AM AKDT WED APR 22 2015

CORRECTED MARINE WARNING

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW RESIDES OVER THE GREAT LAND THIS MORNING AS
THE UPPER LEVEL JET RESIDES WELL SOUTH IN THE GULF...WITH AN
EXTENSION OF THE EAST ASIA JET POKING INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC.
THERE ARE TWO DISTINCT CENTERS WITHIN THE BROAD FLOW...ONE NORTH
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WHICH IS THE REMNANT OF THE PAST WEEK'S
ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN...AND ANOTHER SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND WHICH
IS MORE OF A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH (BECOMING AN UPPER LOW
CENTER) AND A BEAUTY OF A MATURE CYCLONE ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS THE MAIN FEATURE ON THE WEATHER MAP THIS
MORNING WITH A GALE FORCE FRONT STRETCHING FROM KODIAK ISLAND
SOUTH AND EASTWARD. SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE MAINLAND DRIVEN BY
AN IMPRESSIVE COLD POOL ALOFT IS ON THE DECLINE AS THE COLDEST AIR
ALOFT PUSHES NORTHWARD INTO THE INTERIOR. THE OTHER MAJOR FEATURE
ON THE MAP IS A WARM/OCCLUDED FRONT PUSHING ACROSS THE CENTRAL
BERING SEA...ASSOCIATED WITH A DECAYING KAMCHATKA LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
FROM A BROAD SYNOPTIC PERSPECTIVE...GUIDANCE IS IN GREAT AGREEMENT
WITH BOTH THE EXITING OF THE GULF SYSTEM TO THE EAST AS WELL AS
THE INCOMING FRONT/TROUGH TO THE WEST. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH FOR THIS
FORECAST PACKAGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A STRONG LOW ENTERING THE SOUTHWEST GULF IS BRINGING STRONG WINDS
AND RAINFALL TO KODIAK ISLAND THIS MORNING. CONDITIONS WILL
IMPROVE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE EAST.
THIS LOW IS REMAINING FAR ENOUGH SOUTH IN THE GULF THAT THE IMPACT
ON THE REST OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA WILL BE MINIMAL FOR A STRONG
LOW. AS THIS LOW MOVES EASTWARD THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL BECOME
MORE NORTHEASTERLY AND BRING IN A CLEARING TREND THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2...WED AND
THU)...GOING TO BE A RELATIVELY INTERESTING WEATHER DAY ACROSS
THE AREA. CONDITIONS WILL START OFF RELATIVELY QUIETLY. THE FORMER
COLD UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT WAS NEAR NUNIVAK THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS
WILL SWING ONE LAST PIECE OF ENERGY IN FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL
COLLIDE WITH THE WARM AND MOIST EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW WRAPPING
AROUND THE LOW IN THE GULF OF AK. THESE TWO FEATURES WORK IN
TANDEM TO CREATE SOME BANDS OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTHERN
BRISTOL BAY AND THE WESTERN LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. PRECIPITATION
COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES AS SOME SHOWERS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP
ALONG THIS BOUNDARY WITH SOME AFTERNOON INSTABILITY AND A 35-40
MPH LOW-LEVEL JET. MODELS ARE SHOWING THAT THE BAND WILL WEAKEN
SOME THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS AND LIKELY LOOSE ITS CONVECTIVE
COMPONENT. BUT THEN THE FRONT FROM THE WEST STARTS TO ARRIVE AND
REINFORCES THE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE. THIS SHOULD BRING YET
ANOTHER ROUND OF STEADY PRECIPITATION TO MUCH OF THE SAME AREA.
THE ONE SAVING GRACE WITH ALL OF THIS IS THAT IT LOOKS LIKE MOST
OF THE COLD AIR WILL BE TO THE WEST OF THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION.
SO WHILE THERE MAY BE A COUPLE INCHES OF WET SNOW
ACCUMULATION...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...IT SHOULD MOSTLY
FALL AS RAIN.

MEANWHILE...THE SAME FRONT MENTIONED ABOVE WILL PUSH INTO THE
DELTA COAST LATE TONIGHT. IT WILL BRING MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS
AND SOME DECENT SNOWFALL TO THE AREA. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
FOR BLOWING SNOW HAS BEEN ISSUED TO ADDRESS THE LOWER
VISIBILITIES THAT WILL RESULT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2...WED AND
THU)...A 970 MB LOW OUT OVER THE WESTERN BERING IS SLINGING A
BROAD WARM OCCLUDED FRONT ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. ALONG THE
FRONT IS A FAIRLY WIDE SWATH OF GALE FORCE WINDS THAT WILL
CONTINUE TO WORK FROM THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TO THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS THROUGH THE DAY. THIS FRONT IS ALSO BRINGING UP SOME
WARMER AIR WITH THOSE SOUTH WINDS HELPING TO TURN PRECIPITATION
OVER TO MOSTLY RAIN. THE FRONT WILL RIDE THE JET QUICKLY EAST BUT
THE LOW WILL BECOME VERTICALLY STACKED AND JUST DRIFT SLOWLY TO
THE SOUTHEAST. THIS WILL KEEP A FAIRLY LARGE AREA OF GALE-FORCE
WINDS OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THROUGH LATE THURSDAY BEFORE THE
WINDS TURN NORTHWESTERLY.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3-7)...
THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL HAVE A GALE FORCE LOW JUST NORTH OF
DUTCH HARBOR ON FRIDAY BEFORE CROSSING THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS INTO
THE NORTH PACIFIC. BY SUNDAY THE LOW WILL BE LOCATED IN THE LOWER
SOUTHWESTERN GULF BEFORE GRADUALLY TRACKING TO THE LOWER EASTERN
GULF BY TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN/SNOW TO THE EASTERN
BERING/ALEUTIANS AND SNOW SHOWERS TO THE PRIBILOF ISLAND HEADING
INTO THE WEEKEND. BY SATURDAY THE BERING SEA WILL HAVE SHOWERY
PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF SNOW WITH THE COLDER TEMPERATURES
ACCOMPANIED BY NORTHERLY WINDS. BY SUNDAY THE BERING SEA WILL HAVE
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE CENTRAL BERING EXCEPT
FOR A KAMCHATKA LOW TRACKING INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THIS WILL
BRING WARMER TEMPERATURES WITH A WARM FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THIS SYSTEM WILL TRACK EASTWARD THROUGH TUESDAY
BEFORE BEING LOCATED IN THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. THE MODELS ARE IN
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE BERING LOW AS IT MOVES INTO THE GULF OVER
THE WEEKEND. THE NAM/GFS MODELS WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS
LOW EXCEPT FOR THE ECMWF BEING FASTER WITH THIS SYSTEM. THE
FORECAST CONFIDENCE REMAINS ABOVE AVERAGE.

THE SOUTHCENTRAL REGION WILL HAVE AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WHICH WILL
KEEP THE WEATHER SYSTEMS TRACKING ALONG IN THE SOUTHERN GULF REGION
THROUGH TUESDAY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL SLIGHTLY EFFECT THE NORTHERN
COASTLINES. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE ABOVE NORMAL GOING
INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLOWING SNOW...155.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...132.
         GALE WARNING...120 130 131 136 137 138 150 170 172
                        173 174 175 176 177 178.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MTL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MO
LONG TERM...PLD