Gale Warning 187, NWS Anchorage, AK

547 
FZAK52 PAFC 231202
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
302 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-240115-
302 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 996 MB LOW 270 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND MON MORNING
MOVES 200 NM NORTHWEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND MON AFTERNOON
BEFORE MOVING INLAND BY MON EVENING. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE
INTO THE WESTERN BERING AND ALEUTIANS TUE MORNING BEFORE MOVING
INTO THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL BERING SEA BY WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-240115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
302 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ155-240115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
302 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ160-240115-
BRISTOL BAY-
302 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2015

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ165-240115-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
302 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2015

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-240115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
302 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2015

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ171-240115-
UNALASKA BAY-
302 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-240115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
302 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ173-240115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
302 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ174-240115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
302 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2015

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ175-240115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
302 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ176-240115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
302 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2015

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ177-240115-
ADAK TO KISKA-
302 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ178-240115-
KISKA TO ATTU-
302 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT. SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ179-240115-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
302 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ180-240115-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
302 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ181-240115-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
302 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY
FOG. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT.

$$

PKZ185-240115-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
302 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SW 30 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SW 30 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 16 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
526 AM AKST SUN FEB 22 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE REMAINS CENTERED OVER BRITISH
COLUMBIA WITH THE ASSOCIATED RIDGE EXTENDING INTO THE YUKON
TERRITORY. THE LOW IN THE NORTHERN BERING SEA CONTINUES TO TRACK
NORTH TOWARDS THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA PRODUCING SOUTHERLY SMALL
CRAFT WINDS THROUGH THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN BERING SEA THIS
MORNING. ON THE BACKSIDE OF THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...THE REST OF
THE BERING SEA HAS WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WITH SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS. THE SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ALONG THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND
THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA REGION REMAIN IN THE UPPER 30S. IN
BETWEEN THESE TWO SYNOPTIC FEATURES...THERE IS A STRONG 130 KNOT
SOUTH TO NORTH MERIDIONAL JET STREAK RUNNING THROUGH THE WESTERN
GULF...KENAI PENINSULA AND THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. THIS WILL
CONTINUE TO BRING WARM MOIST AIR THROUGHOUT THE SOUTHCENTRAL
REGION. THE RADAR IMAGERY IS SHOWING SHOWERY PRECIPITATION THROUGH
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LINE...COOK INLET AND SPREADING
NORTHWARD. THE FLOW IN THE LOWER LEVELS REMAINS SOUTHERLY
THROUGHOUT THE REGION. THE TEMPERATURES REMAIN WELL ABOVE FREEZING
ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LINE AND THE INTERIOR...EXCEPT FOR
LOWER 30S IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
IN THE NORTHERN BERING SEA AS IT TRACKS TOWARDS THE KAMCHATKA
PENINSULA BY SUNDAY NIGHT. THE GULF WILL REMAIN IN SOUTHERLY
FLOW THROUGH MONDAY. THE NAM CONTINUES TO BE MORE AGGRESSIVE IN
DRYING OUT THE ANCHORAGE BOWL QUICKER THAN THE OTHER MODELS. THE
GEM-REG/EC WERE THE PREFERRED MODELS OF CHOICE. THE FORECAST
CONFIDENCE REMAINS ABOVE AVERAGE HEADING INTO MONDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
ANOTHER WARM SYSTEM WILL WORK ITS WAY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA
TODAY. THIS SYSTEM IS NOT AS MOIST AS THE ONE ON SATURDAY
(YESTERDAY) AND RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE SHOWERY FOR INLAND
AREAS RATHER THAN FULL-ON CONTINUOUS RAIN. THERE WILL BE A BRIEF
BREAK LATER TODAY BEFORE THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVES IN LATER TONIGHT.
PRECIPITATION WITH THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL START AS RAIN...BUT MAY
TRANSITION TO SNOW LATER IN THE DAY ON MONDAY AS COLDER AIR
BEGINS TO WORK ITS WAY INTO THE AREA. UNFORTUNATELY ACCUMULATIONS
(IF ANY) ARE EXPECTED TO BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE IF THE NUMERICAL
MODELS HOLD TO THEIR CURRENT SOLUTIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES AND WET CONDITIONS SHOULD PERSIST
THROUGH THE WEEKEND OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHCENTRAL AREA...AS
SOUTHERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW OVER THE BERING CONTINUES
TO FEED IN WARM MOIST AIR FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE AREA.
MOST LOCATIONS CONTINUE TO REPORT RAIN AS THE DOMINANT
PRECIPITATION TYPE...AND EVEN THE TYPICAL "COLD" SPOTS IN THE
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE DELTA ARE ABOVE
FREEZING AT THE SURFACE. PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME MORE SHOWERY
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AS THE WAVE PUSHES FURTHER NORTHWARD...HOWEVER
THE SHOWERS WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AS ANOTHER ROUND OF STEADY RAIN
MOVES IN SUNDAY MORNING WITH THE NEXT WAVE TRACKING IN FROM THE
NORTH PACIFIC. GUSTY WINDS OVER THE MAINLAND WILL CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH THROUGH THIS EVENING...AS THE GRADIENT OVER THE AREA
BEGINS TO SLACKEN. ONCE THE LOW OVER THE BERING TRACKS FURTHER
NORTHWEST AND THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE BERING MOVES IN
PLACE OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND MONDAY MORNING...SOME COLDER AIR
(BY NO MEANS ARCTIC) WILL BEGIN TO FILTER INTO THE SOUTHWEST COAST
AND COOL OFF PARTS OF THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A LARGE LOW PRESSURE COMPLEX OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE BERING
CONTINUES TO PUMP DEEP WARM AIR INTO THE STATE. MEANWHILE...ON
THE BACKSIDE THIS SYSTEM...COLDER AIR BEGINS TO MIGRATE OFF THE
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA AND FILTER INTO MUCH OF THE BERING SEA
TONIGHT...WHICH WILL HELP TO CREATE A FAIRLY WIDE SWATH OF GUSTY
WINDS DOWN THROUGH THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. A ROBUST UPPER LEVEL LOW
OVER NORTHEASTERN RUSSIA WILL BEGIN TO TRACK SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. A SERIES OF EMBEDDED WAVES WILL SWING OFF OF THIS
SYSTEM...DEVELOPING A SURFACE LOW OVER THE WESTERN BERING LATE
SUNDAY AND TRACKING TOWARD THE PRIBILOFS ON MONDAY. THIS LOW WILL
HELP KEEP THE PATTERN MORE PROGRESSIVE (WEST TO EAST FLOW) THAN
IT HAS BEEN THE PAST WEEK...AND WILL HELP PUSH SOME OF THAT
COLDER AIR TOWARD THE MAINLAND BY MONDAY. THIS SHOULD START TO
TURN SOME OF THE LINGERING SHOWERS FROM RAIN TO SNOW OVER THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS. BUT LIMITED MOISTURE WILL MAKE FOR ALMOST NIL
ACCUMULATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...ON TUESDAY THE NEXT
PACIFIC FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL TRACK INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF WHILE
A COLD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO ITS NORTH SWINGS ONSHORE INTO WESTERN
ALASKA. TODAYS MODEL RUNS HAVE SHIFTED THE TRACK OF THE LOW A BIT
FURTHER SOUTH AS IT CROSSES THE GULF SUCH THAT THE FRONT NOW STAYS
MAINLY OFFSHORE PRIMARILY IMPACTING KODIAK ISLAND AND THE GULF
COAST WITH RAIN AND BREEZY CONDITIONS AS IT CROSSES TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE WEST COAST FROM THE
SIGNIFICANTLY COLDER TROUGH TO THE NORTH WILL TAPER OFF THROUGH
THE DAY TUESDAY AS THE TROUGH SWINGS NORTHEAST WITH DRIER WEATHER
PREVAILING MIDWEEK AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS OVER MAINLAND
ALASKA.

IN THE MEANTIME...THE NORTH PACIFIC STORM TRACK WILL BEGIN
SHIFTING BACK A BIT FURTHER NORTH AS A RATHER COLD AIR MASS SWINGS
FROM THE SEA OF OKHOTSK OUT INTO THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC. THE
STRONG THERMAL CONTRAST WILL HELP TO SPIN UP A SERIES OF STRONG
FRONTAL SYSTEMS THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK AND WEEKEND. THESE
FRONTAL SYSTEMS WILL TRACK UP ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND
INTO THE BERING SEA WHERE THEY WILL ADDITIONALLY BE ABLE TO TAP
INTO COLD SIBERIAN AIR.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA AND MAINLAND WILL
CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. A FRONTAL SYSTEM RIDING
UP THE WESTERN UPSTREAM SIDE OF THE RIDGE WILL LIFT NORTH TOWARDS
THE ALASKA PENINSULA ON FRIDAY...OVER SW ALASKA FRIDAY NIGHT THEN
SPREAD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA ON SATURDAY. WHILE THIS SYSTEM
ITSELF DOES NOT LOOK ALL THAT STRONG...IT DOES HAVE A LONG
SOUTHERLY FETCH TO TAP INTO AND DRAW ADDITIONAL WARM AND MOIST AIR
UP INTO THE REGION ON THE LEADING EASTWARD SIDE OF ITSELF FRIDAY
NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

ADDITIONALLY MODELS ARE SHOWING A STRONG WESTERLY UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH MOVING OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL INTERIOR ALASKA WHICH
COMES INTO PHASE WITH THE FRONTAL SYSTEM SATURDAY NIGHT. THE
RESULT THE RAPID WEST THEN SOUTHWESTWARD ACCELERATION OF THE
SYSTEM WILL BREAK DOWN THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AND A STRONGER UPPER
RIDGE WILL BUILD TO THE WEST BEHIND IT. THIS PATTERN WILL BEAR
CLOSE WATCHING AS IT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO SPIN THE SURFACE LOW UP
AGAIN VERY RAPIDLY AS IT TRACKS ALONG THE NORTH AND EASTERN GULF
COAST WHILE A STRONG SURFACE HIGH BUILDS INLAND. THIS TIGHT
OFFSHORE PRESSURE IN ADDITION TO A STRONG NORTHERLY JET BRINGS THE
POTENTIAL FOR RATHER STRONG NORTHERLY OUTFLOW WINDS OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL ALASKA AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST NEXT SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 178.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 185 411 412.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...PD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MSO
LONG TERM...JER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
906 AM AKST SUN FEB 22 2015

AKZ101-111-121-125-131-141-145-230300-
ANCHORAGE-MATANUSKA VALLEY-WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-NORTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...
EKLUTNA...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON...KENAI...
SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...
GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS...VALDEZ...THOMPSON PASS...GLENNALLEN...
EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...
CANTWELL
906 AM AKST SUN FEB 22 2015

...SLICK ROADS AND WALKWAYS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY...

WHILE AIR TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR OR ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RAIN FALLING ON FROZEN OR ICE-COVERED ROADS
AND SIDEWALKS WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVELING
CONDITIONS THROUGH MONDAY...ESPECIALLY ON SIDE STREETS.

CAUTION IS ADVISED WHEN OUTDOORS ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA.

FOR THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST PLEASE VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/ANCHORAGE.

FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS IN YOUR AREA PLEASE VISIT
511.ALASKA.GOV.