Gale Warning 176, NWS Anchorage, AK

754 
FZAK52 PAFC 191302
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
402 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-200215-
402 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...A 981 MB LOW 420 NM
SOUTH OF ATKA THU MORNING MOVES 370 NM SOUTH OF UNALASKA AT 989
MB BY FRI MORNING. THIS LOW MOVES 100 NM EAST OF UNALASKA AT 990
MB BY SAT MORNING BEFORE MOVING 60 NM NORTH OF NUNIVAK ISLAND AT
991 MB SAT AFTERNOON. A WEAK NORTH PACIFIC LOW FORMS 100 NM
SOUTHEAST OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS AT 983 MB FRI AFTERNOON BEFORE
DISSIPATING FRI EVENING.

$$

PKZ150-200215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
402 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ155-200215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
402 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SE WIND
30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ160-200215-
BRISTOL BAY-
402 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
BUILDING TO 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ165-200215-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
402 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FROM PORT MOLLER E...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT EXCEPT NE 30 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ170-200215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
402 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ171-200215-
UNALASKA BAY-
402 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-200215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
402 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ173-200215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
402 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ174-200215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
402 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT SUBSIDING 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ175-200215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
402 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ176-200215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
402 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ177-200215-
ADAK TO KISKA-
402 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ178-200215-
KISKA TO ATTU-
402 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ179-200215-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
402 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW
AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ180-200215-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
402 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
BUILDING TO 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ181-200215-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
402 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...S WIND 15 KT.

$$

PKZ185-200215-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
402 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 30 KT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.

$$

543 
FZAK52 PAFC 200000
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
300 PM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-201245-
300 PM AKST THU FEB 19 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A FRONT OVER THE BERING WILL SLOWLY PUSH NORTH AND WEST THROUGH
FRI. A 986 MB LOW 320 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT FRI MORNING WILL
MOVE TO 140 NM SOUTHWEST OF GOODNEWS BAY AT 981 MB BY LATE FRI
NIGHT...THEN MOVE TO 85 NM WEST OF MEKORYUK AT 985 MB BY SAT
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-201245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
300 PM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ155-201245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
300 PM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-201245-
BRISTOL BAY-
300 PM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ165-201245-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
300 PM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM PORT
MOLLER E...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-201245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
300 PM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ171-201245-
UNALASKA BAY-
300 PM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-201245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
300 PM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ173-201245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
300 PM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ174-201245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
300 PM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ175-201245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
300 PM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ176-201245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
300 PM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ177-201245-
ADAK TO KISKA-
300 PM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ178-201245-
KISKA TO ATTU-
300 PM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-201245-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
300 PM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ180-201245-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
300 PM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ181-201245-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
300 PM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT.

$$

PKZ185-201245-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
300 PM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE ICE EDGE.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N 30 KT W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE ICE EDGE.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND... N 30 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
434 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE WEATHER ROUNDUP ACROSS THE REGION
THIS MORNING FEATURES THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PULLING AWAY TOWARD THE
BERING STRAIT AND A FAIRLY WEAK SURFACE LOW MOVING ALMOST DUE
NORTH OVER THE EASTERN GULF. IN BETWEEN THESE TWO LOWS THE
MAJORITY OF THE MAINLAND REMAINS UNDER WEAK SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW. UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE VERY LIGHT WITH THE ONLY SIGN OF JET
ACTIVITY WELL TO OUR SOUTH IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. THIS JET IS
PROVIDING SOME SUPPORT TO A BROAD LOW COMPLEX THAT WILL EVENTUALLY
MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY
THURSDAY.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE ALL IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT
THROUGH THE FIRST 48 HOURS (THU AFTERNOON) THEN CONTINUE TO
MAINTAIN THE SAME IDEA...EVEN THOUGH SOME OF THE DETAILS DIFFER.
FORECASTS THIS EVENING TRENDED TOWARDS THE HIGHER RESOLUTION
MODELS (NAM/GEM REGIONAL) IN THE SHORTER TERM AND THEN
TRANSITIONED TO AN ECMWF APPROACH. THE BIGGEST TREND WAS TO SLOW
DOWN THE NORTHWARD PROGRESSION OF THE FRONT FROM THE NORTH
PACIFIC. INITIALLY IT WAS LOOKING LIKE THU MIGHT BE THE NICEST DAY
OF THE WEEK FOR PARTS OF SOUTHCENTRAL...BUT IF THE FRONT DOES
INDEED SLOW DOWN...FRI COULD BE QUITE NICE AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2...WED AND
THU)...AFTER RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES OCCURRED ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA ON TUE...WE WILL SEE THINGS TREND SLIGHTLY COOLER BUT STILL
REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL TODAY. STARTING OFF THE MORNING...TEMPS
ARE ALREADY ON THE ORDER OF 5 TO 15 DEGREES COLDER THAN
YESTERDAY. WITH MOST PLACES BELOW FREEZING...THIS COULD MAKE FOR A
SLICK MORNING COMMUTE WITH STANDING WATER FROM YESTERDAY
REFREEZING ON SURFACES. AREAS FROM THE SUSITNA VALLEY TOWARDS THE
GULF COAST WILL CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 30S TO LOWER 40S WHILE THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID 20S. THE WEAK LOW IN
THE EASTERN GULF IS REACHING A BIT FURTHER WEST THAN INITIALLY
THOUGHT...BUT IT DOES STILL LOOK LIKE THE PRECIP WILL BE CONFINED
TO AREAS FROM THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND EAST. THEN THU SHOULD BE QUITE
A SPECTACULAR DAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...PENDING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF ANY FOG/LOW STRATUS. A SHARP...FAST SHORTWAVE RIDGE
WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA KEEPING SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR AND WINDS
LIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY MILD AND WITH AN EVER-
INCREASING SUN ANGLE...IT SHOULD FEEL QUITE WARM OUTSIDE. THE ONLY
HINDRANCE TO THIS IS THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
KNIK ARM. EVEN IF IT WAS TO DEVELOP...IT WOULD LIKELY REMAIN
CONFINED TO THE MORNING HOURS AS DRIER AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE IN
THROUGH THE DAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2...WED AND THU)...THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW IS MAKING FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF LIGHT
PRECIPITATION STRETCHING FROM THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA THROUGH BRISTOL
BAY. PRECIPITATION HAS TURNED TO ALL SNOW THROUGH THE DELTA
OVERNIGHT BUT WARM TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO SUPPORT MOSTLY RAIN
THROUGH BRISTOL BAY. AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO SLIDE
NORTH AND FALL APART THROUGH THE DAY...WE SHOULD SEE PRECIPITATION
BECOME MORE SHOWERY THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE COMING TO AN END
OVERNIGHT. THIS COULD SET THE STAGE FOR PATCHY FOG. THE EXTENT OF
THE FOG SHOULD BE LIMITED THOUGH AS WEAK COLD AIR ADVECTION
CONTINUES OVERNIGHT. THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY...WE SHOULD SEE A
SWITCH TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW BRINGING IN WARM AIR ADVECTION WITH
850 MB TEMPERATURES RISING FROM ROUGHLY -6C TO NEARLY +1C AS THE
NEXT WARM FRONT APPROACHES. FOR NOW IT DOES NOT APPEAR THAT ANY
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT WILL REACH THE COAST
UNTIL NEARLY MIDNIGHT THU NIGHT. AS IT DOES SPREAD INLAND...IT
COULD MAKE FOR MORE MIXED PRECIPITATION ISSUES ON
FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY FOR THE COLDER VALLEYS OF THE DELTA AND LOWER
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2...WED AND
THU)...THE AREA REMAINS UNCHARACTERISTICALLY QUIET. ONE AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE IS MOVING NORTH TOWARDS THE BERING STRAIT WHILE IT
FALLS APART. THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW TRIES TO STRENGTHEN AS IT
APPROACHES THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS...BUT IT OUT-RUNS ITS
UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT LEAVING IT ONLY TO PUSH A WEAK WARM FRONT
THROUGH THE AREA. THERE WILL BE SOME MINIMUM GALE FORCE WINDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW. IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE MAIN WEATHER
PLAYER AS IT ONLY DRIFTS EVER SO SLOWLY EAST WHILE WEAKENING
THROUGH THIS TIME.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (FRIDAY FEBRUARY 20TH - THROUGH WEDNESDAY
FEBRUARY 25TH)...

ONCE AGAIN...ALASKA WILL BE ASSAULTED BY ANOTHER ROUND OF WARM AND
MOIST NORTH PACIFIC MARITIME AIR FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THE FIRST
NORTH PACIFIC FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING SEA AND
SOUTHWEST ALASKA FRIDAY BEFORE MOVING EAST INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. SOME RAIN AND SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE INLAND AS
THE FRONT MOVES NORTH...BUT THIS WILL RAPIDLY TURN TO ALL RAIN
INLAND AS WARM AIR ERODES ANY COLD AIR NEAR THE SURFACE. TEMPS
WILL SKYROCKET WELL ABOVE NORMAL ONCE AGAIN...WITH HEAVY
PRECIPITATION IMPACTING MOST OF THE GULF COAST AND KODIAK ISLAND.
THE TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST LATE MONDAY AND TUESDAY...BRINGING A
BRIEF REPRIEVE FROM THE WARM AND WET PATTERN. UNCERTAINTY
NATURALLY GROWS HEADING INTO MIDWEEK...BUT THE SUITE OF GLOBAL
NUMERICAL MODELS ARE HINTING AT A SLIGHTLY MORE PROGRESSIVE WAVE
PATTERN ALOFT ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 150 155 172 175-177 180.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MSO
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MSO
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MSO
LONG TERM...JRA