Gale Warning 170, NWS Anchorage, AK

352 
FZAK51 PAFC 162025 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1125 AM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

UPDATED ZONES 130 131 138

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-170945-
1125 AM AKST MON FEB 16 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A STRONG FRONT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL PUSH INLAND MONDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-170945-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
1125 AM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT...EXCEPT 55 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 24 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. NEAR THE COAST...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING
S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ120-170945-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
1125 AM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ121-170945-
RESURRECTION BAY-
1125 AM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-170945-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
1125 AM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 40 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-170945-
PORT VALDEZ-
1125 AM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-170945-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
1125 AM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-170945-
VALDEZ ARM-
1125 AM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-170945-
PASSAGE CANAL-
1125 AM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-170945-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
1125 AM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 55 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-170945-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
1125 AM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 70 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-170945-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
1125 AM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ136-170945-
CHINIAK BAY-
1125 AM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-170945-
MARMOT BAY-
1125 AM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-170945-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
1125 AM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18
FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-170945-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
1125 AM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-170945-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
1125 AM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT.

$$

PKZ141-170945-
KACHEMAK BAY-
1125 AM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

911 
FZAK51 PAFC 162220 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
120 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

UPDATED ZONE 121

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-171200-
119 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF
COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET...

A STRONG FRONT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL PUSH INLAND MONDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-171200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
120 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT...EXCEPT 55 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 24 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. NEAR THE COAST...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING
S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ120-171200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
120 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ121-171200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
120 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

UPDATED

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT
IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-171200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
120 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 40 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-171200-
PORT VALDEZ-
120 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-171200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
120 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-171200-
VALDEZ ARM-
120 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-171200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
120 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-171200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
120 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 55 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-171200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
120 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 70 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-171200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
120 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ136-171200-
CHINIAK BAY-
120 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-171200-
MARMOT BAY-
120 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-171200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
120 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18
FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-171200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
120 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-171200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
120 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT.

$$

PKZ141-171200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
120 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

903 
FZAK51 PAFC 170034
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
334 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-171400-
334 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG FRONT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL PUSH INLAND AND
RAPIDLY WEAKEN THIS EVENING. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-171400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
334 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. NEAR THE COAST...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING
S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-171400-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
334 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ121-171400-
RESURRECTION BAY-
334 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT GUSTS TO 30 KT BECOMING S 25 KT BY LATE
EVENING. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10
KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS
S OF CAINES HEAD.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-171400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
334 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 55 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-171400-
PORT VALDEZ-
334 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-171400-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
334 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-171400-
VALDEZ ARM-
334 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-171400-
PASSAGE CANAL-
334 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-171400-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
334 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 14
FT DIMINISHING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-171400-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
334 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ132-171400-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
334 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ136-171400-
CHINIAK BAY-
334 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-171400-
MARMOT BAY-
334 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-171400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
334 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-171400-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
334 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-171400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
334 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE EVENING. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-171400-
KACHEMAK BAY-
334 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
435 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A DEEP 970 MB LOW IS APPROACHING THE ALASKA PENINSULA FROM THE
SOUTH AND BRINGING WITH IT A STRONG PUSH OF WARM MOIST AIR. THE
BULK OF THE WARM AIR IS HEADED TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST AND NORTH
GULF COAST AND IS ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WINDS. OVER THE SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF MAINLAND ALASKA SOME WARM AIR STILL REMAINS FROM THE
PREVIOUS FRONT THAT PUSHED THROUGH.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE MAIN LOW APPROACHING THE
ALASKA PENINSULA. THEY ARE ALL CLOSE WITH INTENSITY AND KEEP IT ON
THE SAME TRACK INTO THE EASTERN BERING AND TOWARDS NUNIVAK ISLAND.
HOWEVER...THERE ARE SOME DISCREPANCIES WITH ANOTHER LOW THAT IS
MOVING INTO THE GULF TUESDAY NIGHT. THE EC IS MUCH FARTHER EAST
THAN THE OTHER MODELS AND THE NAM IS LAGGING BEHIND. THIS PATTERN
GETS WORSE AS WE MOVE INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW NEAR THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL
MAKE IT TO THE NORTH GULF COAST THIS EVENING BRINGING RAIN WITH
IT. OVERNIGHT THE PRECIPITATION WILL ALSO PUSH INTO THE REST OF
THE SOUTHCENTRAL BUT THE QUESTION WILL BE HOW MUCH AND WHAT KIND.
WITH THE STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW THERE LOOKS TO BE ENOUGH
DOWNSLOPING TO KEEP THE MAJORITY OF THE PRECIPITATION AWAY FROM
AREAS EAST OF COOK INLET AND UP INTO THE MAT VALLEY.
HOWEVER...THERE REMAINS A POSSIBILITY THAT SOME SHOWERS WILL MAKE
IT INTO THOSE AREAS. TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY JUST ABOVE
FREEZING FOR ANCHORAGE INTO THE MAT VALLEY AND ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
DROP TOO MUCH MOVING INTO THE NIGHT. THIS LEAVES SOME UNCERTAINTY
AS TO WHETHER RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN WOULD FALL LATE TONIGHT AND
EARLY MONDAY MORNING IF THOSE SHOWERS DO DEVELOP.

MONDAY AFTERNOON THERE WILL BE ANOTHER PUSH OF MOISTURE FROM THE
SOUTH THAT IS SUPPORTED BY A SHORT WAVE AND THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW
WILL SHIFT TO BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY. THIS GIVES HIGHER CONFIDENCE
IN PRECIPITATION BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD. BUT THERE SHOULD BE
ENOUGH WARM AIR WITH THIS SECOND PUSH TO KEEP MOST AREAS IN RAIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE EASTERN BERING
TONIGHT THROUGH TUE. DURING THIS TIMEFRAME AN ASSOCIATED FRONT
WILL BRING WARM AIR INTO SW AK WITH MAINLY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS IN
THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE...AND SNOW IN THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. AS THE
WARM AIR OVERRUNS COLD AIR AT THE SURFACE IN THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA...PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...AND AGAIN MONDAY EVENING. PRECIPITATION WILL THEN
CHANGE TO A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE EASTERN BERING WILL BRING RAIN AND
SNOW AND STRONG WIND TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND AKPEN
TONIGHT...BECOMING ALL RAIN MON THROUGH TUE. THE PRIBILOFS WILL BE
MAINLY SNOW TONIGHT WITH SIGNIFICANT BLOWING SNOW THROUGH MID
MORNING ON MON. AT THAT TIME RAIN WILL BEGIN TO MIX WITH THE SNOW
AND THIS WILL PERSIST INTO TUE. THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL HAVE
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ON PERSISTENT NORTHEAST FLOW THROUGH TUE.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE MODEL SPREAD REGARDING THE LOW MOVING INTO THE GULF TUESDAY
NIGHT LENDS RELATIVELY LOW CONFIDENCE TO THE PRECIPITATION
FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. A
FARTHER EAST SOLUTION WOULD KEEP MOST OF THE ACTIVITY CONFINED TO
THE EASTERN GULF...WHEREAS A MORE WESTERN TRACK TOWARDS PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND WOULD BRING MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION TO THE
AREA. FOR NOW...THE FORECAST REFLECTS A MORE EASTWARD TRACK FOR
THE LOW AND THUS A LOWER CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR MODEL TRENDS IN THE COMING
DAYS.

AFTER THAT...CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW WITH RESPECT TO INDIVIDUAL
DISTURBANCES MOVING TOWARDS THE MAINLAND FROM THE NORTH
PACIFIC...BUT THE GENERAL CONSENSUS IS FOR A WARM AND MOIST
PATTERN TO CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND AS A RIDGE OVER THE WEST
COAST OF NORTH AMERICA KEEPS BROAD SOUTHERLY FLOW FOCUSED ON THE
MAINLAND AND PARTICULARLY ALONG THE GULF COAST. THE BERING WILL
ALSO REMAIN IN A SHOWERY REGIME BENEATH CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DK
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DS
LONG TERM...CB