Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2015

Gale Warning 12, NWS Anchorage, AK

January 9, 2015

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 9, 2015, 3:04 PM AKST. It was in force for 48 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 9, 2015, 3:04 PM AKST (00:04 UTC)
Expired
Jan 11, 2015, 2:58 PM AKST
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

358 
FZAK62 PAFC 100004
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
304 PM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-101445-
304 PM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 994 LOW AT 60N 172W WILL MOVE TO 62N 176W BY SAT AFTERNOON AND
DISSIPATE. A 974 LOW AT 46N 176E WILL MOVE TO 49N 176E AT 973 MB
SAT AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE TO 48N 171E AT 965 MB BY SUN AFTERNOON.
ANOTHER NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK NORTHWARD TO 52N 172W AT 977
MB BY SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-101445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
304 PM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ412-101445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
304 PM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$

PKZ413-101445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
304 PM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.

$$

PKZ414-101445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
304 PM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.

$$
4 follow-up statements
237 
FZAK62 PAFC 101210
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
310 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-110300-
310 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 974 MB LOW AT 48N 176E WILL MOVE TO 50N 174E AT 970 MB LATE SAT
NIGHT...THEN STALL NEAR 49N 174E AT 965 MB BY LATE SUN NIGHT. A
975 MB LOW NEAR 47N 159W SUN AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO NEAR 48N 158W
AT 971 MB BY LATE SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-110300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
310 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE TO SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ412-110300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
310 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND UP TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING E 10
TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ413-110300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
310 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE TO SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.

$$

PKZ414-110300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
310 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 TO 25 KT DURING THE MORNING.
SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$
098 
FZAK62 PAFC 110000
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-111345-
300 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 972 MB LOW NEAR 50N 179W WILL STRENGTHEN TO 964 MB NEAR 48N 173E
SUN AFTERNOON AND BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY AT SAME STRENGTH
THROUGH MON AFTERNOON. A 978 MB LOW NEAR 46N 158W SUN MORNING
WILL STRENGTHEN TO 971 MB NEAR 49N 159W MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-111345-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
300 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ412-111345-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
300 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT.

$$

PKZ413-111345-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
300 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ414-111345-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
300 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$
007 
FZAK62 PAFC 111217
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
317 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-120200-
317 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 971 MB LOW NEAR 50N 175E WILL MOVE TO 49N 174E AT 965 MB BY
LATE SUN NIGHT THEN MOVE TO 50N 171E AT 968 MB MON NIGHT. A 972
MB LOW NEAR 47N 156W LATE SUN NIGHT WILL MOVE TO 51N 161W AT 966
MB MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-120200-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
317 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.

$$

PKZ412-120200-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
317 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ413-120200-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
317 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SE 15 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$

PKZ414-120200-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
317 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$
932 
FZAK62 PAFC 112358
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
258 PM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-121345-
258 PM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 968 MB LOW NEAR 49N 172E WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND
SLOWLY WEAKEN TO 975 MB BY TUE AFTERNOON. A 973 MB LOW NEAR 45N
157W WILL STRENGTHEN TO 961 MB NEAR 51N 159W MON AFTERNOON BEFORE
WEAKENING TO 972 MB NEAR 56N 162W TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-121345-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
258 PM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.

$$

PKZ412-121345-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
258 PM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ413-121345-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
258 PM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ414-121345-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
258 PM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 9, 4:52 AM AKST, 10 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 9, 4:52 AM AKST, 10 hours 12 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
452 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

THE HIGHLY AMPLIFIED PATTERN CONTINUES THIS MORNING ACROSS ALASKA
AS A DEEP NEGATIVE TILT RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHWEST US
TO THE NORTHEAST SLOPE OF ALASKA DRIVES A PLUME OF MOISTURE ACROSS
SOUTHERN ALASKA. WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THREE
REMNANT UPPER LOWS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LARGER SCALE BERING/NOPAC
TROUGH...ONE WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...ONE OVER WESTERN KODIAK
ISLAND...AND ONE SOUTHWEST OF HAIDA GWAII. THE SPLITTING OF THIS
TROUGH WILL EFFECTIVELY CUT OFF THE NORTH PACIFIC MOISTURE PLUME
INTO ALASKA...AND WILL LEAVE THE MAINLAND REGION UNDER INCREASING
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING ALOFT...AND A DIMINISHING SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT. SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHWEST
ALASKA...AS WELL AS RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS THE GULF COAST...WILL
PERSIST INTO TONIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING AND BECOMING ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED. A SINGLE MID LEVEL LOW WILL ROTATE AROUND THE GULF AND
RETROGRADE WEST SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...WITH INCREASING SHOWERS
ALONG THE GULF COAST AND INTO THE COPPER BASIN. THE BERING SEA AND
ALEUTIANS WILL SEE INCREASING STORMINESS THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS A SERIES OF NOPAC LOWS ROTATE NORTHWARD INTO THE
AREA.

THE BRIEF REPRIEVE IN ACTIVE WEATHER ACROSS SOUTHERN ALASKA WILL
LAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND BEFORE A POWERFUL JET STREAM ACROSS THE
NORTH PACIFIC CARVES OUT ANOTHER DEEP ALEUTIAN LOW EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A PACIFIC "FIREHOSE" PATTERN TO
UNLEASH A SERIES OF STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS INTO THE ALASKA
PENINSULA AND GULF OF ALASKA...KEEPING THE THREAT FOR PERIODS OF
RAIN...CLOUDS...AND WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ACROSS ALASKA
DEEP INTO NEXT WEEK. IN OTHER WORDS...THE NEVER ENDING WARM
ANOMALIES WILL CONTINUE WITH NO MAJOR COLD OUTBREAKS OR
SIGNIFICANT SNOW THREATS EXPECTED IN THE NEAR FUTURE. THE RECORD
BREAKING WARMTH OF THIS WINTER LOOKS TO PERSIST FOR THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE AS HIGH LATITUDE BLOCKING OVER EASTERN SIBERIA
AND THE CHUKCHI SEA DOMINATES THE REGIONAL PATTERN.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

ALL THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE GENERAL
PATTERN DEEP INTO THE WEEKEND...AND ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT
DEEP INTO NEXT WEEK IN TERMS OF THE OVERALL LARGE SCALE SYNOPTIC
PATTERN. THEY ARE...HOWEVER...STRUGGLING WITH A COMPLEX NORTH
PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE PATTERN AS AN INCREASINGLY STRONG NORTH
PACIFIC JET MAKES EASTWARD PROGRESS. NUMEROUS LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO
EVENTUALLY ROTATE NORTH INTO THE SOUTHERN BERING THROUGH THE DAY 7
PERIOD...AND LARGE TRACK DISCREPANCIES BEGIN TO EMERGE AS EARLY AS
SATURDAY NIGHT OVER THE BERING. AS A RESULT...A GENERAL BLENDED
APPROACH WAS FAVORED OVER THE BERING TO ACCOUNT FOR THESE
CHALLENGES. OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA...NO MODEL WAS FAVORED AS THEY
ARE ALL DEPICTING SIMILAR SCENARIOS. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH OVER
SOUTHERN ALASKA...AND MODERATE OVER THE BERING SEA.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (FRIDAY AND SATURDAY)...
THE LOW IN THE SOUTHWEST GULF AND ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL ALASKA WILL WEAKEN THROUGH TONIGHT. THE AIR MASS IS STILL
FAIRLY WARM AND MOST PRECIPITATION IS FALLING AS LIQUID OR
FREEZING...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE COPPER RIVER BASIN WHERE SOME
SNOW IS POSSIBLE. INLAND AREAS WILL BE DRY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHT WITH A WEAK RIDGE OVER THE AREA. THE WEAK RIDGE WILL LEAD TO
FAIRLY STAGNANT AIR...WHICH INTRODUCES THE POSSIBILITY OF FOG
AROUND THE COOK INLET TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (FRIDAY AND SATURDAY)...
12Z SOUNDINGS FROM KING SALMON AND BETHEL DEPICT TEMPERATURES IN
THE 40S JUST OFF OF THE SURFACE AHEAD OF A FRONT SLOWLY MOVING ITS
WAY INLAND OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND. ONE SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM IS
THAT THE AIR AT THE SURFACE IS AT OR BELOW FREEZING IN THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND THROUGH THE KUSKOKWIM RIVER ZONES.
THEREFORE...A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY WAS ISSUED OVERNIGHT FOR THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA ZONE OVERNIGHT...AND WILL BE EXTENDED THROUGH 9 AM
WITH THE MORNING FORECAST PACKAGE. LIKEWISE...A NEW FREEZING
ADVISORY IS BEING ISSUED THROUGH 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY ZONE. TEMPERATURES AT THE SURFACE ARE WELL ABOVE
FREEZING THROUGHOUT BRISTOL BAY WITH NO THREAT FOR ICING
ACCUMULATIONS.

COLD AIR ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO ERODE THE WARM LAYER FROM
ABOVE...EVENTUALLY TURNING THE FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN TO SNOW
BEFORE ENDING FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA TODAY.

PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP TONIGHT ESPECIALLY IN SHELTERED AREAS WHERE
WARMER BERING SEA AIR WILL SETTLE OVER THE FROZEN GROUND...MAINLY
IN THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND BRISTOL BAY ZONES.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (FRIDAY AND SATURDAY)...
QUIET CONDITIONS BY BERING SEA STANDARDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
REGION THROUGH SATURDAY. BY SATURDAY NIGHT...THERE ARE SIGNIFICANT
MODEL DISCREPANCIES YIELDING LOW CONFIDENCE IN ANY ONE MODEL
SOLUTION...BUT ALL AGREE WITH PUSHING A LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONT
NORTH TOWARD THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN. THE MAIN IMPACTS FOR SATURDAY
NIGHT WILL BE INCREASING WINDS ALONG THE ISLAND
CHAIN...PARTICULARLY THROUGH CHANNELED AREAS NEAR DUTCH
HARBOR...WITH A POSSIBLE BARRIER JET FORMING ALONG THE PACIFIC
SIDE OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND WILL EXPERIENCE A BRIEF PERIOD OF
QUIET WEATHER THROUGH SUNDAY WITH LIGHT WINDS AND PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL FOR MOST AREAS.
HOWEVER...BY MONDAY THE FIRST OF A SERIES OF SYSTEMS WILL MOVE
INTO THE GULF...BRINGING MORE UNSETTLED TO THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND
THAT LOOKS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. BROAD
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL KEEP ABUNDANT SHOWER ACTIVITY FOCUSED ALONG
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WITH WINDS INCREASING AS VARIOUS
DISTURBANCES ROTATE NORTHWARD INTO THE AREA.

OVER THE BERING SEA REGION...A GALE FORCE LOW WILL APPROACH THE
ALEUTIANS ON SUNDAY...BRINGING RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS THROUGHOUT THE
ALEUTIANS AND PRIBILOF ISLANDS INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.
SHOWERS WILL THEN REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR MUCH OF THE BERING
FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE ALEUTIANS AS A DEEP
NORTH PACIFIC LOW RETROGRADES WESTWARD ALONG THE CHAIN ACCOMPANIED
BY GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY 131 152 155.
MARINE...GALE 172 173 174 175 176 177 178.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CC
LONG TERM...DEK

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 9, 9:45 AM AKST, 5 hours 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
945 AM AKST FRI JAN 09 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     FREEZING RAIN    PAXSON                  63.09N 145.61W
01/09/2015  E0.25 INCH                          AK   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            THE ALASKA DOT REPORTS FREEZING RAIN ALONG THE RICHARDSON
            HIGHWAY FROM MILEPOST 170 TO MILEPOST 202. THEY ESTIMATE
            BETWEEN ONE EITH AND ONE QUARTER INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION
            ALONG THIS STRETCH OF HIGHWAY.

&&

SBAINES
Local storm report, Jan 9, 9:45 AM AKST, 5 hours 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
945 AM AKST FRI JAN 09 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     FREEZING RAIN    PAXSON                  63.09N 145.61W
01/09/2015  E0.25 INCH                          AK   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            THE ALASKA DOT REPORTS FREEZING RAIN ALONG THE RICHARDSON
            HIGHWAY FROM MILEPOST 170 TO MILEPOST 202. THEY ESTIMATE
            BETWEEN ONE EIGHTH AND ONE QUARTER INCH OF ICE
            ACCUMULATION ALONG THIS STRETCH OF HIGHWAY.

&&

SBAINES
Local storm report, Jan 9, 11:40 AM AKST, 3 hours 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1140 AM AKST FRI JAN 09 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1103 AM     FREEZING RAIN    VALDEZ                  61.08N 146.30W
01/09/2015  M0.40 INCH                          AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            WEATHER SERVICE EMPLOYEE MEASURED 0.4 INCHES OF ICE FROM
            18Z YESTERDAY TO 18Z TODAY. PRECIP HAS ENDED FOR NOW.
            MAIN IMPACT WAS VERY ICY STREETS AND THE ROAD CREWS ARE
            WORKING ON THE ROADS.

&&

RDUELL
Local storm report, Jan 9, 2:18 PM AKST, 46 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
218 PM AKST FRI JAN 09 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 AM     FREEZING RAIN    EAGLE RIVER             61.32N 149.57W
01/09/2015  U0.00 INCH                          AK   PUBLIC

            MULTIPLE SOCIAL MEDIA REPORTS OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN
            BETWEEN EAGLE RIVER AND NORTH ANCHORAGE ON GLENN HIGHWAY
            WITH PATCHES OF BLACK ICE ON ROADS.

0730 AM     FREEZING RAIN    WILLOW                  61.74N 150.06W
01/09/2015  U0.00 INCH                          AK   PUBLIC

            LIGHT FREEZING RAIN REPORTED FROM 7AM UNTIL 8AM.

&&

RDUELL
Local storm report, Jan 9, 2:33 PM AKST, 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
233 PM AKST FRI JAN 09 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0231 PM     FREEZING RAIN    10 SE VALDEZ            60.98N 146.09W
01/09/2015  E0.25 INCH                          AK   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ALASKA DOT REPORTS FREEZING DRIZZLE ALL MORNING
            THROUGHOUT THE VALDEZ AREA AND UP THE RICHARDSON HIGHWAY.
            ESTIMATES ABOUT A QUARTER INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION ACROSS
            THE REGION.

&&

RDUELL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 9, 3:04 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC5 days
Jan 10, 3:09 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Jan 10, 3:14 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2015Every gale warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.