Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2015
Gale Warning 12, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 9, 2015, 3:04 PM AKST. It was in force for 48 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 9, 2015, 3:04 PM AKST (00:04 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 11, 2015, 2:58 PM AKST
- In force
- 48 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
358 FZAK62 PAFC 100004 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 304 PM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-101445- 304 PM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 994 LOW AT 60N 172W WILL MOVE TO 62N 176W BY SAT AFTERNOON AND DISSIPATE. A 974 LOW AT 46N 176E WILL MOVE TO 49N 176E AT 973 MB SAT AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE TO 48N 171E AT 965 MB BY SUN AFTERNOON. ANOTHER NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK NORTHWARD TO 52N 172W AT 977 MB BY SUN AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ411-101445- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE- 304 PM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. $$ PKZ412-101445- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N- 304 PM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. $$ PKZ413-101445- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N- 304 PM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. $$ PKZ414-101445- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W- 304 PM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015 .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. $$
4 follow-up statements
237 FZAK62 PAFC 101210 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 310 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-110300- 310 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 974 MB LOW AT 48N 176E WILL MOVE TO 50N 174E AT 970 MB LATE SAT NIGHT...THEN STALL NEAR 49N 174E AT 965 MB BY LATE SUN NIGHT. A 975 MB LOW NEAR 47N 159W SUN AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO NEAR 48N 158W AT 971 MB BY LATE SUN NIGHT. $$ PKZ411-110300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE- 310 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...NE TO SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. $$ PKZ412-110300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N- 310 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND UP TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING E 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. $$ PKZ413-110300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N- 310 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015 .TODAY...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN. .SUN...NE TO SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. $$ PKZ414-110300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W- 310 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015 .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 TO 25 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. $$
098 FZAK62 PAFC 110000 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 300 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-111345- 300 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 972 MB LOW NEAR 50N 179W WILL STRENGTHEN TO 964 MB NEAR 48N 173E SUN AFTERNOON AND BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY AT SAME STRENGTH THROUGH MON AFTERNOON. A 978 MB LOW NEAR 46N 158W SUN MORNING WILL STRENGTHEN TO 971 MB NEAR 49N 159W MON AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ411-111345- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE- 300 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. RAIN. .SUN...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. $$ PKZ412-111345- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N- 300 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015 .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. $$ PKZ413-111345- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N- 300 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. $$ PKZ414-111345- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W- 300 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2015 .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. .MON...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. $$
007 FZAK62 PAFC 111217 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 317 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-120200- 317 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 971 MB LOW NEAR 50N 175E WILL MOVE TO 49N 174E AT 965 MB BY LATE SUN NIGHT THEN MOVE TO 50N 171E AT 968 MB MON NIGHT. A 972 MB LOW NEAR 47N 156W LATE SUN NIGHT WILL MOVE TO 51N 161W AT 966 MB MON NIGHT. $$ PKZ411-120200- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE- 317 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. $$ PKZ412-120200- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N- 317 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015 .TODAY...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. .MON...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. $$ PKZ413-120200- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N- 317 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015 .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SE 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. RAIN. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. $$ PKZ414-120200- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W- 317 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. $$
932 FZAK62 PAFC 112358 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 258 PM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-121345- 258 PM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 968 MB LOW NEAR 49N 172E WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND SLOWLY WEAKEN TO 975 MB BY TUE AFTERNOON. A 973 MB LOW NEAR 45N 157W WILL STRENGTHEN TO 961 MB NEAR 51N 159W MON AFTERNOON BEFORE WEAKENING TO 972 MB NEAR 56N 162W TUE AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ411-121345- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE- 258 PM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. RAIN. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. $$ PKZ412-121345- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N- 258 PM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015 .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. $$ PKZ413-121345- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N- 258 PM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. .MON...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT. RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. $$ PKZ414-121345- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W- 258 PM AKST SUN JAN 11 2015 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 9, 4:52 AM AKST, 10 hours 12 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 9, 4:52 AM AKST, 10 hours 12 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 452 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015 .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS... THE HIGHLY AMPLIFIED PATTERN CONTINUES THIS MORNING ACROSS ALASKA AS A DEEP NEGATIVE TILT RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHWEST US TO THE NORTHEAST SLOPE OF ALASKA DRIVES A PLUME OF MOISTURE ACROSS SOUTHERN ALASKA. WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THREE REMNANT UPPER LOWS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LARGER SCALE BERING/NOPAC TROUGH...ONE WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...ONE OVER WESTERN KODIAK ISLAND...AND ONE SOUTHWEST OF HAIDA GWAII. THE SPLITTING OF THIS TROUGH WILL EFFECTIVELY CUT OFF THE NORTH PACIFIC MOISTURE PLUME INTO ALASKA...AND WILL LEAVE THE MAINLAND REGION UNDER INCREASING WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING ALOFT...AND A DIMINISHING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT. SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA...AS WELL AS RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS THE GULF COAST...WILL PERSIST INTO TONIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING AND BECOMING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED. A SINGLE MID LEVEL LOW WILL ROTATE AROUND THE GULF AND RETROGRADE WEST SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...WITH INCREASING SHOWERS ALONG THE GULF COAST AND INTO THE COPPER BASIN. THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS WILL SEE INCREASING STORMINESS THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A SERIES OF NOPAC LOWS ROTATE NORTHWARD INTO THE AREA. THE BRIEF REPRIEVE IN ACTIVE WEATHER ACROSS SOUTHERN ALASKA WILL LAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND BEFORE A POWERFUL JET STREAM ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC CARVES OUT ANOTHER DEEP ALEUTIAN LOW EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A PACIFIC "FIREHOSE" PATTERN TO UNLEASH A SERIES OF STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS INTO THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND GULF OF ALASKA...KEEPING THE THREAT FOR PERIODS OF RAIN...CLOUDS...AND WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ACROSS ALASKA DEEP INTO NEXT WEEK. IN OTHER WORDS...THE NEVER ENDING WARM ANOMALIES WILL CONTINUE WITH NO MAJOR COLD OUTBREAKS OR SIGNIFICANT SNOW THREATS EXPECTED IN THE NEAR FUTURE. THE RECORD BREAKING WARMTH OF THIS WINTER LOOKS TO PERSIST FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE AS HIGH LATITUDE BLOCKING OVER EASTERN SIBERIA AND THE CHUKCHI SEA DOMINATES THE REGIONAL PATTERN. && .MODEL DISCUSSION... ALL THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE GENERAL PATTERN DEEP INTO THE WEEKEND...AND ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT DEEP INTO NEXT WEEK IN TERMS OF THE OVERALL LARGE SCALE SYNOPTIC PATTERN. THEY ARE...HOWEVER...STRUGGLING WITH A COMPLEX NORTH PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE PATTERN AS AN INCREASINGLY STRONG NORTH PACIFIC JET MAKES EASTWARD PROGRESS. NUMEROUS LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY ROTATE NORTH INTO THE SOUTHERN BERING THROUGH THE DAY 7 PERIOD...AND LARGE TRACK DISCREPANCIES BEGIN TO EMERGE AS EARLY AS SATURDAY NIGHT OVER THE BERING. AS A RESULT...A GENERAL BLENDED APPROACH WAS FAVORED OVER THE BERING TO ACCOUNT FOR THESE CHALLENGES. OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA...NO MODEL WAS FAVORED AS THEY ARE ALL DEPICTING SIMILAR SCENARIOS. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA...AND MODERATE OVER THE BERING SEA. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (FRIDAY AND SATURDAY)... THE LOW IN THE SOUTHWEST GULF AND ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA WILL WEAKEN THROUGH TONIGHT. THE AIR MASS IS STILL FAIRLY WARM AND MOST PRECIPITATION IS FALLING AS LIQUID OR FREEZING...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE COPPER RIVER BASIN WHERE SOME SNOW IS POSSIBLE. INLAND AREAS WILL BE DRY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT WITH A WEAK RIDGE OVER THE AREA. THE WEAK RIDGE WILL LEAD TO FAIRLY STAGNANT AIR...WHICH INTRODUCES THE POSSIBILITY OF FOG AROUND THE COOK INLET TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (FRIDAY AND SATURDAY)... 12Z SOUNDINGS FROM KING SALMON AND BETHEL DEPICT TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S JUST OFF OF THE SURFACE AHEAD OF A FRONT SLOWLY MOVING ITS WAY INLAND OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND. ONE SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM IS THAT THE AIR AT THE SURFACE IS AT OR BELOW FREEZING IN THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND THROUGH THE KUSKOKWIM RIVER ZONES. THEREFORE...A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY WAS ISSUED OVERNIGHT FOR THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA ZONE OVERNIGHT...AND WILL BE EXTENDED THROUGH 9 AM WITH THE MORNING FORECAST PACKAGE. LIKEWISE...A NEW FREEZING ADVISORY IS BEING ISSUED THROUGH 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY ZONE. TEMPERATURES AT THE SURFACE ARE WELL ABOVE FREEZING THROUGHOUT BRISTOL BAY WITH NO THREAT FOR ICING ACCUMULATIONS. COLD AIR ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO ERODE THE WARM LAYER FROM ABOVE...EVENTUALLY TURNING THE FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP TONIGHT ESPECIALLY IN SHELTERED AREAS WHERE WARMER BERING SEA AIR WILL SETTLE OVER THE FROZEN GROUND...MAINLY IN THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND BRISTOL BAY ZONES. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (FRIDAY AND SATURDAY)... QUIET CONDITIONS BY BERING SEA STANDARDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY. BY SATURDAY NIGHT...THERE ARE SIGNIFICANT MODEL DISCREPANCIES YIELDING LOW CONFIDENCE IN ANY ONE MODEL SOLUTION...BUT ALL AGREE WITH PUSHING A LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONT NORTH TOWARD THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN. THE MAIN IMPACTS FOR SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE INCREASING WINDS ALONG THE ISLAND CHAIN...PARTICULARLY THROUGH CHANNELED AREAS NEAR DUTCH HARBOR...WITH A POSSIBLE BARRIER JET FORMING ALONG THE PACIFIC SIDE OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA. && .LONG TERM FORECAST (SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)... MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND WILL EXPERIENCE A BRIEF PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER THROUGH SUNDAY WITH LIGHT WINDS AND PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL FOR MOST AREAS. HOWEVER...BY MONDAY THE FIRST OF A SERIES OF SYSTEMS WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF...BRINGING MORE UNSETTLED TO THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND THAT LOOKS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. BROAD SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL KEEP ABUNDANT SHOWER ACTIVITY FOCUSED ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WITH WINDS INCREASING AS VARIOUS DISTURBANCES ROTATE NORTHWARD INTO THE AREA. OVER THE BERING SEA REGION...A GALE FORCE LOW WILL APPROACH THE ALEUTIANS ON SUNDAY...BRINGING RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS THROUGHOUT THE ALEUTIANS AND PRIBILOF ISLANDS INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. SHOWERS WILL THEN REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR MUCH OF THE BERING FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE ALEUTIANS AS A DEEP NORTH PACIFIC LOW RETROGRADES WESTWARD ALONG THE CHAIN ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS. && .AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY 131 152 155. MARINE...GALE 172 173 174 175 176 177 178. FIRE WEATHER...NONE. && SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JA SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CC LONG TERM...DEK
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jan 9, 9:45 AM AKST, 5 hours 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
945 AM AKST FRI JAN 09 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM FREEZING RAIN PAXSON 63.09N 145.61W
01/09/2015 E0.25 INCH AK DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
THE ALASKA DOT REPORTS FREEZING RAIN ALONG THE RICHARDSON
HIGHWAY FROM MILEPOST 170 TO MILEPOST 202. THEY ESTIMATE
BETWEEN ONE EITH AND ONE QUARTER INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION
ALONG THIS STRETCH OF HIGHWAY.
&&
SBAINESLocal storm report, Jan 9, 9:45 AM AKST, 5 hours 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
945 AM AKST FRI JAN 09 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM FREEZING RAIN PAXSON 63.09N 145.61W
01/09/2015 E0.25 INCH AK DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
THE ALASKA DOT REPORTS FREEZING RAIN ALONG THE RICHARDSON
HIGHWAY FROM MILEPOST 170 TO MILEPOST 202. THEY ESTIMATE
BETWEEN ONE EIGHTH AND ONE QUARTER INCH OF ICE
ACCUMULATION ALONG THIS STRETCH OF HIGHWAY.
&&
SBAINESLocal storm report, Jan 9, 11:40 AM AKST, 3 hours 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1140 AM AKST FRI JAN 09 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1103 AM FREEZING RAIN VALDEZ 61.08N 146.30W
01/09/2015 M0.40 INCH AK NWS EMPLOYEE
WEATHER SERVICE EMPLOYEE MEASURED 0.4 INCHES OF ICE FROM
18Z YESTERDAY TO 18Z TODAY. PRECIP HAS ENDED FOR NOW.
MAIN IMPACT WAS VERY ICY STREETS AND THE ROAD CREWS ARE
WORKING ON THE ROADS.
&&
RDUELLLocal storm report, Jan 9, 2:18 PM AKST, 46 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
218 PM AKST FRI JAN 09 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0645 AM FREEZING RAIN EAGLE RIVER 61.32N 149.57W
01/09/2015 U0.00 INCH AK PUBLIC
MULTIPLE SOCIAL MEDIA REPORTS OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN
BETWEEN EAGLE RIVER AND NORTH ANCHORAGE ON GLENN HIGHWAY
WITH PATCHES OF BLACK ICE ON ROADS.
0730 AM FREEZING RAIN WILLOW 61.74N 150.06W
01/09/2015 U0.00 INCH AK PUBLIC
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN REPORTED FROM 7AM UNTIL 8AM.
&&
RDUELLLocal storm report, Jan 9, 2:33 PM AKST, 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
233 PM AKST FRI JAN 09 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0231 PM FREEZING RAIN 10 SE VALDEZ 60.98N 146.09W
01/09/2015 E0.25 INCH AK DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
ALASKA DOT REPORTS FREEZING DRIZZLE ALL MORNING
THROUGHOUT THE VALDEZ AREA AND UP THE RICHARDSON HIGHWAY.
ESTIMATES ABOUT A QUARTER INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION ACROSS
THE REGION.
&&
RDUELLThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 3:04 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 5 days | |
| Jan 10, 3:09 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Jan 10, 3:14 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.