Gale Warning 115, NWS Anchorage, AK

116 
FZAK62 PAFC 091215
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
315 AM AKST MON FEB 9 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-100230-
315 AM AKST MON FEB 9 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A DEEP NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL
CROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA MON AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AND EASTERN BERING SEA THROUGH TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-100230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
315 AM AKST MON FEB 9 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N
OF 56N IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ412-100230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
315 AM AKST MON FEB 9 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY E
OF 176W.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY E OF 175W.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY E OF 174W.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ413-100230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
315 AM AKST MON FEB 9 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 TO 18 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY E OF 175W IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 TO 20 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 TO 20 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 TO 19 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ414-100230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
315 AM AKST MON FEB 9 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 56N.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

606 
FZAK62 PAFC 100006
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
306 PM AKST MON FEB 9 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-101430-
306 PM AKST MON FEB 9 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS
WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AND EASTERN
BERING SEA THROUGH WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-101430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
306 PM AKST MON FEB 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. FREEZING RAIN N
OF 57N.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF
57N IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.

$$

PKZ412-101430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
306 PM AKST MON FEB 9 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY E OF 175W.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY E OF 175W.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ413-101430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
306 PM AKST MON FEB 9 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 TO 20 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF
55N.
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 TO 20 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 55N IN
THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 16 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ414-101430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
306 PM AKST MON FEB 9 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY N OF 56N.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.

$$

710 
FZAK62 PAFC 101232
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
332 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-110245-
332 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL REMAIN STATIONARY
THROUGH WED.

$$

PKZ411-110245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
332 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N
OF 57N IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.

$$

PKZ412-110245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
332 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY E OF 174W.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY E OF 173W.
.WED...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
E OF 173W.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ413-110245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
332 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 TO 21 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 TO 20 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 16 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ414-110245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
332 AM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N.
.WED...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
N OF 57N.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$

769 
FZAK62 PAFC 102359
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
259 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-111445-
259 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE NORTHWESTERN BERING SEA THROUGH
THU. A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE INTO
THE CENTRAL BERING SEA THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-111445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
259 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N
OF 57N.
.WED...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF
57N.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N
OF 57N.
.THU...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ412-111445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
259 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY E OF 174W.
.WED...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
E OF 174W.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY E OF 174W.
.THU...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ413-111445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
259 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 55N.
.WED...N WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 55N.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY
N OF 55N.
.THU...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 14 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ414-111445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
259 PM AKST TUE FEB 10 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY N OF 56N.
.WED...N WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY N OF 56N.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY N OF 56N.
.THU...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 8 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
534 AM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER NORTHEASTERN RUSSIA WITH A LOW NOW
JUST SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA. BETWEEN THESE TWO FEATURES
STRONG NORTHEASTERLY FLOW MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST AND BERING
SEA. THIS FLOW HAS ALSO ADVECTED SOME COLD AIR FROM MAINLAND
ALASKA OUT OVER THE BERING. THE SURFACE LOW IS CLOSER TOWARDS
SOUTHERN KODIAK ISLAND AND WITH THE NORTHEAST WINDS IS BRINGING
NEW SNOW TO THE ISLAND. THE SNOW COMBINED WITH THE WINDS IS
PRODUCING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE HAVING A LOT OF PROBLEMS WITH THE LOW NEAR KODIAK
ISLAND. SATELLITE SHOWS A PLETHORA OF LOWS THROUGHOUT THE GULF AND
ALL OF THE MODELS ARE HAVING ISSUES RESOLVING THESE SMALL
CIRCULATIONS WHICH IS PART OF THE REASON WHY THEY ARE ALSO
STRUGGLING WITH THE MAIN LOW. THERE IS ADDITIONAL DISCREPANCY ON
THE HANDLING OF THE MAIN CORE OF SNOW ALONG THE GULF COAST AND FOR
KODIAK ISLAND. THE NAM HAS BEEN DOING THE BEST WITH THE COMPLEX
LOW PLACEMENT BUT IS ALSO THE BIGGEST OUTLIER WITH PRECIPITATION
FIELDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
AS THE LOW NEAR KODIAK MOVES FURTHER SOUTHWEST AND WEAKENS...THE
PRESSURE GRADIENTS ACROSS THE SOUTHCENTRAL WILL CONTINUE TO DROP
WHICH WILL KEEP WINDS IN THE AREA ON A DOWNWARD TREND. UPPER LEVEL
FLOW WILL ALSO BE CHANGING TO BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY WHICH WILL
BRING BACK SNOW TO THE GULF COAST TODAY. THE SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
ALSO BRING IN MORE CLOUD COVER FOR MUCH OF THE SOUTHCENTRAL WHICH
WILL HELP TO MODERATE THE TEMPERATURES. FOR KODIAK THE HEAVIEST
BAND OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE WEST DURING THE MORNING
WHICH WILL END BLIZZARD CONDITIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA
THE SURFACE LOW NEAR KODIAK ISLAND BEGINS TO FILL AND WEAKEN
SLOWLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WINDS SHOULD TAPER DOWN EARLY T0DAY
ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND BRISTOL BAY AND THEREFORE THE
ADVISORY TIMES WILL BE ADJUSTED TO EXPIRE AT NOON. THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA ADVISORY WILL BE KEPT INTACT AS HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH
WILL KEEP A TIGHTER GRADIENT OVER THIS AREA. SNOW SHOWERS ALONG
THE ALASKA PENINSULA ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY AS
LOW PRESSURE REMAINS JUST TO THE SOUTH. A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING
IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE UP TO THE ALASKA PENINSULA LATER ON
MONDAY. THIS SYSTEM PUSHES A WARM FRONT BRINGING A MIX OF
PRECIPITATION MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. MAX GALE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM ALONG THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE ALASKA
PENINSULA. THIS RAPIDLY DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM SHOULD BE
MONITORED FOR UPDATES AS STORM FORCE WINDS MAY BE POSSIBLE MONDAY
NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS

WEAK INSTABILITY SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS THE BERING THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE BERING WILL BE STRONGEST
ALONG THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN WATERS TODAY AS A STRONG 850MB
JET DIVES TOWARD THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS
TAPER DOWN SLIGHTLY TONIGHT WITH THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM MOVING INTO
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS MONDAY AFTERNOON. EXPECT MAX GALES WITH THIS
STORM SYSTEM WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF STORM FORCE WINDS TO DEVELOP
MONDAY NIGHT. THERE IS STILL A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY ON THE TRACK AND
STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT IS RAPIDLY DEVELOPING.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...A RATHER LARGE VERTICALLY
STACKED LOW CENTERED WELL SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL
SLOW AS IT DRIFTS EAST TUESDAY TO BECOME STATIONARY SOUTH OF THE
ALASKA PENINSULA AND WESTERN GULF WHERE IT WILL REMAIN THROUGH
LATE WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OUT OF AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL
AMPLIFY OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC AND GULF OF ALASKA ON MONDAY
THEN SHIFT EAST OVER SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA TUESDAY
BEFORE SETTING UP RESIDENCE A AS CONTINENTAL SCALE BLOCKING RIDGE
STRETCHING ACROSS THE WESTERN US AND WESTERN CANADA. THESE TWO
VERY LARGE SCALE FEATURES WILL STEER WARMER MOISTER AIR AND A
SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS UP INTO THE GULF THROUGH THE WEEK.

WHILE MODEL DIFFERENCES IN THE TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THE
INDIVIDUAL LOW PRESSURE WAVES HAVE INCREASED SINCE YESTERDAY THERE
IS STILL GOOD CONSISTENCY IN THE LARGE SCALE FLOW PATTERN...SO
CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH IN THE PATTERN SHIFT OCCURRING AND THE
TREND OF INCREASING TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING PRECIPITATION
THROUGH THE WEEK...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. WITH COLD AIR WELL
ENTRENCHED INLAND FREEZING RAIN CONTINUES TO BE A CONCERN AS DOES
ALL OTHER PRECIPITATION TYPES HOWEVER THE SPECIFIC TRACK OF THE
INDIVIDUAL LOWS (WHICH CONFIDENCE IS LOWER ON) WILL BE KEY IN
DETERMINING WHICH AREAS GET WHAT PRECIPITATION TYPES. STRONG WINDS
ESPECIALLY IN THE MARINE AREAS WILL ALSO LIKELY BE A SIGNIFICANT
IMPACT THROUGH THE WEEK WITH MANY OF THE FRONTAL WAVES.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD 171 WIND CHILL 152 155 161
MARINE...

STORM 130 138

GALES 120 120 127 128 137 139 150 155 170 172-177 179 180 181 185

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 121 126 127 128 130 138 139 140 141 165 170
179 180 185

NONE. FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DK
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...JR